1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:02,320 Speaker 1: Right in Australia see Price. Very good morning to you. 2 00:00:03,600 --> 00:00:06,080 Speaker 1: So I've got a news poll and I've got another poll. 3 00:00:06,160 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: One poll seems dramatic, iss the other one doesn't seem 4 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:11,640 Speaker 1: as dramatic. What do we make What do we think? 5 00:00:11,720 --> 00:00:14,040 Speaker 1: Has he got the numbers to form a majority or 6 00:00:14,120 --> 00:00:16,280 Speaker 1: is he going to win the election but fall short 7 00:00:16,440 --> 00:00:18,160 Speaker 1: or are all the polls wrong and we wouldn't have 8 00:00:18,160 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 1: a clue. 9 00:00:19,239 --> 00:00:21,919 Speaker 2: Is the he you're referring to Prime minister or the. 10 00:00:21,880 --> 00:00:25,360 Speaker 1: Opposition doesn't seems to be the one on the ascendanc. 11 00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:30,680 Speaker 2: Look, all of these polls are now indicating I think 12 00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:33,080 Speaker 2: that Anthony alberniez is going to hang on by his 13 00:00:33,080 --> 00:00:36,559 Speaker 2: fingernails and form a minority government. I heard someone, a 14 00:00:36,720 --> 00:00:39,680 Speaker 2: commentator during the week last week referred to it as 15 00:00:40,000 --> 00:00:44,120 Speaker 2: the New Zealand style of elections where the major parties 16 00:00:44,159 --> 00:00:46,279 Speaker 2: never have enough numbers to win in their own right, 17 00:00:46,400 --> 00:00:49,880 Speaker 2: so they always have to have coalitions aar lah Winston Peters, 18 00:00:49,880 --> 00:00:52,640 Speaker 2: and I think that's not a bad assessment. We have 19 00:00:52,720 --> 00:00:55,480 Speaker 2: a poll out in the Australian excuse me this morning 20 00:00:56,280 --> 00:00:58,760 Speaker 2: that says if there were an election to be held 21 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:00,720 Speaker 2: next weekend, the swing to the the colalicition would be 22 00:01:00,760 --> 00:01:04,240 Speaker 2: about three percent. That's not enough. That would give Peter 23 00:01:04,360 --> 00:01:08,040 Speaker 2: Dutton maybe eight seats and he needs more like sixteen 24 00:01:08,080 --> 00:01:11,720 Speaker 2: to seventeen. Now are these pollsals correct and I they're not. 25 00:01:12,720 --> 00:01:16,000 Speaker 2: Could things change dramatically between now and an election that 26 00:01:16,040 --> 00:01:19,039 Speaker 2: could be held in March April May. Of course they can. 27 00:01:19,160 --> 00:01:23,399 Speaker 2: I mean we may have an interest rate clut tomorrow 28 00:01:23,800 --> 00:01:27,160 Speaker 2: which would help out the government. But certainly Anthony Alberneezi 29 00:01:27,280 --> 00:01:31,040 Speaker 2: individually is on the noses record low approval rating of 30 00:01:31,080 --> 00:01:34,680 Speaker 2: minus twenty one. Coalition is on fifty one to party 31 00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:37,600 Speaker 2: preferred in Labor and forty nine. So we are headed 32 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 2: for the worst possible outcome, Mike, I think, which is 33 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:43,160 Speaker 2: a minority labor government where they're going to have to 34 00:01:43,160 --> 00:01:46,920 Speaker 2: deal with the tier independence, particularly if they all get 35 00:01:46,959 --> 00:01:49,360 Speaker 2: re elected, and they'll take you back to the time 36 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:52,440 Speaker 2: when Julia Gillard had to deal with three independents that 37 00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 2: was complete not a disaster, and that government then got 38 00:01:56,360 --> 00:01:58,840 Speaker 2: thrown out when Rudd came back. So where you've got 39 00:01:58,920 --> 00:02:01,919 Speaker 2: history repeating it sadly and it's not good for us. Tradia. 