1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,960 Speaker 1: So it's only when you read the full detail and 2 00:00:03,000 --> 00:00:05,559 Speaker 1: the latest taxpayer union career poll that you start to 3 00:00:05,559 --> 00:00:08,160 Speaker 1: get a feel for where the current government sits. Firstly, 4 00:00:08,320 --> 00:00:11,320 Speaker 1: the polls for corporate clients, reportage is usually limited to 5 00:00:11,320 --> 00:00:13,239 Speaker 1: a few basic numbers, i e. The nats are up 6 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:15,680 Speaker 1: or down a point and added together that means x 7 00:00:15,760 --> 00:00:17,919 Speaker 1: number of seats for the House. So the full report 8 00:00:18,040 --> 00:00:20,520 Speaker 1: that's got the gold and everyone in corporate New Zealand 9 00:00:20,560 --> 00:00:23,080 Speaker 1: will be seeing that this current government is on somewhat 10 00:00:23,079 --> 00:00:25,000 Speaker 1: of a roll. And here's the really worrying thing for 11 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 1: the opposition parties. These numbers are produced at a time 12 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:31,280 Speaker 1: the economy is still rubbish and it's entirely possible we're 13 00:00:31,320 --> 00:00:34,800 Speaker 1: still in a recession. So things for labor especially to 14 00:00:34,840 --> 00:00:37,880 Speaker 1: worry about. One, the Coalition have sixty seven seats, that's 15 00:00:37,880 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 1: an easy majority. Two every single issue bar one they're 16 00:00:41,120 --> 00:00:43,520 Speaker 1: now more trusted on. In areas like the economy and spending, 17 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:46,560 Speaker 1: the government win by a mile. The gap is embarrassing. 18 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:49,400 Speaker 1: The only area of Labour claim victory in nowadays's poverty, 19 00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:52,360 Speaker 1: and even then they only claim it by one point three. 20 00:00:52,800 --> 00:00:55,600 Speaker 1: The Right Way Wrong Way tracker has turned in spectacular 21 00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 1: fashion since the election. Many argue this is the true 22 00:00:58,400 --> 00:01:00,760 Speaker 1: indication of government support. Get the cups country going right. 23 00:01:00,960 --> 00:01:03,920 Speaker 1: You're in every time for the Labour leader's popularity has 24 00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:08,520 Speaker 1: tanked the favorability. Unfavorable numbers have created Chris Hepkins isn't liked, 25 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:12,760 Speaker 1: isn't backed. Is, as they say in America, underwater. Now 26 00:01:12,880 --> 00:01:14,920 Speaker 1: fair is fairs just a poll, not an election. But 27 00:01:15,640 --> 00:01:18,000 Speaker 1: get some steam into the economy, get a growing level 28 00:01:18,000 --> 00:01:20,400 Speaker 1: of confidence as the Reserve Bank cuts those rates and 29 00:01:20,440 --> 00:01:22,399 Speaker 1: people start to spend and feel good again. Get some 30 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:25,640 Speaker 1: real growth and proceedings, and it's at that point any 31 00:01:25,640 --> 00:01:27,840 Speaker 1: government of the day starts to feel like they're re electable. 32 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:30,080 Speaker 1: We've seen this past week the seats, I mean, the 33 00:01:30,600 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 1: shoots of progress, those crime stats, the increasingly determined action 34 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:36,959 Speaker 1: around the treaty, the reportage of schools talking of this 35 00:01:37,480 --> 00:01:40,480 Speaker 1: change of culture after a phone ban. These are small 36 00:01:41,000 --> 00:01:43,920 Speaker 1: but tangible wins. If by the end of next year 37 00:01:44,319 --> 00:01:46,640 Speaker 1: the economy is back and the rest of the tangibles 38 00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 1: are falling into place, an opposition will have very very 39 00:01:49,680 --> 00:01:52,520 Speaker 1: little left in which to enter election year with, and 40 00:01:52,600 --> 00:01:55,160 Speaker 1: Chris Hepkins won't just be underwater. You'll be out of 41 00:01:55,160 --> 00:01:58,840 Speaker 1: a job. For more from the mic Asking Breakfast, listen 42 00:01:58,920 --> 00:02:01,840 Speaker 1: live to news talks it Be from six am weekdays, 43 00:02:02,080 --> 00:02:04,120 Speaker 1: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.