1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,520 Speaker 1: Jamie McKay from the Countries with us. Jamie, Will the 2 00:00:02,560 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: government looked to put land Corp up on the chopping block. 3 00:00:07,080 --> 00:00:09,479 Speaker 1: I mean, well, I guess this is the question. Is 4 00:00:09,520 --> 00:00:12,560 Speaker 1: the government going to look at selling land Corp? And 5 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:15,239 Speaker 1: if they do, is that a good idea? How will 6 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:19,680 Speaker 1: that go down with farmers? Jamie Giddy gid a Ryan, 7 00:00:19,880 --> 00:00:22,520 Speaker 1: thanks for being with me. So land Corp. It's one 8 00:00:22,560 --> 00:00:24,159 Speaker 1: of the ones they're talking about putting it on the 9 00:00:24,200 --> 00:00:26,320 Speaker 1: chopping block. What do you reckon? Good idea, bad idea? 10 00:00:26,760 --> 00:00:29,640 Speaker 2: Well, it depends whether you're into selling state assets. I 11 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:31,840 Speaker 2: guess if you, Brian, if you are going to sell one, 12 00:00:31,880 --> 00:00:36,240 Speaker 2: you would have to think seriously about selling the nation's farm. 13 00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:39,800 Speaker 2: It's not performing very well at all and it's worth 14 00:00:39,880 --> 00:00:41,680 Speaker 2: quite a bit of money. I had a guy on 15 00:00:41,720 --> 00:00:45,720 Speaker 2: the show today on my show The Country called Will Wilson. 16 00:00:45,800 --> 00:00:50,960 Speaker 2: He's a long standing agricultural consultant. He takes he's involved 17 00:00:51,000 --> 00:00:54,160 Speaker 2: in several high profile governance roles in the primary sector 18 00:00:54,200 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 2: and he was doing the sums on the performance of 19 00:00:56,880 --> 00:00:58,920 Speaker 2: all of our leading ad companies and he was almost 20 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:03,440 Speaker 2: quite scathing about Pamu, the artist formerly known as Landcorpy said, Look, 21 00:01:03,480 --> 00:01:07,680 Speaker 2: it's it's got poor business strategy, poor governance and management, 22 00:01:08,080 --> 00:01:11,160 Speaker 2: and it's a poor performing company. But the kicker is 23 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:14,560 Speaker 2: ryan if you take its assets less its liabilities, it's 24 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:18,839 Speaker 2: still worth about one point six billion dollars. We could 25 00:01:18,840 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 2: do a lot with that. And the other interesting thing 26 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 2: is it's worth about, according to will Anyhow, about one 27 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:28,760 Speaker 2: hundred and fifty billion less than it was a year ago. 28 00:01:29,120 --> 00:01:33,560 Speaker 2: So maybe we're throwing good money after bad with Parmu. 29 00:01:33,640 --> 00:01:35,760 Speaker 2: But if we sell it, who do we sell it to? 30 00:01:36,000 --> 00:01:39,000 Speaker 2: It's a huge farm, it's New Zealand's bigger's farm. Would 31 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:42,320 Speaker 2: it flood the rural market? And then it plays other 32 00:01:42,400 --> 00:01:47,120 Speaker 2: roles in agriculture as well, such as research on behalf 33 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:51,080 Speaker 2: of the wider agricultural industry and also training young people 34 00:01:51,120 --> 00:01:53,840 Speaker 2: onto the land. So it's a bit of a vex question, 35 00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 2: but you would have to say, as it stands at 36 00:01:56,000 --> 00:01:57,880 Speaker 2: the moment, it ain't a great investment. 37 00:01:58,080 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 1: No, and it's I think it's sort of top of 38 00:02:00,040 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 1: the list for the government when you know, because farmers 39 00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:05,639 Speaker 1: run their farms much better than where then the government 40 00:02:05,720 --> 00:02:08,480 Speaker 1: runs its farm, right, so why not let them have it? Yeah? 41 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:10,919 Speaker 2: Well, and there's also an argument because in the old days, 42 00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:14,200 Speaker 2: Land Corp used to be lands and surveys and they 43 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:16,960 Speaker 2: would have ballot blocks and they would put young farmers 44 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:21,079 Speaker 2: in and produce the or increase the productivity of the country. 45 00:02:21,200 --> 00:02:23,680 Speaker 2: There is a argument that maybe Land Corp should become 46 00:02:23,720 --> 00:02:27,000 Speaker 2: a bank and for instance, with its dairy farms, and 47 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:29,960 Speaker 2: they've got some lovely dairy farms, put fifty to fifty 48 00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:32,440 Speaker 2: share milkers in there, give them some skin in the 49 00:02:32,440 --> 00:02:35,400 Speaker 2: game and rarely start to generate some money. But it 50 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:38,040 Speaker 2: would be fair to say that financially the performance of 51 00:02:38,160 --> 00:02:41,200 Speaker 2: land Corp hasn't been that flash. Last year, Ryan, they 52 00:02:41,240 --> 00:02:44,600 Speaker 2: lost off the top of my head, something like twenty 53 00:02:44,720 --> 00:02:49,240 Speaker 2: six million dollars, Yes it was, yeah, twenty six million dollars. 