WEBVTT - Navigating turbulence: Air NZ CEO Greg Foran

0:00:00.280 --> 0:00:03.800
<v Speaker 1>In a situation like ours, if you don't develop some agility,

0:00:04.280 --> 0:00:07.560
<v Speaker 1>you just can't get stuff done. When people see me

0:00:07.760 --> 0:00:10.680
<v Speaker 1>and want to engage with me, and it's not because

0:00:11.080 --> 0:00:15.400
<v Speaker 1>they lost their bag. It's usually about, hey, what can

0:00:15.440 --> 0:00:19.119
<v Speaker 1>we do about getting back to London, for example. In

0:00:19.200 --> 0:00:24.640
<v Speaker 1>all likelihood, the sort of airline ecosystem, in my view,

0:00:25.680 --> 0:00:28.880
<v Speaker 1>is going to be a challenge in some areas like

0:00:29.080 --> 0:00:39.640
<v Speaker 1>engines and spare parts for probably two plus more users.

0:00:40.240 --> 0:00:43.879
<v Speaker 2>Welcome to supplants. Today we look at the most popular

0:00:43.960 --> 0:00:47.440
<v Speaker 2>investment on Cheersy's in New Zealand. I'm here at the

0:00:47.479 --> 0:00:51.160
<v Speaker 2>headquarters in Auckland and I'll be talking to CEO Greek Forum.

0:00:51.560 --> 0:00:54.040
<v Speaker 3>Investing in involves the risk you might lose the money

0:00:54.080 --> 0:00:57.480
<v Speaker 3>you start with. We recommend talking to a licensed financial advisor.

0:00:58.200 --> 0:01:02.040
<v Speaker 3>We also recommend breading products documents before deciding to invest.

0:01:02.320 --> 0:01:04.680
<v Speaker 3>Everything you're about to see and here is current at

0:01:04.680 --> 0:01:05.480
<v Speaker 3>the time of recording.

0:01:05.600 --> 0:01:08.160
<v Speaker 2>Welcome Greg to the program. It's great to be here

0:01:08.240 --> 0:01:12.280
<v Speaker 2>in Auckland at your place in New Zealand. It's been

0:01:12.319 --> 0:01:15.240
<v Speaker 2>a few weeks since the results were out and they're

0:01:15.280 --> 0:01:18.720
<v Speaker 2>always pretty busy for someone like you. There's with our

0:01:18.800 --> 0:01:22.000
<v Speaker 2>national carrier being what a your New Zealanders. There's always

0:01:22.200 --> 0:01:25.960
<v Speaker 2>a fair bit of reaction opinion about what you should

0:01:25.959 --> 0:01:29.200
<v Speaker 2>and shouldn't be doing. How have you found that so far?

0:01:30.680 --> 0:01:35.000
<v Speaker 1>To be honest with you, it's been reasonably as we expected,

0:01:35.040 --> 0:01:38.120
<v Speaker 1>and that's what we endeavored to do. We came in,

0:01:38.680 --> 0:01:42.080
<v Speaker 1>by and large, give or take, in the middle of guidance,

0:01:42.200 --> 0:01:46.680
<v Speaker 1>just above it and above the midpoint. So I've had

0:01:46.720 --> 0:01:50.120
<v Speaker 1>an enjoyable week actually getting around and talking to people,

0:01:50.200 --> 0:01:53.000
<v Speaker 1>adding a bit of color into the results, which is

0:01:53.480 --> 0:01:55.680
<v Speaker 1>really what people are after, because you know, when you

0:01:55.720 --> 0:01:58.800
<v Speaker 1>go from five eighty five million to two hundred and

0:01:58.800 --> 0:02:03.040
<v Speaker 1>twenty two million, ninety million worth of COVID credit, explain

0:02:03.120 --> 0:02:06.320
<v Speaker 1>to us really what's going on? And I enjoy doing that.

0:02:06.680 --> 0:02:10.160
<v Speaker 2>Air New Zealand's got a big base of retail investors.

0:02:10.560 --> 0:02:13.519
<v Speaker 2>The thing about it, though, is that they're not only investors,

0:02:13.720 --> 0:02:17.520
<v Speaker 2>they're often consumers as well. And the reality is most

0:02:17.520 --> 0:02:20.200
<v Speaker 2>of the time it's an emotional buy. So how does

0:02:20.240 --> 0:02:23.600
<v Speaker 2>Air New Zealand balance that and take some responsibility? Yeah?

0:02:23.639 --> 0:02:26.680
<v Speaker 1>I think you do it very carefully, don't you. I

0:02:26.720 --> 0:02:30.640
<v Speaker 1>think Air New Zealand is a little bit unique in

0:02:30.760 --> 0:02:34.520
<v Speaker 1>many aspects, and you know, when you think about those

0:02:34.560 --> 0:02:38.520
<v Speaker 1>five stakeholder groups that we often talk about customers, how

0:02:38.560 --> 0:02:44.560
<v Speaker 1>we in New Zealand, staff, suppliers, community and shareholders. Everything

0:02:45.000 --> 0:02:49.239
<v Speaker 1>is at a different elevation, possibly to many other businesses,

0:02:50.240 --> 0:02:53.800
<v Speaker 1>because you know, the government owns fifty one percent, and

0:02:53.919 --> 0:02:57.400
<v Speaker 1>therefore you know, there's a heck of a lot of people,

0:02:57.600 --> 0:03:01.040
<v Speaker 1>even if they don't directly own shares, in directly owned shares,

0:03:01.160 --> 0:03:03.880
<v Speaker 1>who are also customers and in many cases our staff.

0:03:05.040 --> 0:03:09.120
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's a highly unionized business. It connects with

0:03:09.320 --> 0:03:14.960
<v Speaker 1>twenty ports domestically, thirty internationally. It holds a pride and

0:03:15.240 --> 0:03:20.640
<v Speaker 1>place and joy in people's hearts. It fulfills a really

0:03:20.720 --> 0:03:25.640
<v Speaker 1>important purpose. And you know, and we deal not just

0:03:25.720 --> 0:03:29.240
<v Speaker 1>with the likes of the big boeings and the air buses,

0:03:29.440 --> 0:03:33.120
<v Speaker 1>but you know, we've got about fifteen or twenty local

0:03:33.160 --> 0:03:37.480
<v Speaker 1>companies that produce snacks and beverages on our planes and

0:03:37.960 --> 0:03:42.760
<v Speaker 1>indirectly feed tourism. So we are integral to what happens

0:03:43.080 --> 0:03:46.680
<v Speaker 1>and everything, as I said, comes with this sort of

0:03:46.680 --> 0:03:52.400
<v Speaker 1>elevated level of scrutiny, and there's a really exciting part

0:03:52.480 --> 0:03:54.720
<v Speaker 1>to that because it means you've got a lift your

0:03:54.720 --> 0:03:57.280
<v Speaker 1>performance and then there are some challenging bits if you

0:03:57.280 --> 0:03:57.960
<v Speaker 1>don't get it right.

0:03:58.960 --> 0:04:00.400
<v Speaker 2>So have you got it right so far?

0:04:00.880 --> 0:04:04.720
<v Speaker 1>I think the answer to that is it depends. And

0:04:04.760 --> 0:04:08.040
<v Speaker 1>the reason I say that is that you know, as

0:04:08.080 --> 0:04:12.000
<v Speaker 1>you think about the results that we've had this last year,

0:04:12.040 --> 0:04:14.960
<v Speaker 1>we've come off this five hundred and eighty five million

0:04:15.000 --> 0:04:18.120
<v Speaker 1>dollar profit down to two hundred and twenty two, and

0:04:18.200 --> 0:04:20.559
<v Speaker 1>yet we've done a little bit more flying you would

0:04:20.560 --> 0:04:23.679
<v Speaker 1>expect based on some of the results around the world.

