WEBVTT - Leighton Smith Podcast #259 - October 9th 2024 - Patrick Basham

0:00:09.133 --> 0:00:11.973
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to a podcast from News Talks a B.

0:00:12.413 --> 0:00:16.213
<v Speaker 1>Follow this and our wide range of podcasts now on iHeartRadio.

0:00:16.773 --> 0:00:19.813
<v Speaker 1>It's time from all the Attitude, all the opinion, all

0:00:19.853 --> 0:00:24.333
<v Speaker 1>the information, all the debates of the US, Now the

0:00:24.533 --> 0:00:27.733
<v Speaker 1>Leyton Smith Podcast powered by News Talks it B.

0:00:28.213 --> 0:00:31.693
<v Speaker 2>Welcome to Podcasts two hundred and fifty nine for October nine,

0:00:31.813 --> 0:00:35.333
<v Speaker 2>twenty twenty four. There's a handful of contributors who have

0:00:35.613 --> 0:00:39.533
<v Speaker 2>guested on my broadcast radio and podcast over the years.

0:00:39.893 --> 0:00:43.333
<v Speaker 2>A small group of individuals who are frequently inquired about,

0:00:43.493 --> 0:00:46.973
<v Speaker 2>as in when is ex y or Z going to

0:00:47.013 --> 0:00:50.733
<v Speaker 2>be on again? Patrick Basham is one example, more particularly

0:00:50.853 --> 0:00:54.293
<v Speaker 2>at the moment because of the presidential election, and in

0:00:54.293 --> 0:00:58.133
<v Speaker 2>two five nine he doesn't disappoint, and via the Daily Express,

0:00:58.253 --> 0:01:01.973
<v Speaker 2>Patrick has some new and fresh polling numbers. Again. He

0:01:02.053 --> 0:01:06.053
<v Speaker 2>details the methodology used by Democracy Institute in gathering them,

0:01:06.213 --> 0:01:09.933
<v Speaker 2>and it's proved to be very reliable. However, that aside,

0:01:10.053 --> 0:01:12.333
<v Speaker 2>I woke up this morning feeling different, a different frame

0:01:12.373 --> 0:01:14.893
<v Speaker 2>of mind, if you like. Can't explain it, but can

0:01:14.973 --> 0:01:19.053
<v Speaker 2>say that it's denying me the desire to be too serious.

0:01:19.533 --> 0:01:23.493
<v Speaker 2>So after the mail room, I'll reveal what Jeremy Clarkson

0:01:23.653 --> 0:01:26.493
<v Speaker 2>and I have in common. That is probably not what

0:01:26.573 --> 0:01:30.493
<v Speaker 2>you think. But first, on the subject of multiculturalism, which

0:01:30.773 --> 0:01:33.773
<v Speaker 2>seems to be plaguing the world at the moment, there's

0:01:33.773 --> 0:01:36.653
<v Speaker 2>a few references I'd like to make mention of. In

0:01:36.693 --> 0:01:41.093
<v Speaker 2>twenty eleven, a Muslim from Canada named Salem men Surr

0:01:42.213 --> 0:01:46.773
<v Speaker 2>wrote a book called Delectable Lie, a Liberal repudiation of Multiculturalism.

0:01:47.373 --> 0:01:49.333
<v Speaker 2>It was a book that, well, let me put it

0:01:49.373 --> 0:01:53.573
<v Speaker 2>this way. My point is that although multiculturalism once seemed

0:01:53.613 --> 0:01:56.773
<v Speaker 2>a very good idea, at least to politicians and others

0:01:56.973 --> 0:02:00.693
<v Speaker 2>smitten with the ambition for unity, it is increasingly shown

0:02:00.733 --> 0:02:03.893
<v Speaker 2>to be a lie, a delectable lie, perhaps yet a

0:02:03.933 --> 0:02:08.733
<v Speaker 2>lie nevertheless that is destructive of the West's life, liberal

0:02:08.773 --> 0:02:13.213
<v Speaker 2>democratic heritage, its tradition and values based on individual rights

0:02:13.213 --> 0:02:17.493
<v Speaker 2>and freedoms. This could have been foretold, as indeed, those

0:02:17.533 --> 0:02:23.413
<v Speaker 2>philosophers and historians of ideas who viewed freedom as immeasurably

0:02:23.453 --> 0:02:26.213
<v Speaker 2>more important than equality in the development of the West

0:02:26.733 --> 0:02:31.693
<v Speaker 2>did foretell. They admonished people against the temptation to abridge

0:02:31.693 --> 0:02:35.813
<v Speaker 2>freedom in pursuit of equality. Now that's a very telling

0:02:35.933 --> 0:02:38.733
<v Speaker 2>little paragraph, And there is much more to it, of course,

0:02:39.013 --> 0:02:41.693
<v Speaker 2>especially in Canada, which seems to have led the way

0:02:41.813 --> 0:02:45.253
<v Speaker 2>over the years of trying to abridge this problem. Now

0:02:45.293 --> 0:02:48.773
<v Speaker 2>in Australia. Over the weekend, of course, there were lots

0:02:48.773 --> 0:02:52.533
<v Speaker 2>of demonstrations, and some of them pretty vicious. Nick Cator,

0:02:52.653 --> 0:02:55.973
<v Speaker 2>writing in The Australian under the heading of failure of

0:02:56.053 --> 0:03:00.693
<v Speaker 2>leadership has led to ugly tribalism on streets and university campuses,

0:03:01.013 --> 0:03:05.213
<v Speaker 2>wrote some extremely good commentary, referring to a speech, one

0:03:05.253 --> 0:03:10.133
<v Speaker 2>speech in particular, but some more in general. He said

0:03:10.373 --> 0:03:14.213
<v Speaker 2>that hideous distortion of the truth was voiced by Sheikh

0:03:14.253 --> 0:03:18.213
<v Speaker 2>Ibrahim de Doon in Western Sydney a day after the attacks,

0:03:18.613 --> 0:03:21.933
<v Speaker 2>when he said, I'm smiling and unhappy, I'm elated. It's

0:03:21.973 --> 0:03:24.213
<v Speaker 2>a day of courage, it's a day of resistance, it's

0:03:24.213 --> 0:03:26.493
<v Speaker 2>a day of pride, it's a day of victory. He

0:03:26.573 --> 0:03:29.253
<v Speaker 2>told the crowd. That was the day after, of course,

0:03:29.293 --> 0:03:33.773
<v Speaker 2>October seventh of last year. Nick says the importation of

0:03:33.853 --> 0:03:38.413
<v Speaker 2>this tribal animus into Australian civic society is the most

0:03:38.573 --> 0:03:42.293
<v Speaker 2>disturbing consequence of last year's attacks. It found fertile ground

0:03:42.333 --> 0:03:48.133
<v Speaker 2>among progressive intellectuals mired in Western self loathing and affixated

0:03:48.173 --> 0:03:52.133
<v Speaker 2>on race, gender and identity. The plight of civilians caught

0:03:52.133 --> 0:03:54.013
<v Speaker 2>in the middle of the war in Gaza is merely

0:03:54.093 --> 0:03:59.453
<v Speaker 2>the post hoc justification for a visceral sense of historical

0:03:59.493 --> 0:04:04.573
<v Speaker 2>grievance against the Jewish state and the Jewish people. And

0:04:04.613 --> 0:04:07.733
<v Speaker 2>then there is this. The wealthy owner of the Nomad

0:04:07.813 --> 0:04:10.533
<v Speaker 2>restaurants in Sydney and Melbourne has been revealed as the

0:04:10.573 --> 0:04:15.933
<v Speaker 2>protester arrested for allegedly holding up a Swashtika sign superimposed

0:04:16.013 --> 0:04:19.893
<v Speaker 2>over an Israeli flag at Sunday's pro Palestine rally in Sydney.

0:04:20.653 --> 0:04:24.813
<v Speaker 2>Alan Yazbek being charged with knowingly displaying a Nazi symbol

0:04:24.933 --> 0:04:27.973
<v Speaker 2>in public after he allegedly held the sign which bore

0:04:28.013 --> 0:04:33.133
<v Speaker 2>the words stopped Nazi Israel. He and his wife, who

0:04:33.213 --> 0:04:36.133
<v Speaker 2>was an interior architect, have run the popular Surrey Hills

0:04:36.133 --> 0:04:40.373
<v Speaker 2>restaurant No Mad since twenty thirteen. The Australian newspaper understands

0:04:40.413 --> 0:04:44.333
<v Speaker 2>they say several patrons rushed to cancel bookings on Tuesday

0:04:44.413 --> 0:04:47.893
<v Speaker 2>night after news of the charges spread among the Jewish community.

0:04:48.573 --> 0:04:52.773
<v Speaker 2>And who can blame them this couple. I don't know

0:04:52.773 --> 0:04:57.373
<v Speaker 2>whether they were migrants from far away or whether they

0:04:57.413 --> 0:05:00.733
<v Speaker 2>were born in Australia. It doesn't reveal that. But they

0:05:00.773 --> 0:05:02.653
<v Speaker 2>started their business just over a decade ago with a

0:05:02.693 --> 0:05:05.213
<v Speaker 2>thirty seat cellar door that became a two hundred seat

0:05:05.213 --> 0:05:08.893
<v Speaker 2>restaurant with food inspired by their travels through Spain and

0:05:08.893 --> 0:05:11.693
<v Speaker 2>the Middle East. Had a focus on cooking over fire.

