1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:03,080 Speaker 1: It has been a momentous twenty for ours in German 2 00:00:03,120 --> 00:00:06,840 Speaker 1: politics following these net federal elections. The Conservative Alliance is 3 00:00:06,880 --> 00:00:09,239 Speaker 1: once again the driving force, winning twenty eight point six 4 00:00:09,320 --> 00:00:12,119 Speaker 1: percent of the vote, and Frederick Metz is said to 5 00:00:12,119 --> 00:00:14,520 Speaker 1: be the new chancellor. But the question is who are 6 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:17,360 Speaker 1: they going to form a coalition with. Thorston Benner is 7 00:00:17,400 --> 00:00:20,600 Speaker 1: the co founder and director of the Global Public Policy Institute. 8 00:00:20,760 --> 00:00:23,479 Speaker 1: He's in Berlin and joins us Morning to you, Thorston. 9 00:00:24,440 --> 00:00:26,200 Speaker 2: Good morning, Andrew, Thanks for having me. 10 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:28,280 Speaker 1: How has it been you're in Germany. What are the 11 00:00:28,320 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 1: people saying? 12 00:00:30,680 --> 00:00:34,880 Speaker 2: Well, it depends on what the people's predilections are. Those 13 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:39,520 Speaker 2: who love extreme right wing forces, they're over the moon 14 00:00:39,560 --> 00:00:43,800 Speaker 2: because every fifth German, more than twenty percent voarted for 15 00:00:43,840 --> 00:00:48,199 Speaker 2: a far right party, the so called alternative for Germany. 16 00:00:49,240 --> 00:00:52,960 Speaker 2: There's the rest of the population, the eighty percent, they're 17 00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:56,320 Speaker 2: probably less happy about this. I have lots of friends 18 00:00:56,360 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 2: with a migrant background. We're thinking about maybe leaving Germany. 19 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:03,760 Speaker 2: If the AfD that established itself as the dominforce in 20 00:01:03,840 --> 00:01:07,480 Speaker 2: German politics in this election in all of Germany's East 21 00:01:08,319 --> 00:01:12,479 Speaker 2: will kind of be let into let into power. So 22 00:01:13,160 --> 00:01:16,640 Speaker 2: it's a sober. It's a it's a sober day for 23 00:01:16,760 --> 00:01:20,080 Speaker 2: German politics. We've had this experiment one hundred years ago 24 00:01:20,560 --> 00:01:24,640 Speaker 2: didn't go so well, so most of the population still 25 00:01:24,760 --> 00:01:26,039 Speaker 2: is not in for a rerun. 26 00:01:26,360 --> 00:01:28,679 Speaker 1: Right Well, Frederick Meetz has to form the coalition and 27 00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:30,840 Speaker 1: he has actually already said he'd like to make a 28 00:01:30,880 --> 00:01:33,600 Speaker 1: coalition with the Social Democrats. Now the problem there is 29 00:01:33,640 --> 00:01:36,240 Speaker 1: the Social Democrats had a terrible election, got their worst result, 30 00:01:36,560 --> 00:01:39,760 Speaker 1: and as you mentioned, the ad F, the Alternative for 31 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 1: deutsch Land party, the right wing party, had a great election. 32 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:46,559 Speaker 1: So is Matz going to go with the Social Democrats 33 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:47,680 Speaker 1: or will. 34 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:51,160 Speaker 2: He that's the only that's the only option, basically, because 35 00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:56,880 Speaker 2: the Christian Democrats have ruled out solemnly forming any sort 36 00:01:56,920 --> 00:02:00,600 Speaker 2: of coalition or any sort of cohabitation with the far 37 00:02:00,680 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 2: right Alternative for Germany, So that only leaves him one option, 38 00:02:05,440 --> 00:02:08,960 Speaker 2: that is to go with the Social Democrats, which is 39 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:11,960 Speaker 2: one of the better outcomes because it's only a two 40 00:02:12,040 --> 00:02:15,000 Speaker 2: party coalition that's necessary. So it was a nail bier 41 00:02:15,960 --> 00:02:21,320 Speaker 2: in the early morning hours yesterday because because it was 42 00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:24,440 Speaker 2: unclear whether some of the parties would make the five 43 00:02:24,480 --> 00:02:27,720 Speaker 2: percent threshold in the end, two parties didn't make it, 44 00:02:27,840 --> 00:02:32,119 Speaker 2: so that allows the SPDA and Fredrich Matz to form 45 00:02:32,120 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 2: a coalition. The SBDA is not, you know, super happy 46 00:02:35,320 --> 00:02:38,639 Speaker 2: about it. They're licking their wounds. But I think given 47 00:02:39,560 --> 00:02:42,120 Speaker 2: you know, you need to look at what the security 48 00:02:42,160 --> 00:02:46,440 Speaker 2: situation Germany finds itself with the war at our doorstep, 49 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:50,680 Speaker 2: where Donald Trump is pulling the rug from under our feet. 50 00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:54,320 Speaker 2: So we need a government that is able, that is 51 00:02:54,360 --> 00:02:56,880 Speaker 2: able to act, and I think in the end the 52 00:02:56,880 --> 00:03:01,959 Speaker 2: Social Democrats will not. We'll kind of get over their 53 00:03:01,960 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 2: grief and join a coalition, but it may not be 54 00:03:05,520 --> 00:03:06,960 Speaker 2: an easy process getting there. 55 00:03:07,040 --> 00:03:09,160 Speaker 1: Ok, Thorston, I thank you for your time. Thorston ben 56 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:11,240 Speaker 1: a co found a director of the Global Public Policy 57 00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:13,400 Speaker 1: Institute in Berlin. And what will be interesting is once 58 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:16,520 Speaker 1: they form their coalition where the policies go. Because Frederick 59 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 1: Metz over the course of the election said that he 60 00:03:20,919 --> 00:03:23,239 Speaker 1: was going to crack down a little bit more on immigration. 61 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:26,000 Speaker 1: And remember his party was Angela Merker's party, which had 62 00:03:26,000 --> 00:03:30,200 Speaker 1: an open immigration policy. So we'll wait to see for more. 63 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:32,079 Speaker 2: From early edition with Ryan Bridge. 64 00:03:32,160 --> 00:03:35,600 Speaker 1: Listen live to News Talks it be from five am weekdays, 65 00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:37,920 Speaker 1: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio,