1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:03,760 Speaker 1: The government is considering a special economic zone for Marsden 2 00:00:03,840 --> 00:00:07,840 Speaker 1: Point that would reduce red tape to parently help turn 3 00:00:07,880 --> 00:00:10,640 Speaker 1: it into an economic winner. Brad Olsen is the Informetric's 4 00:00:10,680 --> 00:00:12,680 Speaker 1: principle economist who's back with us on this. 5 00:00:12,840 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 2: Hi, Brad, good evening. 6 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:19,160 Speaker 1: So these special economic zones. We've spoken to the minister, 7 00:00:19,200 --> 00:00:21,400 Speaker 1: that's Shane Jones earlier on the program about this, his 8 00:00:21,560 --> 00:00:22,760 Speaker 1: ideas for it. What do you reckon? 9 00:00:23,720 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 2: Oh, look, it's always encouraging to think about the economic 10 00:00:26,760 --> 00:00:29,160 Speaker 2: growth potential coming through And look, I'm a Northander so 11 00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:32,640 Speaker 2: definitely understand all of that. But I really would hope 12 00:00:32,640 --> 00:00:34,879 Speaker 2: that if we can figure out how to make some 13 00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:37,960 Speaker 2: of these different proposals work in a special economic zone, 14 00:00:37,960 --> 00:00:40,559 Speaker 2: surely we can make them work for like the entire country. 15 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:42,880 Speaker 2: And it would be better probably to do that more 16 00:00:42,920 --> 00:00:45,560 Speaker 2: broadly than to do it sort of at a more 17 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:48,760 Speaker 2: specific zone by zone function. I mean, the worry I 18 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:51,440 Speaker 2: guess I have is that you start to create winners 19 00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 2: and establish losers if you have certain you know, more 20 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 2: business friendly regulations or different regulations that you don't have 21 00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:01,000 Speaker 2: to do within a special economic zone, but you still 22 00:01:01,000 --> 00:01:02,480 Speaker 2: have to do in other parts of the country. It 23 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:05,400 Speaker 2: sort of does make other parts of the country less competitive. 24 00:01:05,400 --> 00:01:07,680 Speaker 2: It would be better, I suggest to, you know, try 25 00:01:07,760 --> 00:01:09,680 Speaker 2: and lift all boats or to eliminate all of those 26 00:01:09,720 --> 00:01:12,039 Speaker 2: regulations everywhere. If you can do it in one zone, 27 00:01:12,080 --> 00:01:14,240 Speaker 2: you probably should just do it everywhere. Overall. 28 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:17,920 Speaker 1: Countries that do this tend to be massive. You know, 29 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:21,280 Speaker 1: We're quite small, so it would seem odd to have, 30 00:01:21,360 --> 00:01:24,560 Speaker 1: you know, an arbitrary line between around a port basically 31 00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:25,240 Speaker 1: and NORTHLND. 32 00:01:26,400 --> 00:01:28,959 Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly. And I think, you know, also for other 33 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:31,360 Speaker 2: areas around the country where they might be going, well, geez, 34 00:01:31,360 --> 00:01:33,360 Speaker 2: you know I've got a port, can I have one 35 00:01:33,400 --> 00:01:35,600 Speaker 2: of these as well? And then okay, so you extended 36 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:37,479 Speaker 2: out to all the ports, and then the airports want them, 37 00:01:37,760 --> 00:01:39,680 Speaker 2: then the inland ports want one, and at that point, 38 00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 2: why don't you just sort of do it wholesale? I mean, 39 00:01:42,040 --> 00:01:44,480 Speaker 2: I think as well. Part of this is, I think, 40 00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:47,640 Speaker 2: is around the government wanting to test out some of 41 00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:50,360 Speaker 2: these options and hopefully using it as a bit of 42 00:01:50,360 --> 00:01:53,600 Speaker 2: an approving ground for how they might be developed out further. 