1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,360 Speaker 1: We're in for a week of profit announcements from the banks. 2 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:05,040 Speaker 1: First cab op the rank is Westpac, who in Australia 3 00:00:05,080 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: made seven billion dollars which was down a little bit, 4 00:00:07,040 --> 00:00:08,600 Speaker 1: but here they made a bit over a billion dollars 5 00:00:08,600 --> 00:00:10,600 Speaker 1: which was up some ten percent. Banks of course affront 6 00:00:10,680 --> 00:00:13,000 Speaker 1: and center these days in the halls of Wellington. CEO 7 00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:16,760 Speaker 1: Katherine McGrath's with us. Catherine, Morning to you, m I Mike, 8 00:00:16,920 --> 00:00:19,880 Speaker 1: A quick number crunch if we could. Impairment charges are down. 9 00:00:19,920 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 1: That shows a robust sign and the economy people, despite 10 00:00:22,680 --> 00:00:25,200 Speaker 1: the difficult times, have soaked it up. Is that fair? 11 00:00:27,080 --> 00:00:30,600 Speaker 2: Yes, Our underlying profits are flat and it's solid results 12 00:00:30,640 --> 00:00:33,200 Speaker 2: because we've worked really hard to support deries in tough 13 00:00:33,280 --> 00:00:37,120 Speaker 2: times and they've been more resilient as the economy has 14 00:00:37,640 --> 00:00:39,760 Speaker 2: been tough for them. But we're really happy that we're 15 00:00:39,760 --> 00:00:43,040 Speaker 2: well positioned to support them as the economy should start 16 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:43,400 Speaker 2: to grow. 17 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:46,239 Speaker 1: Home and business lending is up a little bit. Is 18 00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:48,239 Speaker 1: that a sign of the economy in green shoots and 19 00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:48,879 Speaker 1: all of that or. 20 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:52,720 Speaker 2: Not, it's a couple of things. The housing market has 21 00:00:52,720 --> 00:00:56,080 Speaker 2: definitely started to pick up, and for us, we've taken 22 00:00:56,120 --> 00:00:59,120 Speaker 2: market share on business lending from other banks, which I'm 23 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 2: delighted about and look forward to doing more of that 24 00:01:01,760 --> 00:01:02,440 Speaker 2: in the year to come. 25 00:01:02,640 --> 00:01:06,080 Speaker 1: Okay, the margin in Australia is one point ninety five. 26 00:01:06,240 --> 00:01:09,160 Speaker 1: It's two point one point seven here, and that's where 27 00:01:09,160 --> 00:01:10,800 Speaker 1: the government comes in. How do you explain it? 28 00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:14,840 Speaker 2: So, firstly, you've got to compare apples with apples, and 29 00:01:14,880 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 2: the AUSSI business has a large international franchise which we 30 00:01:18,240 --> 00:01:21,280 Speaker 2: don't have here. So if I look at their business 31 00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 2: and consumer and wealth business versus ours, actually our margin 32 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:28,000 Speaker 2: or net interest margin is smaller than in Australia. 33 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:30,840 Speaker 1: Right, So if we accept that as a reasonable explanation, 34 00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:33,120 Speaker 1: how come the government don't get that? How come there's 35 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:35,600 Speaker 1: an inquiry? How come they're out to get you guys? 36 00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:39,720 Speaker 2: Well, I think that's for the government to comment on, 37 00:01:39,840 --> 00:01:43,199 Speaker 2: and I'm looking forward to the Select Committee hearings because 38 00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:46,959 Speaker 2: it's a great opportunity to be incredibly transparent and talk 39 00:01:46,959 --> 00:01:49,520 Speaker 2: about all the great market that the Westpac team does 40 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:50,920 Speaker 2: supporting New zeal Own communities. 41 00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 1: And Tony at another bank the other day gave what 42 00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:55,200 Speaker 1: I thought, and I assume you followed it was a 43 00:01:55,200 --> 00:01:58,680 Speaker 1: fairly cogent old line. Is your line similar to hers. 44 00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:01,960 Speaker 1: In other words, the banks speak is one. 45 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:04,880 Speaker 2: So I think the way I look at it is 46 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:07,600 Speaker 2: banks have really large balance sheets, and we have large 47 00:02:07,600 --> 00:02:09,520 Speaker 2: balance sheets so that we can help an economy to 48 00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 2: grow and we fund things like infrastructure. We've put up 49 00:02:13,040 --> 00:02:15,120 Speaker 2: a one billion dollar fund of our balance sheet to 50 00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:18,000 Speaker 2: help fund affordable housing. And so when you've got a 51 00:02:18,040 --> 00:02:21,680 Speaker 2: big balance sheet, your profits are large. And if I 52 00:02:21,720 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 2: look at our return on tangible equity, it's about midpoint 53 00:02:25,000 --> 00:02:26,120 Speaker 2: of the end at X fifty. 