1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,040 Speaker 1: A little bit of help coming to the health system's way. 2 00:00:02,080 --> 00:00:04,480 Speaker 1: We think it's a first of a can't study scientists 3 00:00:04,640 --> 00:00:07,240 Speaker 1: work out how to predict surges in demand for hospitals, 4 00:00:07,280 --> 00:00:10,039 Speaker 1: think winter flu spikes and stuff like that. Stefan Albrush 5 00:00:10,320 --> 00:00:12,720 Speaker 1: from the School of Computer Science at Auckland University with 6 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:16,919 Speaker 1: us on the Stephan morning to you. Hello, how generative 7 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:18,720 Speaker 1: is the AI that you're using in this? 8 00:00:21,239 --> 00:00:23,560 Speaker 2: Oh? Pardon, can you please a repeat the question? 9 00:00:23,880 --> 00:00:26,440 Speaker 1: How much AI is used in the prediction of this? 10 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:31,360 Speaker 2: Ah? So, in the current study, we are using the 11 00:00:31,400 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 2: state of the art AI algorithms, you could say. So 12 00:00:36,680 --> 00:00:40,920 Speaker 2: the two algorithms we focused a bit about are based 13 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:46,400 Speaker 2: on artivision. You're a network landing. So this is quite 14 00:00:46,800 --> 00:00:50,400 Speaker 2: the state of the art concept that is used at 15 00:00:50,440 --> 00:00:51,080 Speaker 2: the moment here. 16 00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 1: Okay, So how much of it is information fed in 17 00:00:55,080 --> 00:00:58,560 Speaker 1: from past patterns that help predict future patterns or is 18 00:00:58,600 --> 00:01:00,680 Speaker 1: it all literally generate from nothing? 19 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:06,520 Speaker 2: I know, it's really data driven. It's really data based. 20 00:01:08,200 --> 00:01:12,960 Speaker 2: We're using data that goes back to twenty twelve and 21 00:01:14,240 --> 00:01:17,160 Speaker 2: the main job of these algorithms is to, you know, 22 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 2: take this data and try to find patterns, recurring patterns 23 00:01:22,600 --> 00:01:26,679 Speaker 2: that can be used again to match them to what 24 00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:30,000 Speaker 2: happens now to get a prediction for the near future. 25 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:32,959 Speaker 1: Is there COVID in the numbers? And if there's COVID 26 00:01:32,959 --> 00:01:35,039 Speaker 1: in the numbers, that'll skew the numbers, won't it. 27 00:01:37,080 --> 00:01:41,080 Speaker 2: That's a really interesting question I'm also very curious about. 28 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:45,000 Speaker 2: So in the current study, we focused on data from 29 00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:49,600 Speaker 2: we always say pre pandemic, So we focused on everything 30 00:01:49,600 --> 00:01:54,880 Speaker 2: we got from twenty twelve to twenty nineteen, and we 31 00:01:54,960 --> 00:02:01,160 Speaker 2: are currently working on integrating data from post pandemic era. 32 00:02:03,240 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 2: And so first tests will run with having COVID numbers 33 00:02:08,280 --> 00:02:11,320 Speaker 2: in data, but we can then also test what happens 34 00:02:11,320 --> 00:02:14,000 Speaker 2: when we leave them out. And it's actually an interesting 35 00:02:14,200 --> 00:02:17,040 Speaker 2: question we are wanting to answer with the currents leg 36 00:02:17,120 --> 00:02:22,800 Speaker 2: with ongoing studies is yeah, how how will it change 37 00:02:24,240 --> 00:02:28,440 Speaker 2: when we find off keep the numbers in or what 38 00:02:28,520 --> 00:02:32,360 Speaker 2: would happen when we remove the COVID cases? Yeah, yeah, exactly, 39 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:35,960 Speaker 2: You're right, that's a that's a huge change when you 40 00:02:36,160 --> 00:02:40,600 Speaker 2: think about the data collected from before that these two years, 41 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:42,959 Speaker 2: right and after these two years exactly percistly. 42 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:44,600 Speaker 1: That's why we'll stay in touch with Stephan see how 43 00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:47,520 Speaker 1: it goes for your Stephanol Bridge our University of Oakland 44 00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:48,600 Speaker 1: School of Computer Science. 45 00:02:49,240 --> 00:02:52,120 Speaker 2: For more from the mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to 46 00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:52,800 Speaker 2: news talks. 47 00:02:52,800 --> 00:02:56,000 Speaker 1: It'd be from six am weekdays, or follow the podcast 48 00:02:56,040 --> 00:02:56,919 Speaker 1: on iHeartRadio