1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,600 Speaker 1: We've got new numbers back home though. On our housing market, 2 00:00:02,840 --> 00:00:05,320 Speaker 1: there's a one rue Velocity house value index between the 3 00:00:05,360 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 1: start of the year and the average and now the 4 00:00:07,480 --> 00:00:10,440 Speaker 1: average price hasn't moved nine hundred and sixty six thousand. 5 00:00:10,520 --> 00:00:14,720 Speaker 1: Is your value dropped? Who's dropped? Auckland, Hamilton, Duned and 6 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:17,520 Speaker 1: Wellington West Coast Nelson by a plenty gisbon Mona with two? 7 00:00:17,560 --> 00:00:18,439 Speaker 1: Anyone left that went up? 8 00:00:18,520 --> 00:00:18,800 Speaker 2: Yes? 9 00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:23,200 Speaker 1: Southland, Canterbury, Marlborough. Taranaki, a Northland CEO of real estate 10 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:27,680 Speaker 1: at Velocity. Helen O'Sullivan is with us Helen morning, Good morning, right, 11 00:00:27,840 --> 00:00:30,680 Speaker 1: so we're seeing more sales here, that's right. 12 00:00:30,720 --> 00:00:34,199 Speaker 2: I mean, I think people do focus on the headline 13 00:00:34,240 --> 00:00:37,040 Speaker 2: obviously of prices, but when it comes to the overall 14 00:00:37,080 --> 00:00:40,080 Speaker 2: house of the real estate market, volumes are a really 15 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:42,960 Speaker 2: key indicator and we are starting to see these pick 16 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:46,560 Speaker 2: up roughly roughly ten percent up on last year, and 17 00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:49,559 Speaker 2: we've seen mortgage registrations are twenty two percent up on 18 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:51,800 Speaker 2: the same time last year, which is a significant list. 19 00:00:51,960 --> 00:00:53,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, I was reading over the weekend that some of 20 00:00:53,760 --> 00:00:56,160 Speaker 1: the banks are having trouble processing the number of people 21 00:00:56,160 --> 00:00:58,480 Speaker 1: who were wanting money, so at least there are people 22 00:00:58,520 --> 00:01:01,360 Speaker 1: out there, and from what we previously known, there are 23 00:01:01,360 --> 00:01:02,880 Speaker 1: plenty of houses to choose from. 24 00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:06,199 Speaker 2: That's right, there is plenty of stock on the market. 25 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:10,240 Speaker 2: We are seeing the days to sell, which is another 26 00:01:10,319 --> 00:01:12,840 Speaker 2: key kind of measure, if you like, of the velocity 27 00:01:12,959 --> 00:01:16,679 Speaker 2: of the market. Boom boom is roughly forty seven days, 28 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:18,880 Speaker 2: which is three days longer than this time last year, 29 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:22,160 Speaker 2: which indicates that buyers are feeling no pressure to conclude 30 00:01:22,200 --> 00:01:25,280 Speaker 2: those transactions, which will be feeding true ultimately into the 31 00:01:25,360 --> 00:01:26,560 Speaker 2: lack of price increases. 32 00:01:26,880 --> 00:01:29,040 Speaker 1: What can you tell us about the money getting cheaper 33 00:01:29,080 --> 00:01:31,760 Speaker 1: therefore people getting more bullish, or are we going to 34 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:33,440 Speaker 1: have to wait a while while they get into the 35 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:36,960 Speaker 1: market and the supply drops therefore the prices start to rise. 36 00:01:38,160 --> 00:01:41,000 Speaker 2: Look, I think even though we have seen those significant 37 00:01:41,000 --> 00:01:45,119 Speaker 2: decreases in the cash rate, it is still a confidence game. 38 00:01:45,840 --> 00:01:49,000 Speaker 2: And so we do you know, migration figures have reached 39 00:01:49,000 --> 00:01:54,520 Speaker 2: a post COVID lot, the rental market has got plenty 40 00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:58,360 Speaker 2: of supply in it, and as a result, confidence is 41 00:01:58,400 --> 00:02:01,160 Speaker 2: still somewhat soft, and you're keeping your hands in your 42 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:04,560 Speaker 2: pocket as far as bending on food and clothing. You're 43 00:02:05,440 --> 00:02:07,680 Speaker 2: be weary about committing to our house purchase. 44 00:02:07,880 --> 00:02:10,120 Speaker 1: You alluded to it, but immigration must have played a 45 00:02:10,200 --> 00:02:13,120 Speaker 1: role because it's tailed off dramatically. Therefore the demand, I mean, 46 00:02:13,160 --> 00:02:14,760 Speaker 1: the new people coming into the country will want a 47 00:02:14,760 --> 00:02:16,720 Speaker 1: house where the being rent a little buyer. But if 48 00:02:16,720 --> 00:02:18,120 Speaker 1: they're not here, they're not buying, are they. 49 00:02:19,120 --> 00:02:21,080 Speaker 2: That's absolutely correct, and we can see that in the 50 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:25,360 Speaker 2: rental market at the moment. Landlords are reporting that is 51 00:02:25,440 --> 00:02:28,400 Speaker 2: considerably more difficult to find good tenants than it usually 52 00:02:28,680 --> 00:02:31,399 Speaker 2: than it is normally around this time of year, and 53 00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:35,840 Speaker 2: so that is unquestionably a factor in that softness. 54 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:37,639 Speaker 1: What's your sense of the rest of the year. 55 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:41,840 Speaker 2: I think a lot will determine what happens in the 56 00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:46,240 Speaker 2: international state if things settle down into Just as people 57 00:02:46,280 --> 00:02:48,160 Speaker 2: were starting to get a bit of confidence, we saw 58 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:52,880 Speaker 2: the teriff wars and actual wars break out, and that 59 00:02:53,000 --> 00:02:56,160 Speaker 2: generally has a hit on confidence. People tend to pause 60 00:02:56,240 --> 00:02:58,520 Speaker 2: and wait and see what happens. And I get a 61 00:02:58,560 --> 00:03:01,640 Speaker 2: distinct sense that you know, the wag and see is 62 00:03:01,680 --> 00:03:06,400 Speaker 2: the key factor in general overall economic conditions. We start 63 00:03:06,440 --> 00:03:08,880 Speaker 2: to see that check up, the housing market will follow. 64 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:11,560 Speaker 1: Helen Good have you on the program, appreciate it? Helen? 65 00:03:11,600 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 1: I Suliman, CEO of Velocity, with us this morning. For 66 00:03:15,120 --> 00:03:18,200 Speaker 1: more from the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to news 67 00:03:18,200 --> 00:03:21,120 Speaker 1: talks that'd be from six am weekdays, or follow the 68 00:03:21,160 --> 00:03:22,560 Speaker 1: podcast on iHeartRadio