0:04:24.160 --> 0:04:26.040
<v Speaker 1>Why is here in New Zealand not doing a little

0:04:26.080 --> 0:04:29.560
<v Speaker 1>bit better? And really, what we've found this last financial

0:04:29.640 --> 0:04:32.720
<v Speaker 1>year is that we've had to deal with some sustained

0:04:32.760 --> 0:04:38.840
<v Speaker 1>headwinds that you wouldn't necessarily find in every other geography

0:04:39.120 --> 0:04:42.720
<v Speaker 1>or other competitors. And you know, those have been around Fleet.

0:04:43.320 --> 0:04:47.640
<v Speaker 1>They've been around a domestic economy which is tightened and

0:04:48.240 --> 0:04:52.240
<v Speaker 1>continues to be quite tight, and some sort of elevated

0:04:52.600 --> 0:04:57.000
<v Speaker 1>competition which is fundamentally driven by some geopolitical factors. So

0:04:57.880 --> 0:05:00.599
<v Speaker 1>you know, that makes it exciting but also makes it

0:05:00.680 --> 0:05:01.440
<v Speaker 1>challenging and hard.

0:05:01.800 --> 0:05:04.560
<v Speaker 2>You've been with the company since twenty twenty, and it's

0:05:04.600 --> 0:05:06.839
<v Speaker 2>fair to say there's been a number of headwinds in

0:05:06.880 --> 0:05:10.040
<v Speaker 2>that time COVID for instance, and they're like, how would

0:05:10.080 --> 0:05:11.320
<v Speaker 2>you describe the tenure?

0:05:13.040 --> 0:05:16.599
<v Speaker 1>It has been challenging, but you know you're sort of

0:05:16.720 --> 0:05:21.960
<v Speaker 1>either built for these occasions or you're not. And you

0:05:22.000 --> 0:05:24.200
<v Speaker 1>know that's what I've seen over the years, and you know,

0:05:24.240 --> 0:05:26.800
<v Speaker 1>I've had to deal with difficult situations when I was

0:05:26.839 --> 0:05:32.799
<v Speaker 1>in the US running a United States business in China,

0:05:32.920 --> 0:05:36.960
<v Speaker 1>all over the country, you can be pretty challenging. As

0:05:37.200 --> 0:05:40.040
<v Speaker 1>many of your listeners will know, I've spent many years

0:05:40.040 --> 0:05:42.560
<v Speaker 1>in the food business and that comes under a fair

0:05:42.600 --> 0:05:47.880
<v Speaker 1>amount of scrutiny. So this has different challenges, but you know,

0:05:47.960 --> 0:05:51.600
<v Speaker 1>you either get on with it or you don't. And

0:05:52.440 --> 0:05:56.200
<v Speaker 1>you know it's been sort of a hallmark of what

0:05:56.360 --> 0:05:59.440
<v Speaker 1>I represent that you put your head down, you come

0:05:59.520 --> 0:06:02.400
<v Speaker 1>up with a good plan. You must ensure obviously that

0:06:02.440 --> 0:06:05.040
<v Speaker 1>your business has a good culture. You go to look

0:06:05.040 --> 0:06:08.640
<v Speaker 1>after your customers and your staff and believe in what

0:06:08.680 --> 0:06:09.080
<v Speaker 1>you're doing.

0:06:09.520 --> 0:06:12.720
<v Speaker 2>And we do with hindsight, though, is this something you

0:06:12.760 --> 0:06:15.279
<v Speaker 2>would do differently? I mean the industry is quite different.

0:06:15.320 --> 0:06:18.040
<v Speaker 2>You've said, there's the similarities no matter what business are

0:06:18.080 --> 0:06:18.719
<v Speaker 2>you're leading.

0:06:19.279 --> 0:06:23.279
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, many many things, And you know I went through

0:06:23.320 --> 0:06:26.560
<v Speaker 1>this period because literally in the room where we're doing

0:06:26.600 --> 0:06:30.280
<v Speaker 1>this podcast, I sat on I think it was Monday,

0:06:30.440 --> 0:06:35.040
<v Speaker 1>the fourth of February twenty twenty, and on the previous day,

0:06:35.120 --> 0:06:38.320
<v Speaker 1>the Sunday, we stopped flying to Shanghai. So I was

0:06:38.360 --> 0:06:41.599
<v Speaker 1>sitting in this room and meeting with the leadership squad,

0:06:42.279 --> 0:06:45.200
<v Speaker 1>and it was sort of Okay, one router is down,

0:06:45.360 --> 0:06:48.760
<v Speaker 1>and you know, within two weeks, three or four routes

0:06:48.760 --> 0:06:51.880
<v Speaker 1>were down. Within five weeks we'd stopped flying all together

0:06:51.920 --> 0:06:55.919
<v Speaker 1>in the country was in lockdown. And I can absolutely

0:06:55.960 --> 0:06:59.839
<v Speaker 1>recall at that time, going, boy, I wish I knew

0:07:00.000 --> 0:07:03.640
<v Speaker 1>a lot more about airlines at this point. I'd have

0:07:03.720 --> 0:07:06.960
<v Speaker 1>to say that about two years later, when we were

0:07:07.000 --> 0:07:11.400
<v Speaker 1>still effectively in lockdown, we had periods where we were open, shut,

0:07:11.640 --> 0:07:15.680
<v Speaker 1>paused open, you know, and people forget that, but we

0:07:15.720 --> 0:07:18.800
<v Speaker 1>were on again, off again. We were green lights, red lights,

0:07:18.840 --> 0:07:23.520
<v Speaker 1>orange lights. I realized actually that there were there wasn't

0:07:23.560 --> 0:07:26.160
<v Speaker 1>really any playbook for this, and so in some ways

0:07:26.400 --> 0:07:29.880
<v Speaker 1>I wasn't possibly as disadvantaged as I thought I was

0:07:29.920 --> 0:07:32.880
<v Speaker 1>at the beginning. But there are some things. Number One,

0:07:33.920 --> 0:07:36.800
<v Speaker 1>it is way harder restarting an airline than it is

0:07:36.840 --> 0:07:42.080
<v Speaker 1>stopping it. So would I have been so quick to

0:07:42.320 --> 0:07:45.800
<v Speaker 1>take some of the people out of the business. And

0:07:45.840 --> 0:07:49.600
<v Speaker 1>the answer is, I would have understood what roles are

0:07:49.680 --> 0:07:55.120
<v Speaker 1>much harder to operate and replace, and I would not

0:07:55.240 --> 0:07:58.880
<v Speaker 1>have been as quick as judicious as getting that out.

0:07:59.240 --> 0:08:04.680
<v Speaker 1>So you know that it's an example of learning understanding

0:08:04.720 --> 0:08:07.040
<v Speaker 1>the supply chain a little bit more about what would

0:08:07.120 --> 0:08:11.560
<v Speaker 1>happen in terms of parts and pieces, and you know,

0:08:11.800 --> 0:08:14.520
<v Speaker 1>ensuring that we could get as close as we could

0:08:14.600 --> 0:08:17.800
<v Speaker 1>to some of these suppliers and manufacturers. And I'm not

0:08:17.880 --> 0:08:22.000
<v Speaker 1>just talking about Boeing or Airbus, but you know, Saffron

0:08:22.200 --> 0:08:25.400
<v Speaker 1>is a massive supplier, so so getting in close with

0:08:25.480 --> 0:08:28.520
<v Speaker 1>them and understanding we might have a problem with the

0:08:28.560 --> 0:08:32.000
<v Speaker 1>actuators and the business class seats and they're a little

0:08:32.040 --> 0:08:36.200
<v Speaker 1>electric motor that moves the seats up and down. You know,

0:08:36.280 --> 0:08:39.839
<v Speaker 1>I realize that my knowledge of that wasn't as deep

0:08:40.080 --> 0:08:42.480
<v Speaker 1>as I would have wanted. And I can tell you

0:08:42.520 --> 0:08:46.160
<v Speaker 1>as as some of these events, you know, you get

0:08:46.480 --> 0:08:50.359
<v Speaker 1>little microcosms of them play out. You learn. So for example,

0:08:50.960 --> 0:08:52.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, we're not going to be back in Vanuatu

0:08:52.880 --> 0:08:57.760
<v Speaker 1>anytime soon. You know, we were flying into there, into

0:08:57.800 --> 0:09:01.800
<v Speaker 1>New Maya. It's been you know, extended in terms of

0:09:02.600 --> 0:09:05.600
<v Speaker 1>closing that area down. We'll keep the people on things

0:09:05.800 --> 0:09:08.200
<v Speaker 1>because I know how hard it is to restart.

