1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:02,240 Speaker 1: Past your mind back a few years and everybody was 2 00:00:02,240 --> 00:00:04,680 Speaker 1: talking about the metaverse right the market thought it would 3 00:00:04,680 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: be the next big thing, the next big computer platform. 4 00:00:06,840 --> 00:00:10,239 Speaker 1: After we transitioned to mobile computing fifteen years ago or so, 5 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:13,800 Speaker 1: what happened to the metaverse? Sam Dicky from Fisher Funds 6 00:00:13,840 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 1: has been looking into this. 7 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:17,160 Speaker 2: Hey, Sam, good at evening here. 8 00:00:17,280 --> 00:00:19,480 Speaker 1: Sam, remind me why anybody thought this was going to 9 00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:20,480 Speaker 1: be the next big thing. 10 00:00:22,160 --> 00:00:25,520 Speaker 2: Yes, well that the most evangelical believers back in twenty 11 00:00:25,560 --> 00:00:27,880 Speaker 2: twenty one thought it could be the new Internet. So 12 00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:31,479 Speaker 2: instead of interacting via text and video, we would interact 13 00:00:31,480 --> 00:00:36,040 Speaker 2: in virtual reality and cruise around as kind of lanky avatars. 14 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:40,080 Speaker 2: And if your children irritating you play Fortnite or roeblocks, 15 00:00:40,680 --> 00:00:43,240 Speaker 2: well they are really just dumbed down versions of the metaverse. 16 00:00:43,400 --> 00:00:46,920 Speaker 2: And you might remember another virtual world we talked about 17 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:51,960 Speaker 2: back then, head the Sandbox, which specializes in virtual real estate, 18 00:00:51,960 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 2: and a virtual neighbor of Snoop Dog brought a plot 19 00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:58,520 Speaker 2: of land back then from a million bucks, and that 20 00:00:58,600 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 2: early height was a bit like the tea markets, Smoke 21 00:01:00,840 --> 00:01:02,600 Speaker 2: and mirrors and the price of this online where the 22 00:01:02,600 --> 00:01:05,679 Speaker 2: state it's kind of collapsed by ninety nine percent. 23 00:01:06,280 --> 00:01:08,280 Speaker 1: Oh my gosh. And so what he can't do anything? 24 00:01:08,440 --> 00:01:10,319 Speaker 1: Is that that's real money he's lost. 25 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:16,679 Speaker 2: Yes, absolutely, it's real money on a on a virtual 26 00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:17,440 Speaker 2: plot of land. 27 00:01:17,840 --> 00:01:21,120 Speaker 1: Okay, who okay, this was expected to be massive, right, 28 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:22,600 Speaker 1: so who put money into this stuff? 29 00:01:23,880 --> 00:01:26,000 Speaker 2: It was expected to be massive, and it's a massive 30 00:01:26,120 --> 00:01:28,440 Speaker 2: unders thrown around. So I think mortgagerstanding to report at 31 00:01:28,440 --> 00:01:31,200 Speaker 2: the time saying it could be an eight trillion dollar market. 32 00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:33,520 Speaker 2: It was the next generation kind of social media stream 33 00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:37,440 Speaker 2: in a gaming platform and virtual reality, and Facebook, remember 34 00:01:37,560 --> 00:01:39,240 Speaker 2: changed its name, so I went so far as to 35 00:01:39,280 --> 00:01:42,120 Speaker 2: change his name to Meta show how serious it was 36 00:01:42,120 --> 00:01:45,639 Speaker 2: about chasing the next Internet. It wasn't just Meta. Apple 37 00:01:45,880 --> 00:01:49,640 Speaker 2: invested heavily in virtual reality hardware like it's goggles, and 38 00:01:49,720 --> 00:01:52,680 Speaker 2: the gaming company's like ten Cent in China, and Microsoft 39 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:54,960 Speaker 2: invested heavily as well. 40 00:01:54,960 --> 00:01:58,160 Speaker 1: What's the reality, you know, compared to what they were expecting. 41 00:01:58,160 --> 00:01:59,279 Speaker 1: What are we dealing with today? 42 00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:03,160 Speaker 2: Not much? Not much. I mean I talked about those 43 00:02:03,240 --> 00:02:06,360 Speaker 2: virtual real estate prices, but messarily as a poster child here. 44 00:02:06,400 --> 00:02:09,280 Speaker 2: So there's eighty ten dollars on a metaverse to date 45 00:02:09,360 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 2: and they've got less than ten billion dollars of revenue 46 00:02:12,520 --> 00:02:15,400 Speaker 2: to show for that. But they are even kind of 47 00:02:15,400 --> 00:02:18,240 Speaker 2: stepping away from that the goggles of the online world, 48 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:21,600 Speaker 2: and they're really just focusing their attention now outside of AI, 49 00:02:21,680 --> 00:02:23,960 Speaker 2: of course, which we're not speaking about tonight, on its 50 00:02:24,040 --> 00:02:26,120 Speaker 2: joint venture with ray Band, where instead of kind of 51 00:02:26,120 --> 00:02:28,200 Speaker 2: picking up your phone one hundred and thirty seven times 52 00:02:28,240 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 2: per day, you can cruise around with a cool pier 53 00:02:30,000 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 2: of ray Band glasses on with the heads up virtual 54 00:02:32,320 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 2: reality display. 55 00:02:34,880 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, that sounds cool. What happens from here, though, Sam? 56 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:40,840 Speaker 1: Is it? Is it possible that this idea just was 57 00:02:40,880 --> 00:02:42,480 Speaker 1: before it's time and it might catch on in the 58 00:02:42,520 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 1: future sometime. 59 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, they all known. We overestimate technology in the short 60 00:02:47,800 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 2: term and underestimate in the long term. Could be, could be, 61 00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:53,600 Speaker 2: I think, but even the most evangelical Zuckerberg is kind 62 00:02:53,639 --> 00:02:57,239 Speaker 2: of stepping away from it for now. I do think 63 00:02:57,280 --> 00:03:01,240 Speaker 2: he's online virtual worlds that the market is selling now 64 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:03,560 Speaker 2: are unlikely to be anything more than Niche use that 65 00:03:03,720 --> 00:03:06,520 Speaker 2: haserhaps for gaming, and perhaps remember we talked about the 66 00:03:06,560 --> 00:03:09,680 Speaker 2: time head, Perhaps if you had a friend and Partmerston 67 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 2: both you could team up virtually and attended constant at 68 00:03:12,840 --> 00:03:15,359 Speaker 2: High Park sounds pretty cool, but I can't. I guess 69 00:03:15,400 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 2: we'll sit around at work with goggles on and working virtually. 70 00:03:19,320 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 1: No when you want the real life experience, don't you. 71 00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:23,799 Speaker 1: I mean, is the lesson in this for investors to 72 00:03:23,800 --> 00:03:26,600 Speaker 1: perhaps be a little bit wary of tech nerds getting 73 00:03:26,600 --> 00:03:28,600 Speaker 1: extremely excited about things. 74 00:03:30,200 --> 00:03:33,200 Speaker 2: I think it is. The metaverse is not in portant 75 00:03:33,200 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 2: per se, but it is a great lean through which 76 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 2: to view that the kind of aggressive spending we're seeing 77 00:03:39,200 --> 00:03:41,720 Speaker 2: right now. So remember the scale we talked about a 78 00:03:41,800 --> 00:03:45,200 Speaker 2: month ago, Microsoft needs Amazon, Google, just for companies. It's 79 00:03:45,200 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 2: been one hundred and forty billion on capital expensive last 80 00:03:48,120 --> 00:03:50,360 Speaker 2: year and US spend two thirty billion next year, so 81 00:03:50,760 --> 00:03:55,520 Speaker 2: extraordinary rise. So meta all alone. So despite the incredible 82 00:03:55,520 --> 00:03:58,360 Speaker 2: success of these companies, they're backed under losers. So think 83 00:03:58,400 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 2: of the Windows phoned by Microsoft, of firephone by Amazon, 84 00:04:01,440 --> 00:04:04,920 Speaker 2: or the Google Glass which was a wearable computer. So 85 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:08,160 Speaker 2: the point of all of this is the biggest resk 86 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:10,400 Speaker 2: for these big tech companies outside of the government trying 87 00:04:10,400 --> 00:04:13,440 Speaker 2: to split them up alligivate them, is being out innovated, 88 00:04:13,480 --> 00:04:15,480 Speaker 2: so being beaten at their own game. And they do 89 00:04:15,640 --> 00:04:18,839 Speaker 2: this or they get ahead of this by throwing couns 90 00:04:18,839 --> 00:04:21,000 Speaker 2: of money. Anything with an innovation pulse and that kind 91 00:04:21,000 --> 00:04:24,080 Speaker 2: of healthy paranoia is just kind of a poster doing 92 00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:25,279 Speaker 2: business for these big companies. 93 00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:28,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, fascinating. Hey, Sam, that was absolutely fascinating. I really 94 00:04:28,480 --> 00:04:32,280 Speaker 1: appreciate it. You're talking us through Sam Dickie Aficier Funds. 95 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:35,200 Speaker 1: For more from Hither Duplessy Allen Drive. 96 00:04:35,360 --> 00:04:36,760 Speaker 2: Listen live to news talks. 97 00:04:36,800 --> 00:04:40,000 Speaker 1: It'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow the podcast 98 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:41,039 Speaker 1: on iHeartRadio