54 00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:28,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's pretty much what she said. Once again, I 55 00:02:28,960 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 1: ask you how come they don't get it? If what 56 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:32,440 Speaker 1: you say is right. 57 00:02:34,040 --> 00:02:37,880 Speaker 2: I can't possibly comment on why the government have a 58 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:41,079 Speaker 2: view like that, but our job is to help them 59 00:02:41,120 --> 00:02:43,240 Speaker 2: to understand and to turn up and answer all their 60 00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:44,760 Speaker 2: questions to the best of our ability. 61 00:02:44,800 --> 00:02:46,239 Speaker 1: Do you feel like you're being your head against the 62 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:46,720 Speaker 1: brick wall. 63 00:02:49,040 --> 00:02:52,000 Speaker 2: I'm a returning key we so I absolutely love being 64 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:54,760 Speaker 2: at home and my job is to help Westpac growth 65 00:02:54,800 --> 00:02:57,920 Speaker 2: in New Zealand economy. So no, I'm not bending my 66 00:02:57,919 --> 00:03:00,520 Speaker 2: head against the wall, and I'm loving helping the economy 67 00:03:00,520 --> 00:03:00,799 Speaker 2: to grow. 68 00:03:00,960 --> 00:03:05,280 Speaker 1: What about the ki the Kiwi bank scenario would something 69 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:10,000 Speaker 1: big in that department change the market in your view. 70 00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:13,880 Speaker 2: So I think the market here is very competitive anyway, 71 00:03:14,440 --> 00:03:17,600 Speaker 2: and any growth out of Kiwi Bank is absolutely fantastic. 72 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:20,720 Speaker 2: We're the smallest as the big four banks in New Zealand, 73 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:24,519 Speaker 2: so any remedies that the ComCom or the government want 74 00:03:24,520 --> 00:03:27,440 Speaker 2: to put in place to make competition easy is great 75 00:03:27,480 --> 00:03:28,360 Speaker 2: from my perspective. 76 00:03:28,480 --> 00:03:30,799 Speaker 1: Okay, So the other thing that you talk about the 77 00:03:30,840 --> 00:03:33,160 Speaker 1: green shoots, what you read on the economy as we 78 00:03:33,360 --> 00:03:36,400 Speaker 1: end the year and enter the next is their hope 79 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:38,400 Speaker 1: was survived to twenty five reel. 80 00:03:39,920 --> 00:03:42,480 Speaker 2: So we're very hopeful about the economy in the year ahead. 81 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:45,520 Speaker 2: I think the key thing to watch is unemployment, and 82 00:03:45,600 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 2: we expect that we'll peak halfway through the year. But 83 00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:50,880 Speaker 2: we do think that twenty twenty five is going to 84 00:03:50,880 --> 00:03:52,840 Speaker 2: be a better year for the New Zealand economy than 85 00:03:52,840 --> 00:03:54,200 Speaker 2: we've seen over the past couple of years. 86 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:55,760 Speaker 1: Somebody said, I can't remember it was, might have an 87 00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:57,960 Speaker 1: asp said six percent. Do you see it peaking at 88 00:03:57,960 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 1: six percent? 89 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:02,160 Speaker 2: We see unemployment peaking at five point seven. 90 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:05,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly. Well, a good time, good time to fix 91 00:04:05,080 --> 00:04:07,040 Speaker 1: your mortgage. There's the other thing I'm reading at the moment, 92 00:04:07,360 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 1: You've all anticipated, you guys, that Adrian's going to do 93 00:04:10,560 --> 00:04:13,280 Speaker 1: what Adrian's going to do. So the money market's about 94 00:04:13,320 --> 00:04:16,480 Speaker 1: where we need to be should we fix long term. 95 00:04:17,080 --> 00:04:19,320 Speaker 2: So what we've seen customers do is some of them 96 00:04:19,320 --> 00:04:21,520 Speaker 2: are going on to the variable rate just to wait 97 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:24,480 Speaker 2: to see what happens. People are tending to fix a 98 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:27,440 Speaker 2: bit shorter than they have done before. But we've reduced 99 00:04:27,440 --> 00:04:31,400 Speaker 2: our interest rates eight times since July, so it's definitely 100 00:04:31,880 --> 00:04:34,599 Speaker 2: a watching brief. And the other piece that's pretty exciting 101 00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:37,599 Speaker 2: is about a quarter of our customers have already rolled 102 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:39,360 Speaker 2: on to lower rates by the end of this year, 103 00:04:39,720 --> 00:04:41,600 Speaker 2: and it will be more than three quarters of them 104 00:04:41,640 --> 00:04:44,279 Speaker 2: will be on lower rates in twelve months time. So 105 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:46,680 Speaker 2: good to see that cost of borrowing coming down. 106 00:04:46,520 --> 00:04:48,400 Speaker 1: And that is when the money starts to flow. Appreciate it. 107 00:04:48,480 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 1: Katherine Catherine mcguer, who's the CEO of Westpac. 108 00:04:51,600 --> 00:04:54,520 Speaker 2: For more from the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to 109 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:57,719 Speaker 2: news talks there'd be from six am weekdays, or follow 110 00:04:57,760 --> 00:04:59,320 Speaker 2: the podcast on iHeartRadio.