0:09:08.559 --> 0:09:11.720
<v Speaker 2>Thinking of the headwinds you've you've talked about a few

0:09:11.960 --> 0:09:14.839
<v Speaker 2>headwinds can be things you may have some control over

0:09:15.080 --> 0:09:17.480
<v Speaker 2>or not. Says with the economy, with inflation, that was

0:09:17.520 --> 0:09:20.360
<v Speaker 2>a big part of what happened with the result. Is

0:09:20.400 --> 0:09:23.360
<v Speaker 2>there or are the headwinds that you do think you

0:09:23.440 --> 0:09:26.600
<v Speaker 2>can work with that you can hedge four you can

0:09:27.480 --> 0:09:28.960
<v Speaker 2>make some headway with if you like.

0:09:29.480 --> 0:09:32.439
<v Speaker 1>Well, I think the answer to that is yes, and

0:09:33.000 --> 0:09:36.680
<v Speaker 1>where we can I think we're doing a reasonable job

0:09:36.760 --> 0:09:39.840
<v Speaker 1>of doing that. So you know, as we saw things

0:09:40.000 --> 0:09:44.040
<v Speaker 1>tighten up a bit as early as sort of August

0:09:44.400 --> 0:09:47.080
<v Speaker 1>of last year, so over a year ago. You know,

0:09:47.120 --> 0:09:49.640
<v Speaker 1>we've gone through the FIFA World Cup, we'd had a

0:09:49.679 --> 0:09:52.440
<v Speaker 1>pretty good July, and we could see coming into an

0:09:52.480 --> 0:09:56.160
<v Speaker 1>election things we're going to get tight. We were hearing that,

0:09:56.440 --> 0:09:59.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, should there be a change in government, spending

0:09:59.040 --> 0:10:01.880
<v Speaker 1>would come down. So you know, you start preparing yourself

0:10:01.920 --> 0:10:05.440
<v Speaker 1>for trimming your sales a bit, so you do that.

0:10:05.840 --> 0:10:09.200
<v Speaker 1>There's always opportunities and productivity. You know, we've spent a

0:10:09.240 --> 0:10:12.520
<v Speaker 1>lot of time over the last few years working on

0:10:12.880 --> 0:10:15.559
<v Speaker 1>areas of the business where we know if we give

0:10:15.600 --> 0:10:19.040
<v Speaker 1>people the right tools, then they can be more productive. Now,

0:10:19.040 --> 0:10:22.400
<v Speaker 1>some of those are physical tools like ground service equipment,

0:10:22.800 --> 0:10:25.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, getting the right pushback tugs or pallette loaders.

0:10:26.200 --> 0:10:30.720
<v Speaker 1>Others can be things like replatforming the call center so

0:10:30.840 --> 0:10:34.600
<v Speaker 1>that you've got a much better process there for handling calls.

0:10:34.600 --> 0:10:36.840
<v Speaker 1>You know, we used to have about eight hundred people

0:10:36.880 --> 0:10:39.320
<v Speaker 1>working in the call center. We've got that down to

0:10:39.400 --> 0:10:42.800
<v Speaker 1>five hundred, and there is room to go even further,

0:10:43.240 --> 0:10:46.480
<v Speaker 1>not just because of that tool, but because we also

0:10:46.600 --> 0:10:50.960
<v Speaker 1>replatform the customer app. There's now considerably more things that

0:10:51.000 --> 0:10:54.080
<v Speaker 1>customers can do self service. So we've reduced the call

0:10:54.160 --> 0:10:57.920
<v Speaker 1>volume from sort of, you know, fifty thousand calls a

0:10:57.960 --> 0:11:00.679
<v Speaker 1>week down to about twenty five thousand a week. So

0:11:01.160 --> 0:11:03.680
<v Speaker 1>you're always looking at the things that you can control

0:11:04.320 --> 0:11:08.520
<v Speaker 1>the ones you can't. You know, sometimes you just have

0:11:08.600 --> 0:11:09.880
<v Speaker 1>to stomach those and move on.

0:11:10.920 --> 0:11:12.880
<v Speaker 2>One of the ones that sounds like it's hard to

0:11:12.920 --> 0:11:17.280
<v Speaker 2>control is getting new aircraft with Boeing, and you know,

0:11:17.320 --> 0:11:20.640
<v Speaker 2>you've got the NEOs and the Dreamliners, and at one

0:11:20.679 --> 0:11:23.880
<v Speaker 2>stage you had one billion worth of assets on the tarmac,

0:11:23.960 --> 0:11:27.080
<v Speaker 2>not flying. You've talked at link about you know, what

0:11:27.160 --> 0:11:30.280
<v Speaker 2>had happened and the like. Where is that going in future?

0:11:30.280 --> 0:11:33.200
<v Speaker 2>I mean you've got to buy or put contracts in

0:11:33.240 --> 0:11:38.760
<v Speaker 2>for airlines airliners years and years in advance. So is

0:11:38.800 --> 0:11:41.319
<v Speaker 2>there much scope there to change suppliers or change your

0:11:41.320 --> 0:11:43.720
<v Speaker 2>contracts or have some more certainty.

0:11:44.000 --> 0:11:47.280
<v Speaker 1>Well, I think there's always areas that you can go

0:11:47.320 --> 0:11:50.680
<v Speaker 1>in further. You know, on Sunday, I'll be out of

0:11:50.720 --> 0:11:55.400
<v Speaker 1>the country and I'm heading up to Canada and meeting

0:11:55.559 --> 0:11:59.160
<v Speaker 1>with the owner of d Havland who make the Q

0:11:59.280 --> 0:12:04.360
<v Speaker 1>three hundred. And this particular person bought that airline off

0:12:04.360 --> 0:12:09.960
<v Speaker 1>Bombardier probably about five years ago. You know, we have

0:12:10.000 --> 0:12:12.680
<v Speaker 1>a fleet of Q three hundreds. They aren't making that

0:12:12.720 --> 0:12:16.320
<v Speaker 1>plane anymore. So there's always an opportunity to sit down

0:12:16.400 --> 0:12:19.720
<v Speaker 1>with these people and say, Okay, what is your strategy,

0:12:19.760 --> 0:12:21.520
<v Speaker 1>where are we going to go? What are we going

0:12:21.559 --> 0:12:25.640
<v Speaker 1>to do? You just can't sit there and wait. In

0:12:25.720 --> 0:12:29.160
<v Speaker 1>about three weeks time, I will be in South Carolina

0:12:29.920 --> 0:12:34.480
<v Speaker 1>in the Boeing plant where ideally we're going to get

0:12:35.000 --> 0:12:39.640
<v Speaker 1>our first two of the eight seven eight sevens we've

0:12:39.679 --> 0:12:43.680
<v Speaker 1>had on order and hopefully we'll be able to see

0:12:43.720 --> 0:12:47.679
<v Speaker 1>those come into the country around about October November twenty

0:12:47.880 --> 0:12:50.560
<v Speaker 1>twenty five. But you know, when I go there, I

0:12:50.600 --> 0:12:53.640
<v Speaker 1>will meet with the chief executive of Boeing who's just

0:12:53.720 --> 0:12:58.440
<v Speaker 1>started Kelli and their team and make sure that we're

0:12:58.480 --> 0:13:01.040
<v Speaker 1>on the production line that's things are going to happen.

0:13:01.360 --> 0:13:03.800
<v Speaker 1>By the way, we'll have engineers full time as that

0:13:03.880 --> 0:13:07.440
<v Speaker 1>plane is being built up there, which is standard practice

0:13:07.480 --> 0:13:12.479
<v Speaker 1>for us to ensure that all the specifications meet our specifications.