0:05:12.253 --> 0:05:14.573
<v Speaker 2>I'm sure there must be a book or two on

0:05:14.653 --> 0:05:18.173
<v Speaker 2>the restaurants, and then, as the media generally does in

0:05:18.253 --> 0:05:22.413
<v Speaker 2>circumstances like this, they list the restaurants that they owned

0:05:22.693 --> 0:05:25.653
<v Speaker 2>or now own, and then went into a bit of

0:05:25.853 --> 0:05:28.813
<v Speaker 2>private life. The couple paid four million for their home

0:05:28.893 --> 0:05:32.893
<v Speaker 2>in the affluent eastern Sydney suburb of Willara in twenty sixteen,

0:05:33.333 --> 0:05:36.693
<v Speaker 2>but more recently this year apparently they bought an eleven

0:05:36.693 --> 0:05:41.333
<v Speaker 2>million dollar house in Albert Park in Melbourne. On Sunday,

0:05:41.333 --> 0:05:44.333
<v Speaker 2>mister Yazbek joined the crowd of ten thousand pro Palestine

0:05:44.813 --> 0:05:48.933
<v Speaker 2>protesters who had been given permission to march through the

0:05:48.973 --> 0:05:52.493
<v Speaker 2>streets of Sydney CBD, but police allege the fifty six

0:05:52.613 --> 0:05:57.213
<v Speaker 2>year old failed to heat warnings not to display offensive material. Now,

0:05:57.253 --> 0:06:00.173
<v Speaker 2>the first mistake that was made was to give them

0:06:00.173 --> 0:06:05.453
<v Speaker 2>permission to demonstrate against the country that their kinvote, that

0:06:05.573 --> 0:06:11.573
<v Speaker 2>their kinfolk attacked and murdered and slaughtered twelve hundred people,

0:06:11.893 --> 0:06:17.053
<v Speaker 2>not to forget those who were hijacked back to Gaza.

0:06:17.573 --> 0:06:20.333
<v Speaker 2>But that's not right, that's not really what I mentioned

0:06:20.333 --> 0:06:24.933
<v Speaker 2>this for. It's multiculturalism that we have a problem with,

0:06:25.413 --> 0:06:28.093
<v Speaker 2>and it's a growing problem and it needs to be addressed.

0:06:28.453 --> 0:06:33.933
<v Speaker 2>The Australian government the most incompetent government arguably ever. I

0:06:33.973 --> 0:06:36.213
<v Speaker 2>heard somebody say that it was worse than the Golf

0:06:36.213 --> 0:06:41.373
<v Speaker 2>Whitnam government. Well it is. They are hopeless, useless and stupid.

0:06:41.653 --> 0:06:44.533
<v Speaker 2>But Australia is in trouble because there is a shortage

0:06:44.573 --> 0:06:49.093
<v Speaker 2>of real talent. The Liberal leader, of course, is improving

0:06:49.133 --> 0:06:52.693
<v Speaker 2>out of sight. But nevertheless there's a way to go

0:06:52.933 --> 0:06:58.133
<v Speaker 2>and one hopes and even praise that peace will settle

0:06:58.173 --> 0:07:03.573
<v Speaker 2>itself on these problems facing Australia now in a moment.

0:07:03.693 --> 0:07:17.373
<v Speaker 2>Patrick Masham Laton Smith. Leverrix is an antihistamine made in

0:07:17.413 --> 0:07:21.373
<v Speaker 2>Switzerland to the highest quality. Leverix relieves hay fever and

0:07:21.493 --> 0:07:26.293
<v Speaker 2>skin allergies or itchy skin. It's a dual action antihistamine

0:07:26.373 --> 0:07:31.333
<v Speaker 2>and has a unique nasal decongestent action. It's fast acting

0:07:31.613 --> 0:07:34.653
<v Speaker 2>for fast relief, and it works in under an hour

0:07:34.733 --> 0:07:38.253
<v Speaker 2>and lasts for over twenty four hours. Leverrix is a

0:07:38.293 --> 0:07:42.053
<v Speaker 2>tiny tablet that unblocks the nose, deals with itchy eyes,

0:07:42.293 --> 0:07:46.693
<v Speaker 2>and stops sneezing. Leverrix is an antihistamine made in Switzerland

0:07:46.853 --> 0:07:49.613
<v Speaker 2>to the highest quantity. So next time you're in need

0:07:49.653 --> 0:07:53.613
<v Speaker 2>of an effective antihistamine, call into the pharmacy and ask

0:07:53.733 --> 0:07:59.573
<v Speaker 2>for Leverrix lv Rix, Levrix and always read the label.