40 00:02:02,160 --> 00:02:04,640 Speaker 1: How many individual stories are there? And the reason I 41 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:06,720 Speaker 1: asked that is. I saw a story over the weekend 42 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 1: on Sky News and it was talking about Queensland specifically. 43 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:13,320 Speaker 1: I think Brisbane, where the Greens did well and they've 44 00:02:13,360 --> 00:02:15,720 Speaker 1: got three seats, and it's possible they're going to lose 45 00:02:15,720 --> 00:02:17,519 Speaker 1: two of them and go down to one, despite the 46 00:02:17,520 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 1: fact they're claiming they're going to win even more. Those 47 00:02:20,480 --> 00:02:22,800 Speaker 1: individual stories and then you get to your by elections 48 00:02:22,840 --> 00:02:25,840 Speaker 1: in Victoria, places like Paran. How many of those individual 49 00:02:25,880 --> 00:02:27,799 Speaker 1: stories out there, and it could actually swing in a 50 00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:29,000 Speaker 1: way that no one sees coming. 51 00:02:29,760 --> 00:02:32,960 Speaker 2: Possibly, although the Green vote is definitely in decline, you 52 00:02:33,040 --> 00:02:36,160 Speaker 2: mention those seats in Brisbane, they'll definitely lose two of those. 53 00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 2: I would think that Labor might pick those seats up, 54 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:41,640 Speaker 2: so that doesn't necessarily help the coalition. There was a 55 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:44,280 Speaker 2: swing against the Greens in a by election in Melbourne 56 00:02:44,320 --> 00:02:47,640 Speaker 2: last weekend of somewhere around sixteen percent, so they are 57 00:02:47,720 --> 00:02:50,920 Speaker 2: very much on the nose. They beligind themselves directly with 58 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:54,320 Speaker 2: the pro Palestinian movement. They're now seen pretty much as 59 00:02:54,680 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 2: a hard left socialist agitating party rather than the Party 60 00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:01,280 Speaker 2: of the Environment, so they're in big trouble. But these 61 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:04,840 Speaker 2: independents and they don't like being joined up and called 62 00:03:04,840 --> 00:03:07,600 Speaker 2: the Teal Party, but that's basically what they are. They're 63 00:03:07,600 --> 00:03:10,560 Speaker 2: going to be well funded again and people will park 64 00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:15,239 Speaker 2: their votes with community independence and with our preference system here, 65 00:03:15,760 --> 00:03:20,440 Speaker 2: you know, depending on how that independent approaches the election 66 00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 2: and policies they have, those preferences often flow to the 67 00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:25,760 Speaker 2: Labor Party and not for the coalition. So we're in 68 00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:28,880 Speaker 2: a look. Peter Button's confident out. There was a three 69 00:03:28,919 --> 00:03:31,239 Speaker 2: page interview with him in the News limit of papers 70 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 2: at the weekend. He was basically saying yes, weekend win. 71 00:03:34,120 --> 00:03:38,280 Speaker 2: So he's trying to just remain completely positive. And Anthony 72 00:03:38,280 --> 00:03:41,080 Speaker 2: Albaneze's floundering around at the moment and we still don't 73 00:03:41,080 --> 00:03:42,840 Speaker 2: know when the election will book, do you are? 74 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:44,600 Speaker 1: I was going to ask about that because we had 75 00:03:44,600 --> 00:03:47,200 Speaker 1: Scott Morrison on the program Friday. He said it depends 76 00:03:47,200 --> 00:03:49,080 Speaker 1: on the budget. They go with the budget, they'll go later. 