1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,480 Speaker 1: To bite Diana America. The last one changed the course 2 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:04,280 Speaker 1: of the Rice, of course, so all eyes on Philly. 3 00:00:04,280 --> 00:00:06,880 Speaker 1: Today's Donald Trump lines up against Kamala Harris. See an 4 00:00:06,880 --> 00:00:09,600 Speaker 1: in common title film special assistant to George Bush, Scott 5 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:11,040 Speaker 1: Jennings with us, good morning. 6 00:00:10,800 --> 00:00:12,200 Speaker 2: Good morning, glad to be with you now. 7 00:00:12,240 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 1: By why I have a singular event in a big Rice. 8 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:17,079 Speaker 1: What white do you place on today's event? 9 00:00:17,640 --> 00:00:19,439 Speaker 2: Well, it's a big deal because it may be the 10 00:00:19,480 --> 00:00:24,159 Speaker 2: only debate between Trump and Harris. Historically, presidential debates have 11 00:00:24,280 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 2: not moved the numbers in a huge way, although earlier 12 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:30,720 Speaker 2: this summer in June, we did see a debate obviously 13 00:00:30,800 --> 00:00:33,479 Speaker 2: changed the campaign dramatically because it led to the dropout 14 00:00:33,520 --> 00:00:36,640 Speaker 2: of Joe Biden. This is Kamala Harris's first chance to 15 00:00:36,720 --> 00:00:39,720 Speaker 2: do something that's rather unscripted. Most of what she has 16 00:00:39,760 --> 00:00:42,720 Speaker 2: done so far has been off of a teleprompter behind 17 00:00:42,720 --> 00:00:45,160 Speaker 2: a podium. So for a lot of the American people, 18 00:00:45,200 --> 00:00:47,239 Speaker 2: they know her name, but they don't know much about her, 19 00:00:47,240 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 2: and this debate may be the first chance to learn. 20 00:00:49,200 --> 00:00:52,240 Speaker 1: The Harris interview I watched, it's one of those things 21 00:00:52,280 --> 00:00:55,680 Speaker 1: she said nothing and walked away from it. Seemingly unskythed 22 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:59,520 Speaker 1: how much interest is there in the specifics as opposed 23 00:00:59,560 --> 00:01:00,320 Speaker 1: to the Vaughantes. 24 00:01:00,920 --> 00:01:03,520 Speaker 2: Well, I do think people want to know which Kamala 25 00:01:03,520 --> 00:01:05,959 Speaker 2: Harris were getting here when she ran for president. Before 26 00:01:06,440 --> 00:01:10,520 Speaker 2: she ran on quite a liberal or progressive platform. Now 27 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:13,360 Speaker 2: she's saying that she no longer believes in many of 28 00:01:13,360 --> 00:01:16,840 Speaker 2: those things. So how she handles those questions tonight about 29 00:01:17,160 --> 00:01:19,240 Speaker 2: you know you believe this? Now you say you don't. 30 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:21,240 Speaker 2: You know that that gives you an idea of what 31 00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:23,600 Speaker 2: kind of a leader someone would be. So I do 32 00:01:23,680 --> 00:01:26,920 Speaker 2: think there's some interest in it. Plus, she's obviously Joe 33 00:01:26,920 --> 00:01:30,600 Speaker 2: Biden's vice president. He's not terribly popular. I'm wondering is 34 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:33,720 Speaker 2: she going to separate herself from President Biden in any 35 00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:37,240 Speaker 2: way by saying, for instance, you know, he made this decision, 36 00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:39,479 Speaker 2: I disagreed with it. I would have done it differently. 37 00:01:39,840 --> 00:01:42,040 Speaker 2: I suspect something like that's going to have to happen 38 00:01:42,040 --> 00:01:42,560 Speaker 2: at some point. 39 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:45,399 Speaker 1: What about the frecking decision? For example? Do Americans look 40 00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:47,000 Speaker 1: at that and go she count and make up of mind? 41 00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:48,800 Speaker 1: Or do they go right, she's on the right side 42 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 1: of it. Last at least we got there. 43 00:01:50,840 --> 00:01:53,640 Speaker 2: Well, I think if you specifically live in Pennsylvania, which 44 00:01:53,680 --> 00:01:57,600 Speaker 2: I regard as the most important state, fracking is a 45 00:01:57,600 --> 00:02:00,200 Speaker 2: big deal. It has revitalized the state's of con me 46 00:02:01,080 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 2: and has been just a huge part of what's going 47 00:02:04,200 --> 00:02:07,440 Speaker 2: on with the energy industry in Pennsylvania. She used to 48 00:02:07,440 --> 00:02:10,160 Speaker 2: oppose it because that was the fashionable thing to do 49 00:02:10,520 --> 00:02:13,440 Speaker 2: on the American left. Now she says she wouldn't oppose 50 00:02:13,480 --> 00:02:16,400 Speaker 2: it because obviously she needs to win the state of Pennsylvania. 51 00:02:16,480 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 2: So again, that plus a number of other topics, how 52 00:02:20,040 --> 00:02:23,040 Speaker 2: she handles those flip flops is going to tell us 53 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 2: a lot about her political skill tonight, and Americans are 54 00:02:26,960 --> 00:02:29,400 Speaker 2: interested in what she has to say about that. Obviously, 55 00:02:29,440 --> 00:02:33,000 Speaker 2: liberals or progressives want a ban on fracking, but most 56 00:02:33,000 --> 00:02:35,200 Speaker 2: people think we should be producing our own energy here. 57 00:02:35,280 --> 00:02:37,880 Speaker 2: So it's a tightrope for her to try to balance 58 00:02:37,880 --> 00:02:41,000 Speaker 2: what her base would want versus what perhaps swing voters 59 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 2: in Pennsylvania would want. 60 00:02:42,160 --> 00:02:44,960 Speaker 1: You mentioned Pennsylvania one of the important swing sites, and 61 00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:47,320 Speaker 1: looking at an averageable the polls, they're all within the 62 00:02:47,320 --> 00:02:49,880 Speaker 1: madun of era. Is it really that tight? Do you 63 00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:51,320 Speaker 1: believe the polls in general? 64 00:02:51,520 --> 00:02:54,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, very close race across the board in all the 65 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:59,720 Speaker 2: swing states, Pennsylvania included. It is very close. Nationally. There 66 00:02:59,720 --> 00:03:02,160 Speaker 2: have been read national high quality polls in the last 67 00:03:02,200 --> 00:03:04,960 Speaker 2: couple of days. One had Trump up, one, one had 68 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:07,360 Speaker 2: him down one, and one had it tied. And so 69 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:10,960 Speaker 2: it is very close, much closer, frankly than the polling 70 00:03:11,000 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 2: showed in twenty twenty or twenty sixteen. So we're in 71 00:03:14,800 --> 00:03:17,160 Speaker 2: a very, very very close race. Now. Some people think 72 00:03:17,200 --> 00:03:20,080 Speaker 2: that favors Trump because there are people who are just 73 00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:22,040 Speaker 2: hard to poll who end up showing up to vote 74 00:03:22,080 --> 00:03:24,760 Speaker 2: for Trump, and he tends to do better than he polls. 75 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 2: But I regarded as close, and I think either campaign 76 00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:29,720 Speaker 2: could win any of these swing states that are in play. 77 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:33,520 Speaker 1: What about Trump and is attacking of her character, of 78 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:36,440 Speaker 1: her personality, and whether that grows his vote? Do you 79 00:03:36,440 --> 00:03:37,800 Speaker 1: place weight on that or not. 80 00:03:38,120 --> 00:03:40,120 Speaker 2: I think he should stick to the issues. I think 81 00:03:40,160 --> 00:03:43,640 Speaker 2: if he gets into a personality contest, he's unlikely to prevail. 82 00:03:43,960 --> 00:03:46,600 Speaker 2: I think if he gets into a contest about who 83 00:03:46,600 --> 00:03:50,680 Speaker 2: would represent change in America, he's likely to win the race. 84 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:53,480 Speaker 2: Most people want change, they don't think the country's off 85 00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 2: on the right track. They're unhappy about the economic policies 86 00:03:56,280 --> 00:03:59,280 Speaker 2: of the current administration. If you stick to those things, 87 00:03:59,320 --> 00:04:01,760 Speaker 2: and if you're gone Trump and you say, well, why 88 00:04:01,760 --> 00:04:03,600 Speaker 2: would you leave the same people in charge that you're 89 00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:06,120 Speaker 2: already mad at, I think that's a winning hand to 90 00:04:06,120 --> 00:04:10,280 Speaker 2: get into a personality contest or to an insult contest 91 00:04:10,320 --> 00:04:12,440 Speaker 2: with someone I don't think services purposes tonight. 92 00:04:12,600 --> 00:04:14,760 Speaker 1: Can you cool it right now with any level of 93 00:04:14,800 --> 00:04:15,520 Speaker 1: confidence or not? 94 00:04:15,800 --> 00:04:15,880 Speaker 2: Not? 95 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:18,159 Speaker 1: The debate the rice, absolutely not. 96 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:21,840 Speaker 2: I don't have any level of confidence. I wouldn't hazard 97 00:04:21,880 --> 00:04:23,480 Speaker 2: to make a guess. I think it is a total 98 00:04:23,600 --> 00:04:26,719 Speaker 2: jump ball. I will say I think Donald Trump is 99 00:04:26,760 --> 00:04:30,640 Speaker 2: in better shape today than he was in either twenty 100 00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:34,159 Speaker 2: sixteen or twenty twenty. In both of those races, he 101 00:04:34,279 --> 00:04:36,880 Speaker 2: was behind, very few people thought he had a chance 102 00:04:36,920 --> 00:04:39,200 Speaker 2: to win. That is not the case this time. By 103 00:04:39,200 --> 00:04:41,839 Speaker 2: some measures, He's more popular and thought of better today 104 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:45,359 Speaker 2: than he was in either of those races. So I 105 00:04:45,360 --> 00:04:47,719 Speaker 2: think Trump's in better shape. But it's a total total 106 00:04:47,800 --> 00:04:51,320 Speaker 2: jump ball, and either campaign could prevail, and this debate 107 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:54,120 Speaker 2: tonight is going to be one of the most monumental 108 00:04:54,160 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 2: points in the race because it may be the last 109 00:04:56,080 --> 00:04:57,119 Speaker 2: time we see them together. 110 00:04:57,279 --> 00:04:59,880 Speaker 1: Indeed, Scott, appreciate your time. Go well well, that's Got Jinning, 111 00:05:00,160 --> 00:05:02,719 Speaker 1: former special assistant to George Bush. You se him occasionally 112 00:05:02,760 --> 00:05:06,680 Speaker 1: on CNN one pm New Zealand Our Time. For more 113 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:09,839 Speaker 1: from the mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to news talks 114 00:05:09,880 --> 00:05:13,039 Speaker 1: it'd be from six am weekdays, or follow the podcast 115 00:05:13,080 --> 00:05:13,960 Speaker 1: on iHeartRadio