0:07:59.693 --> 0:08:03.613
<v Speaker 2>Takes directed and if symptoms persist, see your health professional.

0:08:04.013 --> 0:08:12.773
<v Speaker 2>Farmer Broker Auckland. Patrick Basham is the director of the

0:08:12.813 --> 0:08:17.053
<v Speaker 2>Democracy Institute. He's the founder of the Democracy Institute. Patrick,

0:08:17.133 --> 0:08:19.653
<v Speaker 2>It's excellent to have you back on the podcast. And

0:08:19.693 --> 0:08:24.133
<v Speaker 2>I know that that greeting is matched by thousands of

0:08:24.173 --> 0:08:25.853
<v Speaker 2>others because I get it all the time.

0:08:27.813 --> 0:08:30.053
<v Speaker 3>Well, thank you late. It is always a pleasure to

0:08:30.093 --> 0:08:32.733
<v Speaker 3>speak with you, a pleasure and an honor to speak

0:08:32.773 --> 0:08:35.333
<v Speaker 3>with your final audience. Always grateful for the opportunity to

0:08:35.373 --> 0:08:39.173
<v Speaker 3>talk about all things American and occasionally things further afield

0:08:39.213 --> 0:08:39.573
<v Speaker 3>as well.

0:08:39.973 --> 0:08:42.333
<v Speaker 2>I had over the last couple of weeks I had

0:08:42.413 --> 0:08:46.573
<v Speaker 2>when's Patrick Basham coming on on multiple occasions, and I

0:08:46.613 --> 0:08:50.013
<v Speaker 2>said last week because I was thinking I thought it

0:08:50.053 --> 0:08:52.933
<v Speaker 2>was last week and then it wasn't. But here we are,

0:08:53.213 --> 0:08:55.693
<v Speaker 2>and it might be appropriate to say that at this

0:08:55.733 --> 0:09:00.013
<v Speaker 2>point of time that election day is here a Wednesday,

0:09:01.453 --> 0:09:06.133
<v Speaker 2>and Wednesday is podcast day. So we're going to we're

0:09:06.173 --> 0:09:09.853
<v Speaker 2>going to meet up in this fact and cover off

0:09:09.893 --> 0:09:15.373
<v Speaker 2>some stuff right on the bill. So I have a

0:09:15.493 --> 0:09:19.133
<v Speaker 2>question for you, and I'll be interested in your response

0:09:20.253 --> 0:09:24.733
<v Speaker 2>today as we speak, what would be the biggest political

0:09:24.773 --> 0:09:27.333
<v Speaker 2>headline in the US.

0:09:29.213 --> 0:09:32.213
<v Speaker 3>It's a variety of headlines on the same theme about

0:09:32.973 --> 0:09:37.933
<v Speaker 3>how close the race is between Harris and Trump, whether

0:09:38.613 --> 0:09:43.213
<v Speaker 3>you know, whether Trump is going to self destruct as

0:09:43.213 --> 0:09:45.293
<v Speaker 3>he apparently has done in the past, allegedly has done

0:09:45.333 --> 0:09:49.053
<v Speaker 3>the past, and it's hope for it does again. Is

0:09:49.213 --> 0:09:53.813
<v Speaker 3>Harris putting the coalition back together again? You know? So

0:09:53.853 --> 0:09:56.693
<v Speaker 3>it's reflective of the fact that it's a reflection of

0:09:56.733 --> 0:10:03.653
<v Speaker 3>the fact that even the traditionally unreliable mainstream media polling

0:10:03.733 --> 0:10:08.173
<v Speaker 3>indicates that this is it is a very competitive race

0:10:08.813 --> 0:10:12.453
<v Speaker 3>and that no one can be certain based on that

0:10:12.573 --> 0:10:14.973
<v Speaker 3>those sort of polls as to you know, who will

0:10:14.973 --> 0:10:16.973
<v Speaker 3>be the victor, even though we all know who should be.

0:10:18.093 --> 0:10:21.253
<v Speaker 3>So that's the sort of horse race thing that is

0:10:21.293 --> 0:10:26.293
<v Speaker 3>dominating right now. If I might take a moment to

0:10:26.653 --> 0:10:30.533
<v Speaker 3>mention what I think should be the story, one because

0:10:30.533 --> 0:10:33.853
<v Speaker 3>I believe it should be, and also because I think

0:10:33.853 --> 0:10:39.213
<v Speaker 3>it's it's a below the radar story in terms or

0:10:40.053 --> 0:10:43.933
<v Speaker 3>variable that is actually going to impact the outcome to

0:10:43.973 --> 0:10:47.173
<v Speaker 3>some extent. And the story, of course should be the

0:10:47.413 --> 0:10:51.813
<v Speaker 3>appalling pathetic in all senses of the word federal government

0:10:51.933 --> 0:10:57.013
<v Speaker 3>Biden Harris regime response to the hurricane in the Southeast

0:10:58.133 --> 0:11:03.573
<v Speaker 3>States of the United States. That that story was completely

0:11:03.613 --> 0:11:07.173
<v Speaker 3>buried the first few days by the mainstream media, but

0:11:07.933 --> 0:11:12.253
<v Speaker 3>the situation cuation was so bad and thanks to social media,

0:11:12.533 --> 0:11:15.733
<v Speaker 3>that the mainstream media by late last week had to

0:11:15.773 --> 0:11:20.173
<v Speaker 3>start covering it with at least a modicum of accuracy.

0:11:20.933 --> 0:11:24.173
<v Speaker 3>And of course that's the story gets out. Things just

0:11:24.213 --> 0:11:28.973
<v Speaker 3>get worse and worse, and Harris and her campaign are

0:11:29.053 --> 0:11:35.093
<v Speaker 3>so inept that and so to have such a ten

0:11:35.213 --> 0:11:38.733
<v Speaker 3>ear politically cannot read the room that they've sort of

0:11:38.773 --> 0:11:45.853
<v Speaker 3>made every optic related mistake and sort of verbal mistake

0:11:45.933 --> 0:11:49.133
<v Speaker 3>you can make in terms of responding to this, and

0:11:49.213 --> 0:11:53.013
<v Speaker 3>so the story has more than the story that there's

0:11:53.053 --> 0:11:56.733
<v Speaker 3>a real story that has truly has legs, should have legs.

0:11:57.173 --> 0:11:59.853
<v Speaker 3>But what they've done and what Biden's done, or more

0:11:59.893 --> 0:12:02.453
<v Speaker 3>to the point, what they haven't done, has just fueled

0:12:02.453 --> 0:12:07.933
<v Speaker 3>that fire. And so it is something which is reinforcing

0:12:08.013 --> 0:12:13.093
<v Speaker 3>the enthusiasm amongst those who are already committed to voting

0:12:13.173 --> 0:12:17.373
<v Speaker 3>against Harris to ensure that they do because they see this,

0:12:17.533 --> 0:12:21.813
<v Speaker 3>I think, with a great deal of accuracy, very correctly

0:12:22.093 --> 0:12:30.413
<v Speaker 3>as it epitomizes the incompetence and of the Biden Harris

0:12:30.853 --> 0:12:37.653
<v Speaker 3>administration and also the degree to which they enthusiastically politicize

0:12:38.093 --> 0:12:41.493
<v Speaker 3>every decision that they make. Uh, and they have as

0:12:41.533 --> 0:12:42.573
<v Speaker 3>they have a pear to have done so.

0:12:42.653 --> 0:12:46.533
<v Speaker 2>In this case, you said something a moutent ago about

0:12:46.533 --> 0:12:51.533
<v Speaker 2>reading the room, and I misheard you momentarily. But I

0:12:51.573 --> 0:12:54.213
<v Speaker 2>want to, I want to, I want to utilize it.

0:12:56.493 --> 0:13:00.533
<v Speaker 2>She's doing a good job or a bad job of

0:13:01.173 --> 0:13:07.813
<v Speaker 2>reading the womb to say room or womb, I said

0:13:07.853 --> 0:13:12.493
<v Speaker 2>womb ah, yes, because that's it seems to be leading

0:13:12.853 --> 0:13:18.253
<v Speaker 2>hitting her whole approach absolutely.

0:13:18.293 --> 0:13:22.533
<v Speaker 3>The only really, the only policy position that she is

0:13:22.573 --> 0:13:27.133
<v Speaker 3>sort of proactively staked out and stood firm on is

0:13:27.173 --> 0:13:33.413
<v Speaker 3>her commitment to basically no limits or constraints on a

0:13:33.453 --> 0:13:39.053
<v Speaker 3>woman's reproductive rights, as you know, as defined by the Democrats. Interestingly,

0:13:40.493 --> 0:13:45.973
<v Speaker 3>when posters ask whether they're Republican Harris voters, Trump voters,

0:13:46.053 --> 0:13:49.613
<v Speaker 3>or independence when they ask what do you know about

0:13:49.653 --> 0:13:55.733
<v Speaker 3>Harris's policy positions, overwhelmingly, across the board, no one knows.

