1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:02,320 Speaker 1: Rod Linlsbeck. Well, that's ride a very good morning to you. 2 00:00:03,360 --> 00:00:04,320 Speaker 2: Good morning to you, Mike. 3 00:00:04,600 --> 00:00:07,280 Speaker 1: You took last Thursday off because you have you're busy campaigning, 4 00:00:07,320 --> 00:00:08,879 Speaker 1: and we'll come to that in just a couple of moments. 5 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:12,120 Speaker 1: So give us the update polls. What are we reading? 6 00:00:12,200 --> 00:00:13,920 Speaker 1: How bad is it for the Tories and is it 7 00:00:13,960 --> 00:00:14,560 Speaker 1: getting worse? 8 00:00:16,560 --> 00:00:23,280 Speaker 2: It's catastrophic for the Tories, it's not necessarily getting worse catastrophic. 9 00:00:24,280 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 2: So over the weekend, and indeed, for a couple of 10 00:00:28,960 --> 00:00:31,560 Speaker 2: days before the weekend, it really looked as if there 11 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:35,080 Speaker 2: was a Reform party surge, and there has been, I mean, 12 00:00:35,120 --> 00:00:38,560 Speaker 2: no question about it. But my guess is it may 13 00:00:38,600 --> 00:00:43,599 Speaker 2: have reached its peak with Reform ahead of the Tories, 14 00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:47,880 Speaker 2: which is calamitous for the Tories, but nowhere near enough 15 00:00:47,920 --> 00:00:53,000 Speaker 2: ahead in order to worry labor, but enough to ensure 16 00:00:53,040 --> 00:00:57,280 Speaker 2: that the Conservatives are down to, you know, fifty sixties 17 00:00:57,320 --> 00:01:01,800 Speaker 2: seventy seats at the most. And you do wonder is 18 00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:06,360 Speaker 2: there a natural kind of ceiling for people who will 19 00:01:06,400 --> 00:01:10,280 Speaker 2: be prepared to vote reform. Obviously, if you look at 20 00:01:10,280 --> 00:01:14,840 Speaker 2: the continent in Europe, there isn't because the parties who 21 00:01:14,880 --> 00:01:18,360 Speaker 2: are similar to Reform or winning hand over fist and 22 00:01:18,440 --> 00:01:20,800 Speaker 2: some of that has come over here, but not enough 23 00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:25,920 Speaker 2: I think to suggest that there's a huge sea change 24 00:01:25,920 --> 00:01:29,200 Speaker 2: in British politics in which the Conservative Party has been 25 00:01:29,240 --> 00:01:31,399 Speaker 2: replaced overnight by the Reform Party. 26 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:35,040 Speaker 1: As regards varajan As comments over the weekend about Ukraine 27 00:01:35,080 --> 00:01:36,960 Speaker 1: and poking the bear and all the umbradge that's been 28 00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:39,600 Speaker 1: tossed upon him, does that play well with his lot 29 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 1: end or was he misinterpreted to the extent that what 30 00:01:43,080 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 1: I think he was trying to say was that Putin 31 00:01:45,480 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 1: has long been reported as saying the expansion of NATO 32 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:51,760 Speaker 1: worries me and have an expense too far, I'll do 33 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:53,840 Speaker 1: something about it. So he stayed in the obvious, isn't he. 34 00:01:56,040 --> 00:01:59,040 Speaker 2: Up to a point? I think there is a difference 35 00:01:59,120 --> 00:02:04,760 Speaker 2: between what between how what faraj said is received by 36 00:02:04,960 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 2: members of his own party who have a vague putini 37 00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 2: Ish sympathy, and how it plays in the red wall 38 00:02:13,240 --> 00:02:17,560 Speaker 2: in the electorate in general, where there is no such thing. 39 00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 2: And also you cover a little bit with what he 40 00:02:22,919 --> 00:02:29,640 Speaker 2: said about NATO's continual eastern expansion, Well, you know NATO has, indeed, 41 00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:36,080 Speaker 2: you know, embraced the Baltic countries and Poland and so on, 42 00:02:36,480 --> 00:02:40,120 Speaker 2: But that was because they wished to join NATO to 43 00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:44,320 Speaker 2: protect themselves from the from Russia. So I think I 44 00:02:44,320 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 2: think he got the tone wrong, which is not unusual 45 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:51,040 Speaker 2: for Nigel