0:13:13.600 --> 0:13:18.559
<v Speaker 1>So there's always things you can do, but it's hard,

0:13:18.960 --> 0:13:22.240
<v Speaker 1>and you know, if you have a situation like we've

0:13:22.280 --> 0:13:24.640
<v Speaker 1>had with Rolls Royce. We make a decision on a

0:13:24.679 --> 0:13:28.080
<v Speaker 1>Trent engine back in two thousand and four, there were

0:13:28.080 --> 0:13:30.679
<v Speaker 1>two choices. We could have gone with the Ge engine,

0:13:30.679 --> 0:13:32.400
<v Speaker 1>we could have gone with the Trent. We made a

0:13:32.400 --> 0:13:35.080
<v Speaker 1>decision to go with the Trent. We got the first

0:13:35.080 --> 0:13:38.960
<v Speaker 1>of those on a plane back in about twenty fourteen,

0:13:39.800 --> 0:13:44.280
<v Speaker 1>and really since about twenty seventeen, that's been a challenge. Now,

0:13:44.679 --> 0:13:48.480
<v Speaker 1>these are expensive pieces of kit, so to suddenly say, well,

0:13:48.520 --> 0:13:51.480
<v Speaker 1>I've got twenty eight of these engines, because I've got

0:13:51.559 --> 0:13:53.480
<v Speaker 1>fourteen of these planes, I'll tell you what I'm going

0:13:53.520 --> 0:13:55.240
<v Speaker 1>to rip them all off and go and put ge

0:13:55.440 --> 0:13:59.520
<v Speaker 1>engines on them. That is too much to digest. So

0:13:59.760 --> 0:14:01.720
<v Speaker 1>then we've got to sit down with Rolls and say

0:14:02.000 --> 0:14:05.040
<v Speaker 1>how are we going to fix this problem? And it's global.

0:14:05.760 --> 0:14:09.440
<v Speaker 1>You know, there are around about twenty three seven eight

0:14:09.559 --> 0:14:12.400
<v Speaker 1>sevens parked on the ground around the world at the

0:14:12.400 --> 0:14:15.440
<v Speaker 1>moment because there are not enough engines to fly them.

0:14:15.880 --> 0:14:19.000
<v Speaker 1>We had four, but the good news is yesterday we're

0:14:19.040 --> 0:14:21.480
<v Speaker 1>down to three. We were able to get a couple

0:14:21.520 --> 0:14:24.320
<v Speaker 1>of engines, so we've got another one back fly. So

0:14:25.520 --> 0:14:27.680
<v Speaker 1>you got to push, you've got to work at it

0:14:27.720 --> 0:14:31.440
<v Speaker 1>all the time. But you also have to accept that

0:14:31.840 --> 0:14:37.520
<v Speaker 1>in all likelihood the sort of airline ecosystem, in my view,

0:14:38.480 --> 0:14:41.680
<v Speaker 1>is going to be a challenge in some areas like

0:14:41.920 --> 0:14:47.280
<v Speaker 1>engines and spare parts for probably two plus more years.

0:14:48.440 --> 0:14:51.600
<v Speaker 2>Doesn't make any difference that we are the small country

0:14:52.320 --> 0:14:55.800
<v Speaker 2>island in the Pacific. I mean, if we're talking with

0:14:55.840 --> 0:14:58.680
<v Speaker 2>the likes of Boeing and Rolls Royce, they're big players,

0:14:58.720 --> 0:15:00.760
<v Speaker 2>and there's many others in the world who've got much

0:15:00.800 --> 0:15:02.240
<v Speaker 2>more money in might than us.

0:15:02.360 --> 0:15:05.720
<v Speaker 1>Does that factor there's always a risk it does. And

0:15:06.240 --> 0:15:08.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, before I took this job. I was on

0:15:08.520 --> 0:15:11.040
<v Speaker 1>the other end of the scale. I was with a

0:15:11.120 --> 0:15:15.040
<v Speaker 1>business that employed in the US alone, I had one

0:15:15.080 --> 0:15:19.960
<v Speaker 1>point four million staff, you know, five thousand stores. Who

0:15:20.040 --> 0:15:24.320
<v Speaker 1>doesn't want to do the deal with Walmart? The reality, however,

0:15:24.480 --> 0:15:28.440
<v Speaker 1>is that does have a component. But the other part

0:15:28.440 --> 0:15:31.320
<v Speaker 1>of this is how do you bring something to the

0:15:31.400 --> 0:15:36.720
<v Speaker 1>table with your supplier or partner that will excite them.

0:15:36.760 --> 0:15:38.840
<v Speaker 1>And I'll give you an example of how we can

0:15:38.920 --> 0:15:43.120
<v Speaker 1>play in this space. Two examples. Actually, you know, when

0:15:43.120 --> 0:15:47.320
<v Speaker 1>the first of the seven eight sevens come down and

0:15:47.480 --> 0:15:50.400
<v Speaker 1>we start flying them, ideally at the end of next year,

0:15:50.960 --> 0:15:52.680
<v Speaker 1>they're going to have a product on them that no

0:15:52.720 --> 0:15:55.080
<v Speaker 1>one else in the world has got. It's called sky

0:15:55.200 --> 0:16:00.560
<v Speaker 1>nest oh yep. And what's that worth to Boeing? Because

0:16:00.560 --> 0:16:05.560
<v Speaker 1>it's not just the delivery of you know, their seventh, seven, eight,

0:16:05.760 --> 0:16:08.600
<v Speaker 1>seventh for the month, because that's sort of what they'll

0:16:08.640 --> 0:16:11.880
<v Speaker 1>be trying to make seven, eight or nine of these

0:16:11.880 --> 0:16:14.600
<v Speaker 1>planes a month. This is the first in the world.

0:16:14.680 --> 0:16:16.840
<v Speaker 1>And you know, by the way, that fits in with

0:16:16.920 --> 0:16:19.560
<v Speaker 1>our DNA because we were the first to have a

0:16:19.560 --> 0:16:23.160
<v Speaker 1>skycouch on there. So what do you bring to the

0:16:23.280 --> 0:16:28.920
<v Speaker 1>supply that they can't do? Another example. We hope that

0:16:29.000 --> 0:16:33.760
<v Speaker 1>within about four weeks time, around the fourteenth fifteenth of October,

0:16:34.240 --> 0:16:36.440
<v Speaker 1>one of our seven eight sevens will head up to

0:16:36.480 --> 0:16:41.960
<v Speaker 1>Singapore and will begin to retrofit, and this plane should

0:16:42.000 --> 0:16:46.760
<v Speaker 1>be back just before Christmas with a completely new setup

0:16:47.080 --> 0:16:51.440
<v Speaker 1>for seats in business class and premium economy and economy,

0:16:51.960 --> 0:16:56.600
<v Speaker 1>with new entertainment systems, with new galleys and bathrooms. So

0:16:56.640 --> 0:16:59.960
<v Speaker 1>it's one of the existing fourteen seven eight sevens completely

0:17:00.200 --> 0:17:04.600
<v Speaker 1>retrofit it. Here's the interesting thing. We are the first

0:17:04.840 --> 0:17:10.080
<v Speaker 1>company anywhere to have done a retrofit of an old

0:17:10.200 --> 0:17:15.240
<v Speaker 1>plane to that extent before a new one has been built.

0:17:17.040 --> 0:17:19.480
<v Speaker 1>Because normally what you would do is that you would say,

0:17:19.720 --> 0:17:22.080
<v Speaker 1>I've got some new product that I want to put

0:17:22.119 --> 0:17:25.240
<v Speaker 1>on the plane, new seats or new galleys or whatever,

0:17:25.880 --> 0:17:28.600
<v Speaker 1>the next one that's going through the big production line.

0:17:28.640 --> 0:17:29.960
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to get it done there.

