1 00:00:01,639 --> 00:00:05,159 Speaker 1: The rural report on hither duper see allan drive. 2 00:00:05,120 --> 00:00:07,480 Speaker 2: Might not work in the country, mind you. Jamie McKay's 3 00:00:07,520 --> 00:00:11,479 Speaker 2: with us now, hey, Jamie Goda, Ryan, how's the storm 4 00:00:11,520 --> 00:00:14,319 Speaker 2: will start there affecting rural New Zealand because it's been 5 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:15,640 Speaker 2: very widespread. 6 00:00:16,520 --> 00:00:19,480 Speaker 1: Well, it's affecting all of well, it's going to say 7 00:00:19,600 --> 00:00:22,159 Speaker 1: certainly northern and eastern New Zealand. It's a shakra And 8 00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:24,800 Speaker 1: those scenes that are Mount Monganui, and I know you've 9 00:00:24,840 --> 00:00:28,440 Speaker 1: been talking about them, are truly truly horrific. Thoughts goes 10 00:00:28,480 --> 00:00:32,120 Speaker 1: out to the families and people are tied up in 11 00:00:32,120 --> 00:00:35,600 Speaker 1: that one. It is just goddamn awful. Look at the 12 00:00:35,640 --> 00:00:37,960 Speaker 1: storm update from a rural point of view. It's caused 13 00:00:37,960 --> 00:00:43,880 Speaker 1: heaps of damage, obviously rural and urban. In terms of livestock. 14 00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:47,400 Speaker 1: For instance, this forecast rain event, as big as it was, 15 00:00:47,400 --> 00:00:50,199 Speaker 1: was well forecast, so not much by why I have 16 00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 1: livestock loss. They've all been able to move livestock to 17 00:00:53,360 --> 00:00:57,240 Speaker 1: higher ground. The real issue is obviously landslips. That's stating 18 00:00:57,280 --> 00:01:01,720 Speaker 1: the obvious flooding selting on low, low, low lying should 19 00:01:01,760 --> 00:01:04,760 Speaker 1: I say, an often very good horticulture land. Then there's 20 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:08,240 Speaker 1: the infrastructure and roading damage and the real challenge of 21 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:12,199 Speaker 1: getting fresh produce out of the likes of the Gisban region, 22 00:01:12,240 --> 00:01:15,160 Speaker 1: that is the vegetable and salad bowl of this country. 23 00:01:15,200 --> 00:01:19,120 Speaker 1: State Highway too from a Potoquy through to Gisbon is 24 00:01:19,160 --> 00:01:23,479 Speaker 1: out for months rather than weeks, we're told and at 25 00:01:23,520 --> 00:01:26,360 Speaker 1: the stage State Highway thirty five going around the top 26 00:01:26,400 --> 00:01:29,400 Speaker 1: round the East Cape is also out. So if you 27 00:01:29,440 --> 00:01:32,039 Speaker 1: want to get produce out of Gisbon at the moment 28 00:01:32,440 --> 00:01:33,959 Speaker 1: by road, you're going to have to go through the 29 00:01:33,959 --> 00:01:36,280 Speaker 1: middle of the North Island. And I know the keyw 30 00:01:36,360 --> 00:01:39,240 Speaker 1: fruit industry is very worried about this because they truck 31 00:01:39,280 --> 00:01:40,959 Speaker 1: a hell of a lot of keiwi fruit from the 32 00:01:40,959 --> 00:01:43,920 Speaker 1: Gisbone orchards to the Bay of Plenty pack houses and 33 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:50,880 Speaker 1: obviously onto Port Taronga. So look, horrific damage, horrific rainfall 34 00:01:50,960 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 1: numbers in Northland seven hundred mills on. One farmer told 35 00:01:55,680 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 1: me since Sunday, that's like twice the annual rainfall of Alexandra. 36 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:05,440 Speaker 1: Twice the annual rainfall of Alexandra in three or four days. 37 00:02:06,480 --> 00:02:08,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a lot of rain now at long last, 38 00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:10,840 Speaker 2: cheap farmers making money from their wool. 39 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:16,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, while it's all relative, yes, for many years, well 40 00:02:16,440 --> 00:02:19,680 Speaker 1: not for many years, certainly since COVID onward. It's cost 41 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:23,079 Speaker 1: farmers to share their sheep they put. By the time 42 00:02:23,120 --> 00:02:26,040 Speaker 1: they pay the sharers and truck their wall off to 43 00:02:26,200 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 1: market or to the auction are they end up losing 44 00:02:29,760 --> 00:02:33,440 Speaker 1: money from their wall receipts. So prices have risen, and 45 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:36,200 Speaker 1: we're talking mainly strong crossbead prices because they've been the 46 00:02:36,240 --> 00:02:39,720 Speaker 1: issue rather than the fine wall ones. They've risen thirty 47 00:02:39,720 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 1: percent in the past year. Full length flee selling at 48 00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:47,000 Speaker 1: five dollars thirty clean exporters can't get enough of it, 49 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:51,079 Speaker 1: they're short. So it looks like the market will continue up. 50 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:53,720 Speaker 1: The last time it was at this level was August 51 00:02:53,760 --> 00:02:57,880 Speaker 1: twenty sixteen, so that's ten years ago before sliding to 52 00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:01,359 Speaker 1: a real low five years ago and COVID in January 53 00:03:01,360 --> 00:03:04,240 Speaker 1: twenty twenty one of one sixty two cents clean, so 54 00:03:04,280 --> 00:03:08,639 Speaker 1: effectively we've seen a threefold increase in prices in the 55 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:11,320 Speaker 1: last five years. That's good, Ryan, But if you go 56 00:03:11,400 --> 00:03:13,799 Speaker 1: back a bit further in time to the nineteen eighties, 57 00:03:13,840 --> 00:03:16,800 Speaker 1: when I was a very young farmer, we were getting 58 00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:21,040 Speaker 1: an excess of six dollars per kilogram clean compared to 59 00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:24,440 Speaker 1: five dollars of kilogram clean. Now, that was forty years ago, 60 00:03:24,720 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 1: so we've still got a wee bit of catching up 61 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:30,040 Speaker 1: to do. Look, normally, when the prices get too high, 62 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:32,880 Speaker 1: the Chinese pull the pin stop buying. But they can't 63 00:03:32,919 --> 00:03:36,200 Speaker 1: now because there's too much demand from Europe and India, 64 00:03:36,240 --> 00:03:39,000 Speaker 1: and the free trade agreement or free trade agreement with 65 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:41,760 Speaker 1: India is only going to help things. Sheep numbers are 66 00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:46,720 Speaker 1: declining right around the world. In Australia and Britain. Analysts 67 00:03:47,440 --> 00:03:51,480 Speaker 1: analysis shows that since twenty fifteen, our wall clip has 68 00:03:51,480 --> 00:03:54,720 Speaker 1: fallen four percent a year. At that rate, our wall 69 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:58,000 Speaker 1: clip will have hard From twenty fifteen to twenty thirty. 70 00:03:58,280 --> 00:04:01,360 Speaker 1: We did have an oversupply all out of the system now, 71 00:04:01,720 --> 00:04:04,360 Speaker 1: so onwards and upwards for the strong wall price not 72 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:07,000 Speaker 1: before time. And the government did their bit back in 73 00:04:07,120 --> 00:04:10,600 Speaker 1: April of last year when they announced government buildings will 74 00:04:11,320 --> 00:04:15,200 Speaker 1: prefer the use of wool, which is positive for ongoing 75 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 1: domestic for the ongoing domestic market, which further supports the market, 76 00:04:19,680 --> 00:04:22,440 Speaker 1: which is good. So you know they're doing well. They're 77 00:04:22,440 --> 00:04:24,160 Speaker 1: still making a hell of a lot more money out 78 00:04:24,200 --> 00:04:26,160 Speaker 1: of lamb and mutton than they are at a wall. 79 00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:28,480 Speaker 1: But at least it's cash flow positive now right. 80 00:04:29,160 --> 00:04:31,880 Speaker 2: I've got a Marino jumper and there's holes in the 81 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:35,039 Speaker 2: front of it. And my parents in law, who are farmers, said, 82 00:04:35,839 --> 00:04:39,080 Speaker 2: with wool, well, marino wall, did you get short wool 83 00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:41,120 Speaker 2: and long wall depending on where it comes from on 84 00:04:41,720 --> 00:04:44,800 Speaker 2: the sheep, which I had no idea about, and so 85 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:48,679 Speaker 2: some of it is more prone to boosting open getting 86 00:04:48,680 --> 00:04:50,880 Speaker 2: holes in than others. True. 87 00:04:50,960 --> 00:04:53,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, well, I don't know, like a hard up broadcast 88 00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:56,600 Speaker 1: a former farmer like me, Roy and I can't afford Marino. 89 00:04:57,080 --> 00:04:59,239 Speaker 1: I remember my mother when I was a kid growing 90 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:01,599 Speaker 1: up on the farm, knitting new jerseys to wear to 91 00:05:01,640 --> 00:05:04,440 Speaker 1: skull out of strong crossbed wall. And I'll tell you what, 92 00:05:04,480 --> 00:05:06,520 Speaker 1: you couldn't wear those next to your skin. They were 93 00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:09,880 Speaker 1: as itchy as hell. But yeah, they took a bit 94 00:05:09,920 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 1: of wearing out and those were the days. You tell 95 00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:15,039 Speaker 1: the young people of today that and they won't believe 96 00:05:15,040 --> 00:05:15,360 Speaker 1: you're Ryan. 97 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:18,800 Speaker 2: Jamie good talk as always. Jamie mckaye hosted The Country 98 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 2: Here on news Talks EB. For more from Hither Duplessy 99 00:05:22,080 --> 00:05:25,240 Speaker 2: Allen Drive, listen live to News Talks 'b from four 100 00:05:25,240 --> 00:05:28,600 Speaker 2: pm weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio