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Speaker 1: Right in Australia. See Price morning to you good there.

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Speaker 1: Talk to me Steven about the Thirteenth Beach Golf Links.

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Speaker 1: What do you know?

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Speaker 2: It gets very windy and they had the Victorian Open

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Speaker 2: being played there yesterday, correct, and at one point the

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Speaker 2: players asked for the tournament to be halted because the

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Speaker 2: wind was blowing the balls off the green.

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Speaker 1: Do you live that way?

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Speaker 2: As the crow flies? I'm about probably ten k from there.

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Speaker 1: Right, because I looked at that place yesterday and I thought,

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Speaker 1: what a god forsaken play. I mean, if you're into

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Speaker 1: like pretending you're in Scotland and playing links golf in

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Speaker 1: a storm, that'd be great. Does it blow like that often?

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Speaker 2: No, not very often. Yesterday was the windy st I've

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Speaker 2: ever had it. To you, it was very, very very windy.

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Speaker 1: New Zealander won. Now what I'm really interested in is

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Speaker 1: this business of a Paran's gone. So the Greens have

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Speaker 1: lost that wire Abee two by elections. What do you

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Speaker 1: reckon the chances of the Coalition picking this up once

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Speaker 1: they know work through all the numbers.

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Speaker 2: Today, I don't think they've got enough volks left to

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Speaker 2: win it. But this is I mean to describe it.

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Speaker 2: For people. This is labor heartland, Whereriby is about fifteen

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Speaker 2: to twenty kilometers west of Melbourne. Would have been held

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Speaker 2: the seat there uninterrupted since about nineteen seventy nine. The

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Speaker 2: former treasurer, who who has wrecked the economy of Victoria,

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Speaker 2: decided he was not going to play politics anymore, so

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Speaker 2: quit that's why there was a by election. The swing

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Speaker 2: there now looks like being the primary vote swing of

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Speaker 2: about fifteen percent against labor. Everyone says, why is that

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Speaker 2: the case? Well, these poor people, I mean sometimes they

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Speaker 2: sit for an hour on the one road in, the

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Speaker 2: one road out trying to get onto the freeway. So

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Speaker 2: they are local issues. But I think everyone's attention has

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Speaker 2: now turned to the fact that we're going to federal

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Speaker 2: election coming up. What's this mean for labor? And it

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Speaker 2: means that labor is on the nose big time in

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Speaker 2: Victoria and voters are not differentiating between local issues and

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Speaker 2: feder issues. Crime is a big one in that area

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Speaker 2: and so they're going to blame anyone they can, and

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Speaker 2: I think Labour's going to have a real problem in

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Speaker 2: holding some of these outer suburban seats. There's another poll

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Speaker 2: published today that showed if an election was held this weekend,

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Speaker 2: it would be very very tight. Now Labor federally Mike

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Speaker 2: Hold's twenty four seats in Victoria, so they could win.

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Speaker 2: The coalition could win the election in Victoria alone, let

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Speaker 2: alone what they might do in New South Wales and

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Speaker 2: Queensland and other places. And so there'd be a lot

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Speaker 2: of head scratching in camera this morning from Labor about

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Speaker 2: what they can do to reinvent their brand. Quite simply,

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Speaker 2: what's happened is the outer suburban ring, which was largely

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Speaker 2: blue collar Labor, have now decided that Labor is not

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Speaker 2: doing anything for them both federally in state, and so

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Speaker 2: they're going to vote for either an independent or someone

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Speaker 2: from the coalition. Ken Peter dudn't win an election. I'm

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Speaker 2: not sure yet.

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Speaker 1: Start So that was my next part. So good answer.

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Speaker 1: So they need to win from memory about eighteen seats

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Speaker 1: to flip eighteen seats? Can Does this change the conversation

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Speaker 1: materially out of the weekend all by itself or not?

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Speaker 2: Really? Yeah, it probably does. It probably pushes the election

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Speaker 2: out to the last possible time that they can do it.

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Speaker 2: It probably also says to Labor that okay, if we

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Speaker 2: do that we've got to have a budget. If we

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Speaker 2: have a budget, we're we're going to look after these

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Speaker 2: people who've turned on us. We've got to somehow find

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Speaker 2: in the budget enough money to start pushing money toward

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Speaker 2: the projects that they want fixed. I think the time's

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Speaker 2: too short for them. I think the mood in the

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Speaker 2: country's already turned. You've got to remember Tony Abbott when

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Speaker 2: he beat Kevin Rudd won sixteen seats. It's not impossible,

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Speaker 2: but eighteen's are very big. Ask Peter Dutton is performing

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Speaker 2: pretty well at the moment, Anthony albit easy And this

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Speaker 2: is the other crucial point is looking like a week leader,

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Speaker 2: and people don't like week leaders. Really.

