1 00:00:01,760 --> 00:00:08,360 Speaker 1: The issues, the interviews and the inside. Ryan Bridge you 2 00:00:08,640 --> 00:00:12,000 Speaker 1: for twenty twenty four on the early edition with Smith City, 3 00:00:12,080 --> 00:00:15,200 Speaker 1: New Zealand's furniture beds and a play at store news Dogs. 4 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:16,320 Speaker 1: It'd be good morning. 5 00:00:16,320 --> 00:00:18,920 Speaker 2: It is six half to five. Welcome to your Thursday morning. 6 00:00:18,920 --> 00:00:20,760 Speaker 2: Great to have your company coming up on the program. 7 00:00:20,840 --> 00:00:24,919 Speaker 2: Before six. We've got a celebrating Republican. We've got a 8 00:00:25,079 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 2: polster on how this happened and who voted for who. 9 00:00:28,080 --> 00:00:31,280 Speaker 2: Mitch McCann is in Michigan for US today. Brad Olsen 10 00:00:31,320 --> 00:00:34,360 Speaker 2: on the market's crypto has gone crazy. The US dollars 11 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:37,720 Speaker 2: shot up. Ours has come down in the stock exchange open. 12 00:00:37,760 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 2: Obviously there'll be reaction from them. That's coming up shortly. Also, 13 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:43,880 Speaker 2: we are hoping for Sir John Key for reaction in 14 00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:46,880 Speaker 2: the next couple of minutes. And the NCA exam that's 15 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:50,080 Speaker 2: way too hard for students. 16 00:00:50,120 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 1: The agenda. 17 00:00:51,159 --> 00:00:55,000 Speaker 2: It is Thursday, the seventh of November. Trump is back, Baby. 18 00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:58,680 Speaker 3: I'm asking every citizen all across our land to join 19 00:00:58,760 --> 00:01:01,800 Speaker 3: me in this noble and righteous endeavor. That's what it is. 20 00:01:02,640 --> 00:01:05,920 Speaker 3: It's time to put the divisions of the past four 21 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:09,319 Speaker 3: years behind us. It's time to unite. 22 00:01:09,600 --> 00:01:11,920 Speaker 2: Still, no one has heard from Kamala Harris, although they 23 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:13,080 Speaker 2: are expecting they might. 24 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:16,760 Speaker 1: We have not heard from the Vice president's campaign team yet. 25 00:01:16,800 --> 00:01:17,520 Speaker 4: This morning, we have. 26 00:01:17,560 --> 00:01:19,920 Speaker 2: Not heard from the Vice President's official. 27 00:01:19,800 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 5: Office team yet. 28 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 2: It's a big day for David Seymour today his Treaty Bill. 29 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:27,160 Speaker 2: The exact wording of the bill will be revealed. A 30 00:01:27,240 --> 00:01:29,800 Speaker 2: draft was released in September, you'll remember that, but it 31 00:01:29,880 --> 00:01:32,759 Speaker 2: has been changed since then. It means two things. One 32 00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:35,640 Speaker 2: lux and will be here when it drops, because he's 33 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:37,319 Speaker 2: going to be in Peru next week for APEX. But 34 00:01:37,480 --> 00:01:40,680 Speaker 2: crucially they've stolen some thunder from the protest that our 35 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:43,240 Speaker 2: planned for next week, which will still happen, but now 36 00:01:43,280 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 2: obviously not on the day the bill drops. To the 37 00:01:46,120 --> 00:01:49,000 Speaker 2: Middle East. BENJAMINETTNYA who has fired as Defense Minister and 38 00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:50,360 Speaker 2: a member of his war cabinet. 39 00:01:50,600 --> 00:01:53,640 Speaker 5: Over the past few months, trust has cracked between me 40 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 5: and the Minister of Defense. Significant gaps were discovered between 41 00:01:58,040 --> 00:02:01,040 Speaker 5: me and Gallant and the management of the military campaign. 42 00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:04,320 Speaker 2: Our unemployment rates risen to four point eight percent, up 43 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:06,160 Speaker 2: from four point six in the last quarter. It's the 44 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:09,040 Speaker 2: highest since December twenty twenty, but not as bad as predicted. 45 00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:12,640 Speaker 2: And remember the Reserve Bank forecast five, so it could 46 00:02:12,639 --> 00:02:15,560 Speaker 2: put the big seventy five basis point rate cut off 47 00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:18,440 Speaker 2: the table later this month eight after five News Talks, AB. 48 00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:22,239 Speaker 1: News and Views You Trust to start your day is 49 00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:26,040 Speaker 1: Billy Edition with Ryan Bridge and Smith City, New Zealand's 50 00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:28,800 Speaker 1: Furniture Beds and a flying Store. News Talks dB. 51 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:32,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, a pretty resounding victory for Donald Trump. Obviously the 52 00:02:32,520 --> 00:02:35,200 Speaker 2: votes have still been counted, but the first time since 53 00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:37,440 Speaker 2: the eighteen hundreds that a president has made a non 54 00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:40,760 Speaker 2: consecutive return to the Oval office. Not just that, but 55 00:02:40,960 --> 00:02:43,639 Speaker 2: at the moment, winning the popular vote, flipping the Senate 56 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:46,880 Speaker 2: likely to keep the House, and you got the keys 57 00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:49,560 Speaker 2: to the White House. John Key is, Sir John Keyes, 58 00:02:49,600 --> 00:02:51,560 Speaker 2: the former Prime Ministries with US is in San Francisco 59 00:02:51,600 --> 00:02:53,120 Speaker 2: at the moment, Sir John, Welcome to the show. 60 00:02:54,400 --> 00:02:56,239 Speaker 6: Lordy Ron, How are you very well? 61 00:02:56,320 --> 00:02:59,200 Speaker 2: Thank you? What are you thinking about what happened last night? 62 00:03:01,240 --> 00:03:03,200 Speaker 6: Yeah? Look, I think there's a few things. I mean, versusly, 63 00:03:03,240 --> 00:03:06,680 Speaker 6: you've got to give Donald Trump some credit for what 64 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:10,359 Speaker 6: has been a very comprehensive when they's pointed out, he's 65 00:03:10,720 --> 00:03:14,600 Speaker 6: really taking control of every part of government really from 66 00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 6: Congress right through. I think secondly, I'm not as surprised. 67 00:03:20,040 --> 00:03:22,760 Speaker 6: I mean, I know, from a New Zealand perspective and 68 00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:25,560 Speaker 6: from a lot of the media perspective, they couldn't understand 69 00:03:25,600 --> 00:03:28,119 Speaker 6: it and they couldn't see it. But you know, once 70 00:03:28,160 --> 00:03:31,400 Speaker 6: you've got polls indicating that, you know, two thirds or 71 00:03:31,360 --> 00:03:33,680 Speaker 6: if not more, of the country think you're going in 72 00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 6: the wrong direction when the big issues are the issues 73 00:03:36,760 --> 00:03:40,040 Speaker 6: you're campaigning on. This in this case with Donald Trump, 74 00:03:40,400 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 6: they were the economy, you know, the border and law 75 00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:47,080 Speaker 6: and order. Then it changes very likely and then I 76 00:03:47,080 --> 00:03:48,800 Speaker 6: think the last bit of it, and it's a bit 77 00:03:48,960 --> 00:03:52,320 Speaker 6: I think everyone's really struggled to understand. And Donald Trump 78 00:03:52,320 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 6: really said that last night when he was talking, is 79 00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 6: that this is a movement. And I think a lot 80 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:00,680 Speaker 6: of us might feel uncomfortable of it. We might not 81 00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:03,080 Speaker 6: like it. There might be elements of it that we 82 00:04:03,320 --> 00:04:07,640 Speaker 6: just can't understand. But trufully, there is a movement happening 83 00:04:07,720 --> 00:04:09,320 Speaker 6: around the world. And I think you've seen it a 84 00:04:09,320 --> 00:04:12,280 Speaker 6: bit with Brexit. You've said, we've seen it with Donald 85 00:04:12,360 --> 00:04:17,360 Speaker 6: Trump and the grouping behind him, And you know, I 86 00:04:17,640 --> 00:04:21,039 Speaker 6: means say you can feel you know, all sorts of 87 00:04:21,040 --> 00:04:23,680 Speaker 6: emotions about that, but you can't deny that it's happening. 88 00:04:24,000 --> 00:04:27,680 Speaker 2: It also turns, does it not? The identity politics on 89 00:04:27,680 --> 00:04:30,640 Speaker 2: its head. But you've got a billionaire who's getting support 90 00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:33,240 Speaker 2: from the struggling middle class. You've got a Republican who's 91 00:04:33,240 --> 00:04:35,960 Speaker 2: getting union workers. You've got a white old man who's 92 00:04:35,960 --> 00:04:39,159 Speaker 2: getting an increased share of black and Latino voters. 93 00:04:40,480 --> 00:04:43,479 Speaker 6: Yeah, well that's what I mean. I think the question is, well, 94 00:04:43,480 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 6: what brings all of those groupings together? You know, what 95 00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 6: are making those people say, you know, President Trump is 96 00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 6: my president, He's the person I want to see in 97 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:56,479 Speaker 6: the White House. How they totally together because they're very 98 00:04:56,520 --> 00:04:57,479 Speaker 6: disparate groups. 99 00:04:58,000 --> 00:05:00,040 Speaker 7: It's all of that. 100 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:03,799 Speaker 6: Well, that's right, fiercely one. They are doing it really tough. 101 00:05:03,839 --> 00:05:05,920 Speaker 6: I mean, it's easy to be on the West Coast 102 00:05:06,000 --> 00:05:08,000 Speaker 6: or the East coast and that's all left fland and great. 103 00:05:08,360 --> 00:05:10,279 Speaker 6: But actually out there in the middle of America and 104 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:15,120 Speaker 6: rust belt America, those flyover states, people are striking from 105 00:05:15,160 --> 00:05:18,080 Speaker 6: paycheck to paycheck. And we can sit around talking about 106 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:21,440 Speaker 6: globalizational as things. They just say, the system ain't fair, 107 00:05:21,600 --> 00:05:24,400 Speaker 6: it's broken, and it's left me behind. And I think 108 00:05:24,480 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 6: there's something weirdly in Donald Trump's personality. He is a 109 00:05:29,960 --> 00:05:33,240 Speaker 6: bit of a brawler, a bit of a fighter. He 110 00:05:33,360 --> 00:05:36,720 Speaker 6: kind of identifies with these people. And I'm saying someone earlier, 111 00:05:37,279 --> 00:05:39,440 Speaker 6: I mean, this is a guy who gets shot in 112 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:42,760 Speaker 6: the head. You can't fake this stuff. And he gets 113 00:05:42,839 --> 00:05:45,680 Speaker 6: up in the first reactions to say fight, fight fight. 114 00:05:46,200 --> 00:05:48,240 Speaker 6: No one else in the world does that, right, I 115 00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:51,960 Speaker 6: mean nothing, there's something in there about it. And I'm 116 00:05:51,960 --> 00:05:55,240 Speaker 6: not not idolizing. I'm just saying it's real that there's 117 00:05:55,240 --> 00:05:56,120 Speaker 6: a movement and. 118 00:05:56,080 --> 00:05:58,560 Speaker 2: There's nothing sanitized about him like there often is about 119 00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:01,400 Speaker 2: other politicians. What about the tariffs? This is our big 120 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 2: worry this morning. You've got exporters, the primary industries, waking 121 00:06:05,040 --> 00:06:08,320 Speaker 2: up in New Zealand thinking, oh god, we are about 122 00:06:08,360 --> 00:06:11,240 Speaker 2: to be hit by ten twenty percent. We don't know. 123 00:06:11,560 --> 00:06:14,480 Speaker 2: Plus you've got the trade war potential with China. How 124 00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:15,800 Speaker 2: worried should we be here? 125 00:06:17,400 --> 00:06:19,680 Speaker 6: Yeah, okay, I don't think there's any doubt that Donald 126 00:06:19,680 --> 00:06:22,240 Speaker 6: Trump will deliver what he said, which is an America 127 00:06:22,320 --> 00:06:25,520 Speaker 6: First policy. On the other side of the Queen, the 128 00:06:25,560 --> 00:06:28,680 Speaker 6: positive news is we had long we have a long 129 00:06:28,720 --> 00:06:32,160 Speaker 6: seting relationship as historical allies, we're part of the Five 130 00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:36,200 Speaker 6: Eyes Agreement. We are seen as a sort of friendly country, 131 00:06:36,640 --> 00:06:39,800 Speaker 6: and I think there'll be good political relations between the 132 00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:44,200 Speaker 6: New Zealand government and the new administration. I think there 133 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:46,880 Speaker 6: will be some tariffs and me he's talking about sixty 134 00:06:46,920 --> 00:06:50,480 Speaker 6: percent potentially in China and ten to twenty percent around 135 00:06:50,480 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 6: the rest of the world. But of course there has 136 00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:55,880 Speaker 6: some quite big repercussions, not only for us, but actually 137 00:06:55,920 --> 00:06:59,280 Speaker 6: for the consumers that pay that. So I wonder whether 138 00:06:59,320 --> 00:07:02,480 Speaker 6: that might be did a little bit actually, and then 139 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:05,279 Speaker 6: the counterargment. All of it is as you can see 140 00:07:05,279 --> 00:07:08,960 Speaker 6: the stock market reaction. You know, the US economy for 141 00:07:09,040 --> 00:07:11,360 Speaker 6: at least for a period of time, is going to 142 00:07:11,360 --> 00:07:14,640 Speaker 6: be very stimulatory, and it is going to spend money, 143 00:07:14,880 --> 00:07:17,800 Speaker 6: it's going to invest, and the capital market's going to 144 00:07:17,800 --> 00:07:21,000 Speaker 6: be very vibrant. So you know, there is some downsides 145 00:07:21,040 --> 00:07:22,800 Speaker 6: for New Zealand. I'm not trying to sugar coat that. 146 00:07:23,360 --> 00:07:27,920 Speaker 6: And they do consume me because we need trade. But 147 00:07:28,400 --> 00:07:30,440 Speaker 6: I think I think it won't all be the won't 148 00:07:30,440 --> 00:07:32,480 Speaker 6: all be negative, the won't will be one way traffic. 149 00:07:32,600 --> 00:07:35,200 Speaker 2: What does Luxeon need to do right now to try 150 00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:37,720 Speaker 2: and get us in Trump's ear. Do you think that 151 00:07:37,760 --> 00:07:40,560 Speaker 2: we can use the primacy to get a special deal here, 152 00:07:40,600 --> 00:07:41,520 Speaker 2: a special exception? 153 00:07:42,760 --> 00:07:45,000 Speaker 6: Well, I think it can help. I mean, as I said, 154 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:47,360 Speaker 6: you know, we do have a very good relationship and 155 00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:50,680 Speaker 6: to a certain degree. You know, Donald Trump's been notorious 156 00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:53,160 Speaker 6: for being a deal doer. I mean, like, I think 157 00:07:53,200 --> 00:07:55,160 Speaker 6: they like New Zealand. We're a little country. A lot 158 00:07:55,160 --> 00:07:59,200 Speaker 6: of what they buy from us they need anyway. So yeah, 159 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:02,000 Speaker 6: I'm not sure we're going to be hammered like like 160 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:04,240 Speaker 6: you know, there'll be some other countries which would be 161 00:08:04,400 --> 00:08:08,120 Speaker 6: much more concerned and worried. I think the New Zealand 162 00:08:08,160 --> 00:08:10,960 Speaker 6: would be, so yeah, Look, I think the government's just 163 00:08:11,000 --> 00:08:13,000 Speaker 6: got to do with its job is ZOO, which is 164 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:16,800 Speaker 6: to form the best relationship it can with any administration. 165 00:08:16,880 --> 00:08:19,120 Speaker 6: I mean, the people of New Zealand and the government 166 00:08:19,120 --> 00:08:22,000 Speaker 6: of New Zealand doesn't elect the president of Thesied States 167 00:08:22,040 --> 00:08:25,800 Speaker 6: of America, whoever that person is, but it's their job 168 00:08:25,880 --> 00:08:28,720 Speaker 6: to have the best relationship they can and you know, 169 00:08:28,760 --> 00:08:31,200 Speaker 6: who knows. We'll see how it all plays out. 170 00:08:31,760 --> 00:08:33,400 Speaker 2: Thank you very much for your time, sir John. I'll 171 00:08:33,440 --> 00:08:35,120 Speaker 2: let you get back to your day in San Francisco. 