1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:01,800 Speaker 1: Time for a look at the market. We've got Shane 2 00:00:01,800 --> 00:00:04,480 Speaker 1: Solely from Harbor Asset Management. We've been out a Shane. 3 00:00:05,000 --> 00:00:07,160 Speaker 2: Good a Heather, how are you and very well? 4 00:00:07,160 --> 00:00:09,760 Speaker 1: Thank you? Now what did you make? Oh mate, thank you, 5 00:00:09,800 --> 00:00:11,320 Speaker 1: it's good to talk to you too. What did you 6 00:00:11,360 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 1: make at this exemption for the smartphones and the computers 7 00:00:13,600 --> 00:00:15,400 Speaker 1: and the electronics and stuff from Trump? Is this a 8 00:00:15,400 --> 00:00:16,040 Speaker 1: good news sign? 9 00:00:16,880 --> 00:00:19,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, it is, but you know, you've got to step back. 10 00:00:19,320 --> 00:00:22,200 Speaker 2: We've had a policy induced skier to grow, so and 11 00:00:22,239 --> 00:00:24,119 Speaker 2: you think that with Jesus policy rest that's helpful. So 12 00:00:24,239 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 2: this ninety day reprieve, and we're going to be careful 13 00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:29,080 Speaker 2: about this. It is a reprieve to tech tariffs is 14 00:00:29,120 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 2: helpful go back. We are a little bit worried as 15 00:00:32,720 --> 00:00:34,239 Speaker 2: a capital market. This is a bit of a go 16 00:00:34,320 --> 00:00:37,479 Speaker 2: and no go situation that pushed out tariffs. But the 17 00:00:37,560 --> 00:00:39,960 Speaker 2: administration saying, hey, look we're going to launch some new 18 00:00:40,080 --> 00:00:44,960 Speaker 2: investigations into semiconductor chips and that may actually capture a 19 00:00:44,960 --> 00:00:47,920 Speaker 2: bunch of tech applications. So it's helpful. It's in the 20 00:00:47,960 --> 00:00:50,159 Speaker 2: right direction, but we've got to heck up and we 21 00:00:50,200 --> 00:00:53,760 Speaker 2: are perhaps past peak tariff noise, but there's a lot 22 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 2: of uncertained to Heather, and that's going to continue to 23 00:00:55,880 --> 00:00:59,160 Speaker 2: keep pressure on consumers and businesses and markets. 24 00:00:59,480 --> 00:01:01,880 Speaker 1: I see it is saying it's willing to get involved. 25 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:03,280 Speaker 1: What exactly does that mean? 26 00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:05,679 Speaker 2: Yes, so soon as in Collins, she's the head of 27 00:01:05,680 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 2: at Boston SEE and she's a member of the FED 28 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:11,240 Speaker 2: Open Market Committee. She told the Financial Times that the 29 00:01:11,319 --> 00:01:15,320 Speaker 2: US Central Bank, the FED is absolutely preard to step 30 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:18,840 Speaker 2: in and stabilize financial markets of conditions become disorderly. And 31 00:01:19,319 --> 00:01:22,080 Speaker 2: so what we saw last week was some disruptions to 32 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:25,240 Speaker 2: government bond years, government bond markets, and that's what she's 33 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:28,039 Speaker 2: talking about, disruption. What she's saying is we think markets 34 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:31,160 Speaker 2: are still functioning well, we're not seeing liquidity issues, but 35 00:01:31,200 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 2: we're ready to step in. It's really important. It's important 36 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:37,600 Speaker 2: to give people confidence that US government bonds they are 37 00:01:37,760 --> 00:01:41,680 Speaker 2: a safe asset and by definition, other government bonds, including 38 00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:42,679 Speaker 2: our own, are safe. 39 00:01:43,319 --> 00:01:46,600 Speaker 1: And so what's been the reaction locally to both the 40 00:01:46,640 --> 00:01:49,880 Speaker 1: tariffs that tech tariffs and the and the FED comments. 41 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:52,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, look the bond yields, and they are important. They 42 00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:54,520 Speaker 2: are pretty flat. The tenure government bond youars flat at 43 00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 2: four point seventy five. They're quite a long way up 44 00:01:57,040 --> 00:01:59,160 Speaker 2: from where they started the year, but they've stopped going up. 45 00:01:59,200 --> 00:02:02,080 Speaker 2: That's important. The New Zealand dollar back to just under 46 00:02:02,080 --> 00:02:05,559 Speaker 2: fifty nine cents fifty eight sixty against the US dollar. 47 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:08,799 Speaker 2: That's about US dollar weakness. So one of the things 48 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:10,959 Speaker 2: we've seen through this last few weeks is the US 49 00:02:11,040 --> 00:02:14,160 Speaker 2: dollar has been falling and the New Zealand shear market 50 00:02:14,320 --> 00:02:17,280 Speaker 2: was about point seventy percent, so less than one percent 51 00:02:17,320 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 2: more than a half, led by defensive growth companies like 52 00:02:20,040 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 2: infratill'm already and Fish and Park where alk and ebos. 53 00:02:22,720 --> 00:02:25,800 Speaker 2: So yeah, not a bad day, but not super exciting. 54 00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:28,240 Speaker 1: Okay, what's coming up this week that the investors should 55 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:28,880 Speaker 1: keep an eye out for. 56 00:02:29,440 --> 00:02:32,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, Busy Weeks said that the probably key one locally 57 00:02:32,840 --> 00:02:34,960 Speaker 2: is on Thursday, we've got this New Zealand consumer price 58 00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:38,160 Speaker 2: inflation from March to March quarter. I should give the 59 00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:40,880 Speaker 2: Reserve Bank of New Zealand a green light to keep 60 00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:46,000 Speaker 2: cutting official rates. We're seeing certainly businesses and surveys saying hey, 61 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 2: look the inflation conditions a form, so that should give 62 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:51,120 Speaker 2: us a green light for more cuts. Tuesday night, we've 63 00:02:51,160 --> 00:02:53,560 Speaker 2: also got mister Powell, who's the cheer of the US 64 00:02:53,600 --> 00:02:55,920 Speaker 2: federal is there talking about economic outlook. He's probably going 65 00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 2: to be a little bit weary. We've also got the 66 00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:01,560 Speaker 2: European Central Bank potentially cutting and and then later in 67 00:03:01,560 --> 00:03:04,720 Speaker 2: the week we've got a large number of US companies 68 00:03:04,840 --> 00:03:08,080 Speaker 2: delivering profit results and then it'll give the real tone 69 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:11,200 Speaker 2: for where we should expect the markets to go on. 70 00:03:11,200 --> 00:03:15,200 Speaker 2: Of course, we're closed for Easter Friday, so sing to 71 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:17,799 Speaker 2: be a little to focus on East Eggs on over 72 00:03:17,840 --> 00:03:18,280 Speaker 2: the weekend. 73 00:03:19,200 --> 00:03:21,120 Speaker 1: Shane, thanks very much, Looking forward to chatting to you 74 00:03:21,120 --> 00:03:22,920 Speaker 1: next week. Is Shane Soli Harba, Asset Management. 75 00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:26,919 Speaker 2: For more from Hither Duplessy Allen Drive, listen live to 76 00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:30,040 Speaker 2: news talks. It'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow 77 00:03:30,080 --> 00:03:31,799 Speaker 2: the podcast on iHeartRadio