1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:04,360 Speaker 1: Shane Sally Harbor Resset Managements with US. Hello Shane, Hey, Heather, Right, 2 00:00:04,360 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: how are the investment markets reacting to the weekends around 3 00:00:06,840 --> 00:00:08,040 Speaker 1: related actions? 4 00:00:08,440 --> 00:00:10,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's been a bit of a rocky, rocky start 5 00:00:10,920 --> 00:00:13,640 Speaker 2: that we assumingly seen a risk off tone today reflecting 6 00:00:13,640 --> 00:00:16,240 Speaker 2: this diverging messaging from Iran as well in the US 7 00:00:16,640 --> 00:00:19,800 Speaker 2: over the weekend. Up just breaking it down, we see 8 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 2: the oil process mornings like one hundred and forty dollars 9 00:00:22,720 --> 00:00:25,599 Speaker 2: fifty's for print for barrel. Think she falling back to 10 00:00:25,640 --> 00:00:27,479 Speaker 2: beout one hundred and thirty now, which is where Friday's 11 00:00:27,480 --> 00:00:31,120 Speaker 2: close was, So then move there. Locally, big moves have 12 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:33,519 Speaker 2: been in the New Zealand tenure government bond years. We've 13 00:00:33,520 --> 00:00:37,040 Speaker 2: seen them increase zero point one that's almost a four 14 00:00:37,040 --> 00:00:39,360 Speaker 2: point nine percent, which is a one year high. A 15 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:41,599 Speaker 2: little bit about this global risk and a little bit 16 00:00:41,640 --> 00:00:45,040 Speaker 2: about the credit rating agency changes last week from Fitch 17 00:00:45,120 --> 00:00:48,040 Speaker 2: perhaps and his own sheer market down zero point seven 18 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:52,159 Speaker 2: seven zero point seven percent today, driven by cyclical companies 19 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:55,720 Speaker 2: such as Mainfare or when he brought future building, but 20 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:58,240 Speaker 2: we're actually else with our head. We've seen the Japanese 21 00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:01,880 Speaker 2: market down more than three percent. Today and US features. 22 00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:04,720 Speaker 2: It's suggesting the US market will be down about zero 23 00:01:04,720 --> 00:01:05,479 Speaker 2: point three percent. 24 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:07,880 Speaker 1: How did the market react to the profit results from 25 00:01:08,040 --> 00:01:08,920 Speaker 1: from Fontira ands? 26 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:12,920 Speaker 2: They yeah, pretty good actually, Froontira's result was with strong 27 00:01:12,959 --> 00:01:15,960 Speaker 2: food services and the ingredients performing really well. We actually 28 00:01:15,959 --> 00:01:18,600 Speaker 2: saw a management team of Frontier upgrade earnings forecast for 29 00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:22,119 Speaker 2: the full year between fifty to sixty five cents. They 30 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:24,360 Speaker 2: boosted dividends. They've given us a special given and of 31 00:01:24,400 --> 00:01:28,440 Speaker 2: sixteen cents confirmed that that two dollars payout this year 32 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:30,800 Speaker 2: is going to come to on April fourteenth. That'll be 33 00:01:30,800 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 2: a well welcomed boost for parts. Using on economy. They 34 00:01:34,800 --> 00:01:37,480 Speaker 2: did warn about the Middle East conflict having impact on 35 00:01:37,560 --> 00:01:40,920 Speaker 2: supply chains and just being weary of inventary and costs. 36 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:44,240 Speaker 2: But the Fontiership rose up two point four percent to 37 00:01:44,360 --> 00:01:47,200 Speaker 2: eight dollars forty three to day sin May a pre 38 00:01:47,280 --> 00:01:50,280 Speaker 2: guided week result for the first half. Cash outflows and 39 00:01:50,360 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 2: rising debt. They have a bit of a debt releaf 40 00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:55,440 Speaker 2: coming through with this Abbot asset sale and they're making 41 00:01:55,480 --> 00:01:58,360 Speaker 2: progress on their deal where they two to improve change 42 00:01:58,400 --> 00:02:01,680 Speaker 2: manufacturing and usc so as similarly, share prices actually a 43 00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:04,920 Speaker 2: nice bounce up three percent to fifty cents per year. 44 00:02:05,040 --> 00:02:07,280 Speaker 1: Okay, Now, Anna Breman is speaking at the Business New 45 00:02:07,360 --> 00:02:09,960 Speaker 1: Zealand Forum tomorrow. What are the markets pricing in for 46 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:11,240 Speaker 1: the ocr. 47 00:02:11,680 --> 00:02:14,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, look, it's a it's an important speech by government Bremen. 48 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:17,720 Speaker 2: Obviously the focus has changed in terms of the potential 49 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:20,240 Speaker 2: impacts the evolved in the Middle East situation. That's what 50 00:02:20,280 --> 00:02:23,280 Speaker 2: the new speech is for. The RBY has been really 51 00:02:23,320 --> 00:02:26,239 Speaker 2: careful to say this is not premting managed to closer 52 00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 2: committee meeting in April. But you know, the markets are 53 00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 2: now pricing and the Rezero banking news on official overnight 54 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:35,640 Speaker 2: cash rate to be increased by one point three percent 55 00:02:36,280 --> 00:02:38,920 Speaker 2: to three point five five percent by March twenty seven, 56 00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:42,760 Speaker 2: so within twelve miles the markets expecting official cash rates 57 00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:44,600 Speaker 2: to be above three and a half percent. Now, when 58 00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:47,359 Speaker 2: we look at it, your economy has surplus comparities. The 59 00:02:47,440 --> 00:02:51,359 Speaker 2: unemployment rate it's above average, so maybe the RBUS can 60 00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:55,080 Speaker 2: take a more measured approach, but markets are certainly putting 61 00:02:55,120 --> 00:02:57,200 Speaker 2: a bit of an in prese in Heather very interesting. 62 00:02:57,240 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 1: Hey, thanks very much. Shane has always Shane Sally Harbor 63 00:02:59,320 --> 00:03:03,320 Speaker 1: Asset Management for more from hither Duplessy Allen Drive Listen 64 00:03:03,440 --> 00:03:06,640 Speaker 1: live to News Talk SETB from four pm weekdays, or 65 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:08,760 Speaker 1: follow the podcast on iHeartRadio