172 00:08:35,280 --> 00:08:37,800 Speaker 2: Great to have you on the show, No worries mate, 173 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:40,120 Speaker 2: all of us, Sir John Key, former Prime Minister. It's 174 00:08:40,160 --> 00:08:43,080 Speaker 2: fourteen after five. News Talks, they've been the news. 175 00:08:42,840 --> 00:08:45,800 Speaker 1: You need this morning and the in depth analysis early 176 00:08:45,920 --> 00:08:49,720 Speaker 1: edition with Ryan Bridge and Smith City, New Zealand's furniture 177 00:08:49,760 --> 00:08:53,959 Speaker 1: beds and a playing store. News Talks, they'd be international 178 00:08:53,960 --> 00:08:57,280 Speaker 1: correspondence with ends and eye insurance, Peace of mind for 179 00:08:57,360 --> 00:08:59,040 Speaker 1: New Zealand Business. 180 00:08:59,080 --> 00:09:02,160 Speaker 2: Seventeen after five. You're on Newstalks there, b Donald Trump 181 00:09:02,240 --> 00:09:05,440 Speaker 2: has taken well, pretty much everything you could possibly want 182 00:09:05,440 --> 00:09:07,800 Speaker 2: from this election at this stage. Mitch McCann's a US 183 00:09:07,840 --> 00:09:11,040 Speaker 2: correspondents with US Live from Detroit, Michigan. Mitch, what are 184 00:09:11,080 --> 00:09:13,240 Speaker 2: people saying? What's reaction like on the ground there? 185 00:09:13,960 --> 00:09:14,920 Speaker 8: Yeah, good morning, Ryan. 186 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:15,080 Speaker 1: Well. 187 00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:17,240 Speaker 8: I spent last night in the last couple of hours 188 00:09:17,320 --> 00:09:20,120 Speaker 8: at the Democratic watch party here in Detroit, and I 189 00:09:20,120 --> 00:09:22,080 Speaker 8: can tell you he wasn't much of a party. The 190 00:09:22,240 --> 00:09:23,880 Speaker 8: music might have been playing, but there was no one 191 00:09:23,960 --> 00:09:26,520 Speaker 8: on the dance floor and people were leaving early. We 192 00:09:26,559 --> 00:09:29,000 Speaker 8: actually had to go outside to do some work because 193 00:09:29,040 --> 00:09:31,720 Speaker 8: they shut the event down and turned off the lights 194 00:09:31,760 --> 00:09:34,480 Speaker 8: because everyone was going home. Now as I've just come 195 00:09:34,520 --> 00:09:36,640 Speaker 8: on here, with you. I texted this morning a Republican 196 00:09:36,720 --> 00:09:40,400 Speaker 8: contact and named Brian Panabecker. He started a group called 197 00:09:40,480 --> 00:09:44,280 Speaker 8: Auto Workers for Trump twenty twenty four. A big Republican supporter. 198 00:09:45,040 --> 00:09:46,480 Speaker 8: He told me for a long now, in the last 199 00:09:46,480 --> 00:09:48,320 Speaker 8: couple of months that Donald Trump was going to win 200 00:09:48,400 --> 00:09:51,000 Speaker 8: easily in the state. I text him, how are you feeling, Brian, 201 00:09:51,400 --> 00:09:53,240 Speaker 8: and he just replied, as you came on the air 202 00:09:53,280 --> 00:09:56,680 Speaker 8: and said like a million bucks with five exclamation points. 203 00:09:56,679 --> 00:09:58,400 Speaker 8: So there's a lot of happy Republicans here. 204 00:09:58,679 --> 00:10:01,600 Speaker 2: Are we going to hear from Carmela Harris? We are. 205 00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:04,160 Speaker 8: We're going to hear from her. It's reported around four 206 00:10:04,200 --> 00:10:07,600 Speaker 8: pm Eastern time, which find my estimations is around midday 207 00:10:08,000 --> 00:10:10,040 Speaker 8: in New Zealand. She's going to address a crowd, I 208 00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:13,319 Speaker 8: believe at Howard University where she had hoped to give 209 00:10:13,320 --> 00:10:15,400 Speaker 8: a victory speech last night. So we're going to hear 210 00:10:15,440 --> 00:10:18,840 Speaker 8: from her at midday. We haven't heard from Joe Biden yet. 211 00:10:18,920 --> 00:10:20,840 Speaker 8: He's yet to put out an official statement. We have 212 00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:24,600 Speaker 8: heard from George W. Bush, the forty third president, this morning, 213 00:10:24,600 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 8: who congratulated Donald Trump, but nothing from Harris and Biden 214 00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:28,480 Speaker 8: just yet. 215 00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:31,600 Speaker 2: All right, We'll stand by midday. We're expecting Karmala Harris 216 00:10:31,640 --> 00:10:34,680 Speaker 2: to talk. That's Mitch mccannon, Detroit, Michigan, eighteen after five. 217 00:10:36,160 --> 00:10:38,480 Speaker 2: And on the other side of the world, this is interesting. 218 00:10:38,559 --> 00:10:42,960 Speaker 2: German carmakers. Their share prices have been slashed overnight and 219 00:10:43,000 --> 00:10:46,040 Speaker 2: this is a direct result of the tariffs that Trump 220 00:10:46,120 --> 00:10:49,560 Speaker 2: is going to impose to try and save places like Michigan. 221 00:10:49,800 --> 00:10:54,120 Speaker 2: You've had BMW shares down seven percent, Mercedes Benz six percent, 222 00:10:54,240 --> 00:10:58,160 Speaker 2: Volkswagen and Porsche five percent. This because they are worried 223 00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:00,880 Speaker 2: about the tariffs that Trump will impose try and revive 224 00:11:01,080 --> 00:11:05,520 Speaker 2: his own manufacturing industries, and that is the biggest market 225 00:11:05,720 --> 00:11:10,080 Speaker 2: for those German auto makers. Those German car makers, America 226 00:11:10,280 --> 00:11:14,000 Speaker 2: is their biggest export market, so it will hurt. That's 227 00:11:14,000 --> 00:11:16,680 Speaker 2: why the share price has been affected. Nineteen after five. 228 00:11:16,760 --> 00:11:18,280 Speaker 2: More markets from Brad Olson. 229 00:11:18,360 --> 00:11:21,880 Speaker 1: Next, the first Word on the News of the Day 230 00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:25,840 Speaker 1: Early edition with Ryan Bridge and Smith City, New Zealand's 231 00:11:25,840 --> 00:11:27,520 Speaker 1: Furniture Beds and a play store. 232 00:11:27,720 --> 00:11:30,360 Speaker 2: News Talk say, welcome to your Thursday morning. It's a 233 00:11:30,360 --> 00:11:32,600 Speaker 2: brave new world. Sir John Key has just told this 234 00:11:32,679 --> 00:11:37,040 Speaker 2: program that Trump's tarifs will hurt our primary producers. We've 235 00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:39,840 Speaker 2: got coming up after the news at five point thirty 236 00:11:39,880 --> 00:11:43,000 Speaker 2: Seawan Trender, who's a leading polster in the United States. 237 00:11:43,080 --> 00:11:46,440 Speaker 2: Right now, markets are reacting strongly. The Dow has surged, 238 00:11:46,480 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 2: Bitcoin going nuts, the US dollar is stronger. Brad Olson's 239 00:11:49,840 --> 00:11:53,040 Speaker 2: with us, Brad, how strong are these movements? 240 00:11:53,400 --> 00:11:55,719 Speaker 9: They are fairly considerable. I mean, if you look at 241 00:11:55,720 --> 00:11:58,600 Speaker 9: some of the stock market reactions that we've seen this 242 00:11:58,760 --> 00:12:01,400 Speaker 9: morning in the US, I think if they kept it 243 00:12:01,480 --> 00:12:03,920 Speaker 9: up and be on the Dow, for example, I think 244 00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:08,199 Speaker 9: the fifth biggest points movement in history. But to be fair, 245 00:12:08,640 --> 00:12:11,000 Speaker 9: they're not the biggest percentage shift, So I think really 246 00:12:11,000 --> 00:12:13,800 Speaker 9: what you're seeing is that, yes, there's definitely a strong 247 00:12:13,920 --> 00:12:17,280 Speaker 9: market reaction. There's probably still going to be some volatility 248 00:12:17,400 --> 00:12:20,079 Speaker 9: in the market as everyone tries to pick not only 249 00:12:20,120 --> 00:12:22,560 Speaker 9: today but over the next couple of weeks and up 250 00:12:22,640 --> 00:12:26,240 Speaker 9: until the twentieth of January when President elect Trump is 251 00:12:26,280 --> 00:12:29,600 Speaker 9: sworn in, what exactly is going to happen first, Because 252 00:12:29,960 --> 00:12:32,960 Speaker 9: this is I think a big challenge for everyone looking 253 00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:36,480 Speaker 9: at the economic ramifications of the change and president is 254 00:12:36,640 --> 00:12:39,720 Speaker 9: what of the many economic policies is he going to 255 00:12:39,720 --> 00:12:42,920 Speaker 9: pursue first? Is it going to be tax changes? Is 256 00:12:42,920 --> 00:12:45,240 Speaker 9: it going to be tariffs, Is it going to be deregulation, 257 00:12:45,640 --> 00:12:46,199 Speaker 9: Is it going to. 258 00:12:46,120 --> 00:12:47,360 Speaker 2: Be them all at once? 259 00:12:47,679 --> 00:12:49,400 Speaker 9: Because there are quite a lot of options on the 260 00:12:49,440 --> 00:12:52,960 Speaker 9: table where they do have very different impacts on quite 261 00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:54,320 Speaker 9: different parts of the economy. 