1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,440 Speaker 1: And Jeremy Hutton joins me from Milford Acid Management. 2 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:05,040 Speaker 2: Hello, Jeremy, good evening, Andrew. 3 00:00:05,240 --> 00:00:08,399 Speaker 1: Reporting season kicked off this week with Vulcan Steel. So 4 00:00:08,400 --> 00:00:10,680 Speaker 1: what are we expecting for the financial results of inz 5 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:12,480 Speaker 1: X companies? And I tell you we just had the 6 00:00:12,520 --> 00:00:14,960 Speaker 1: result from ASB which is a tick up and people 7 00:00:15,000 --> 00:00:19,560 Speaker 1: are saying, oh, that might be a suddenly a sprout 8 00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:19,960 Speaker 1: of green. 9 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:24,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, Vulcan Steel. They kicked off what will be a 10 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:27,640 Speaker 2: very busy three week period for inzidex stock market analysts. 11 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 2: So there should be a lot of newsflow coming out 12 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 2: of New Zealand companies over the next few weeks. So 13 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:34,560 Speaker 2: that'll be really interesting seeing how they're seeing the world 14 00:00:34,560 --> 00:00:38,000 Speaker 2: at the moment. Now. This result period does cover the 15 00:00:38,000 --> 00:00:42,320 Speaker 2: second half of twenty twenty four, which, unsurprisingly the market 16 00:00:42,320 --> 00:00:46,280 Speaker 2: has pretty low expectations for now. Vulcan Steel their results 17 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:51,280 Speaker 2: confirmed some of those challenges we're expecting. As a reference 18 00:00:51,320 --> 00:00:55,520 Speaker 2: for listeners. Vulcan is a steel and aluminum distributor based 19 00:00:55,520 --> 00:00:58,080 Speaker 2: in New Zealand and Australia and their first half net 20 00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:02,520 Speaker 2: profit result was down six versus last year and this 21 00:01:02,640 --> 00:01:06,120 Speaker 2: is now down from around eighty five percent from the 22 00:01:06,160 --> 00:01:09,160 Speaker 2: peak times that they had just after COVID and is. 23 00:01:09,520 --> 00:01:11,160 Speaker 1: And this is before the steel and ear the indium 24 00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:13,959 Speaker 1: tariffs that are coming in as well. But Vocus Steel 25 00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:16,800 Speaker 1: had some very interesting comments yesterday on their outlook for 26 00:01:16,840 --> 00:01:17,399 Speaker 1: twenty five. 27 00:01:18,800 --> 00:01:21,080 Speaker 2: Yeah. One of the most interesting aspects in my view 28 00:01:21,160 --> 00:01:23,280 Speaker 2: of the reporting season is it is a really good 29 00:01:23,360 --> 00:01:26,679 Speaker 2: chance to hear from a variety of New Zealand businesses 30 00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:29,240 Speaker 2: on their view of the go forward. So what are 31 00:01:29,280 --> 00:01:33,119 Speaker 2: their expectations for twenty twenty five. And Vulcan Steel, as 32 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:35,440 Speaker 2: we know, has been at the really pointy end of 33 00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:38,480 Speaker 2: a construction and building activity slowdown and this is a 34 00:01:38,520 --> 00:01:41,560 Speaker 2: really important part of the New Zealand economy. But they 35 00:01:41,600 --> 00:01:45,640 Speaker 2: finally had some more positive news. So the Vulcan management 36 00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:48,160 Speaker 2: team they were much much more optimistic on their view 37 00:01:48,160 --> 00:01:51,040 Speaker 2: of the next twelve months. They were talking to tangible 38 00:01:51,080 --> 00:01:54,400 Speaker 2: green shoots that they're seeing and better customer orders in 39 00:01:54,440 --> 00:01:56,880 Speaker 2: their forward pipeline as well. So finally some good news 40 00:01:56,920 --> 00:01:57,559 Speaker 2: for that sector. 41 00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:00,760 Speaker 1: THEAK to Buildings next week, do you think they might 42 00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:02,160 Speaker 1: say something similar. 43 00:02:03,080 --> 00:02:06,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'd say that Fletchers are unlikely to be as positive. 44 00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:08,959 Speaker 2: They have warm of the market up fairly well for 45 00:02:09,760 --> 00:02:12,360 Speaker 2: a tough six month period that's just been and the 46 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:14,920 Speaker 2: business has been through a lot of change recently at 47 00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:18,639 Speaker 2: the senior leadership level, so a relatively new CEO, CFO 48 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:22,399 Speaker 2: and the chair also just appointed fairly recently as well, 49 00:02:22,480 --> 00:02:25,280 Speaker 2: So they're all getting their feet under the table somewhat. 50 00:02:25,440 --> 00:02:28,240 Speaker 2: But the market won't have that much patience, you know. 51 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:33,440 Speaker 2: They'll be expecting some pretty significant thinking from those senior 52 00:02:33,520 --> 00:02:35,840 Speaker 2: leaders on what the go ford plans for the business 53 00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:40,639 Speaker 2: are and further furthermore, the new Zealand Convention Center another 54 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:43,520 Speaker 2: delay last week. It just highlights some of the challenges 55 00:02:43,520 --> 00:02:45,399 Speaker 2: that Fletcher's is continuing to work through. 56 00:02:45,560 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 1: And we're expecting news out of the electricity gent tailors. 57 00:02:49,480 --> 00:02:52,919 Speaker 2: Yeah, Contact Energy. They're kicking off the big electricity gent 58 00:02:52,919 --> 00:02:56,720 Speaker 2: tailors on Monday, and some of the gen tailor results 59 00:02:56,760 --> 00:02:59,760 Speaker 2: will be a little soft around the edges, you know, 60 00:02:59,800 --> 00:03:02,760 Speaker 2: some have been impacted by that very dry end to 61 00:03:02,800 --> 00:03:06,120 Speaker 2: the winter in twenty four some of them had to 62 00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:09,000 Speaker 2: buy some very expensive gas to keep the market supplied 63 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:12,680 Speaker 2: with electricity. I also expect the gent tailors to announce 64 00:03:13,080 --> 00:03:17,560 Speaker 2: a range of renewable projects. It's very important that they 65 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:21,240 Speaker 2: continue to build more generation for the country as it demands. 66 00:03:21,919 --> 00:03:24,560 Speaker 2: And then finally, any comments that they have on system 67 00:03:24,600 --> 00:03:29,040 Speaker 2: resilience or gas that will be followed very closely, especially 68 00:03:29,080 --> 00:03:32,720 Speaker 2: by politicians. They will not be wanting a repeat of 69 00:03:32,800 --> 00:03:34,960 Speaker 2: some of the winter stresses that we had last year. 70 00:03:35,160 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 1: Is I've got some news on that after the news 71 00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:39,480 Speaker 1: which is up next year. Mehudton from Milford Asset Management. 72 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:42,200 Speaker 1: I thank you so much for your time today. For 73 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:45,640 Speaker 1: more from Hither Duplassy Alan Drive, listen live to news 74 00:03:45,640 --> 00:03:48,560 Speaker 1: talks it'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow the 75 00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:50,240 Speaker 1: podcast on iHeartRadio