Farage. But I think he got the tone 46 00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:54,200 Speaker 2: wrong and he's been eviscerated for it, and I think 47 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:56,119 Speaker 2: he would rather the whole issue hadn't. 48 00:02:55,919 --> 00:03:00,880 Speaker 1: Been raised, right baiting scandal. Is this much going on 49 00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 1: that that's not the thing? It might be on another day, 50 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:05,040 Speaker 1: or is it bigger than being here? 51 00:03:07,680 --> 00:03:12,560 Speaker 2: I just think it is so absolutely emblematic of what 52 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:16,200 Speaker 2: everyone in the country thinks of the Conservative Party, but 53 00:03:16,800 --> 00:03:20,720 Speaker 2: that the fine detail doesn't really matter. You know, we 54 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:26,959 Speaker 2: have severe Conservative people betting, insider dealing basically on the 55 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 2: date of the election, and it plays into every trope 56 00:03:30,480 --> 00:03:33,760 Speaker 2: Sekir Starmer could wish to raise to say, this is 57 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:36,840 Speaker 2: why they shouldn't be the government, you know, a privilege 58 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 2: of moneyed and of greed, and it couldn't be worse 59 00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:47,080 Speaker 2: for Richards Sunac, you say, I assume Sunac is sitting 60 00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:49,960 Speaker 2: there thinking, my god, what's going to happen next week? 61 00:03:50,480 --> 00:03:53,080 Speaker 2: Tell it wouldn't surprise me if something did it's an 62 00:03:53,120 --> 00:03:56,200 Speaker 2: administration which has gone before the end of its time. 63 00:03:57,000 --> 00:03:59,160 Speaker 1: How are you going? How's your right are you? Are 64 00:03:59,200 --> 00:04:01,760 Speaker 1: you winning the vote, You're winning the hostings, You're heading 65 00:04:01,800 --> 00:04:03,560 Speaker 1: to Parliament? Are things turning for you? Rod? 66 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:07,800 Speaker 2: I can feel the will of the people behind me, 67 00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:14,200 Speaker 2: I thought being said, I did kind of win the Hustings, 68 00:04:14,520 --> 00:04:16,680 Speaker 2: the last testings I was in, which is, you know, 69 00:04:16,720 --> 00:04:19,480 Speaker 2: from a standing star the party nobody's really heard of, 70 00:04:20,760 --> 00:04:26,360 Speaker 2: did really well. But I'm tied a little bit, you know, 71 00:04:26,480 --> 00:04:28,440 Speaker 2: to a party which is what I'm tied a lot 72 00:04:28,640 --> 00:04:33,200 Speaker 2: to a party which has no possible public persona. So 73 00:04:33,240 --> 00:04:35,160 Speaker 2: we're not going to do very well. But it's all 74 00:04:35,200 --> 00:04:37,600 Speaker 2: good fun. Mike, I would advise you to do it. 75 00:04:37,800 --> 00:04:40,599 Speaker 2: I think next election, mate, you should be out there 76 00:04:40,720 --> 00:04:42,480 Speaker 2: and I will come and campaign for you. 77 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:46,039 Speaker 1: Fantastic, Well you campaigning for me is reason enough by 78 00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:49,240 Speaker 1: the idea of time to watch the uisor you're too busy. 79 00:04:49,839 --> 00:04:52,279 Speaker 2: Oh, I've been watching it. I've been watching it and 80 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:55,040 Speaker 2: you know, if we should see that expected a kind 81 00:04:55,080 --> 00:04:59,160 Speaker 2: of boosting support by a good feel factor. He's losing 82 00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:03,000 Speaker 2: out there. England have been abysmal, none more so than 83 00:05:03,040 --> 00:05:05,520 Speaker 2: in the drawer with Denmark, and then of course Scotland 84 00:05:05,600 --> 00:05:09,160 Speaker 2: went out last night, a cause of much hilarity. South 85 00:05:09,200 --> 00:05:13,560 Speaker 2: of the border, it's not looking good at all, and 86 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:16,760 Speaker 2: France and Spain are looking very strong indeed, so I 87 00:05:16,800 --> 00:05:19,679 Speaker 2: don't think the Euros are going to come to Rishi's help. 88 00:05:20,279 --> 00:05:23,200 Speaker 1: For more from the mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to 89 00:05:23,320 --> 00:05:26,359 Speaker 1: news talks. It'd be from six am weekdays, or follow 90 00:05:26,400 --> 00:05:28,000 Speaker 1: the podcast on iHeartRadio.