262 00:12:54,520 --> 00:12:57,040 Speaker 2: If you're an investor right now in New Zealand looking 263 00:12:57,080 --> 00:12:59,600 Speaker 2: at the stock market, should you be paying too much 264 00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:01,839 Speaker 2: attention or is this going to fluctuate for the next 265 00:13:01,920 --> 00:13:04,640 Speaker 2: couple of months until we get certainty on those things. 266 00:13:05,320 --> 00:13:07,520 Speaker 9: I mean, I think it will fluctuate quite a bit 267 00:13:08,080 --> 00:13:11,160 Speaker 9: because of how all of these different trends are playing out, 268 00:13:11,320 --> 00:13:13,920 Speaker 9: and I expect Look, if you're a professional investor and 269 00:13:13,920 --> 00:13:15,679 Speaker 9: that's your job, then yeah, you'll be paying a lot 270 00:13:15,679 --> 00:13:17,800 Speaker 9: of attention to it. If you're an average key we 271 00:13:17,880 --> 00:13:19,840 Speaker 9: worried about your Kiwi saber, I don't know if i'd 272 00:13:19,880 --> 00:13:21,959 Speaker 9: be immediately reacting right this second. 273 00:13:22,280 --> 00:13:23,079 Speaker 2: In fact, i'd. 274 00:13:22,880 --> 00:13:26,000 Speaker 9: Probably again just be there's quite a few movements coming 275 00:13:26,040 --> 00:13:28,960 Speaker 9: through and if you've already taken the idea that you're 276 00:13:29,000 --> 00:13:31,880 Speaker 9: happy enough with a bit more risk in your investments, 277 00:13:32,280 --> 00:13:34,800 Speaker 9: then it's probably worthwhile sort of sticking around to that 278 00:13:34,880 --> 00:13:38,240 Speaker 9: and not making any rash decisions. What's also I think 279 00:13:38,320 --> 00:13:41,440 Speaker 9: been interesting in some of the trading this morning has 280 00:13:41,480 --> 00:13:44,400 Speaker 9: been just how different some of those different parts of 281 00:13:44,400 --> 00:13:47,120 Speaker 9: the economy have gone. So you've seen a number of 282 00:13:47,160 --> 00:13:50,319 Speaker 9: bank stocks and similar that have increased on the view 283 00:13:50,360 --> 00:13:53,440 Speaker 9: that there will be a bit more deregulation in the US. 284 00:13:53,640 --> 00:13:55,560 Speaker 9: A number of tech stocks as well that have seen 285 00:13:55,640 --> 00:13:58,640 Speaker 9: similar trends, but a number of ev makers as well 286 00:13:58,640 --> 00:14:01,840 Speaker 9: that have come back except for Tesla. So again, lots 287 00:14:01,880 --> 00:14:05,160 Speaker 9: of moving parts, lots of different elements, big questions as 288 00:14:05,160 --> 00:14:05,920 Speaker 9: well for the dollars. 289 00:14:06,000 --> 00:14:08,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, interesting you mentioned Tesla. I'll get to Elon Musk 290 00:14:08,760 --> 00:14:11,240 Speaker 2: in a few moments and just how much money he 291 00:14:11,280 --> 00:14:16,400 Speaker 2: made overnight. Brad Olson Informatric's chief executive and principal economists 292 00:14:16,400 --> 00:14:18,559 Speaker 2: with US twenty four minutes after five. If you're just 293 00:14:18,679 --> 00:14:21,800 Speaker 2: joining us, Donald Trump has won the White House. It's 294 00:14:21,840 --> 00:14:24,840 Speaker 2: not official yet, but most major networks in the United 295 00:14:24,840 --> 00:14:28,000 Speaker 2: States have called it. He's also flipped the Senate at 296 00:14:28,040 --> 00:14:31,200 Speaker 2: this stage retained control of the House. This is the 297 00:14:31,240 --> 00:14:37,240 Speaker 2: Republicans and is winning the popular vote. Everything has changed. 298 00:14:37,640 --> 00:14:41,960 Speaker 1: The early edition full show podcast on iHeartRadio powered by 299 00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:42,800 Speaker 1: News Talks at ME. 300 00:14:43,560 --> 00:14:45,840 Speaker 2: Twenty six after five year on news Talk said b 301 00:14:46,400 --> 00:14:49,840 Speaker 2: in the space of twelve hours, the whole world has changed. 302 00:14:50,520 --> 00:14:53,880 Speaker 2: Not only is Trump back, baby, but he's more powerful 303 00:14:53,880 --> 00:14:56,440 Speaker 2: than ever. Republicans have flipped the Senate and they're on 304 00:14:56,560 --> 00:14:59,440 Speaker 2: track to retain the House of Representatives. That gives them 305 00:14:59,520 --> 00:15:02,200 Speaker 2: a normal miss power to set budgets, start or stop 306 00:15:02,240 --> 00:15:05,520 Speaker 2: funding wars, and post tariffs on anyone they like. Basically 307 00:15:05,920 --> 00:15:11,120 Speaker 2: and KeyWe farmers and primary producers are exporters, the backbone 308 00:15:11,160 --> 00:15:14,000 Speaker 2: of this trading nation. Will be waking up this morning 309 00:15:14,040 --> 00:15:16,840 Speaker 2: with a pit in their stomach. America is our second 310 00:15:16,960 --> 00:15:21,080 Speaker 2: largest export market, overtook the Aussies last year. Tariffs on 311 00:15:21,160 --> 00:15:24,920 Speaker 2: our meat and dairy could be a brutal blow. Plus, 312 00:15:24,920 --> 00:15:27,600 Speaker 2: our number one trading partner in China is about to 313 00:15:27,640 --> 00:15:31,400 Speaker 2: be whacked even harder by Washington. Trump's Washington. A trade 314 00:15:31,400 --> 00:15:35,040 Speaker 2: war could wipe they reckon almost one percent of global 315 00:15:35,080 --> 00:15:37,680 Speaker 2: growth in the next year, and global growth is tipped 316 00:15:37,680 --> 00:15:40,080 Speaker 2: to be just three point five percent. That is massive 317 00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:42,320 Speaker 2: and it will send shot waves around the world and 318 00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:45,320 Speaker 2: we will feel it here. Add to that, Trump potentially 319 00:15:45,320 --> 00:15:48,240 Speaker 2: pulling support for Ukraine's war and as bullish comments on 320 00:15:48,280 --> 00:15:51,040 Speaker 2: the Middle East, and you've got yourself a highly unpredictable 321 00:15:51,080 --> 00:15:53,880 Speaker 2: and to use a couple of overused terms, unprecedented and 322 00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:58,680 Speaker 2: consequential set of variables. For all the handwringing pre election 323 00:15:58,840 --> 00:16:02,920 Speaker 2: that Trump was an existing threat to democracy, that very 324 00:16:03,080 --> 00:16:07,520 Speaker 2: system has elected him the forty seventh president of the 325 00:16:07,640 --> 00:16:11,960 Speaker 2: United States, serving his last term with more power than 326 00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:17,160 Speaker 2: he's ever had. This is Trump unleashed. Buckle up, brace yourselves. 327 00:16:17,240 --> 00:16:20,160 Speaker 2: Everything we knew yesterday about the global economy and global 328 00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:24,920 Speaker 2: conflicts is about to change, Bryan Bridge, twenty eight minutes 329 00:16:24,960 --> 00:16:26,880 Speaker 2: after five, you're on news talk s HEREB. We're going 330 00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:29,720 Speaker 2: to speak to a polster, one of America's leading polsters, 331 00:16:29,720 --> 00:16:32,480 Speaker 2: coming up inside the next half an hour. Also, we 332 00:16:32,520 --> 00:16:36,240 Speaker 2: are expecting to hear from Karmela Harris at midday to day, 333 00:16:36,400 --> 00:16:38,320 Speaker 2: so I'm sure you'll hear that on news Talk HEREB 334 00:16:38,480 --> 00:16:42,320 Speaker 2: later on. Lots more to come, including way an NCEA test, 335 00:16:42,520 --> 00:16:46,360 Speaker 2: an exam is too difficult for some students to pass. 336 00:16:47,040 --> 00:16:48,040 Speaker 2: Twenty nine after five. 337 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:05,200 Speaker 10: When you're not you win me. 338 00:17:08,480 --> 00:17:26,600 Speaker 11: I'm falling apart in full candle your faday morning. You're 339 00:17:26,880 --> 00:17:29,560 Speaker 11: breaking my Herbay. 340 00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:39,840 Speaker 1: Dolesson, get ahead of the headlines, Ryan Bridge, You for 341 00:17:39,960 --> 00:17:43,520 Speaker 1: twenty twenty four on early edition with Smith City, New 342 00:17:43,640 --> 00:17:46,800 Speaker 1: Zealand's furniture Bids and applying store news talk sid be. 343 00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:57,440 Speaker 2: Good Morning New Zealand twenty four away from six Thursday 344 00:17:57,440 --> 00:17:59,639 Speaker 2: to seventh and November. Great to have your company. If 345 00:17:59,680 --> 00:18:02,600 Speaker 2: you thought trying to work out the electoral college system 346 00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:06,440 Speaker 2: last night was difficult, wait till you see the NCA exams. 347 00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:09,000 Speaker 2: There's a good story in the Herald this morning. Apparently 348 00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:12,480 Speaker 2: it's so hard students are crying in the exam and 349 00:18:12,520 --> 00:18:14,840 Speaker 2: you've got to feel sorry for them. So this is 350 00:18:14,840 --> 00:18:18,640 Speaker 2: what it says. The questions, particularly this is level two 351 00:18:18,640 --> 00:18:22,920 Speaker 2: maths in biology. The questions were poorly written, confusing and 352 00:18:22,960 --> 00:18:25,919 Speaker 2: not even connected to the part of the curriculum the 353 00:18:25,920 --> 00:18:28,760 Speaker 2: students were taught. And at this point you go, are 354 00:18:28,760 --> 00:18:32,680 Speaker 2: this can the students not read or can the teachers 355 00:18:32,720 --> 00:18:38,160 Speaker 2: not rite? I don't know what's worse, frankly, one probably 356 00:18:38,600 --> 00:18:41,280 Speaker 2: the cause and effect of the other. Anyway, So what 357 00:18:41,320 --> 00:18:44,320 Speaker 2: we're hearing now is that the New Zealand Qualifications Authority 358 00:18:44,440 --> 00:18:47,119 Speaker 2: is going to review this exam because it was so 359 00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:50,560 Speaker 2: distressing for students. And to be fair, you know these 360 00:18:50,560 --> 00:18:53,080 Speaker 2: students would have studied hard, I'm sure, and it was 361 00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:57,240 Speaker 2: the excellence questions, the ones, the very difficult questions that 362 00:18:57,359 --> 00:18:59,240 Speaker 2: were causing all of the problems. So anyway, they're going 363 00:18:59,280 --> 00:19:01,680 Speaker 2: to go away and have a look at that. Also overnight, 364 00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:06,200 Speaker 2: Elon Musk has this is Trump's biggest billionaire buddy, his supporter, 365 00:19:06,320 --> 00:19:08,680 Speaker 2: the one that was giving away a million dollars a day. Well, 366 00:19:08,680 --> 00:19:11,639 Speaker 2: what a return on an investment he's got just in 367 00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:15,800 Speaker 2: the last twelve hours. He is while we slept thirteen 368 00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:20,000 Speaker 2: billion dollars richer because Tesla's year's jumped thirteen percent. That 369 00:19:20,040 --> 00:19:24,159 Speaker 2: thirteen billion represents his stake in the company. It's twenty 370 00:19:24,160 --> 00:19:27,199 Speaker 2: two away from six, Ryan Rich, We are going to 371 00:19:27,280 --> 00:19:30,399 Speaker 2: go to Marco Rubio's former chief of staff just before 372 00:19:30,480 --> 00:19:33,159 Speaker 2: six as well. What are they going to do? The 373 00:19:33,200 --> 00:19:36,919 Speaker 2: Republicans with all this new power right now? Though the 374 00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:40,040 Speaker 2: polls had a very tight race, we all know that. 375 00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:44,400 Speaker 2: So what exactly got Donald Trump and the Republicans over 376 00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:48,719 Speaker 2: the line? Sean Trendy is one of America's best known posters. 377 00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:52,120 Speaker 2: He's with Real Clear Politics. He's a senior election analyst 378 00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:54,720 Speaker 2: there and he's with me this morning. Seawan, Welcome to 379 00:19:54,720 --> 00:19:58,560 Speaker 2: the program. Where does this victory for Trump rank in 380 00:19:58,680 --> 00:19:59,160 Speaker 2: terms of. 381 00:19:59,160 --> 00:20:03,080 Speaker 7: History, it's almost unprecedented. We have one example in the 382 00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:06,440 Speaker 7: US of presidents winning non consecutive terms, so it was 383 00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:10,040 Speaker 7: Grover Cleveland. I'm sure you've heard of him back in 384 00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:11,480 Speaker 7: the late eighteen hundreds. 385 00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:15,119 Speaker 2: Other than that, presidents. 386 00:20:14,640 --> 00:20:17,840 Speaker 7: That lose or even canvas lose typically don't come back 387 00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:18,919 Speaker 7: and win another term. 388 00:20:19,240 --> 00:20:22,280 Speaker 2: The Republicans have also flipped the Senate. What's happening with 389 00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:23,040 Speaker 2: the House race? 390 00:20:24,680 --> 00:20:27,600 Speaker 7: The House is very close, it's surprisingly close, actually, and 391 00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:30,960 Speaker 7: it looks like Republicans will likely lose a couple seats there. 392 00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:34,320 Speaker 7: Even if they do manage to control the Chamber, that's 393 00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:37,520 Speaker 7: going to be a very, very big problem for them. 394 00:20:37,560 --> 00:20:40,199 Speaker 7: They had a tough time keeping the Chamber together with 395 00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:43,800 Speaker 7: the narrow majority they already have. Narrowing it even further 396 00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:45,840 Speaker 7: is going to be a nightmare to navigate. 397 00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:50,760 Speaker 2: What does that mean for the trifecta power of a 398 00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:55,560 Speaker 2: Republican white House Senate and albeit a weakened majority, but 399 00:20:55,600 --> 00:20:57,639 Speaker 2: a majority nonetheless in the House. 400 00:20:59,320 --> 00:21:01,840 Speaker 7: Well, the likely we have the trifecta, which means they 401 00:21:01,840 --> 00:21:04,199 Speaker 7: have at least nominal control. But remember here in the 402 00:21:04,320 --> 00:21:06,880 Speaker 7: US we have something in the Senate called the filibuster, 403 00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:10,520 Speaker 7: which means effectively, you need sixty votes in order to 404 00:21:10,600 --> 00:21:15,800 Speaker 7: keep to get anything done. That's going to almost certainly 405 00:21:15,840 --> 00:21:22,160 Speaker 7: put a question mark on anything Donald Trump wants to accomplish, 406 00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:23,560 Speaker 7: at least substantively. 407 00:21:23,600 --> 00:21:26,840 Speaker 2: In the States. What do we know about why people 408 00:21:27,040 --> 00:21:31,880 Speaker 2: voted for Donald Trump? The economy, cost of living, that's. 409 00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:33,760 Speaker 7: A big factor. I mean, different people will tell you 410 00:21:33,800 --> 00:21:36,800 Speaker 7: different things, and we're still digesting the returns. One of 411 00:21:36,840 --> 00:21:39,240 Speaker 7: the most interesting thing though, is that Trump won one 412 00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:43,080 Speaker 7: in four black men. Black voters have been a backbone 413 00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:46,760 Speaker 7: of the Democratic coalition since the nineteen thirties. So to 414 00:21:46,760 --> 00:21:50,639 Speaker 7: see Trump make those advances just that something's really amiss 415 00:21:50,640 --> 00:21:52,520 Speaker 7: in the Democratic coalition. 416 00:21:53,800 --> 00:21:55,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, and that is going to be quite a hurdle 417 00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:58,160 Speaker 2: for them to try and overcome, isn't it, Because they 418 00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:00,760 Speaker 2: haven't quite managed to get back those middle class white 419 00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:03,080 Speaker 2: voters in the Ross belt for example. 420 00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:07,840 Speaker 7: Either that's right, there's some real pressure points on the 421 00:22:07,840 --> 00:22:12,280 Speaker 7: Democratic coalition right now. And to have this result come 422 00:22:12,320 --> 00:22:15,679 Speaker 7: about with the candidate who has, you know, the plane 423 00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:19,600 Speaker 7: miss steps that Donald Trump has really really calls into question. 424 00:22:19,720 --> 00:22:23,320 Speaker 7: What could happen if the Republican Party were to nominate 425 00:22:23,359 --> 00:22:26,800 Speaker 7: someone with a similar platform but who didn't make some 426 00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:30,040 Speaker 7: of the same mistakes that Donald Trump consistently makes. 427 00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:34,400 Speaker 2: When it comes to Ukraine, Donald Trump has obviously been 428 00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:38,120 Speaker 2: talking about ending that war by Christmas. Do you think 429 00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:39,600 Speaker 2: that means he might pull support. 430 00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:45,240 Speaker 7: I think he'll certainly threaten it. And yeah, I think 431 00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:51,440 Speaker 7: his supporters have a real, real problem with the continued 432 00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:54,040 Speaker 7: money that's been flowing to Ukraine. I think there's gonna 433 00:22:54,040 --> 00:22:55,920 Speaker 7: be a lot of pressure on him to pull support, 434 00:22:56,280 --> 00:22:59,200 Speaker 7: and I'm going to be really surprised if he doesn't 435 00:22:59,200 --> 00:22:59,479 Speaker 7: do it. 436 00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:02,399 Speaker 2: What does it say about the state of the United 437 00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:05,520 Speaker 2: States when they elect a president who is a convicted felon, 438 00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:09,120 Speaker 2: who has threatened to go after the media, go after 439 00:23:09,200 --> 00:23:12,960 Speaker 2: quote left wing lunatics, and here he is now was 440 00:23:13,000 --> 00:23:15,360 Speaker 2: forty fifth now a forty seventh president. 441 00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:17,880 Speaker 12: Well, I do. 442 00:23:17,920 --> 00:23:21,000 Speaker 7: Think that a lot of the things that resonate with 443 00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:23,879 Speaker 7: some voters don't resonate with others. I think that the 444 00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:27,560 Speaker 7: I do think that the felony convictions were seen as 445 00:23:27,600 --> 00:23:30,720 Speaker 7: politically motivated, given that they did occur in our most 446 00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:35,520 Speaker 7: heavily democratic city. But you know, at the end of 447 00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:37,840 Speaker 7: the day, if you can give people, or at least 448 00:23:37,840 --> 00:23:42,000 Speaker 7: promise people, you know a good standard of living, they'll 449 00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:44,320 Speaker 7: put up with a lot of other things that might 450 00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:46,879 Speaker 7: strike a lot of other people. Is pretty horrifying. 451 00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:49,560 Speaker 2: Sean, thank you very much for your time. Really appreciate 452 00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:52,919 Speaker 2: your analysis. That Sean Trend the Real Clear Politics Senior 453 00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:54,959 Speaker 2: election Analyst. Thank you. 454 00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:56,639 Speaker 1: Bryan Bridge. 455 00:23:57,480 --> 00:23:59,960 Speaker 2: That's gone eighteen away from six year on News Talk CB. 456 00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:02,359 Speaker 2: Going to speak to Marco Rubio's former chief of staff 457 00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:04,280 Speaker 2: in just a few moments. Find out what they're going 458 00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:07,919 Speaker 2: to do with all that power. Also, you might have 459 00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:12,040 Speaker 2: noticed the leaders were well. The congratulations of Donald Trump 460 00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:13,920 Speaker 2: came in thick and fast yesterday and I was watching 461 00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:16,159 Speaker 2: trying to see who got in there first, because everyone 462 00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:18,520 Speaker 2: wants to cozy up and avoid a terror from this guy, right. 463 00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:21,399 Speaker 2: So Trudeau was in there pretty quickly and said that 464 00:24:21,520 --> 00:24:24,720 Speaker 2: the world is so envious of our relationship. Elbow got 465 00:24:24,760 --> 00:24:27,960 Speaker 2: in there before our Luxeon and Peters kirs Stamer also 466 00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:30,120 Speaker 2: giving his congratulations. 467 00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:33,240 Speaker 10: And I begin by congratulating present Elect Trump on his 468 00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:38,080 Speaker 10: historic election victory. As the closest of allies, the UK 469 00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:41,680 Speaker 10: and US will continue to work together to protect our 470 00:24:41,840 --> 00:24:44,640 Speaker 10: shadvalus of freedom and democracy. 471 00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:49,000 Speaker 2: I'm happy it's seventeen away from six year on News 472 00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:49,680 Speaker 2: Talk sib. 473 00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:54,520 Speaker 1: Ryan Bridge new for twenty twenty four on early edition 474 00:24:54,760 --> 00:24:58,119 Speaker 1: with Smith City, New Zealand's furniture beds at a playing store. 475 00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:01,359 Speaker 2: News Talk Sidbye to six If you're just joining us, 476 00:25:01,400 --> 00:25:04,119 Speaker 2: welcome to the show. Over in the UK, the Guardian, 477 00:25:04,160 --> 00:25:07,000 Speaker 2: because the fake news media obviously came in for a 478 00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:09,840 Speaker 2: bit of a hammering on this campaign, So the Guardian 479 00:25:09,920 --> 00:25:13,760 Speaker 2: newspaper has already done an editorial saying we will stand 480 00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:18,000 Speaker 2: strong in the face of a Trump presidency. Also in 481 00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:21,880 Speaker 2: this editorial they've asked for donations to do so. Good 482 00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:27,280 Speaker 2: luck guys and Bridge rich right. It was a resounding victory. 483 00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:30,280 Speaker 2: Obviously still water to go under the bridge, but most 484 00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:33,920 Speaker 2: US networks now calling this for Donald Trump. And it's 485 00:25:33,960 --> 00:25:36,080 Speaker 2: not just the White House, it's flipping the Senate. It's 486 00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:39,879 Speaker 2: likely keeping the House as well. And the popular vote 487 00:25:39,880 --> 00:25:42,959 Speaker 2: and almighty comeback the first time since the eighteen hundreds 488 00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:46,040 Speaker 2: of presidents made a non consecutive return to the Oval office. 489 00:25:46,080 --> 00:25:49,399 Speaker 2: And Matt Terrell is Marco Rubio's former chief of staff 490 00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:52,520 Speaker 2: and managing partner at Firehouse Strategies. He's with us Live 491 00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:54,240 Speaker 2: this morning. Matt welcome to the show. 492 00:25:56,160 --> 00:25:56,600 Speaker 12: To be with you. 493 00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:58,960 Speaker 2: Thanks for having me, Thank you for being here. How 494 00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:02,080 Speaker 2: are you feeling. Did you expect it? Did you expect 495 00:26:02,280 --> 00:26:04,240 Speaker 2: so much from the selection? 496 00:26:06,240 --> 00:26:09,440 Speaker 12: Well? Certainly, I, like many people, saw some of the 497 00:26:09,480 --> 00:26:12,200 Speaker 12: trend lines go in his direction, for President Trump's direction, 498 00:26:12,280 --> 00:26:15,840 Speaker 12: whether it was the pulling the Betty markets, and furthermore, 499 00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:19,760 Speaker 12: you're seeing him pulling better on the key issues that 500 00:26:19,840 --> 00:26:23,240 Speaker 12: voters cared about, namely the economy, inflation, and border security. 501 00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:25,840 Speaker 12: He was pulling better than Vice President Harris and of 502 00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:29,360 Speaker 12: those issues. This election was about those issues by and large, 503 00:26:29,800 --> 00:26:31,560 Speaker 12: and it's the reason why he won this race. 504 00:26:33,320 --> 00:26:35,560 Speaker 2: What about What is he going to do with this power? 