1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,200 Speaker 1: So the government's given a little more detail about the 2 00:00:02,200 --> 00:00:04,960 Speaker 1: grand plan for Kiwi Bank. It will be part privatized. 3 00:00:05,040 --> 00:00:07,520 Speaker 1: Only Kiwis and Kiwi Saver Funds will be able to 4 00:00:07,560 --> 00:00:10,080 Speaker 1: invest and invest up to a value of five hundred 5 00:00:10,119 --> 00:00:13,440 Speaker 1: million dollars. Investment banker and financial markets expert Andrew Body 6 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:16,680 Speaker 1: has with been our Handrew, Hi, would you put money. 7 00:00:16,520 --> 00:00:22,119 Speaker 2: In only if I can buy the shares of blowing Ta. 8 00:00:22,840 --> 00:00:25,240 Speaker 2: Kiwi Bank isn't earning its cost of capital, which is 9 00:00:26,079 --> 00:00:30,400 Speaker 2: about eleven or twelve percent. It looks like it's return 10 00:00:30,560 --> 00:00:33,680 Speaker 2: is much lower than that, so you really have to 11 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:38,360 Speaker 2: be buying blowing Ta, which is obviously going to highlight 12 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:40,840 Speaker 2: the value destruction that's occurred there. 13 00:00:41,440 --> 00:00:43,560 Speaker 1: Is it smart to limited just to locals. 14 00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:48,360 Speaker 2: Well, my view as you always want to get the 15 00:00:48,360 --> 00:00:50,960 Speaker 2: lowest cost of capital and that that's going to be 16 00:00:51,520 --> 00:00:56,560 Speaker 2: from overseas. I mean, I think the proposal really highlights 17 00:00:56,560 --> 00:01:01,880 Speaker 2: the intersection of bank profitability, competition and regulation in New Zealand. 18 00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:08,320 Speaker 2: The king Banks being around for twenty three odd years, 19 00:01:08,640 --> 00:01:12,640 Speaker 2: it's not able to have been an averick in that 20 00:01:13,360 --> 00:01:18,240 Speaker 2: in that time, and in fact, the most sensible thing 21 00:01:18,319 --> 00:01:21,600 Speaker 2: for q Bank is to try to join the banking oligopoly, 22 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:26,080 Speaker 2: and that's what that's what investors will want it to do. 23 00:01:26,360 --> 00:01:27,880 Speaker 2: Is they focused on return. 24 00:01:29,080 --> 00:01:30,720 Speaker 1: You're making it sound like you don't believe it's actually 25 00:01:30,800 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 1: going to be a disruptor and create competition. 26 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:36,919 Speaker 2: No, I don't. I think it won't do any harm. 27 00:01:37,240 --> 00:01:41,960 Speaker 2: But it's not the panacea. You know, what is the 28 00:01:43,160 --> 00:01:48,080 Speaker 2: real problem here, which the Commerce Commissions study really highlighted, 29 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:54,640 Speaker 2: is regulatory overreach by the Reserve Bank, NB and FMA. 30 00:01:55,160 --> 00:01:59,680 Speaker 2: A lot of bank regulation just doesn't meet an objective 31 00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:03,840 Speaker 2: cost benefit analysis. Capital ratios, risk weights, lending classes, bank 32 00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:10,079 Speaker 2: outsourcing rules, triple CFA AML. They've all increased bank concentration, 33 00:02:10,280 --> 00:02:13,680 Speaker 2: increased bank costs, prevented entry into the market and courage 34 00:02:13,720 --> 00:02:16,239 Speaker 2: to exit, reduce flexibility, etc. 35 00:02:16,880 --> 00:02:18,320 Speaker 1: What do you make of having to wait until it 36 00:02:18,320 --> 00:02:20,519 Speaker 1: does its digital transformation in twenty twenty eight. 37 00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:25,920 Speaker 2: Look, I don't have a view about that, but I mean, 38 00:02:26,160 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 2: I guess it just pushes out any impact, you know, 39 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:34,880 Speaker 2: raising new capital might have for Q Bank's increase lending 40 00:02:34,919 --> 00:02:35,480 Speaker 2: in the market. 41 00:02:35,600 --> 00:02:37,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, Andrew, thanks very much for talking us through it. 42 00:02:37,360 --> 00:02:41,040 Speaker 1: Andrew Body, Investment bank and Financial markets expert for more 43 00:02:41,120 --> 00:02:41,280 Speaker 1: from 44 00:02:41,280 --> 00:02:44,440 Speaker 2: The mic, asking Breakfast, listen live to news talks that'd 45 00:02:44,440 --> 00:02:47,520 Speaker 2: be from six am weekdays, or follow the podcast on 46 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 2: iHeartRadio