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Speaker 1: So observations on the war week two, I am as

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Speaker 1: convinced as ever I was this thing will be over

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Speaker 1: in the four ish week window they said it would be, which,

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Speaker 1: if true, means we should not have spent the week

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Speaker 1: guessing when it's going to be over, because we've already

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Speaker 1: been told if I worry about anything, it's miscalculation. The

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Speaker 1: trouble with the miscalculation is that we don't really know

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Speaker 1: if it is or not, because most of what we

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Speaker 1: hear is from the President and a Secretary of War,

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Speaker 1: both of whom a cartoonish in their persona. To say

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Speaker 1: out loud, he was surprised at the size of the

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Speaker 1: Iranian navy is shocking to say out loud, and both

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Speaker 1: have that they were surprised Arab states got attacked us

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Speaker 1: even more shocking. But then this was a bloke yesterday

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Speaker 1: traveling through Middle America telling the crowds at a rally

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Speaker 1: prices are going down. So my faint hope is, even

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Speaker 1: though he is completely detached from reality, the people in

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Speaker 1: the uniforms art, I've got no doubt Iran is fairly

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Speaker 1: flattened and their ability to do a lot going forward

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Speaker 1: that would bother the Western world is now severely limited.

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Speaker 1: But I also know oil isn't flowing, and my equal

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Speaker 1: bet as more people are worried about oil than they

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Speaker 1: are about Iran. That's why this war poll show has

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Speaker 1: no buy in. Never did, we don't care, never did,

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Speaker 1: mind you we may have been saved from ourselves. Of

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Speaker 1: course we would care if the Iranians ever got really nuclear.

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Speaker 1: So if this thing ends within a month or so

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Speaker 1: and oil is back to sixty eight bucks, all and all,

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Speaker 1: it will have been worth it. It also shows, beyond

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Speaker 1: the shadow of a doubt, that renewables are nowhere near

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Speaker 1: the answer given when her moves got closed, we didn't

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Speaker 1: all turn on our windmills. But at the end of

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Speaker 1: week two, what I know is this, the economy is everything,

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Speaker 1: Economics is everything, and this war will end not because

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Speaker 1: Iran has been beaten, but because oil is king. Petrol

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Speaker 1: drives economies, and Americans are voting later this year, and

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Speaker 1: if they can't afford the bills because the president got

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Speaker 1: sucked in by Israel, he's toast and as mad as

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Speaker 1: Trump is, he's no idiot. For more from the Mic

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Speaker 1: Asking Breakfast, listen live to news talks. It'd be from

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Speaker 1: six am weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.