1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:02,559 Speaker 1: I know you shouldn't count your chickens before they hatch, 2 00:00:03,000 --> 00:00:05,640 Speaker 1: but can we just take a minute, just a little second, 3 00:00:05,840 --> 00:00:09,920 Speaker 1: to look, appreciate, and celebrate the good economic news that's 4 00:00:09,960 --> 00:00:12,560 Speaker 1: coming out at the moment. Government books aside because that 5 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:16,319 Speaker 1: wasn't so great yesterday. Tomorrow's GDP read will show that 6 00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:18,760 Speaker 1: we bounced back with a little spring in our step 7 00:00:18,800 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 1: for quarter three close to one percent growth. They reckon 8 00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:26,320 Speaker 1: what's more, tomorrow that shocking read for quarter two that 9 00:00:26,360 --> 00:00:30,000 Speaker 1: we all hated had us diving under our desks. That 10 00:00:30,200 --> 00:00:33,120 Speaker 1: should be revised down because it wasn't actually as bad 11 00:00:33,159 --> 00:00:34,839 Speaker 1: as the top line number that we were given to 12 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:40,000 Speaker 1: begin with. Today, consumer confidence is on the rebound. New 13 00:00:40,080 --> 00:00:43,680 Speaker 1: Zealand fantastic news. This is the Westpac McDermott Miller survey. 14 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:46,280 Speaker 1: It's up five point six points. This is the highest 15 00:00:46,360 --> 00:00:49,640 Speaker 1: level this year. Now it is still slightly below one hundred, 16 00:00:49,680 --> 00:00:53,080 Speaker 1: which means we're still a little more glass half empty 17 00:00:53,120 --> 00:00:55,520 Speaker 1: than half full. But it's going in the right direction, 18 00:00:55,880 --> 00:00:58,840 Speaker 1: as are the seek job adds, as are most of 19 00:00:58,880 --> 00:01:02,000 Speaker 1: the numbers that move furst when a recovery is underway. Now, 20 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:05,679 Speaker 1: I say all of this completely aware that we have 21 00:01:05,800 --> 00:01:09,000 Speaker 1: been here before, and we have fired blanks. We've had 22 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:11,840 Speaker 1: many a false storm or a false start, But barring 23 00:01:11,880 --> 00:01:16,959 Speaker 1: any major cockups, this recovery feels like it's real and 24 00:01:17,080 --> 00:01:21,200 Speaker 1: starting to actually happen. The missing ingredient, of course, is 25 00:01:21,240 --> 00:01:25,200 Speaker 1: house prices, which are either sideways or backwards for most regions. 26 00:01:25,760 --> 00:01:28,680 Speaker 1: That's the liquor in your Irish coffee that really gets 27 00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 1: things moving on the economic front generally. But this recovery 28 00:01:32,680 --> 00:01:36,640 Speaker 1: will happen without it. It won't be sooring property prices 29 00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:40,160 Speaker 1: that give birth to this recovery. It won't start in 30 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:42,360 Speaker 1: an auction room with a hammer going down on a 31 00:01:42,480 --> 00:01:46,199 Speaker 1: four million dollar two Betty in sandring him. What's going 32 00:01:46,280 --> 00:01:49,640 Speaker 1: to drive this recovery and make it probably more of 33 00:01:49,680 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 1: a gradual one is confidence in our agricultural exporters, lower 34 00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:57,760 Speaker 1: mortgage interest rates, and I think, more than anything, a 35 00:01:57,840 --> 00:02:00,640 Speaker 1: feeling that we are just sick of being in that position. 36 00:02:00,920 --> 00:02:04,280 Speaker 1: Aren't you tired of it? The ironic truth of it 37 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:06,520 Speaker 1: is that in order to get us out of this malaise, 38 00:02:06,840 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 1: we must spend money, rather than save it, which is 39 00:02:09,960 --> 00:02:13,079 Speaker 1: kind of your instinct. When these things happen, We must 40 00:02:13,160 --> 00:02:16,720 Speaker 1: go out and buy stuff, so this Christmas. Take that 41 00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:19,760 Speaker 1: confidence to your nearest shopping mall, and tonight I can 42 00:02:19,840 --> 00:02:22,960 Speaker 1: report I'm doing exactly that. Westfield I've checked this morning 43 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:25,880 Speaker 1: is open till ten pm. I've found a tent I 44 00:02:25,919 --> 00:02:28,400 Speaker 1: need to buy, I'd want to buy, I'm going to buy, 45 00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:31,040 Speaker 1: and I've been eyeing it up today. I'm ready to 46 00:02:31,040 --> 00:02:34,639 Speaker 1: push play. I'm ready to push play on summer, on spending, 47 00:02:35,360 --> 00:02:39,080 Speaker 1: and on an economic Christmas miracle. For more from Heather 48 00:02:39,200 --> 00:02:42,160 Speaker 1: Duplessy Allen Drive, listen live to news talks. It'd be 49 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:46,240 Speaker 1: from four pm weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio