1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:03,360 Speaker 1: To Australia. We go. Stephen, my friend, how are you good? 2 00:00:03,600 --> 00:00:05,520 Speaker 2: Very good? Thank you. The elections up and running. I 3 00:00:05,519 --> 00:00:07,560 Speaker 2: told you to be announced late last week. 4 00:00:07,800 --> 00:00:10,240 Speaker 1: Am I correct in my observation and watching the Warriors 5 00:00:10,320 --> 00:00:13,240 Speaker 1: last night. And I only referenced this because both blokes 6 00:00:13,280 --> 00:00:16,720 Speaker 1: started their campaign in Queensland. It's just Queensland and New 7 00:00:16,720 --> 00:00:19,680 Speaker 1: South Wales had a miserable summer weather. Wys in terms of. 8 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:24,960 Speaker 2: Rain horrendous, particularly Sydney. Sydney's had more rain across somemer 9 00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:27,319 Speaker 2: than I can ever remember. I mean, people joke and 10 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:30,720 Speaker 2: laugh about Melbourne weather, but yes, Queensland in particulars had 11 00:00:30,800 --> 00:00:33,199 Speaker 2: really bad. I mean, obviously we had the cyclone, but 12 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:37,760 Speaker 2: in outback Queensland there's floods up there that are swept away. 13 00:00:37,800 --> 00:00:41,240 Speaker 2: On one property alone, four thousand sheep in the last week. 14 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:46,239 Speaker 2: The rain has been persistent right across the Eastern seaboard, 15 00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:49,680 Speaker 2: particularly in those two states. So yes, it's been very wet. 16 00:00:49,920 --> 00:00:52,520 Speaker 1: Okay, so I just saw them start and it was wet. 17 00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:56,960 Speaker 1: And these poles I've mentioned on a big swing to labor. 18 00:00:57,640 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 1: Wonder you believe them? And two if you do, why. 19 00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:04,800 Speaker 2: I'm not sure that I do. Believe them, because the 20 00:01:05,080 --> 00:01:07,160 Speaker 2: campaign's only been up and running, as we now know, 21 00:01:07,280 --> 00:01:10,280 Speaker 2: since Friday, and so most of the things that were 22 00:01:10,280 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 2: announced that week, including the five dollars a week tax 23 00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:18,280 Speaker 2: cut way off in the distance, which was the centerpiece 24 00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:20,720 Speaker 2: of the labor budget, and then the fuel exile has 25 00:01:20,760 --> 00:01:23,600 Speaker 2: been cut in half by the Coalition if they were 26 00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:27,360 Speaker 2: to win. I don't think that's settled in people's minds yet. 27 00:01:27,400 --> 00:01:29,200 Speaker 2: They've not got their head around it. But when you 28 00:01:29,240 --> 00:01:32,160 Speaker 2: do get your head around it, clearly, taking your trade 29 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:35,440 Speaker 2: a ute into a service station four times a week 30 00:01:35,480 --> 00:01:37,399 Speaker 2: and filling it up because you're doing a job that's 31 00:01:37,800 --> 00:01:40,440 Speaker 2: one hundred k away, you're going to save a huge 32 00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:43,560 Speaker 2: amount of money. If the petroex size is cut by 33 00:01:43,560 --> 00:01:46,240 Speaker 2: twenty five percent, that's going to save on average about 34 00:01:46,319 --> 00:01:49,720 Speaker 2: seventeen or eighteen dollars per tank, and so that's a 35 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 2: meaningful saving. Now that's aimed by the coalitions squarely at 36 00:01:53,320 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 2: the people who live in the outer suburbs, particularly of Sydney, 37 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:59,520 Speaker 2: Melbourne and even Brisbane, because their longer commutes me and 38 00:01:59,520 --> 00:02:02,559 Speaker 2: they use more fuel. So I think once that takes hold, 39 00:02:03,200 --> 00:02:05,240 Speaker 2: there may indeed be a bit of a reversal but 40 00:02:05,960 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 2: this is not good news for the coalition. They start 41 00:02:08,080 --> 00:02:10,519 Speaker 2: the election on the back foot. It gives Anthony Albanzi 42 00:02:10,560 --> 00:02:14,160 Speaker 2: a lot of confidence. Newspoll has now got Labor at 43 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:16,440 Speaker 2: the same position it was when it won the election 44 00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:20,600 Speaker 2: in twenty twenty two. And Peter