1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,800 Speaker 1: I would have thought the Nzier numbers yesterday sealed the 2 00:00:02,840 --> 00:00:05,080 Speaker 1: deal for the Monetary Policy Committee in today's call, the 3 00:00:05,080 --> 00:00:08,400 Speaker 1: inztier was the last substantive look at the economy, and 4 00:00:08,400 --> 00:00:10,680 Speaker 1: what it shows is we've got real trouble, quite possibly 5 00:00:10,680 --> 00:00:15,160 Speaker 1: in fact, recessionary trouble. The quarter IEQ three they think 6 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:17,720 Speaker 1: was certainly flat, if not in contraction. If it's in contraction, 7 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:19,840 Speaker 1: you can add that to the Q two contraction, and 8 00:00:19,880 --> 00:00:23,040 Speaker 1: that once again is a recession. How many of these 9 00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:25,040 Speaker 1: do we want, and in the Reserve Bank's case, how 10 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:27,160 Speaker 1: many do they want given they can actually do something 11 00:00:27,160 --> 00:00:30,440 Speaker 1: about them. Two particularly poor, if not concerning parts of 12 00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:32,960 Speaker 1: the data show one more jobs being cut, So that's 13 00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:36,080 Speaker 1: your unemployment rate heading higher, shattering the idea that we 14 00:00:36,120 --> 00:00:39,680 Speaker 1: may have reached peak. And two inflation expectations are heading 15 00:00:39,720 --> 00:00:42,080 Speaker 1: north of three the band, remember is one to three. 16 00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 1: Trouble with that is the three isn't coming from growth, 17 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:47,280 Speaker 1: which is traditionally what you want. The term for no growth, 18 00:00:47,280 --> 00:00:51,800 Speaker 1: but increasing inflation is of course stagflation. We could relitigate 19 00:00:52,280 --> 00:00:54,960 Speaker 1: again how badly the bank have handled this, How they 20 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:57,400 Speaker 1: missed Q two despite that being their job. How they 21 00:00:57,480 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 1: kept telling us these stimulatory effects of lower and tes 22 00:01:00,200 --> 00:01:02,959 Speaker 1: traits were here or just about here, or here any 23 00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:05,440 Speaker 1: day now. And if in fact they were here, they 24 00:01:05,440 --> 00:01:07,600 Speaker 1: got swallowed by the councils and the power companies and 25 00:01:07,640 --> 00:01:11,840 Speaker 1: the insurance giants. Anyway, surely fifty points as are given, well, 26 00:01:11,840 --> 00:01:14,080 Speaker 1: it isn't. Of course, there remain those who argue twenty 27 00:01:14,080 --> 00:01:16,360 Speaker 1: five should do it today, in another twenty five next month, 28 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:19,479 Speaker 1: then we can all head off to Christmas fingers crossed. Ah. 29 00:01:19,760 --> 00:01:22,880 Speaker 1: My argument today, it's about more than stats and numbers. 30 00:01:22,920 --> 00:01:25,800 Speaker 1: It's about the psychology of an economy in a country. 31 00:01:26,120 --> 00:01:28,760 Speaker 1: The government of tribe but largely failed to jolly us along, 32 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:31,280 Speaker 1: to sell us the story of recovery. The Reserve Bank 33 00:01:31,360 --> 00:01:35,880 Speaker 1: have spectacularly failed, but they can help today with fifty 34 00:01:36,160 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 1: because it says we got it wrong, we missed it. 35 00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 1: We need to father this joint up and here is 36 00:01:41,600 --> 00:01:44,360 Speaker 1: our shot, and it's a big one. Go on, Christian 37 00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:49,440 Speaker 1: be bold, second to last time, don't die wondering. For 38 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:52,640 Speaker 1: more from the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to news 39 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:55,560 Speaker 1: talks it'd be from six am weekdays, or follow the 40 00:01:55,600 --> 00:01:57,080 Speaker 1: podcast on iHeartRadio.