505 00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:38,000 Speaker 2: What does the Republican Party do with this power? 506 00:26:40,160 --> 00:26:42,960 Speaker 12: Well, I think he's been very clear throughout the campaign 507 00:26:43,000 --> 00:26:46,199 Speaker 12: what he intends to do, and I think, you know, 508 00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:49,600 Speaker 12: with control of the Senate and likely control maintaining the 509 00:26:49,600 --> 00:26:52,119 Speaker 12: House representatives, he have an ability to go in and 510 00:26:52,200 --> 00:26:55,159 Speaker 12: have a mandate, a political mandate to go in and 511 00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:58,400 Speaker 12: implement the policies he campaigned on. Whether that's on taxes 512 00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:01,320 Speaker 12: and tax reform, you know, whether that's on other key 513 00:27:01,359 --> 00:27:04,560 Speaker 12: policies that relate to the border and border security, among 514 00:27:04,600 --> 00:27:07,800 Speaker 12: other policies that he campaigned on. But look, the reality 515 00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:09,720 Speaker 12: is it's not just control of Congress that he will 516 00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:11,600 Speaker 12: likely continue to have with the House of Representatives and 517 00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:14,439 Speaker 12: control of the Senate, but also winning the popular vote. 518 00:27:14,480 --> 00:27:16,480 Speaker 12: And you know, it's one thing to win the electoral 519 00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:19,920 Speaker 12: college when you win the popular vote. And likely here 520 00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:23,280 Speaker 12: have both chambers of Congress. For certain he's won the Senate, 521 00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:25,800 Speaker 12: but likely we'll maintain control of the House here it 522 00:27:25,800 --> 00:27:28,800 Speaker 12: appears with Republican control there. The bottom line is that's 523 00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:30,399 Speaker 12: an ndate and that's going to allow him to go 524 00:27:30,440 --> 00:27:34,000 Speaker 12: in and implement the policies that he campaigned on, and 525 00:27:34,080 --> 00:27:36,720 Speaker 12: that appears the majority of Americans behind and the fact. 526 00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:38,800 Speaker 2: That he's managed to shift some black voters, some Latino 527 00:27:38,880 --> 00:27:41,480 Speaker 2: voters just shows you that the you know, pocket book 528 00:27:41,680 --> 00:27:44,240 Speaker 2: politics rules the Royce really doesn't. It's the economy. 529 00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:48,200 Speaker 12: Yeah, this is a big win for for a president Trumble. Look, 530 00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:51,520 Speaker 12: he did better across the board with respect to how 531 00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:54,800 Speaker 12: he performed in twenty twenty. You look at young voters, 532 00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:59,120 Speaker 12: black voters, Hispanic voters, non college eduvacated voters. He did 533 00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:02,840 Speaker 12: very well for Republican nominee for president. Among those key 534 00:28:03,080 --> 00:28:05,560 Speaker 12: voting blocks, and the reality is that helped him in 535 00:28:05,600 --> 00:28:08,040 Speaker 12: the key battleground states that he needed to win in 536 00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:09,679 Speaker 12: order to win this race. I think this is a 537 00:28:09,720 --> 00:28:13,760 Speaker 12: big win for President Trump certainly, like I said, he'sn't 538 00:28:13,760 --> 00:28:16,359 Speaker 12: have a political mandate here to go in and and 539 00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:18,560 Speaker 12: then both the policies that he campaigned on. But this 540 00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:23,280 Speaker 12: was a very big victory. And it was frankly big 541 00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:26,560 Speaker 12: to see just how well he did in comparison to 542 00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:29,119 Speaker 12: how he performed just four years ago, and where Vice 543 00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:32,760 Speaker 12: President here's underperformed with respect made these key voting blocks 544 00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:36,000 Speaker 12: and in comparison to a President Biden performed in twenty. 545 00:28:35,720 --> 00:28:38,560 Speaker 2: Twenty speaking all what happens to who? 546 00:28:38,680 --> 00:28:38,880 Speaker 7: Now? 547 00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:44,280 Speaker 12: Well, look they have between now and you know, January 548 00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:48,080 Speaker 12: to go in and continue to policies. You know, they'll 549 00:28:48,120 --> 00:28:51,560 Speaker 12: be government here until President Trump is sworn in in January. 550 00:28:51,880 --> 00:28:54,800 Speaker 12: But look, the bottom line here is the big thing 551 00:28:54,840 --> 00:28:57,080 Speaker 12: here is control of Congress as well, like I said, 552 00:28:57,480 --> 00:28:58,800 Speaker 12: And as you see that come into play here, you 553 00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:00,760 Speaker 12: know you're gonna have certainly a linked session here with 554 00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:04,280 Speaker 12: the current Congress and emotion and in place. But you 555 00:29:04,280 --> 00:29:05,960 Speaker 12: know the reality is January will be the key month 556 00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:08,320 Speaker 12: that's when you have a new Congress sworn in. Like 557 00:29:08,360 --> 00:29:11,160 Speaker 12: I said, control of the Senate is with Republicans, the Republics, 558 00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:13,200 Speaker 12: and now control of the White House. The real questions 559 00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:15,160 Speaker 12: about the House representative. But that appears to be going 560 00:29:15,640 --> 00:29:18,240 Speaker 12: in the Republican's direction right now. And then from there, 561 00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:20,960 Speaker 12: I suspect what you'll see is just my sense is 562 00:29:20,960 --> 00:29:23,000 Speaker 12: that President Trump recognizes that he has kind of a 563 00:29:23,000 --> 00:29:25,640 Speaker 12: second chance here. You know, you know, we all get 564 00:29:25,640 --> 00:29:28,000 Speaker 12: second chances in life, of course, but this is a 565 00:29:28,000 --> 00:29:31,240 Speaker 12: big second chance to be president once again. And with that, 566 00:29:31,280 --> 00:29:32,920 Speaker 12: I suspect he's not going to waste any time. And 567 00:29:32,960 --> 00:29:35,920 Speaker 12: then furthermore, the transition, you know, the presidential transition is 568 00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:38,440 Speaker 12: already underway. There are gonna be cabinet positions that he's 569 00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:40,600 Speaker 12: going to get have to get confirmed, putting in key 570 00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:43,520 Speaker 12: staff members. That's a big transition, but that's already underway 571 00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:45,760 Speaker 12: for the Trump Vans team. 572 00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:48,880 Speaker 2: Matt can gradulations for your party, and thank you very 573 00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:51,520 Speaker 2: much for your analysis this morning. I appreciate it. That's 574 00:29:51,560 --> 00:29:54,760 Speaker 2: Matt Matt Terrell. Who's Macho Rubio's form of chief of staff. 575 00:29:54,760 --> 00:29:57,680 Speaker 2: It's nine and why from six, Ryan Bridge, if you're 576 00:29:57,680 --> 00:29:59,600 Speaker 2: working up listening to this this morning, and you're a 577 00:29:59,680 --> 00:30:02,440 Speaker 2: prime producer, you're an exporter. Your big worry will be 578 00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:05,040 Speaker 2: the potential for a ten or twenty percent tariff on 579 00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:07,480 Speaker 2: all goods going into the United States. It's our second 580 00:30:07,560 --> 00:30:10,360 Speaker 2: largest export market. I spoke to Scott Brown last night, 581 00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:12,880 Speaker 2: he's the former American ambassador to New Zealand. He said, 582 00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:14,840 Speaker 2: don't worry. Not everyone is going to have to pay this, 583 00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:19,120 Speaker 2: but that is speculation. Earlier I spoke to Sir John Key, 584 00:30:19,120 --> 00:30:21,640 Speaker 2: our former Prime minister. He was with us from San Francisco, 585 00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:26,160 Speaker 2: and asked him how worried should we be about Trump's tariff. 