1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:04,240 Speaker 1: With us. Now we've got Shane Solly of Harbor Asset Management, Hay. 2 00:00:04,040 --> 00:00:06,000 Speaker 2: Shane, Hey, Heather, listen. 3 00:00:06,160 --> 00:00:08,280 Speaker 1: I'm very well, thank you, Shane. I'm fascinated by what's 4 00:00:08,280 --> 00:00:09,760 Speaker 1: going on in China. So they're going to open up 5 00:00:09,760 --> 00:00:11,560 Speaker 1: the stimulus taps a little bit more. 6 00:00:12,680 --> 00:00:15,239 Speaker 2: Yep. So again we've seen a few policy announcements the 7 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:17,480 Speaker 2: last week or so. In the weekend we saw another 8 00:00:17,480 --> 00:00:20,920 Speaker 2: big announcement from the Chinese Master of Finance, their outlining 9 00:00:20,960 --> 00:00:24,959 Speaker 2: planing space to issue more debt to boost property markets, 10 00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:28,760 Speaker 2: recopitalize banks, assist local governments, and so. On Saturday, I 11 00:00:28,840 --> 00:00:32,159 Speaker 2: talked about the potential to issue special sovereign bonds to 12 00:00:32,240 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 2: recapitalize the big state owned banks, and it would also 13 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:39,920 Speaker 2: allow local governments to use remember two point through tree 14 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:43,040 Speaker 2: and of local governments special bonds to buy unsold homes. 15 00:00:43,520 --> 00:00:47,680 Speaker 2: Really important because the local governments have been pretty hamstrung. 16 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:50,320 Speaker 2: They've had massive debt, and so this really allows them 17 00:00:50,360 --> 00:00:53,360 Speaker 2: to repay debt and actually put some stimulus back in 18 00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:57,120 Speaker 2: the economy pieces that's been missing in the Chinese economy. Now. 19 00:00:57,240 --> 00:01:00,120 Speaker 1: Capital markets initially seem to be kind of disappointed by this, 20 00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:00,720 Speaker 1: should they have. 21 00:01:00,680 --> 00:01:05,160 Speaker 2: Been well, look, it's a bit light on detail and numbers, 22 00:01:05,160 --> 00:01:07,480 Speaker 2: and this is what we've seen the last week also 23 00:01:07,560 --> 00:01:10,800 Speaker 2: in terms of these policy announcements. But certainly the Monster 24 00:01:10,840 --> 00:01:14,279 Speaker 2: of Finance was be patient. We've got some more policy 25 00:01:14,280 --> 00:01:17,280 Speaker 2: announcements coming. And you got asked a question about the 26 00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:19,240 Speaker 2: scarlet things. He said, look, I won't say now, but 27 00:01:19,560 --> 00:01:21,600 Speaker 2: it's going to be big, and that's pretty unusual. They 28 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:24,360 Speaker 2: don't normally say stuff like that. There's a bunch of 29 00:01:24,360 --> 00:01:28,480 Speaker 2: policy events coming up to the National People's Congress later 30 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:31,480 Speaker 2: in October, and it just feels like the Chinese regulators 31 00:01:31,480 --> 00:01:34,560 Speaker 2: are putting more and more and more layers of supporting. 32 00:01:35,120 --> 00:01:37,319 Speaker 2: It's certainly giving the economy a bit of a boost 33 00:01:37,319 --> 00:01:40,400 Speaker 2: off the bottom. So there is some upside here. We 34 00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:41,840 Speaker 2: had to see some more detail. 35 00:01:42,240 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 1: Now what does this mean do you think for the 36 00:01:45,160 --> 00:01:46,280 Speaker 1: New Zealand economy. 37 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:49,800 Speaker 2: Look, we've got a bit of a way to go. 38 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:52,280 Speaker 2: We do need to see how this goes in terms 39 00:01:52,280 --> 00:01:55,120 Speaker 2: of stimulating consumer confidence. That's what it's all about, right, 40 00:01:55,160 --> 00:01:58,240 Speaker 2: trying to give people confidence and housing markets and that 41 00:01:58,320 --> 00:02:01,040 Speaker 2: they can open up their own spending. And so if 42 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 2: it happens that it would actually be broadly supportive for 43 00:02:03,800 --> 00:02:07,240 Speaker 2: demand for New Zealand commodities, things like services like travel 44 00:02:07,880 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 2: if it improves confidence, and also would be a bit 45 00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 2: of a boost to the Australian economy, which again is 46 00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:17,120 Speaker 2: helpful for a lot of New Zealand businesses the Australian activity. 47 00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:19,880 Speaker 2: But we've got to let it roll through. We've seen 48 00:02:19,880 --> 00:02:22,079 Speaker 2: a bit of a bounce, people are a bit more optimistic, 49 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:24,360 Speaker 2: but we need to see some more detail. 50 00:02:24,400 --> 00:02:26,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, fair enough. Now we've just been talking to Nicola 51 00:02:26,639 --> 00:02:28,840 Speaker 1: Willis about the easing and the foreign investment laws. What 52 00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:30,600 Speaker 1: do you reckon that means for the capital markets? 53 00:02:31,120 --> 00:02:33,040 Speaker 2: Well, look, I think the best way putting it is 54 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:36,880 Speaker 2: the current policy has restricted the breadth of offshore investment 55 00:02:36,919 --> 00:02:39,480 Speaker 2: New Zealand, and I think it has certainly pushed New 56 00:02:39,520 --> 00:02:43,919 Speaker 2: Zealand down the list of the destinations for investors to 57 00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:49,560 Speaker 2: go globally. So not anything that actually sees that maybe 58 00:02:49,600 --> 00:02:52,280 Speaker 2: we go back up the list, but I just sort 59 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 2: of obviously point to there's been some really good offshore 60 00:02:55,320 --> 00:02:59,560 Speaker 2: interest in our markets of late. There's obviously big bond holdings, 61 00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:02,400 Speaker 2: but more and there we had some massive capital raises. 62 00:03:02,760 --> 00:03:04,840 Speaker 2: Now the used the example of Auk and Eport raised 63 00:03:04,840 --> 00:03:07,760 Speaker 2: one point four billion dollars. We saw a big ejection 64 00:03:08,680 --> 00:03:13,040 Speaker 2: from global investors really attracted to attractive newsion infrastructure. So 65 00:03:13,080 --> 00:03:15,680 Speaker 2: I think there is plenty of appetite out there. They 66 00:03:15,760 --> 00:03:19,200 Speaker 2: just need to know that they're actually there's a framework 67 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:22,840 Speaker 2: that doesn't penalize them. And I think also when I 68 00:03:22,880 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 2: come back, quious over cause are pretty powerful as well. 69 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:28,280 Speaker 2: So you know, we have multiple services the capital. Just 70 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:31,240 Speaker 2: freeing up that access to international investors will be helpful 71 00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:34,400 Speaker 2: to improve the pricing we get for our asses. 72 00:03:34,520 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, brilliant stuff. Hey, Shane, thanks for talking us through that. 73 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:39,240 Speaker 1: Enjoy the receive evening that Shane Solly of Harbor Asset Management. 74 00:03:39,880 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 1: For more from Hither Duplessy Allen Drive. 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