0:17:29.960 --> 0:17:30.840
<v Speaker 2>New plane.

0:17:30.960 --> 0:17:35.280
<v Speaker 1>So why did this happen. It happened because we sat

0:17:35.320 --> 0:17:38.320
<v Speaker 1>down with Boeing about three years ago, not long after

0:17:38.400 --> 0:17:41.480
<v Speaker 1>the country had reopened, and we spoke about when we

0:17:41.480 --> 0:17:45.480
<v Speaker 1>were likely to see planes new ones and what we

0:17:45.520 --> 0:17:48.840
<v Speaker 1>could do about retrofits. So they explained to us as

0:17:48.880 --> 0:17:51.080
<v Speaker 1>you would expect. Well, we'll get the new plane off

0:17:51.119 --> 0:17:55.040
<v Speaker 1>and then we'll start thinking about retrofits. And we said, yeah,

0:17:55.040 --> 0:17:58.000
<v Speaker 1>but if you're going to be delayed, this could be

0:17:58.320 --> 0:18:02.360
<v Speaker 1>putting us behind the eight ball. And the other thing

0:18:02.560 --> 0:18:06.199
<v Speaker 1>complication they said to me is we also got a problem.

0:18:06.200 --> 0:18:10.400
<v Speaker 1>We had a thousand engineers between the Ukraine and Russia

0:18:10.600 --> 0:18:12.720
<v Speaker 1>and we've lost all those people because we had to

0:18:12.760 --> 0:18:16.239
<v Speaker 1>go fight in the war. So we don't have a

0:18:16.280 --> 0:18:19.720
<v Speaker 1>whole bunch of technical capability to be able to take

0:18:20.200 --> 0:18:23.560
<v Speaker 1>all the drawings and all the things that have to

0:18:23.600 --> 0:18:26.800
<v Speaker 1>be done so that you can complete a retrofit. So

0:18:27.440 --> 0:18:30.040
<v Speaker 1>go away, go talk to someone else. And we sat

0:18:30.080 --> 0:18:32.720
<v Speaker 1>down with them and said, actually, no, we're going to

0:18:32.720 --> 0:18:34.919
<v Speaker 1>help you design a new process for this. We're going

0:18:34.960 --> 0:18:37.439
<v Speaker 1>to work out how you're going to provide some of

0:18:37.440 --> 0:18:42.280
<v Speaker 1>that intellectual property to a middleman and integrator, and together

0:18:42.400 --> 0:18:48.040
<v Speaker 1>the three of us, between the integrator, yourself and ourselves,

0:18:48.359 --> 0:18:51.159
<v Speaker 1>we're going to work out how to do this before

0:18:51.200 --> 0:18:55.000
<v Speaker 1>we even build a new plane. Now we're on the

0:18:55.000 --> 0:18:59.440
<v Speaker 1>cusp of doing that, but what's that worth deboeing? Well,

0:18:59.480 --> 0:19:01.600
<v Speaker 1>as I said them, if you learn how to do

0:19:01.680 --> 0:19:04.760
<v Speaker 1>this new process with a smaller line down the bottom

0:19:04.800 --> 0:19:08.600
<v Speaker 1>of the world. You've now solved a problem for much

0:19:08.720 --> 0:19:10.280
<v Speaker 1>larger airlines.

0:19:10.520 --> 0:19:14.000
<v Speaker 2>And they've obviously agreed with that. Is it an experiment

0:19:14.160 --> 0:19:14.600
<v Speaker 2>for them.

0:19:14.520 --> 0:19:17.000
<v Speaker 1>You think a little bit. I'm sure, but I can

0:19:17.040 --> 0:19:20.000
<v Speaker 1>tell you they've been pretty happy with how it's going.

0:19:20.040 --> 0:19:21.200
<v Speaker 1>But boy, it's been hard.

0:19:21.480 --> 0:19:21.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:19:22.200 --> 0:19:25.200
<v Speaker 1>So you know, every two weeks we're on a VC

0:19:25.840 --> 0:19:30.359
<v Speaker 1>with them and there are probably seven or eight people

0:19:30.400 --> 0:19:32.320
<v Speaker 1>who pretty much for the last six months have had

0:19:32.359 --> 0:19:36.639
<v Speaker 1>to live overseas, getting into Japan to meet with JAMCO,

0:19:36.960 --> 0:19:40.359
<v Speaker 1>or getting into France to meet with Saffran, or in

0:19:40.480 --> 0:19:43.760
<v Speaker 1>Wales where the seats are being built, and they're having

0:19:43.840 --> 0:19:46.480
<v Speaker 1>to can we get this done? And can you talk

0:19:46.520 --> 0:19:50.320
<v Speaker 1>to this person and do that? But heck it, in

0:19:50.359 --> 0:19:53.760
<v Speaker 1>a situation like ours, if you don't develop some agility,

0:19:54.240 --> 0:19:55.600
<v Speaker 1>you just can't get stuff done.

0:19:56.400 --> 0:19:58.439
<v Speaker 2>One of the areas that in New Zealand has was

0:19:58.480 --> 0:20:02.360
<v Speaker 2>always sought to be a trailblaze and was obviously sustainable aviation,

0:20:02.480 --> 0:20:05.639
<v Speaker 2>fuel flying and thinking about target at twenty thirty and

0:20:05.680 --> 0:20:08.520
<v Speaker 2>the like. That's obviously changed in recent times. I mean,

0:20:09.520 --> 0:20:11.960
<v Speaker 2>where is that at in terms of how we could

0:20:11.960 --> 0:20:15.000
<v Speaker 2>come back and be a leader and actually changing the

0:20:15.040 --> 0:20:18.639
<v Speaker 2>dial for an industry that has seen to be polluting

0:20:18.640 --> 0:20:20.359
<v Speaker 2>the atmosphere and warming the planet.

0:20:21.400 --> 0:20:24.159
<v Speaker 1>Well, the first thing I'd say is, actually, I'm not disappointed.

0:20:24.240 --> 0:20:26.720
<v Speaker 1>I'm very proud of the team. Now, Now that may

0:20:26.800 --> 0:20:30.639
<v Speaker 1>seem a bit strange, but you know, the most important

0:20:30.640 --> 0:20:35.159
<v Speaker 1>thing in any business's culture and the ability to you know,

0:20:35.240 --> 0:20:37.840
<v Speaker 1>part of that is the ability to be able to

0:20:37.880 --> 0:20:44.160
<v Speaker 1>have very honest and truthful and unvarnished conversations. So let's

0:20:44.160 --> 0:20:46.160
<v Speaker 1>wind the clock back two and a half years ago

0:20:46.240 --> 0:20:49.800
<v Speaker 1>and we decide that we're going to put in a

0:20:49.920 --> 0:20:53.119
<v Speaker 1>science based target and I think we were the second

0:20:53.119 --> 0:20:55.880
<v Speaker 1>airline in the world to do it. And we sat

0:20:55.920 --> 0:20:58.439
<v Speaker 1>down and we said, okay, what do we think we

0:20:58.560 --> 0:21:01.199
<v Speaker 1>need to do to achieve this? And well, you know,

0:21:01.240 --> 0:21:03.240
<v Speaker 1>this is where the fleet's going to be, and this

0:21:03.280 --> 0:21:06.879
<v Speaker 1>is how many sustainable aviation fuel plants are going to

0:21:06.880 --> 0:21:09.800
<v Speaker 1>be built. These are the routes that we're going to fly,

0:21:10.480 --> 0:21:12.359
<v Speaker 1>This is how we're going to get more productive with

0:21:12.440 --> 0:21:14.560
<v Speaker 1>the flying that we're doing. This is what we're going

0:21:14.600 --> 0:21:18.200
<v Speaker 1>to do with electrifying ground service equipment. You can see

0:21:18.240 --> 0:21:20.600
<v Speaker 1>you build this thing up two and a half years

0:21:20.640 --> 0:21:24.840
<v Speaker 1>ago and you say, based on these assumptions, this is