0:13:55.973 --> 0:13:59.053
<v Speaker 3>No one, no average voter, regardless of how they're voting,

0:13:59.973 --> 0:14:03.893
<v Speaker 3>knows much about what they what she is going to

0:14:03.933 --> 0:14:05.653
<v Speaker 3>do or says she's going to do, because she hasn't

0:14:05.653 --> 0:14:09.853
<v Speaker 3>said very much. But the one issue where you get

0:14:09.893 --> 0:14:13.733
<v Speaker 3>something like twenty five thirty thirty five percent across the board,

0:14:13.773 --> 0:14:17.133
<v Speaker 3>everybody's confident in saying, I know where she stands on abortion.

0:14:17.813 --> 0:14:22.933
<v Speaker 3>It's the one thing that they have stressed and so her.

0:14:23.333 --> 0:14:26.013
<v Speaker 3>What they're doing with that, I mean, we don't know

0:14:26.093 --> 0:14:28.093
<v Speaker 3>yet whether it's going to work, but it's you know,

0:14:28.173 --> 0:14:33.653
<v Speaker 3>it's incredibly disingenuous. Is they are doing the traditional democratic

0:14:33.733 --> 0:14:35.573
<v Speaker 3>thing of saying, you know, where for a woman's right

0:14:35.613 --> 0:14:39.613
<v Speaker 3>to choose, we protect a woman's reproductive freedom, et cetera.

0:14:40.053 --> 0:14:43.933
<v Speaker 3>The other guys are anti abortion, but they've extended that

0:14:44.213 --> 0:14:48.093
<v Speaker 3>and they're just blatantly lying about what the Supreme Court

0:14:48.133 --> 0:14:52.813
<v Speaker 3>decision over over through Roe v. Wade means and meant

0:14:53.453 --> 0:14:57.853
<v Speaker 3>they're completely lying about Trump's position on whether on a

0:14:57.933 --> 0:15:01.853
<v Speaker 3>national abortion ban, which she's against, et cetera, et cetera.

0:15:02.733 --> 0:15:06.373
<v Speaker 3>And so they they're using this and it's often very

0:15:06.373 --> 0:15:11.093
<v Speaker 3>effective in terms of fundraising and ensuring that the liberal

0:15:11.293 --> 0:15:15.173
<v Speaker 3>female base of the party turns out to vote, you know,

0:15:15.213 --> 0:15:18.133
<v Speaker 3>where they paint whoever the Republican is. In this came

0:15:18.173 --> 0:15:20.933
<v Speaker 3>Trump case case Trump as someone you know from the

0:15:21.413 --> 0:15:24.573
<v Speaker 3>you know from from nineteen twenty four, not twenty twenty four,

0:15:24.573 --> 0:15:28.973
<v Speaker 3>in terms of their attitudes to female to women's reproductive rights,

0:15:29.133 --> 0:15:32.933
<v Speaker 3>and themselves as a defender of that. And of course,

0:15:32.933 --> 0:15:36.613
<v Speaker 3>the one quite effective way in which both Trump and JD.

0:15:36.733 --> 0:15:41.733
<v Speaker 3>Vance and others have pushed back is they have pointed

0:15:41.733 --> 0:15:44.933
<v Speaker 3>out one that you know, they actually do but think

0:15:44.933 --> 0:15:47.973
<v Speaker 3>that there are exceptions to abortion bands. They're not in

0:15:48.053 --> 0:15:50.973
<v Speaker 3>favor of a national one. But they've pointed out that

0:15:51.213 --> 0:15:56.253
<v Speaker 3>Harris and her running mate do not agree with any

0:15:56.293 --> 0:15:58.853
<v Speaker 3>restrictions literally up to the moment, in fact, past the

0:15:58.893 --> 0:16:03.573
<v Speaker 3>moment of birth. And so it's become this you know,

0:16:03.653 --> 0:16:08.253
<v Speaker 3>sort of ping pong match, which is important, very important

0:16:08.413 --> 0:16:11.333
<v Speaker 3>to some people on both sides, but in both cases

0:16:11.373 --> 0:16:15.493
<v Speaker 3>it's a minority, and you know, there are other issues

0:16:15.533 --> 0:16:18.453
<v Speaker 3>that are far more important right now to most people.