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Speaker 1: What I did say as I was watching a bit

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Speaker 1: of it on Saturday night because I was interested for

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Speaker 1: this very reason, this preferencing thing. You've got the actual

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Speaker 1: vote they got the coalition versus what they ended up

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Speaker 1: with once your preferenced at all. I mean there's a

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Speaker 1: huge difference, isn't there?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? There is. I mean the way our system works

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Speaker 2: is that preferences flow on from whoever you tick number

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Speaker 2: one and whoever that if you follow the how to

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Speaker 2: vote card to that candidate. Then often what will happen

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Speaker 2: is the Labor candidate. It gets a huge number of

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Speaker 2: Greens preferences. Now, what Labour stupidly did in that pran

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Speaker 2: by elections didn't stand a candidate. If they had, the

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Speaker 2: Greens would have probably held that seat and the Liberals

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Speaker 2: wouldn't be running around today crowing. It's a very very

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Speaker 2: complicated system and most people, you know, people I know,

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Speaker 2: people who've been around a long time, still don't understand

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Speaker 2: how voting preferences were.

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Speaker 1: I'm assuming elbows desperate for something to happen with Michelle

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Speaker 1: at the Reserve Bank tomorrow.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Look, we've had twelve rate rises in a row.

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Speaker 2: There's been no cut since Anthony Albanez he came to

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Speaker 2: power two and a half years ago. The bank has

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Speaker 2: left the rate on hold. Now I think for the

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Speaker 2: last three times. We'll know by about two thirty our

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Speaker 2: time tomorrow whether the bank will go from a cash

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Speaker 2: rate of four point three five percent to four point one.

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Speaker 2: The economists as usually a split Most of them seem

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Speaker 2: to think that there's a chance that will happened. I

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Speaker 2: was not so sure. Caution is something that Michelle Bullock

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Speaker 2: is very good at and I wouldn't be surprised tomorrow

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Speaker 2: if she comes out and they leave it.

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Speaker 1: On old Very interesting. I know that Miles was Defense Minister.

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Speaker 1: Miles was in the States meeting hig Seth over the

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Speaker 1: weekend and he handed over check for eight hundred million

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Speaker 1: on Orcus. Has anything materially changed because of Trump?

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Speaker 2: Not yet. Tariffs and what China might do will have

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Speaker 2: a big impact on Australia. Everyone was saying, oh, well,

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Speaker 2: isn't it great that we've got a solid relationship with

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Speaker 2: the United States and they're our greatest partner in the world.

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Speaker 2: It does help when you turn up with a bag

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Speaker 2: with eight hundred million dollars in it. But Orcas seems

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Speaker 2: to be still on track. There was some fear that

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Speaker 2: Donald Trump would blow that up, but he seems not.

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Speaker 2: He's got a few other things to worry about before

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Speaker 2: he starts looking at whether Australia and summer injuries problem.

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Speaker 1: You're a good blake see Wednesday. Appreciated Steve Price out

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Speaker 1: of Australia this morning. Just quickly. I've been following with

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Speaker 1: an element of interest a trial, a court case that's

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Speaker 1: going on in Sydney and has been covered breathlessly by

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Speaker 1: the Australian media, mainly because the ABC, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation,

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Speaker 1: have turned out to be complete and other buffoons. There's

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Speaker 1: a woman called latouf who got sacked by the ABC

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Speaker 1: and she's suing them for wrongful dismissal. She got sacked

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Speaker 1: because she got hired as a fillin and she then

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Speaker 1: posted some stuff on her social media about the Palestinians

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Speaker 1: and the ABC. Public broadcasters are supposed to be neutral,

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Speaker 1: which of course they're not, but this just proved they're

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Speaker 1: not anyway. The funny thing was, this is how it

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Speaker 1: was written up the other day. Hello, this is the newspaper,

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Speaker 1: the Sydney Morning Held. Hello and welcome back to our

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Speaker 1: coverage of the Antoinette Latoh versus ABC trial in the

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Speaker 1: Federal Court. I am Callan Jaspin and today it is

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Speaker 1: day five of the proceedings, which just so happens to

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Speaker 1: be the same length of time. Latoupe was employed to

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Speaker 1: fill in as a casual presenter on the ABC Radio

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Speaker 1: Sidney in December of twenty twenty three. She got sacked.

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Speaker 1: This is the irony of this. She got sacked after

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Speaker 1: day three, day three of her five day contract. The

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Speaker 1: trial will last longer than her entire career. For more

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Speaker 1: from the Mike Asking Breakfast, listen live to news talks.

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Speaker 1: It'd be from six am weekdays, or follow the podcast

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Speaker 1: on iHeartRadio