54 00:02:49,440 --> 00:02:52,120 Speaker 2: And when you consider that they got thirty eight million 55 00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:56,920 Speaker 2: from a windfall or windfalls from carbon credits. Putting that aside, 56 00:02:57,080 --> 00:03:00,480 Speaker 2: the actual meat and taties of the farming business ain't 57 00:03:00,520 --> 00:03:01,320 Speaker 2: going that well. 58 00:03:01,720 --> 00:03:03,919 Speaker 1: Let's talk about something that is going well. Then, dairy 59 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:06,280 Speaker 1: price is off to a very strong start, the Global 60 00:03:06,320 --> 00:03:07,960 Speaker 1: Dairy Trade Action. The first two of them for the. 61 00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:10,680 Speaker 2: End, yeah, well, the first one was down and the 62 00:03:10,680 --> 00:03:11,960 Speaker 2: second one was up. Wasn't it. 63 00:03:12,720 --> 00:03:14,760 Speaker 1: Yes, Yes, it was down one point four then up 64 00:03:14,800 --> 00:03:15,359 Speaker 1: one point four. 65 00:03:15,520 --> 00:03:20,359 Speaker 2: Yeah, and that sort of equalized one another out there. 66 00:03:20,360 --> 00:03:22,280 Speaker 2: But the big one was in the last one. Ryan 67 00:03:22,880 --> 00:03:25,560 Speaker 2: one point four was GDT across the board. But the 68 00:03:25,600 --> 00:03:28,240 Speaker 2: really important one we have a look at is whole 69 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:31,919 Speaker 2: milk powder prices. They went up five percent and this 70 00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:36,840 Speaker 2: is the highest price on the platform since June twenty 71 00:03:36,880 --> 00:03:41,839 Speaker 2: twenty two. And this has I guess convinced ASB they've 72 00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:45,480 Speaker 2: led the charge. They're saying that their milk futures or 73 00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:49,200 Speaker 2: the future milk price forecast price for this season. They're 74 00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:52,400 Speaker 2: saying ten dollars twenty five, remembering that everyone else in 75 00:03:52,440 --> 00:03:56,360 Speaker 2: the market, including Fonterra, is pretty much ten bucks. Ten 76 00:03:56,440 --> 00:03:59,440 Speaker 2: dollars twenty five would obviously be a record price, maybe 77 00:03:59,480 --> 00:04:02,960 Speaker 2: not an flation adjusted terms, but a very good one 78 00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:06,400 Speaker 2: for all that. Now, their chief economist, a guy by 79 00:04:06,400 --> 00:04:08,280 Speaker 2: the name of Chris Tennant Brown. You would have seen 80 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:12,000 Speaker 2: him on the tally. He's saying, look, this isn't a dundelle. 81 00:04:12,040 --> 00:04:15,480 Speaker 2: This four months left in the season. Prices could still move. 82 00:04:15,800 --> 00:04:19,120 Speaker 2: The season to date is up production wise three point 83 00:04:19,200 --> 00:04:23,400 Speaker 2: seven percent, but we're well past the midpoint. Of the 84 00:04:23,400 --> 00:04:27,040 Speaker 2: Bell curve. In terms of production, typically only about a 85 00:04:27,080 --> 00:04:30,159 Speaker 2: third of the production comes from here on and so 86 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:33,880 Speaker 2: a lot of that production and sales have been locked in. 87 00:04:33,920 --> 00:04:36,960 Speaker 2: But there are a few other things to consider. Kneewers, 88 00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:39,680 Speaker 2: soil moisture deficit charts have been showing a lot of 89 00:04:39,680 --> 00:04:42,200 Speaker 2: the country could do with the drink. We've also got 90 00:04:42,200 --> 00:04:45,880 Speaker 2: the exchange rate. Goodness knows what happens there with Donald 91 00:04:45,880 --> 00:04:48,320 Speaker 2: Trump in charge. And we've also got a couple of 92 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:51,640 Speaker 2: other issues in Europe which has forced them back into 93 00:04:51,640 --> 00:04:54,159 Speaker 2: the market. A weebit, the threat of foot and mouth 94 00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 2: in Germany and the ongoing presence of blue tongue virus. 95 00:04:57,960 --> 00:05:00,159 Speaker 2: There's a lot of things that play here, Ryan, but 96 00:05:00,279 --> 00:05:03,600 Speaker 2: generally in terms of New Zealand industries, New Zealand or 97 00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:07,320 Speaker 2: the New Zealand airy industries is looking as good as anything. 98 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:09,200 Speaker 1: And thank goodness, we've got them. Gosh, don't we need 99 00:05:09,240 --> 00:05:11,279 Speaker 1: a bit of that at the moment. Jamie, Thank you 100 00:05:11,360 --> 00:05:11,760 Speaker 1: very much. 101 00:05:12,400 --> 00:05:13,800 Speaker 2: Cheers Ryan, always good the chat. 102 00:05:14,240 --> 00:05:17,320 Speaker 1: Cheers Jamie. It's Jamie McKay from the Country. For more 103 00:05:17,400 --> 00:05:20,719 Speaker 1: from Heather Duplessy Allen Drive listen live to news Talks. 104 00:05:20,720 --> 00:05:23,920 Speaker 1: It'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow the podcast 105 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:25,039 Speaker 1: on iHeartRadio