0:16:18.773 --> 0:16:21.213
<v Speaker 3>But what I think the thing it really tells us latent.

0:16:21.893 --> 0:16:27.493
<v Speaker 3>It epitomizes how the Harris campaign has focused from the

0:16:27.533 --> 0:16:32.133
<v Speaker 3>get go on issues which are really really important to

0:16:32.213 --> 0:16:35.533
<v Speaker 3>their core constituency. Now, obviously you have to keep your

0:16:35.573 --> 0:16:39.253
<v Speaker 3>core your base vot is happy, but she's in a position,

0:16:39.293 --> 0:16:43.373
<v Speaker 3>as Biden was, of needing to enlarge the tent a little,

0:16:43.653 --> 0:16:47.853
<v Speaker 3>and they're not obviously attempting to do that, which you

0:16:47.893 --> 0:16:50.533
<v Speaker 3>can either view as an aptitude or you can view

0:16:50.573 --> 0:16:53.053
<v Speaker 3>it as an acknowledgment on their part that they just

0:16:53.093 --> 0:16:55.013
<v Speaker 3>simply have to minimize their losses.

0:16:56.693 --> 0:17:00.733
<v Speaker 2>If I could jump ahead just a little, the Democracy

0:17:00.813 --> 0:17:04.333
<v Speaker 2>Institute and the Daily Express you have run and you've

0:17:04.373 --> 0:17:08.093
<v Speaker 2>been doing this for some years. You've run polling on

0:17:08.453 --> 0:17:12.133
<v Speaker 2>half of both of your organizations. Is the day the

0:17:12.173 --> 0:17:15.413
<v Speaker 2>Express a printed a printed paper in America or oh

0:17:15.453 --> 0:17:21.253
<v Speaker 2>it's online online? Yeah, the way of the future. The

0:17:21.293 --> 0:17:25.813
<v Speaker 2>most important issues. I'm interested to see that. I was

0:17:26.013 --> 0:17:31.373
<v Speaker 2>that abortion is fifth on the list, but only eleven percent,

0:17:32.693 --> 0:17:39.893
<v Speaker 2>So you've got inflation at the top, immigration, economy, crime, abortion, healthcare,

0:17:40.613 --> 0:17:43.733
<v Speaker 2>and I'm very pleased to say climate change is last

0:17:44.333 --> 0:17:45.653
<v Speaker 2>on six percent.

0:17:47.093 --> 0:17:47.893
<v Speaker 3>Yes, so.

0:17:49.653 --> 0:17:53.573
<v Speaker 2>That that that to me is very satisfactory. But the

0:17:53.933 --> 0:17:56.573
<v Speaker 2>but the abortion aspect of it is less than than

0:17:56.573 --> 0:17:57.733
<v Speaker 2>I would have anticipated.

0:17:58.293 --> 0:18:02.533
<v Speaker 3>Yes, indeed, and it's it's it is a demonstrates what

0:18:02.853 --> 0:18:05.973
<v Speaker 3>I illustrates what I was just touching on there, that

0:18:06.333 --> 0:18:09.333
<v Speaker 3>it is a very important issue to a small minority.

0:18:09.333 --> 0:18:12.213
<v Speaker 3>It's the issue to a small minority on both sides

0:18:12.853 --> 0:18:17.413
<v Speaker 3>of the issue. But this is an election that is

0:18:17.493 --> 0:18:23.013
<v Speaker 3>being and will be dominated issue wise by the candidates

0:18:23.173 --> 0:18:28.573
<v Speaker 3>actual and perceived positions on a whole range of economic issues,

0:18:29.093 --> 0:18:33.293
<v Speaker 3>the immigration issue, the slash border issue, and crime, And

0:18:33.333 --> 0:18:35.413
<v Speaker 3>of course those sure will are where later and I'm

0:18:35.413 --> 0:18:38.733
<v Speaker 3>sure most of your listeners are that those the economic issue,

0:18:38.933 --> 0:18:41.853
<v Speaker 3>the immigration issue, the crime issue. In twenty twenty four

0:18:41.933 --> 0:18:45.613
<v Speaker 3>across pretty much all of the West, those three are

0:18:45.613 --> 0:18:50.733
<v Speaker 3>interwoven in terms of how they impact the quality of

0:18:50.773 --> 0:18:55.533
<v Speaker 3>life of the average voter, and they're interwoven in terms

0:18:55.573 --> 0:19:01.813
<v Speaker 3>of the politics of them, and they favor as they

0:19:01.853 --> 0:19:03.893
<v Speaker 3>have done in most elections across the West in the