0:21:24.880 --> 0:21:28.520
<v Speaker 1>where we think will be by twenty thirty. Well, a

0:21:28.520 --> 0:21:30.840
<v Speaker 1>couple of things have changed over those two and a

0:21:30.880 --> 0:21:33.520
<v Speaker 1>half years, you know. One of them is we are

0:21:33.720 --> 0:21:36.639
<v Speaker 1>almost certainly going to have to keep our triple sevens

0:21:36.640 --> 0:21:42.000
<v Speaker 1>a bit longer. Why because Boeing, you know, we placed

0:21:42.000 --> 0:21:43.919
<v Speaker 1>an order. We thought we were going to get that

0:21:44.119 --> 0:21:47.720
<v Speaker 1>order in twenty twenty two. We delayed it for one year,

0:21:47.800 --> 0:21:51.200
<v Speaker 1>so it was initially twenty twenty one, and we said

0:21:51.480 --> 0:21:54.359
<v Speaker 1>to Boeing, look, COVID all the other stuff, delay those

0:21:54.520 --> 0:21:57.760
<v Speaker 1>till twenty twenty two. And they said, that's fine. I've

0:21:57.800 --> 0:22:00.200
<v Speaker 1>just shared with you. The earliest we'll see them is

0:22:00.240 --> 0:22:04.760
<v Speaker 1>the end of twenty twenty five. So the fleet that

0:22:04.800 --> 0:22:07.320
<v Speaker 1>we thought we were going to fly, which was more

0:22:07.359 --> 0:22:11.280
<v Speaker 1>fuel efficient than the Triple sevens, we just can't get

0:22:11.280 --> 0:22:14.800
<v Speaker 1>those planes. So there's no point hiding behind that. That

0:22:15.520 --> 0:22:20.720
<v Speaker 1>is a reality. You know, at some point, if sustainable

0:22:20.760 --> 0:22:26.320
<v Speaker 1>aviation fuel is the solution, and at this stage that

0:22:26.520 --> 0:22:32.679
<v Speaker 1>is the solution. Yeah, right, The current thirty plants or

0:22:32.760 --> 0:22:34.919
<v Speaker 1>so that are around the world need to increase to

0:22:34.960 --> 0:22:39.960
<v Speaker 1>about five thousand. So think about that, thirty plants to

0:22:40.040 --> 0:22:42.720
<v Speaker 1>about five thousand. So as we look at that and

0:22:42.760 --> 0:22:46.280
<v Speaker 1>we say, well, okay, we're we're working really hard at

0:22:46.320 --> 0:22:48.520
<v Speaker 1>the moment. We want to get two percent of our

0:22:48.560 --> 0:22:54.159
<v Speaker 1>fuel being sustainable aviation fuel this year, two percent to

0:22:54.240 --> 0:22:56.920
<v Speaker 1>hit the target in twenty thirty, you've got to believe

0:22:56.960 --> 0:23:00.520
<v Speaker 1>that's going to get to seventeen percent. There's a lot

0:23:00.520 --> 0:23:02.639
<v Speaker 1>of extra plants that have got to get built between

0:23:02.680 --> 0:23:05.840
<v Speaker 1>now and the end of the year. What's going to

0:23:05.840 --> 0:23:09.960
<v Speaker 1>happen in terms of regulation on this, Is it going

0:23:10.000 --> 0:23:14.440
<v Speaker 1>to get mandated or not. So you know what we've

0:23:14.480 --> 0:23:18.320
<v Speaker 1>done is we've said, hey, let's just take a look

0:23:18.359 --> 0:23:20.720
<v Speaker 1>at this, because you've got to put your hand on

0:23:20.760 --> 0:23:23.240
<v Speaker 1>your heart and you've got to say I'm going to

0:23:23.359 --> 0:23:26.639
<v Speaker 1>hit that goal. And if you have some situations that

0:23:26.680 --> 0:23:28.960
<v Speaker 1>have changed, which we have as I've just shared with you,

0:23:29.400 --> 0:23:32.760
<v Speaker 1>the appropriate thing to do is to remove that and

0:23:32.800 --> 0:23:36.680
<v Speaker 1>then to reassess there is no change in the commitment

0:23:36.760 --> 0:23:43.080
<v Speaker 1>to how we feel about sustainable aviation fuel, to reducing carbon,

0:23:43.480 --> 0:23:47.560
<v Speaker 1>to all the other activity. We've got an electric aircraft

0:23:47.720 --> 0:23:51.840
<v Speaker 1>which we'll be using as a demonstrator down here, to

0:23:51.960 --> 0:23:56.000
<v Speaker 1>the activity that happens around our business, to removing cups,

0:23:56.040 --> 0:24:00.400
<v Speaker 1>to electrifying equipment. None of that's changed. And that's why

0:24:00.440 --> 0:24:02.840
<v Speaker 1>I began by saying to you, I'm proud of what

0:24:02.880 --> 0:24:06.399
<v Speaker 1>we did because I am. The wrong thing to do

0:24:06.480 --> 0:24:10.080
<v Speaker 1>would have been to delay making that decision and then

0:24:10.680 --> 0:24:14.000
<v Speaker 1>be put in a corner later on. I think we've

0:24:14.000 --> 0:24:16.040
<v Speaker 1>come out and done the right thing and said, hey,

0:24:16.480 --> 0:24:18.280
<v Speaker 1>we're taking that away. We're going to go back and

0:24:18.320 --> 0:24:20.439
<v Speaker 1>review it. Give us a few months, and we'll be

0:24:20.520 --> 0:24:24.120
<v Speaker 1>back with what we think is a better number than

0:24:24.160 --> 0:24:26.080
<v Speaker 1>we had than the one we had previously.

0:24:26.680 --> 0:24:29.760
<v Speaker 2>As a possibility though, that things could change again, and

0:24:29.800 --> 0:24:32.520
<v Speaker 2>it may be that you maybe don't make that target,

0:24:32.560 --> 0:24:34.679
<v Speaker 2>but twenty fifty does seem a long way out.

0:24:34.840 --> 0:24:38.639
<v Speaker 1>I'll guarantee you things will change again. I don't have

0:24:38.680 --> 0:24:41.159
<v Speaker 1>any doubt they will. I also have no doubt that

0:24:41.200 --> 0:24:44.439
<v Speaker 1>some of the assumptions we make will be wrong. So

0:24:45.119 --> 0:24:47.960
<v Speaker 1>you know this is a challenge. So why does twenty

0:24:48.080 --> 0:24:51.639
<v Speaker 1>fifty sit out there, Well, you know some of us

0:24:51.680 --> 0:24:54.199
<v Speaker 1>won't be around by twenty fifty, so it's easier to

0:24:54.280 --> 0:24:58.439
<v Speaker 1>make some of those assumptions. And that is the reality

0:24:58.520 --> 0:25:02.399
<v Speaker 1>of these things. But you know the commitment, you have

0:25:02.520 --> 0:25:07.320
<v Speaker 1>no doubt. Your listeners should have no doubt that sustainability

0:25:07.359 --> 0:25:11.240
<v Speaker 1>is a keyp link. I think we have some of

0:25:11.280 --> 0:25:14.919
<v Speaker 1>the very best people that I have seen in any airline,

0:25:15.000 --> 0:25:18.199
<v Speaker 1>in fact in any industry working for us today in

0:25:18.240 --> 0:25:22.119
<v Speaker 1>New Zealand on this and we should have confidence that

0:25:22.680 --> 0:25:27.200
<v Speaker 1>the solutions that we come up with are enduring, the

0:25:27.280 --> 0:25:30.600
<v Speaker 1>right solutions are going to engage the right group of

0:25:30.640 --> 0:25:32.440
<v Speaker 1>stakeholders in the appropriate way.

0:25:32.720 --> 0:25:35.080
<v Speaker 2>Greg, the New Zealand economy has been someone in the

0:25:35.160 --> 0:25:39.360
<v Speaker 2>dull drums. It's common knowledge, but there are some green shoots.

0:25:39.880 --> 0:25:43.360
<v Speaker 2>Are you seeing any of that? In your commentary when

0:25:43.400 --> 0:25:47.720
<v Speaker 2>the earnings results were released, talked about some corporates, businesses

0:25:47.760 --> 0:25:50.560
<v Speaker 2>flying less and that obviously it had an impact. Are

0:25:50.560 --> 0:25:54.600
<v Speaker 2>you now or you seeing perhaps in quarters ahead that

0:25:54.600 --> 0:25:55.920
<v Speaker 2>that will change.

0:25:56.680 --> 0:26:00.720
<v Speaker 1>Look my sense at the moment, and this is a

0:26:00.840 --> 0:26:04.280
<v Speaker 1>judgment call, is that I think worried about the bottom

0:26:04.840 --> 0:26:09.040
<v Speaker 1>at this point and have been there for a few weeks,

0:26:09.560 --> 0:26:13.000
<v Speaker 1>not for months. You know, we see governments being down

0:26:13.040 --> 0:26:17.280
<v Speaker 1>about twenty eight We see small medium enterprises and corporates

0:26:17.359 --> 0:26:22.360
<v Speaker 1>down about ten to twelve percent. Leisure is holding up,

0:26:22.720 --> 0:26:27.919
<v Speaker 1>but you have to stimulate it so domestically it is tough.

0:26:28.920 --> 0:26:32.040
<v Speaker 1>But I think we're at the bottom, and usually what

0:26:32.200 --> 0:26:34.600
<v Speaker 1>happens is that you'll sit there for a period of

0:26:34.640 --> 0:26:36.280
<v Speaker 1>time and then recover.

0:26:37.160 --> 0:26:38.840
<v Speaker 2>Now you mean Christmas.

0:26:39.040 --> 0:26:42.199
<v Speaker 1>Your guess is as good as mine in terms of

0:26:42.240 --> 0:26:45.080
<v Speaker 1>when that will be and also what the slope of

0:26:45.119 --> 0:26:49.160
<v Speaker 1>that is going to be. Like, I'm not expecting it

0:26:49.200 --> 0:26:53.040
<v Speaker 1>to happen immediately, but maybe we get through Christmas, maybe

0:26:53.040 --> 0:26:56.720
<v Speaker 1>we get into next year, and people then start to

0:26:56.760 --> 0:26:59.200
<v Speaker 1>ease their way out of it. Now, I will say

0:26:59.240 --> 0:27:03.720
<v Speaker 1>that the decision to increase the IVL, the decision to

0:27:03.840 --> 0:27:10.240
<v Speaker 1>increase visas, are the costs that are coming through. You know,

0:27:10.320 --> 0:27:14.679
<v Speaker 1>the CIA are talking about costs. That doesn't help the

0:27:14.760 --> 0:27:18.639
<v Speaker 1>situation because about twenty percent year domestic business is fueled

0:27:18.680 --> 0:27:21.480
<v Speaker 1>by people flying into Auckland and jumping on a plane

0:27:21.480 --> 0:27:24.800
<v Speaker 1>to go to Queenstown or go to the vineyards in

0:27:25.040 --> 0:27:29.480
<v Speaker 1>Blenham or wherever. So you know, the headwinds are there

0:27:29.520 --> 0:27:33.400
<v Speaker 1>for a bit. But I am encouraged that it's bottomed

0:27:34.040 --> 0:27:38.640
<v Speaker 1>and in time, because it always does, people are going

0:27:38.640 --> 0:27:40.680
<v Speaker 1>to get out there and start spending.

0:27:40.920 --> 0:27:44.200
<v Speaker 2>Just looking now at some of the roots, I know,

0:27:44.320 --> 0:27:46.520
<v Speaker 2>India was one that you've mentioned and commentary in the

0:27:46.560 --> 0:27:49.119
<v Speaker 2>last few weeks and we have actually had some investor

0:27:49.200 --> 0:27:52.560
<v Speaker 2>questions asking when that might be a possibility. There's also

0:27:52.640 --> 0:27:57.040
<v Speaker 2>the US that's quite challenging, quite competitive. Are there other

0:27:57.080 --> 0:27:58.720
<v Speaker 2>things you can tell us about the roots that you're

0:27:58.720 --> 0:28:02.119
<v Speaker 2>looking at flying and and why would it be those ones?

0:28:02.320 --> 0:28:05.240
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, look, not a lot at this stage. And the

0:28:05.280 --> 0:28:07.520
<v Speaker 1>reason for that is that we just want to get

0:28:07.560 --> 0:28:10.000
<v Speaker 1>a little bit much, a little bit more sure when

0:28:10.840 --> 0:28:14.560
<v Speaker 1>aircraft are going to be available and what numbers. But

0:28:14.720 --> 0:28:17.159
<v Speaker 1>you know, look, it's fair to say a couple of things.

0:28:17.200 --> 0:28:20.399
<v Speaker 1>You know. One is you do want to grow your business,

0:28:21.200 --> 0:28:24.880
<v Speaker 1>because in a business like ours, is very hard unless

0:28:24.920 --> 0:28:29.080
<v Speaker 1>you've got some growth around. I'm doing some extra routes,

0:28:29.119 --> 0:28:32.800
<v Speaker 1>I've got some more seats on and et cetera. So

0:28:32.920 --> 0:28:35.480
<v Speaker 1>that's always top of mind. And you know, we sat

0:28:35.520 --> 0:28:37.160
<v Speaker 1>down and had a look at the five year plan,

0:28:38.320 --> 0:28:41.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, twenty four hours ago, and I like what

0:28:41.760 --> 0:28:44.880
<v Speaker 1>the team are pulling together there in terms of the

0:28:44.920 --> 0:28:50.360
<v Speaker 1>sort of growth that I'm seeing. I would say, also,

0:28:50.440 --> 0:28:53.080
<v Speaker 1>you want to be a little bit careful about trying

0:28:53.120 --> 0:28:58.360
<v Speaker 1>to expand too quickly because you're buying really expensive assets.

0:28:58.440 --> 0:29:02.520
<v Speaker 1>You need these planes to be operational A lot of

0:29:02.520 --> 0:29:04.800
<v Speaker 1>hours of the day in order to make money. But

0:29:04.920 --> 0:29:07.600
<v Speaker 1>there are always a few opportunities that you want to

0:29:07.600 --> 0:29:11.400
<v Speaker 1>look at. And you know, it makes common sense for

0:29:11.560 --> 0:29:15.479
<v Speaker 1>us to consider India at a point in time. Not

0:29:15.520 --> 0:29:18.480
<v Speaker 1>sure when at the stage, but you know, we get

0:29:18.480 --> 0:29:22.320
<v Speaker 1>a lot of traffic heading up to Singapore. A reasonable

0:29:22.320 --> 0:29:24.960
<v Speaker 1>amount of that traffic goes on to Europe, but a

0:29:25.000 --> 0:29:30.520
<v Speaker 1>surprising amount peels off and heads to many locations within India.

0:29:30.720 --> 0:29:33.360
<v Speaker 1>So that's something that we're going to continue to look at.

0:29:33.960 --> 0:29:36.400
<v Speaker 1>And then the other one that continues to be on

0:29:36.480 --> 0:29:40.520
<v Speaker 1>our mind from two aspects. You know, one of them

0:29:40.600 --> 0:29:44.720
<v Speaker 1>is getting back into Europe and you know would be

0:29:44.760 --> 0:29:49.080
<v Speaker 1>the most asked about route that I have. So when

0:29:49.240 --> 0:29:52.760
<v Speaker 1>people see me and want to engage with me, and

0:29:52.840 --> 0:29:57.160
<v Speaker 1>it's not because they lost their bag, it's usually about, hey,

0:29:57.960 --> 0:30:01.920
<v Speaker 1>what can we do about getting back to London, for example,

0:30:02.000 --> 0:30:05.040
<v Speaker 1>So it's a very asked about route. We stopped flying

0:30:05.080 --> 0:30:08.440
<v Speaker 1>there I think twenty nineteen, so you know, it's not

0:30:08.480 --> 0:30:10.560
<v Speaker 1>as easy as just saying well, let's just turn it

0:30:10.600 --> 0:30:13.800
<v Speaker 1>on and come once again. It's planes, it's all that stuff,

0:30:13.840 --> 0:30:16.400
<v Speaker 1>So we need to think carefully about that and when.

0:30:17.760 --> 0:30:20.480
<v Speaker 1>And then the other thing is a competitive nature of that.

0:30:21.440 --> 0:30:24.520
<v Speaker 1>You know, you just don't run your airline in isolation.

0:30:24.880 --> 0:30:28.720
<v Speaker 1>So you know, whether it's sovereign carriers coming in from

0:30:28.760 --> 0:30:32.400
<v Speaker 1>the Middle East or carriers from Australia, we need to

0:30:32.400 --> 0:30:34.959
<v Speaker 1>be very careful that we protect our market share, so

0:30:35.840 --> 0:30:37.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, we think about these things carefully.

0:30:38.960 --> 0:30:41.760
<v Speaker 2>Greg, you haven't given any guidance. You've said that things

0:30:41.760 --> 0:30:45.280
<v Speaker 2>are too uncertain, and the market for the most part

0:30:45.400 --> 0:30:49.880
<v Speaker 2>has accepted that. For retail investors, though, what would you

0:30:49.920 --> 0:30:52.400
<v Speaker 2>say to them when they're thinking about what they should

0:30:52.400 --> 0:30:55.680
<v Speaker 2>be doing with your portfolio in New Zealand? Might be

0:30:55.720 --> 0:30:57.760
<v Speaker 2>an emotional by it might not be though too. I mean,

0:30:58.120 --> 0:31:02.000
<v Speaker 2>how would they prudently cees what's going on without guidance?

0:31:04.160 --> 0:31:06.800
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I think you've got to listen to these sort

0:31:06.840 --> 0:31:10.560
<v Speaker 1>of podcasts and hear it from from people like myself

0:31:10.600 --> 0:31:13.960
<v Speaker 1>and others, and then test the experience when you fly.

0:31:14.760 --> 0:31:18.320
<v Speaker 1>So so I'll give you some examples. You know, the

0:31:18.400 --> 0:31:23.120
<v Speaker 1>headwinds that we're spoken about around fleet, around the domestic economy,

0:31:23.600 --> 0:31:29.880
<v Speaker 1>around you know, the added cost and the complexity particularly

0:31:29.960 --> 0:31:32.320
<v Speaker 1>around fleet that get added into the business. You've got

0:31:32.360 --> 0:31:34.360
<v Speaker 1>to put some more people in the call center, You've

0:31:34.360 --> 0:31:38.400
<v Speaker 1>got to deal with more disruption, you've got to change

0:31:38.440 --> 0:31:41.000
<v Speaker 1>twice as many engines, which is what we're doing at

0:31:41.040 --> 0:31:44.520
<v Speaker 1>the moment. And then you know the competition that's coming

0:31:44.520 --> 0:31:47.440
<v Speaker 1>out of the US, which is about fifty two percent

0:31:47.520 --> 0:31:50.560
<v Speaker 1>more seats than what we've traditionally seen, so so not

0:31:50.920 --> 0:31:55.600
<v Speaker 1>five percent more seats, fifty So you have to say

0:31:55.600 --> 0:31:59.160
<v Speaker 1>to yourself, Okay, so I understand those are some of

0:31:59.200 --> 0:32:02.200
<v Speaker 1>the fact is that you're dealing with an Air New Zealand.

0:32:02.240 --> 0:32:04.520
<v Speaker 1>You know, you've got fleet, you got domestic, and you've

0:32:04.520 --> 0:32:07.920
<v Speaker 1>got some increased competition out of the US. Okay, I

0:32:08.000 --> 0:32:11.800
<v Speaker 1>understand that. Now what am I seeing and feeling about

0:32:12.000 --> 0:32:14.120
<v Speaker 1>Air New Zealand as a business? You know, what are

0:32:14.160 --> 0:32:16.680
<v Speaker 1>the things that would want to encourage me? What's it

0:32:16.760 --> 0:32:19.240
<v Speaker 1>like when I ring the call center? Am I getting

0:32:19.240 --> 0:32:22.880
<v Speaker 1>through pretty quickly? Are they able to solve problems with speed?

0:32:22.920 --> 0:32:25.040
<v Speaker 1>Am I able to solve more problems because I now

0:32:25.080 --> 0:32:28.440
<v Speaker 1>have a new app on my phone? How quickly and

0:32:28.480 --> 0:32:32.200
<v Speaker 1>efficiently are things working? So you make those calls and

0:32:32.280 --> 0:32:37.000
<v Speaker 1>you say to yourself, the headwinds are the headwinds realistically?

0:32:37.040 --> 0:32:40.720
<v Speaker 1>How long are they going to stay as those start

0:32:40.760 --> 0:32:43.880
<v Speaker 1>to dissipate, which they will all of them at a

0:32:43.920 --> 0:32:46.960
<v Speaker 1>point in time. Is this a business which is well

0:32:47.200 --> 0:32:50.360
<v Speaker 1>positioned to grow? And I would say to you the

0:32:50.400 --> 0:32:55.640
<v Speaker 1>answer is yes. We're building an airline here that is

0:32:55.760 --> 0:33:00.560
<v Speaker 1>going to be built to last, so I have complete

0:33:00.600 --> 0:33:03.880
<v Speaker 1>confidence in it. And I don't say that in a

0:33:03.920 --> 0:33:06.680
<v Speaker 1>misguided way. For sure, I'd like the profit to be

0:33:06.720 --> 0:33:09.200
<v Speaker 1>a bit better, but I can explain why it is,

0:33:10.280 --> 0:33:13.680
<v Speaker 1>and we're not about just putting the fares up to

0:33:13.920 --> 0:33:16.120
<v Speaker 1>cover some of those issues. We've tried to be very

0:33:16.160 --> 0:33:21.400
<v Speaker 1>balanced about that. We're making good decisions on fleet, We're

0:33:21.400 --> 0:33:24.760
<v Speaker 1>working hard to continue to improve the product. So I've

0:33:24.760 --> 0:33:27.080
<v Speaker 1>got a lot of confidence in New Zealand.

0:33:34.200 --> 0:33:36.760
<v Speaker 2>Thanks everyone for tuning in. You can watch Shared Lunch

0:33:36.840 --> 0:33:40.760
<v Speaker 2>on YouTube or follow the podcast wherever you get your podcasts.

0:33:41.120 --> 0:33:42.960
<v Speaker 2>Leave us a rating and tell us what you'd like

0:33:43.040 --> 0:33:50.760
<v Speaker 2>to hear next. Mark.

0:33:53.280 --> 0:33:56.320
<v Speaker 3>Now you can combine the experience of multiple fund managers

0:33:56.360 --> 0:33:59.360
<v Speaker 3>and get even more diversification in your Shares's key weis

0:33:59.400 --> 0:34:02.400
<v Speaker 3>have a scheme select up to six base funds ranging

0:34:02.400 --> 0:34:05.200
<v Speaker 3>from conservative to high growth to make at least fifty

0:34:05.240 --> 0:34:08.000
<v Speaker 3>percent of your investment plan, and add your own picks

0:34:08.040 --> 0:34:11.919
<v Speaker 3>on top if you wish it's real choice multiplied head

0:34:11.920 --> 0:34:14.640
<v Speaker 3>to Chezy's dot nz slash kiwisaber to get more info.

0:34:14.960 --> 0:34:17.840
<v Speaker 3>Chezy's Investment Management Limited is the issuer of the Chase's

0:34:17.920 --> 0:34:21.280
<v Speaker 3>kiwisaber scheme. View the lodged product disclosure statement at Chezy's

0:34:21.320 --> 0:34:23.640
<v Speaker 3>dot nz slash kiwisaber slash documents