1 00:00:00,360 --> 00:00:03,120 Speaker 1: Together due to see US for reminder. Of course, Chris 2 00:00:03,120 --> 00:00:04,960 Speaker 1: Hopkins is with US after half past five. Now the 3 00:00:05,000 --> 00:00:07,960 Speaker 1: inevitable has happened in New Zealand has suspended its previous 4 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:11,200 Speaker 1: earnings guidance and up to fair prices because of the 5 00:00:11,200 --> 00:00:14,080 Speaker 1: Iran wars impact on the oil price in New Zealand 6 00:00:14,080 --> 00:00:16,440 Speaker 1: was already facing a second half loss of around fifty 7 00:00:16,520 --> 00:00:18,639 Speaker 1: nine million dollars. But of course it's going to get worse. 8 00:00:18,720 --> 00:00:21,759 Speaker 1: Aviation commentator Irene King is with US now, high Irene 9 00:00:22,280 --> 00:00:24,639 Speaker 1: hi there, So how much worse do you think it 10 00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:25,160 Speaker 1: will get? 11 00:00:27,320 --> 00:00:31,840 Speaker 2: Wow? You know, it's hard to say. Some of the 12 00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:35,360 Speaker 2: financial commentators were saying the loss is going to be 13 00:00:35,640 --> 00:00:41,880 Speaker 2: twice the level and that was their comment before the 14 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:46,519 Speaker 2: seal price really spiked, So you know, it does not 15 00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:48,599 Speaker 2: looking good. Now they do have some time to take 16 00:00:48,680 --> 00:00:51,680 Speaker 2: some remediate action, so that's a positive. 17 00:00:51,760 --> 00:00:53,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, but what action can they take? 18 00:00:54,480 --> 00:00:58,240 Speaker 2: Oh? Look, they've got a lot of costs that though 19 00:00:58,680 --> 00:01:02,160 Speaker 2: they can pull out of this, butusiness they really have 20 00:01:02,480 --> 00:01:08,040 Speaker 2: never addressed the cost side of their business since post COVID, 21 00:01:08,640 --> 00:01:12,200 Speaker 2: and they really could get stuck in there in their 22 00:01:12,280 --> 00:01:15,440 Speaker 2: labor costs astronomical. 23 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:16,840 Speaker 1: So fire people is that the only way they can 24 00:01:16,880 --> 00:01:17,440 Speaker 1: save money. 25 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:21,560 Speaker 2: Well, that's one of the variable costs. The other one 26 00:01:21,680 --> 00:01:24,959 Speaker 2: is sort of looking at their whole procurement strategies, what 27 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:28,160 Speaker 2: they're buying, why they're buying it, how much of things 28 00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:32,559 Speaker 2: are buying, you know, are they buying them sensibly? There's 29 00:01:32,920 --> 00:01:35,440 Speaker 2: you know, there's some big cost drivers and that whole 30 00:01:35,520 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 2: engineering procurement area that again haven't been fundamentally touched. So 31 00:01:41,800 --> 00:01:44,320 Speaker 2: I'm sure they're getting on top of it. They're moving now, 32 00:01:44,440 --> 00:01:47,400 Speaker 2: but g was pretty late in the day too. 33 00:01:47,480 --> 00:01:49,640 Speaker 1: Right now, they've popped up the fares already. Domestics gone 34 00:01:49,720 --> 00:01:51,920 Speaker 1: up by ten dollars, short haul by twenty dollars, long 35 00:01:51,960 --> 00:01:54,600 Speaker 1: haul by ninety dollars. Do you think that's the end 36 00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:57,400 Speaker 1: of it? 37 00:01:57,720 --> 00:02:00,760 Speaker 2: Probably not. You know, when you start to to think 38 00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:05,000 Speaker 2: about how this is going to shake down, you know, 39 00:02:05,080 --> 00:02:07,400 Speaker 2: it comes down to really how much you and I 40 00:02:07,440 --> 00:02:11,400 Speaker 2: are prepared to pay. And you know, in the past, 41 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:14,400 Speaker 2: I've always put it in as a levy and could 42 00:02:14,440 --> 00:02:16,960 Speaker 2: whip it off quite quickly. But if they've built it 43 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:20,800 Speaker 2: into to base fears, you know they're going to get 44 00:02:20,840 --> 00:02:26,400 Speaker 2: the course of customer complaints that I've always had. Competitive, Yeah, Irene. 45 00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 1: Thank you very much to appreciate your time. As always, 46 00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:32,800 Speaker 1: that's Irene King, avigation industry commentator. For more from Hither Duplessy, 47 00:02:32,800 --> 00:02:35,639 Speaker 1: Allen Drive listen live to news talks it'd be from 48 00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 1: four pm weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio