1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:02,160 Speaker 1: Company liquidations. You would have seen this. They hit a 2 00:00:02,200 --> 00:00:04,680 Speaker 1: ten year high. Two and a half thousand businesses went 3 00:00:04,760 --> 00:00:07,160 Speaker 1: under last year, seven hundred more than twenty twenty three, 4 00:00:07,320 --> 00:00:10,200 Speaker 1: and until consumer confidence burst back into the scene, it's 5 00:00:10,240 --> 00:00:14,640 Speaker 1: expected to continue. Brian Williams of BW and BWA Insolvency 6 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:15,440 Speaker 1: is with us this morning. 7 00:00:15,440 --> 00:00:17,560 Speaker 2: Brian, Good morning, Brian, good morning. 8 00:00:17,840 --> 00:00:19,840 Speaker 1: Is this as bad as it looks calling at the 9 00:00:19,880 --> 00:00:21,560 Speaker 1: worst and ten year high? 10 00:00:22,400 --> 00:00:24,480 Speaker 2: Well, I don't think it's as bad as the GFC. 11 00:00:25,120 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 2: I wonder whether what might change the future though, is 12 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 2: your conversation with your previous interviewer and how the geo 13 00:00:31,960 --> 00:00:34,519 Speaker 2: political environment will alter and how it will impact on 14 00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:36,760 Speaker 2: New Zealanders and the New Zealand economy. 15 00:00:37,320 --> 00:00:40,320 Speaker 1: That's going to be a big determinant going forward. What 16 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:45,040 Speaker 1: about the IID have apparently been cracking down on prosecutions 17 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:48,480 Speaker 1: on liquidating companies who aren't paying taxes. Is that plate 18 00:00:48,560 --> 00:00:49,200 Speaker 1: had an effect? 19 00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:52,640 Speaker 2: Definitely? I think that's one of the drivers of the 20 00:00:52,800 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 2: volume of the liquidations today. The IIDA appears to have 21 00:00:56,720 --> 00:01:00,120 Speaker 2: a policy of either pay or die, and if if 22 00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:02,840 Speaker 2: you can't pay, you shouldn't survive, and I think that's 23 00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:08,160 Speaker 2: really appropriate. Quite Honestly, companies have for many, many years 24 00:01:08,200 --> 00:01:13,000 Speaker 2: in some instances not met their obligations to the commissioner, 25 00:01:13,040 --> 00:01:16,600 Speaker 2: and they need to either pay it, make arrangements, or 26 00:01:16,920 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 2: they can't continue. And I think that's what we've seen 27 00:01:20,680 --> 00:01:24,959 Speaker 2: today statistically, is the idea saying, well, we've lost patients 28 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:27,640 Speaker 2: and we're going to make that decision for you. 29 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:29,960 Speaker 1: It's heartbreaking in a lot of ways because for a 30 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:33,320 Speaker 1: lot of these companies, they will be hard working, you know, 31 00:01:33,560 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 1: fastidious people who are doing all the right things, but 32 00:01:37,720 --> 00:01:39,960 Speaker 1: just not getting ahead. If you are on the edge 33 00:01:40,000 --> 00:01:42,039 Speaker 1: right now and you've chewed through your equity, you've chewed 34 00:01:42,040 --> 00:01:45,080 Speaker 1: through your cash, it could still be a long time, 35 00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:47,319 Speaker 1: could still be six months to a year before some 36 00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 1: kind of spending sugar hit comes to save you. 37 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 2: Right well, I don't think it's going to come quickly. 38 00:01:53,720 --> 00:01:56,560 Speaker 2: And one of the problems is the expenses that haven't 39 00:01:56,600 --> 00:02:01,160 Speaker 2: preached across the last two or three years have backing 40 00:02:01,240 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 2: out much of the gross profit that companies are earning. 41 00:02:03,960 --> 00:02:07,440 Speaker 2: And secondly, weather's been a shortfall of liquidity. They've borrowed 42 00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:11,440 Speaker 2: money and tear lenders have fed into that. So with 43 00:02:11,639 --> 00:02:16,000 Speaker 2: punitive interest rates, that's just soaking up whatever gross profit 44 00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:18,360 Speaker 2: they are going to be earning in the future, which 45 00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:24,120 Speaker 2: is again staffed by the lack of disposable income. Now 46 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:26,640 Speaker 2: that will change as interest rates go down, but I 47 00:02:26,639 --> 00:02:29,880 Speaker 2: suspect that many people in the economy, and the economy 48 00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:33,119 Speaker 2: is the aggregate of all of those participants. Individuals will 49 00:02:33,160 --> 00:02:36,079 Speaker 2: consolidate their affairs and to just take a breeder and 50 00:02:36,160 --> 00:02:39,120 Speaker 2: have a coupany for a while and see what the 51 00:02:39,160 --> 00:02:39,880 Speaker 2: future may bring. 52 00:02:40,040 --> 00:02:44,160 Speaker 1: Brian, Thank you, Brian Williams, b and bwa Insolvency. For 53 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:47,320 Speaker 1: more from the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to news 54 00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:50,280 Speaker 1: talks that'd be from six am weekdays, or follow the 55 00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:51,760 Speaker 1: podcast on iHeartRadio.