Dutton, let's be clear, 45 00:02:20,639 --> 00:02:24,080 Speaker 2: he's got to win twenty two seats twenty two seats 46 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:27,960 Speaker 2: net to get himself into majority government, so he doesn't 47 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:30,560 Speaker 2: want to see a news poll like this. Labour's primary 48 00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:34,280 Speaker 2: votes back at thirteen percent, Anthony Albanese's popularity has gone 49 00:02:34,360 --> 00:02:37,480 Speaker 2: up and a two party preferred Labour's now in front 50 00:02:37,480 --> 00:02:40,080 Speaker 2: fifty one to forty nine. So it is not good 51 00:02:40,120 --> 00:02:41,760 Speaker 2: news by any measure for the coalition. 52 00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:43,880 Speaker 1: Interesting the numbers. One of the polls that you go 53 00:02:44,040 --> 00:02:46,480 Speaker 1: one said a median estimate for Labor of seventy five 54 00:02:46,520 --> 00:02:49,240 Speaker 1: seats lower estimate sixty nine, upper estimate eighty. If they 55 00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:51,360 Speaker 1: end up they need seventy six. Of course, if they 56 00:02:51,440 --> 00:02:54,760 Speaker 1: end up with seventy five, which is the media, and 57 00:02:54,480 --> 00:02:56,840 Speaker 1: that's as good as a win, isn't it In terms 58 00:02:56,880 --> 00:02:58,960 Speaker 1: of yes, it's minority and you still need somebody. But 59 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:00,720 Speaker 1: I mean, you'd be pretty happy you were that given 60 00:03:00,840 --> 00:03:02,160 Speaker 1: what could have been, wouldn't. 61 00:03:01,880 --> 00:03:04,320 Speaker 2: You Yeah, you'd be very happy and you can consider this. 62 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:08,040 Speaker 2: There's currently in the Australian Parliament sixteen people on the 63 00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 2: cross bench. Now that includes a bunch of Teals who 64 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:14,960 Speaker 2: will retain their seats like Wentworth in the eastern sobs 65 00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:18,600 Speaker 2: of Sydney. That seat was stay as a Teal seat, 66 00:03:19,160 --> 00:03:22,320 Speaker 2: and there's a couple in Victoria that will probably stay 67 00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:25,240 Speaker 2: and they may lose a couple, but you can negotiate 68 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:28,360 Speaker 2: yourself very well into minority government without dealing with the 69 00:03:28,400 --> 00:03:31,639 Speaker 2: Greens on a seventy five seat when it's a big 70 00:03:31,680 --> 00:03:36,120 Speaker 2: ass for Peter Dutton. And one good news one update 71 00:03:36,320 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 2: is that we've just found out that one of the independents, 72 00:03:38,920 --> 00:03:42,160 Speaker 2: women called Rebecca Sharky, who holds the seat of Mayo 73 00:03:42,240 --> 00:03:44,400 Speaker 2: in the Adelaide Hills, used to be held by a 74 00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:47,240 Speaker 2: former Foreign min Australia Center Downer. She said the first 75 00:03:47,240 --> 00:03:49,360 Speaker 2: person she would call if there was a Home Parliament 76 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:52,000 Speaker 2: and support would be Peter Dutton. So he's got one 77 00:03:52,040 --> 00:03:54,440 Speaker 2: on the cross bench at least. There's a couple of 78 00:03:54,520 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 2: disaffected Liberals that sit on the cross bench who you 79 00:03:57,160 --> 00:03:59,160 Speaker 2: would think would put their hands up for Peter Dutton. 80 00:03:59,200 --> 00:04:01,240 Speaker 2: But there's a long way to go in this thing. 81 00:04:01,280 --> 00:04:04,040 Speaker 2: We're are only into. Really what is week one? 82 00:04:04,560 --> 00:04:08,480 Speaker 1: Do you see the possibility that the election can be 83 00:04:08,520 --> 00:04:12,040 Speaker 1: won or lost within this campaign? In other words, what 84 00:04:12,080 --> 00:04:14,520 Speaker 1: they say or don't say, or mistakes or whatever could 85 00:04:14,520 --> 00:04:16,960 Speaker 1: swing it or is this a fore gone conclusion. 86 00:04:17,600 --> 00:04:20,400 Speaker 2: Oh no, it absolutely can be won. During the campaign. 87 00:04:20,440 --> 00:04:25,560 Speaker 2: You might recall the Bill Shorton versus Scott Morrison campaign 88 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:27,760 Speaker 2: where Bill Shorton was the late our mazere to win. 89 00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:31,120 Speaker 2: Everyone had him over the line and then you had it. 90 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:37,000 Speaker 2: During the campaign, the whole question of energy and electricity 91 00:04:37,040 --> 00:04:41,440 Speaker 2: prices was front and center and Queensland turned on labor 92 00:04:41,480 --> 00:04:45,240 Speaker 2: and voted green and Bill Shorton suddenly lost that campaign. 