586 00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:29,040 Speaker 6: I don't think there's any doubt that Donald Trump will 587 00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:32,080 Speaker 6: deliver what he said, which is an America First policy. 588 00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:35,320 Speaker 6: On the other side of the Queenn the positive news 589 00:30:35,400 --> 00:30:38,520 Speaker 6: is we had long we have a long setting relationship 590 00:30:38,600 --> 00:30:42,040 Speaker 6: as historical allies, we're part of the Five Eyes Agreement. 591 00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:45,600 Speaker 6: We are seen as a sort of friendly country, and 592 00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:48,880 Speaker 6: I think there'll be good political relations between the New 593 00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:53,440 Speaker 6: Zealand government and the new administration. I think there will 594 00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:57,040 Speaker 6: be some tariffs, and he's talking about sixty percent potentially 595 00:30:57,080 --> 00:30:59,680 Speaker 6: in China and tens twenty percent around the rest of 596 00:30:59,680 --> 00:31:03,440 Speaker 6: the world. But of course there has some quite big repercussions, 597 00:31:03,480 --> 00:31:05,680 Speaker 6: not only for us, but actually for the consumers that 598 00:31:05,760 --> 00:31:06,080 Speaker 6: pay that. 599 00:31:06,360 --> 00:31:09,400 Speaker 2: So that was Sir John Key speaking to us live 600 00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:11,959 Speaker 2: from San Francisco in the United States. If you want 601 00:31:12,000 --> 00:31:14,760 Speaker 2: to hear the full interview from earlier in the program, 602 00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:17,200 Speaker 2: it is up online News Talk, said B dot Co 603 00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:20,800 Speaker 2: dot m Z eight to six on. 604 00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:25,520 Speaker 1: Your radio and online on iHeartRadio early edition with Ryan 605 00:31:25,600 --> 00:31:28,680 Speaker 1: Bridge and Smith City, New Zealand's Furniture Beds and a 606 00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:29,400 Speaker 1: playing store. 607 00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:32,120 Speaker 2: News Talk zaid B. It is six away from six 608 00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:35,040 Speaker 2: News Talk, said B. Someone says, good morning Ryan and Mike, 609 00:31:35,080 --> 00:31:38,360 Speaker 2: and Mike is here. It's time to lure American medical 610 00:31:38,360 --> 00:31:41,560 Speaker 2: staff to New Zealand with a big relocation package. We 611 00:31:41,600 --> 00:31:44,120 Speaker 2: say every time this happens, Trump gets and people say 612 00:31:44,120 --> 00:31:45,960 Speaker 2: the move here. But it didn't really turn out last time. 613 00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:46,760 Speaker 2: Did it might? No, it doesn't. 614 00:31:47,320 --> 00:31:49,320 Speaker 4: There was a survey the other day that there has 615 00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:53,240 Speaker 4: never been more wealthy Americans looking to leave America, no 616 00:31:53,280 --> 00:31:56,160 Speaker 4: matter who won. So that vibe that America is not 617 00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:58,560 Speaker 4: quite what it was. But what a what a great day. 618 00:31:58,600 --> 00:32:01,880 Speaker 4: I mean as an exercise its fascinating democracy. And how 619 00:32:01,920 --> 00:32:04,520 Speaker 4: it unfolds, and how big it is and how diverse 620 00:32:04,560 --> 00:32:07,920 Speaker 4: America is, and the Trump story, the Harris Stoy I 621 00:32:07,960 --> 00:32:10,520 Speaker 4: still honestly can't answer you. I asked this yesterday. I 622 00:32:10,600 --> 00:32:13,959 Speaker 4: cannot answer you. What's the biggest story? Is it Trump 623 00:32:14,040 --> 00:32:16,880 Speaker 4: coming back? Or is it how Harris lost? 624 00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:18,560 Speaker 2: I mean, are you just coming back? 625 00:32:18,960 --> 00:32:22,440 Speaker 4: Go inside the Democratic Party and just go into that 626 00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:27,200 Speaker 4: bubble and do they have the wherewithal to analyze themselves 627 00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:29,840 Speaker 4: and to understand how they blew that well? 628 00:32:30,040 --> 00:32:31,720 Speaker 2: I mean, the thing is, you can't. I don't think 629 00:32:31,720 --> 00:32:34,640 Speaker 2: you can blame Kamala Harris. It's not her fault that 630 00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:37,840 Speaker 2: he lost his marbles and that he wouldn't go with 631 00:32:37,960 --> 00:32:38,600 Speaker 2: It's her fault. 632 00:32:38,680 --> 00:32:42,000 Speaker 4: She's vacuous, yes, And it's her fault that she didn't 633 00:32:42,040 --> 00:32:44,280 Speaker 4: have a policy. And it's her fault she didn't understand 634 00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:47,200 Speaker 4: the economy or immigration and tried to tell everyone it 635 00:32:47,240 --> 00:32:49,480 Speaker 4: was about abortion and turning the page so that you 636 00:32:49,520 --> 00:32:50,360 Speaker 4: could that's on her. 637 00:32:50,400 --> 00:32:52,000 Speaker 2: But you could argue that she didn't have much of 638 00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:53,440 Speaker 2: a runway to get that stuff together. 639 00:32:53,800 --> 00:32:56,560 Speaker 4: She didn't have that also, But equally that you go 640 00:32:56,680 --> 00:32:59,120 Speaker 4: back to the plan when you go Biden's the only 641 00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:01,840 Speaker 4: hope we've got to beat Trump. That worked, but then 642 00:33:01,880 --> 00:33:05,240 Speaker 4: they didn't think beyond that when Trump's too old and nutty, 643 00:33:05,520 --> 00:33:07,600 Speaker 4: who have we got all the women? We were pointed 644 00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:09,800 Speaker 4: because she's black and a woman, she'll be the one, 645 00:33:09,880 --> 00:33:11,240 Speaker 4: will she? They didn't think beyond that. 646 00:33:11,360 --> 00:33:14,200 Speaker 2: No, And the interesting thing about what happened yesterday is 647 00:33:14,240 --> 00:33:17,800 Speaker 2: it's just a big middle finger to identity, politics, wallet, 648 00:33:17,840 --> 00:33:19,480 Speaker 2: Trump's everything. That's the question. 649 00:33:19,760 --> 00:33:21,320 Speaker 4: Do they learn that lesson? 650 00:33:21,760 --> 00:33:22,040 Speaker 2: No? 651 00:33:22,120 --> 00:33:26,800 Speaker 4: Does Hollywood learn that lessons? Learn that lesson? Do any 652 00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:29,600 Speaker 4: of the lovies learn that lesson so that next time 653 00:33:29,600 --> 00:33:31,960 Speaker 4: they're more competitive or do they just go off? I 654 00:33:32,080 --> 00:33:33,000 Speaker 4: think they've been robbed. 655 00:33:33,120 --> 00:33:35,400 Speaker 2: Well, they didn't learn the lesson, because remember in twenty 656 00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:38,440 Speaker 2: sixteen when Hillary Clinton brought out and as did Joe 657 00:33:38,440 --> 00:33:40,960 Speaker 2: Biden last time brought out all of Hollywood twin doors, 658 00:33:41,040 --> 00:33:43,760 Speaker 2: and everyone felt sick about it. And here they are again. 659 00:33:43,960 --> 00:33:46,080 Speaker 4: Was last night exactly the same as sixteen when that 660 00:33:46,120 --> 00:33:47,920 Speaker 4: guy came out and said she's not turning up to night. 661 00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:49,959 Speaker 4: That was just like two amazing. 662 00:33:50,000 --> 00:33:53,320 Speaker 2: Anyway, all of that more brilliant. Mike is with you next, 663 00:33:54,120 --> 00:33:56,720 Speaker 2: Thanks for your time this morning. Are those interviews put people? 664 00:33:56,760 --> 00:33:58,960 Speaker 2: John key up at newstalk ZB dot co dot z 665 00:33:59,240 --> 00:34:00,160 Speaker 2: see tomorrow. 666 00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:03,960 Speaker 1: For more from earlier edition with Ryan Bridge. Listen live 667 00:34:04,080 --> 00:34:07,560 Speaker 1: to Newstalk STB from five am weekdays, or follow the 668 00:34:07,600 --> 00:34:09,080 Speaker 1: podcast on iHeartRadio