77 00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:52,440 Speaker 1: But is April twelve still the hot money pretty much? 78 00:03:52,480 --> 00:03:56,880 Speaker 2: So yeah, most people don't think as mister Morrison did 79 00:03:56,960 --> 00:03:59,600 Speaker 2: that they want to come out with a budget. I 80 00:03:59,640 --> 00:04:02,200 Speaker 2: mean the budget position's not great. They'd have to make 81 00:04:02,240 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 2: a lot of promises, they'd have to splash around a 82 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:06,840 Speaker 2: lot of cash. I don't believe they want to have 83 00:04:06,920 --> 00:04:09,000 Speaker 2: a budget and if they can avoid it, they will. 84 00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:11,920 Speaker 1: And when you say Dutton was the three page I 85 00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:15,320 Speaker 1: saw he talked to Karl Stefanovic last night on Channel nine. 86 00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:18,240 Speaker 1: He was with Peter Kredlin the other day. Is he 87 00:04:18,320 --> 00:04:20,679 Speaker 1: on some mess surge? And if he's on a mass surge, 88 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:23,599 Speaker 1: when the average Australian looks at him listens to him, 89 00:04:23,839 --> 00:04:25,039 Speaker 1: do they like him or not? 90 00:04:26,040 --> 00:04:28,880 Speaker 2: Depends what state you're in, really, I mean, I live 91 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:32,240 Speaker 2: in the great socialist state of Victoria, so he'd be 92 00:04:32,360 --> 00:04:36,039 Speaker 2: less popular here, although in the outer suburban Melbourne the 93 00:04:36,240 --> 00:04:38,719 Speaker 2: state government so on the nose that they probably think 94 00:04:38,760 --> 00:04:41,040 Speaker 2: that Peter Dutton might be able to save them. I 95 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:44,039 Speaker 2: think he has done a remarkable job in the last 96 00:04:44,600 --> 00:04:47,599 Speaker 2: two years and he's turned around his image. He's very 97 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:52,960 Speaker 2: popular in Queensland, pretty popular in WA and reasonably popular 98 00:04:53,000 --> 00:04:56,120 Speaker 2: in New South Wales. I mean, he's not the problem. 99 00:04:56,240 --> 00:04:59,160 Speaker 2: The problem is these independents are going to soak up 100 00:04:59,160 --> 00:05:01,680 Speaker 2: too many of the votes and the Colors is just 101 00:05:01,680 --> 00:05:03,360 Speaker 2: simply not going to have enough to get up. Look. 102 00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:05,880 Speaker 2: I might be completely wrong, but I think we're a 103 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:07,360 Speaker 2: bit of the labor minority government. 104 00:05:07,400 --> 00:05:09,840 Speaker 1: Okay, fair enough. The Police Commissioner of Victoria, so they 105 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 1: I didn't know you had votes and stuff like that. 106 00:05:12,400 --> 00:05:14,440 Speaker 1: So he's quit because no one's got confidence in them. 107 00:05:14,880 --> 00:05:17,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, the union had a vote eighty seven cent said 108 00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:20,000 Speaker 2: they didn't want him. He's been under pressure. He was 109 00:05:20,240 --> 00:05:23,120 Speaker 2: due to be re signed for another five year contract. 110 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:26,000 Speaker 2: That all fell over, and so late last night he 111 00:05:26,080 --> 00:05:29,400 Speaker 2: actually came out and quit. The force had been told 112 00:05:29,440 --> 00:05:31,359 Speaker 2: they had to cut a billion dollars out of their budget. 