1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:02,600 Speaker 1: So we have a number inflation that is, which is 2 00:00:02,640 --> 00:00:05,400 Speaker 1: better than not knowing. But it didn't do exactly what 3 00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:07,360 Speaker 1: we wanted to do, which was to come down two 4 00:00:07,440 --> 00:00:10,480 Speaker 1: point two percent for the year to December, no change 5 00:00:10,480 --> 00:00:13,880 Speaker 1: from the quarter before it, and crucially, non tradable inflation 6 00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:16,320 Speaker 1: that's the stuff that we should have more control over 7 00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:20,439 Speaker 1: domestically was down slightly but still four and a half percent. 8 00:00:21,040 --> 00:00:23,919 Speaker 1: Two problems here, one for us, one for the government. 9 00:00:24,360 --> 00:00:26,840 Speaker 1: If the key we dollar keeps falling, the stuff that 10 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 1: we buy from the rest of the world, think fuel 11 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:30,880 Speaker 1: and food will get more expensive. If that stuff gets 12 00:00:30,920 --> 00:00:34,680 Speaker 1: more expensive, yep, that means you guessed it inflation. Add 13 00:00:34,720 --> 00:00:37,880 Speaker 1: that to your sticky domestic number and you may start 14 00:00:37,880 --> 00:00:40,239 Speaker 1: to have a problem. Suddenly the Reserve Bank gets the 15 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:44,040 Speaker 1: jitters and tie hose on rate cuts. Then we all 16 00:00:44,080 --> 00:00:46,320 Speaker 1: get the jitters and pull back on spending, and then 17 00:00:46,320 --> 00:00:50,360 Speaker 1: we're riding this seemingly never ending roller coaster that is 18 00:00:50,360 --> 00:00:53,519 Speaker 1: the cost of living crisis. The gift from labor, it 19 00:00:53,600 --> 00:00:56,560 Speaker 1: just keeps on giving. The other problem in these numbers 20 00:00:56,680 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 1: is for the government. At the election, they promised, remember this, 21 00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 1: that rents would come down once they delivered the landlord 22 00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:07,800 Speaker 1: interest deductibility relief. Now I agree with them doing that. 23 00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:11,679 Speaker 1: It was mad that Labour took it away, but they 24 00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:14,160 Speaker 1: were wrong to claim that it would bring rents down 25 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:17,280 Speaker 1: when rents are by and large dictated by supply and demand. 26 00:01:17,600 --> 00:01:19,440 Speaker 1: How much the market is willing to pay for a 27 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:21,520 Speaker 1: three betty in Mountvick is what the market is willing 28 00:01:21,560 --> 00:01:26,240 Speaker 1: to pay. Right, So, now eighty percent deductibility has kicked 29 00:01:26,240 --> 00:01:29,399 Speaker 1: in and guess what rents are up four point two 30 00:01:29,480 --> 00:01:33,560 Speaker 1: percent in yesterday's numbers, So not exactly what was promised 31 00:01:33,560 --> 00:01:35,720 Speaker 1: by the government now, to be fair, they will be 32 00:01:35,760 --> 00:01:38,520 Speaker 1: hoping that once the full landlord deduction kicks in and 33 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:41,839 Speaker 1: it's given more time, it may help. And it might, 34 00:01:42,440 --> 00:01:45,640 Speaker 1: but at the margins it is not and won't be 35 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 1: the main driver of slashing rents, and yesterday's numbers only 36 00:01:49,800 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 1: proved that. For more from the Mike Asking Breakfast, listen 37 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 1: live to news talks that'd be from six am weekdays, 38 00:01:56,560 --> 00:01:58,600 Speaker 1: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.