1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:01,800 Speaker 1: While we wait for Adream to work out what is 2 00:00:01,880 --> 00:00:04,080 Speaker 1: next and when David Seymore is wasting no time and 3 00:00:04,120 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 1: his role is acting Prime Minister this week to tell 4 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:09,520 Speaker 1: us that budget twenty twenty five is well underway despite 5 00:00:09,560 --> 00:00:11,920 Speaker 1: the fact we've only just got past twenty twenty four 6 00:00:11,920 --> 00:00:14,440 Speaker 1: couple of weeks back. David Seymore's with us Morning Morning mate. 7 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:16,560 Speaker 1: The fact you're working on next year's budget having just 8 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:18,799 Speaker 1: got past this year's budget. Is this part of the 9 00:00:18,840 --> 00:00:21,000 Speaker 1: reminder that this year it wasn't a one off in 10 00:00:21,120 --> 00:00:23,200 Speaker 1: terms of savings and cuts and there's more where that 11 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:24,239 Speaker 1: came from. 12 00:00:24,800 --> 00:00:27,479 Speaker 2: Yeah, I've heard Nikola Willis say something like you're not 13 00:00:27,520 --> 00:00:30,760 Speaker 2: going to fix six years of trouble in one budget. 14 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:33,559 Speaker 2: And if you just look at the basic numbers, the 15 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:37,560 Speaker 2: government spending about one hundred and forty billion. We've said 16 00:00:37,600 --> 00:00:41,120 Speaker 2: that we're committed to only increasing by two point four 17 00:00:41,159 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 2: billion a year. Now, that's about one point seven percent. 18 00:00:45,520 --> 00:00:48,360 Speaker 2: You're going to see inflation that you know, probably about 19 00:00:48,400 --> 00:00:52,040 Speaker 2: two in the long term. Then if you get population 20 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:55,520 Speaker 2: growth of nearly two percent like we've had recently, well 21 00:00:55,520 --> 00:00:58,960 Speaker 2: that's a four percent increase to stay stay still. But 22 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:02,960 Speaker 2: we're only allowing point seven. So already you've got to 23 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 2: get a couple of percent efficiency each year, and a 24 00:01:07,280 --> 00:01:10,199 Speaker 2: couple of percent means that you've got to find three 25 00:01:10,280 --> 00:01:13,840 Speaker 2: billion of savings each year just to stand still. But 26 00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:17,640 Speaker 2: in reality, we know that surprises come along. Who knows 27 00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:20,640 Speaker 2: our allies seem to want us to spend more on defense, 28 00:01:20,680 --> 00:01:24,040 Speaker 2: for example, I personally think we should, and who knows 29 00:01:24,040 --> 00:01:26,640 Speaker 2: what other pressures will come across. But just as a 30 00:01:26,680 --> 00:01:29,400 Speaker 2: starting point, you've got to save several billion a year 31 00:01:29,600 --> 00:01:31,119 Speaker 2: just to keep doing what you're doing. 32 00:01:31,240 --> 00:01:33,560 Speaker 1: So you're saying, you your quoted are saying we will 33 00:01:33,600 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 1: see better savings. Is that better or bigger? And how 34 00:01:36,880 --> 00:01:39,160 Speaker 1: much bigger do they get before people go to tell 35 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:41,280 Speaker 1: you what this is too far, too much and that 36 00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:42,240 Speaker 1: becomes political. 37 00:01:43,560 --> 00:01:46,760 Speaker 2: Well, just put it in a bit of context. Grant Robertson, 38 00:01:46,880 --> 00:01:50,160 Speaker 2: who doesn't exactly have a reputation for being a big saver. 39 00:01:51,280 --> 00:01:55,400 Speaker 2: He keeps government spending at about twenty eight to twenty 40 00:01:55,480 --> 00:02:01,200 Speaker 2: nine percent of GDP pre COVID. Now you know, thirty 41 00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:04,440 Speaker 2: two thirty three, aiming to get down to thirty one 42 00:02:04,480 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 2: in the next few years. So on our current trajectory, 43 00:02:08,600 --> 00:02:13,320 Speaker 2: we're still going to be bigger spenders than pre COVID Robertson, 44 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:16,680 Speaker 2: I'd certainly like to be ambitious to say, look, maybe 45 00:02:16,720 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 2: we can actually save a bit more and get a 46 00:02:20,080 --> 00:02:24,560 Speaker 2: bit closer to that standard. That's going to mean instead 47 00:02:24,560 --> 00:02:27,280 Speaker 2: of just saying, look we're going to take a haircut 48 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:31,080 Speaker 2: of six or seven percent of every department, let's do 49 00:02:31,200 --> 00:02:34,880 Speaker 2: some deep dives and start asking, well, how can we 50 00:02:34,919 --> 00:02:37,800 Speaker 2: actually go back to first principles? If we weren't already 51 00:02:37,840 --> 00:02:40,640 Speaker 2: doing this, would we start it today and what would 52 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 2: be the basis for that? But as I said yesterday, 53 00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:45,000 Speaker 2: all of this is kind of you know, we've just 54 00:02:45,120 --> 00:02:48,840 Speaker 2: started the twenty five budget with a few preliminary meetings 55 00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:51,640 Speaker 2: and all of that still up in the year. None 56 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:54,040 Speaker 2: of it's none of it's certain at this point. 57 00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:56,800 Speaker 1: All right, appreciate time Acting Prime Minister David Seymour this morning. 58 00:02:57,280 --> 00:03:00,240 Speaker 2: For more from the Mic Hosking Breakfast listen line to 59 00:03:00,320 --> 00:03:03,360 Speaker 2: news Talks It't b from six am weekdays, or follow 60 00:03:03,400 --> 00:03:05,000 Speaker 2: the podcast on iHeartRadio.