113 00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:33,400 Speaker 2: I mean, this goes back to COVID. The law and 114 00:05:33,520 --> 00:05:36,720 Speaker 2: order debate goes all the way back to COVID, when 115 00:05:36,760 --> 00:05:39,400 Speaker 2: the Victoria police were forced to fire rubber bullets on 116 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:43,000 Speaker 2: Victorians protesting about being locked up by Dan Andrews. As 117 00:05:43,040 --> 00:05:46,919 Speaker 2: simple as that. And also the anti vax movement the 118 00:05:46,960 --> 00:05:50,320 Speaker 2: police turned on them as well, and so Shane Patten's 119 00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:53,160 Speaker 2: the vote's name. He's not been popular since then, and 120 00:05:53,200 --> 00:05:55,680 Speaker 2: so he quit overnight. They put a bloke in charge 121 00:05:55,720 --> 00:05:58,120 Speaker 2: in the meantime while they make a search around the 122 00:05:58,160 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 2: world to find a new police. 123 00:05:59,120 --> 00:06:00,720 Speaker 1: Commission Are we with the nurses? 124 00:06:00,800 --> 00:06:01,120 Speaker 2: Was it was? 125 00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:03,279 Speaker 1: I can't remember it was it morphine? They found in 126 00:06:03,320 --> 00:06:03,719 Speaker 1: the locker. 127 00:06:04,880 --> 00:06:09,159 Speaker 2: Yeah, the ah Mad Nadir, his locker at the Bankstown 128 00:06:09,320 --> 00:06:13,719 Speaker 2: Hospital searched by police and they found morphine. There's been 129 00:06:13,720 --> 00:06:16,400 Speaker 2: no charges laid yet, which puzzles a lot of people. 130 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:20,400 Speaker 2: They've searched both of these. The other one, of course, 131 00:06:20,560 --> 00:06:24,360 Speaker 2: was Abu Labda. She was the one that said she 132 00:06:24,400 --> 00:06:27,920 Speaker 2: would like to kill Israelis or Jews if they came 133 00:06:27,960 --> 00:06:31,040 Speaker 2: to her hospital. No charges have been laid and that 134 00:06:31,080 --> 00:06:33,920 Speaker 2: puzzles a lot of people. Detectives. They've got the full 135 00:06:33,920 --> 00:06:37,920 Speaker 2: interview that these two gave to the Israeli influencer. They 136 00:06:37,960 --> 00:06:41,360 Speaker 2: were complaining at one point that he would not give 137 00:06:41,400 --> 00:06:44,279 Speaker 2: over the full tape. That's because they gave him the 138 00:06:44,279 --> 00:06:47,159 Speaker 2: wrong address to email it too. But I think most 139 00:06:47,200 --> 00:06:50,600 Speaker 2: Australians are looking at this and the caravan with explosives 140 00:06:50,600 --> 00:06:52,880 Speaker 2: incident and going, well, hang on a minute, it was 141 00:06:52,920 --> 00:06:55,400 Speaker 2: no one ever been charged about any of these things. 142 00:06:55,720 --> 00:06:58,840 Speaker 2: There's still been no charges laid on the fire bombing 143 00:06:58,960 --> 00:07:01,479 Speaker 2: of the synagogue in mal but it would appear that 144 00:07:01,520 --> 00:07:04,479 Speaker 2: the police forces are having great difficulty in trying to 145 00:07:04,520 --> 00:07:07,960 Speaker 2: work out what to do about threats like this, and 146 00:07:08,040 --> 00:07:11,280 Speaker 2: in the meantime, the Jewish community in Australia were absolutely 147 00:07:11,800 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 2: petrified about what might happen next. Unreal. 148 00:07:14,360 --> 00:07:16,680 Speaker 1: All right, mate, see Wednesday, appreciate it very much. Steep Price. 149 00:07:17,000 --> 00:07:19,200 Speaker 1: The caravan thing. I was watching something yesterday is interesting. 150 00:07:19,240 --> 00:07:21,320 Speaker 1: The explosives were forty years old and one of the 151 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:23,480 Speaker 1: early indications was and it turned out the bloke was right. 152 00:07:23,520 --> 00:07:26,160 Speaker 1: I saw an interview with the Crime metor or whatever 153 00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:28,680 Speaker 1: he was, one of the Sydney papers. He said, you'll 154 00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:32,320 Speaker 1: probably find it's criminal related in the sense that they'll 155 00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:33,920 Speaker 1: be looking to cut a deal with the police, and 156 00:07:34,000 --> 00:07:36,680 Speaker 1: that appears to be what's happened. For more from the 157 00:07:36,760 --> 00:07:39,800 Speaker 1: Mike Asking Breakfast, listen live to news talks it'd be 158 00:07:39,920 --> 00:07:43,640 Speaker 1: from six am weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.