43 00:01:53,680 --> 00:01:56,120 Speaker 2: And if that's the case, I can buy that justification 44 00:01:56,240 --> 00:01:59,440 Speaker 2: a lot more. But I think also, you know, looking ahead, 45 00:01:59,440 --> 00:02:01,200 Speaker 2: it would better if we can figure out a way 46 00:02:01,240 --> 00:02:03,080 Speaker 2: to make these sort of proposals work, then you do 47 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:06,280 Speaker 2: have a much more expensive option. The work that government's 48 00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:09,080 Speaker 2: doing though around Marsden Point or thinking about around the 49 00:02:09,200 --> 00:02:11,760 Speaker 2: likes of fuel security. I do think that's important. I mean, 50 00:02:11,800 --> 00:02:14,000 Speaker 2: some of the analysis that the government's put out today 51 00:02:14,320 --> 00:02:17,320 Speaker 2: suggests that, you know, we can only cover about a 52 00:02:17,360 --> 00:02:21,919 Speaker 2: third of our usual amount of fuel use across the country. 53 00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:26,240 Speaker 2: If we had no fuel supply for ninety days, that's 54 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:29,320 Speaker 2: two thirds of economic activity and transporting stuff around that 55 00:02:29,360 --> 00:02:31,519 Speaker 2: we wouldn't be able to do so. Aside from the 56 00:02:31,520 --> 00:02:34,320 Speaker 2: special economic zones, which you hope can broaden out, some 57 00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:37,560 Speaker 2: of this work on fuel security is going to be important. 58 00:02:37,600 --> 00:02:40,320 Speaker 2: It might be costly, but I think it's worth the conversation. 59 00:02:40,720 --> 00:02:42,600 Speaker 1: The other thing that comes with it's not just better 60 00:02:42,639 --> 00:02:46,480 Speaker 1: regulational easier regulations than especially economic zones, is potentially tax 61 00:02:46,520 --> 00:02:49,000 Speaker 1: breaks as well. How do you reckon that it go down? 62 00:02:49,800 --> 00:02:51,920 Speaker 2: And I think that's where a lot of other businesses 63 00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:54,840 Speaker 2: will sort of start to probably rightfully complain and go, well, 64 00:02:55,000 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 2: how come we can't get that as well? You know, 65 00:02:57,080 --> 00:03:00,239 Speaker 2: we're good hard earning export businesses throughout the country and 66 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:03,880 Speaker 2: trying to do different things. You know what, why do 67 00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:07,520 Speaker 2: we have to uproot ourselves from different areas. So again 68 00:03:07,600 --> 00:03:09,680 Speaker 2: I can take the point that maybe it's a bit 69 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:11,600 Speaker 2: more of that test case and that over time it 70 00:03:11,600 --> 00:03:14,160 Speaker 2: can sort of widen out. But I do think that there, 71 00:03:14,280 --> 00:03:16,680 Speaker 2: you know, could be some very valid complaints for people 72 00:03:16,720 --> 00:03:19,760 Speaker 2: going well, actually, surely we should do this across it 73 00:03:19,840 --> 00:03:22,000 Speaker 2: if we can make you know, some sort of tax 74 00:03:22,040 --> 00:03:24,880 Speaker 2: breaks and similar work for certain industries or certain parts 75 00:03:24,880 --> 00:03:26,960 Speaker 2: of the country. I sort of feel like you should 76 00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:29,200 Speaker 2: do that broadly. Put it this way, I don't think 77 00:03:29,240 --> 00:03:30,960 Speaker 2: we've got the time or the effort here in New 78 00:03:31,040 --> 00:03:32,799 Speaker 2: Zealand to be able to sort of make these very 79 00:03:32,840 --> 00:03:35,880 Speaker 2: minute decisions over what P on the map gets sort 80 00:03:35,920 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 2: of you know, certain economic advantages and not surely we're 81 00:03:39,640 --> 00:03:41,120 Speaker 2: small enough where we should be able to do it 82 00:03:41,160 --> 00:03:44,000 Speaker 2: wholesale across the country. If it's good enough for one area, 83 00:03:44,040 --> 00:03:45,280 Speaker 2: it's good enough for the rest of us. 84 00:03:45,360 --> 00:03:47,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, good point, Brad, Thanks so much for that. Brand 85 00:03:47,680 --> 00:03:51,920 Speaker 1: Olsen from Informetrics with us as the principal economist There 86 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:55,760 Speaker 1: for more from Heather Duplessyl and Drive Listen Live to 87 00:03:55,880 --> 00:03:58,880 Speaker 1: news talks, it'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow 88 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:00,680 Speaker 1: the podcast on Heart radio