93 00:04:45,440 --> 00:04:48,440 Speaker 2: That's why Albanizi and Dutton were in Queensland. There's three 94 00:04:48,440 --> 00:04:51,559 Speaker 2: seats on the fringes of suburban Brisbane that are Green 95 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:54,960 Speaker 2: and both sides think that they can snatch one, two 96 00:04:55,160 --> 00:04:57,679 Speaker 2: or all of those three seats back off the Green. 97 00:04:57,800 --> 00:05:02,039 Speaker 2: So every Australian election be one or lost. During a campaign, 98 00:05:02,080 --> 00:05:05,040 Speaker 2: it just takes one stumble. People focus on it and 99 00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:07,839 Speaker 2: then go. Your leads gone completely. 100 00:05:08,120 --> 00:05:11,120 Speaker 1: This banning of barbecues and Victoria is this one to 101 00:05:11,160 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 1: do with gas? And two is it real? 102 00:05:13,440 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 2: How do you gas? It's all about gas. So this 103 00:05:17,760 --> 00:05:20,440 Speaker 2: crazy government here says, if you build a new house 104 00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:23,600 Speaker 2: in Victoria now, you can't connect to gas. You must 105 00:05:23,640 --> 00:05:26,160 Speaker 2: connect to electricity. Your hot water's got to be electric. 106 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:29,560 Speaker 2: You've got to have a convention stovetop. You can't have 107 00:05:29,640 --> 00:05:31,919 Speaker 2: gas no more in your kitchen. You can't put in 108 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:35,880 Speaker 2: a gas oven. And so everyone is completely beside themselves 109 00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:39,159 Speaker 2: on that. But beyond that, if your gas hot water 110 00:05:39,200 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 2: breaks down, you've got to replace it with an electric one. 111 00:05:41,520 --> 00:05:43,359 Speaker 2: If your gas stove were to breakdown, you have to 112 00:05:43,800 --> 00:05:46,560 Speaker 2: replace it with an electric one. Barbecues have always been 113 00:05:46,680 --> 00:05:50,600 Speaker 2: sacrosint but now we learn today that within the regulations 114 00:05:50,640 --> 00:05:53,640 Speaker 2: where this new bill comes in, if you have your 115 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:56,880 Speaker 2: barbecue connected to the gas mains, like a lot of people, 116 00:05:56,920 --> 00:05:59,000 Speaker 2: do you know, you're not going down to the petrol 117 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:02,160 Speaker 2: station to get a swap and go gas bottle. If 118 00:06:02,200 --> 00:06:06,000 Speaker 2: you're connected to the mains and something happens, your barbecue 119 00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:08,440 Speaker 2: wears out, as barbecues do, and you've got to change 120 00:06:08,440 --> 00:06:10,520 Speaker 2: it over. You're no longer going to be able to 121 00:06:10,520 --> 00:06:14,279 Speaker 2: reconnect to mains gas you'll have to make your barbecue electric. 122 00:06:14,440 --> 00:06:18,320 Speaker 2: I refuse good cook on an electric barbecue. They don't work. 123 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:21,680 Speaker 2: You cannot cook a decent steak on an electric barbecue. 124 00:06:21,839 --> 00:06:24,320 Speaker 2: Don't tell me you can. All those stupid things you 125 00:06:24,360 --> 00:06:26,599 Speaker 2: have in parks around the world where you put in 126 00:06:26,640 --> 00:06:30,920 Speaker 2: a coin, they're all electric. Can you cook decent electric barbecue? 127 00:06:31,040 --> 00:06:32,800 Speaker 2: I defy anyone to say they can. 128 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:34,920 Speaker 1: Exactly, And just said to Ellen would surely know that, 129 00:06:35,000 --> 00:06:37,200 Speaker 1: wouldn't she, or wouldn't she have the slightest idea. 130 00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:41,200 Speaker 2: She'd have no idea. I mean, I wouldn't imagine she'd 131 00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:43,000 Speaker 2: be a barbecue type of lady. 132 00:06:43,000 --> 00:06:45,720 Speaker 1: To me on mate, We'll see Wednesday appreciates the Price 133 00:06:45,760 --> 00:06:46,479 Speaker 1: out of Australia. 134 00:06:47,160 --> 00:06:50,039 Speaker 2: For more from The mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to 135 00:06:50,160 --> 00:06:53,240 Speaker 2: news talks that'd be from six am weekdays, or follow 136 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:54,839 Speaker 2: the podcast on iHeartRadio.