1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,680 Speaker 1: Retail showing signs of rude health. New survey confidence at 2 00:00:02,680 --> 00:00:05,200 Speaker 1: a two year high over three quarters seventy six point 3 00:00:05,240 --> 00:00:08,039 Speaker 1: seven percent to be precise, so they're confident their business 4 00:00:08,080 --> 00:00:09,959 Speaker 1: will survive in the next twelve months, up from sixty 5 00:00:09,960 --> 00:00:12,080 Speaker 1: five point five Also, first time since Q one of 6 00:00:12,080 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 1: twenty three more than fifty percent of retail has met 7 00:00:14,680 --> 00:00:17,239 Speaker 1: their sales target. So Carol and Young is the Retail 8 00:00:17,280 --> 00:00:21,120 Speaker 1: New Zealand CEO. And as with us, Morning morning, Mike, 9 00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:23,360 Speaker 1: how are you. I'm extremely well. I remember the days 10 00:00:23,360 --> 00:00:25,200 Speaker 1: and it wasn't that long ago, though, dark COVID days, 11 00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:27,160 Speaker 1: when those sort of numbers, the seventy six was more 12 00:00:27,160 --> 00:00:29,480 Speaker 1: in the thirties and forties, no one knew whether anything 13 00:00:29,560 --> 00:00:32,040 Speaker 1: was going to last long. So things have turned around remarkably, 14 00:00:32,080 --> 00:00:32,479 Speaker 1: haven't they. 15 00:00:33,440 --> 00:00:35,239 Speaker 2: Yeah, Look, it's taken a while, hasn't it. You know, 16 00:00:35,400 --> 00:00:39,360 Speaker 2: last January we saw a five percent client in card 17 00:00:39,440 --> 00:00:42,199 Speaker 2: sales and this January is in a one point one 18 00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 2: percent increase in card sales, so you know that that 19 00:00:46,120 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 2: in itself was another shift. It's another positive mood. We're 20 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:51,640 Speaker 2: off a really low base, so you know it's going 21 00:00:51,720 --> 00:00:54,480 Speaker 2: to take a while for businesses to actually recover and 22 00:00:54,520 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 2: have some cash flow for you know, investing into the business. 23 00:00:58,520 --> 00:01:01,280 Speaker 2: But at least it's a sign that we're heading in 24 00:01:01,320 --> 00:01:03,520 Speaker 2: the right direction, which we've had a lot of talk 25 00:01:03,520 --> 00:01:06,120 Speaker 2: about that, haven't we. So good to see some data 26 00:01:06,160 --> 00:01:06,920 Speaker 2: that supports it. 27 00:01:07,160 --> 00:01:10,800 Speaker 1: The January spend yesterday was down a smidge. The suggestion 28 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:15,039 Speaker 1: being is the direction of travel is solid, January might 29 00:01:15,040 --> 00:01:17,400 Speaker 1: be an outlier feb and March will confirm that we're 30 00:01:17,440 --> 00:01:19,600 Speaker 1: actually on the right track. Is that the vibe that 31 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:20,520 Speaker 1: you would get or not. 32 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:25,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, Well, what we actually look as we actually look 33 00:01:25,600 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 2: at the actual cards spend rather than the season the 34 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:31,280 Speaker 2: adjusted and the actual cards spend January on January was 35 00:01:31,400 --> 00:01:34,680 Speaker 2: up one point one percent for core retail, So that's 36 00:01:34,920 --> 00:01:38,119 Speaker 2: a good point versus the season adjusted, but smooths everything out, 37 00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:41,160 Speaker 2: whereas cause retail is cyclical, retailers want to look at 38 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 2: exactly what did I do last January? And am I 39 00:01:43,040 --> 00:01:45,800 Speaker 2: better than that this January rather than kind of looking 40 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:48,160 Speaker 2: at a smooth space. So yeah, it was actually really 41 00:01:48,160 --> 00:01:53,680 Speaker 2: positive news for us. And you know last January, you know, 42 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:57,480 Speaker 2: for example, apparel in twenty twenty five was down five percent, 43 00:01:58,480 --> 00:02:03,000 Speaker 2: but actually this January perroll was at one point four percent, 44 00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:06,240 Speaker 2: so you know, at one point four off, a low 45 00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 2: of minus five is not you know, you're not going 46 00:02:09,200 --> 00:02:10,520 Speaker 2: to be singing all the way to the bank, but 47 00:02:10,560 --> 00:02:13,400 Speaker 2: at least you're heading in the right direction. And retailers 48 00:02:13,480 --> 00:02:16,400 Speaker 2: have told us that they have lowered their level of stock, 49 00:02:16,560 --> 00:02:18,880 Speaker 2: so they are selling their stocks that they've got, but 50 00:02:18,919 --> 00:02:21,360 Speaker 2: they have a lot lower level based on the fact 51 00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 2: that you know, demand has been so low. 52 00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:25,200 Speaker 1: Good good on you, Carol, and nice to catch up Carol. 53 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:27,360 Speaker 1: And Young Retail in New Zealand CEO. Daughter's got a 54 00:02:27,400 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 1: job in retail of late before the university comes back. 55 00:02:29,560 --> 00:02:32,560 Speaker 1: She says, Place popping off. Boss was out for another 56 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 1: one of his corporate dinners the other night, says Place 57 00:02:34,600 --> 00:02:37,800 Speaker 1: popping Off says, everything's popping off at the moment. 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