0:19:03.933 --> 0:19:08.773
<v Speaker 3>last couple of years. They favor the challenger. The it's

0:19:08.773 --> 0:19:12.253
<v Speaker 3>not that they disfavor the incumbent, because when people are

0:19:12.493 --> 0:19:14.933
<v Speaker 3>concerned about inflation and immigration and the economy and crime,

0:19:14.973 --> 0:19:17.213
<v Speaker 3>it's because they think there's there's there's too much of

0:19:17.253 --> 0:19:21.253
<v Speaker 3>all of those things, right, And so it's it's a

0:19:21.333 --> 0:19:27.813
<v Speaker 3>it's a really important foundation for the Trump campaign to

0:19:28.173 --> 0:19:31.613
<v Speaker 3>build on. Is I think largely it's done fairly success successfully,

0:19:31.693 --> 0:19:35.053
<v Speaker 3>and it's an albatross around the neck of the Harris campaign,

0:19:35.213 --> 0:19:37.293
<v Speaker 3>as it was around the neck of the Biden campaign,

0:19:37.373 --> 0:19:39.653
<v Speaker 3>and as it has been around the next of so

0:19:39.813 --> 0:19:42.773
<v Speaker 3>many incumbents and governments around the West, whether you know,

0:19:42.813 --> 0:19:46.373
<v Speaker 3>whether they were normally conservative or nominally liberal or of

0:19:46.453 --> 0:19:49.413
<v Speaker 3>the left. You know, it's just when when people aren't

0:19:49.453 --> 0:19:54.173
<v Speaker 3>happy about material things and their physical security, they tend

0:19:54.213 --> 0:19:56.253
<v Speaker 3>to want change in the government. But on the abortion

0:19:56.333 --> 0:20:00.213
<v Speaker 3>issue specifically, it's important to note, well, it is very

0:20:00.253 --> 0:20:03.293
<v Speaker 3>important to note, as you did, that it is only

0:20:03.333 --> 0:20:08.053
<v Speaker 3>issue number five, uh in terms of voters' priorities. That

0:20:08.093 --> 0:20:11.053
<v Speaker 3>does not mean that the eleven percent we found our

0:20:11.053 --> 0:20:14.613
<v Speaker 3>most recent poll are all pro choice, you know. It's

0:20:14.693 --> 0:20:17.173
<v Speaker 3>it's that there are a good number of people on

0:20:17.213 --> 0:20:20.533
<v Speaker 3>the pro life side who think it's the most important issue.

0:20:20.613 --> 0:20:25.133
<v Speaker 3>And I'm always arguing with friends on both sides, were

0:20:25.173 --> 0:20:29.133
<v Speaker 3>particularly on the right, who they may be pro life,

0:20:29.213 --> 0:20:31.173
<v Speaker 3>not necessarily but may be procate, but they think that

0:20:31.213 --> 0:20:34.373
<v Speaker 3>it's a loser for the for the Republicans and for Trump,

0:20:34.773 --> 0:20:37.773
<v Speaker 3>and I argue it is necessarily so because the reason

0:20:38.613 --> 0:20:41.813
<v Speaker 3>for it is so crudely, well simply therefore crudely as

0:20:41.893 --> 0:20:46.493
<v Speaker 3>necessary here is that those who are pro choice, who

0:20:46.693 --> 0:20:48.533
<v Speaker 3>depending on how on the poll you ask, but most

0:20:48.533 --> 0:20:51.573
<v Speaker 3>polls you find them more of them, they vote all

0:20:51.613 --> 0:20:54.973
<v Speaker 3>the time on all for all kinds of reasons, including abortion,

0:20:55.093 --> 0:20:58.133
<v Speaker 3>and they vote for the Democrats these days. The folks

0:20:58.173 --> 0:21:01.333
<v Speaker 3>who are really really concerned about abortion from the pro

0:21:01.373 --> 0:21:06.413
<v Speaker 3>life perspective, they don't vote all the time. They're what

0:21:06.453 --> 0:21:08.853
<v Speaker 3>we call in the polling business, low perpen city or

0:21:08.973 --> 0:21:12.253
<v Speaker 3>medium propensity voters. They show up every two or three

0:21:12.333 --> 0:21:15.573
<v Speaker 3>or four elections, or every once in a twenty years,

0:21:15.613 --> 0:21:18.333
<v Speaker 3>it depends, but they tend to be moved by that issue.

0:21:18.573 --> 0:21:20.693
<v Speaker 3>They're easily moved by that issue more than anything else.

0:21:20.813 --> 0:21:24.893
<v Speaker 3>So all to say, when people come into new voters

0:21:25.253 --> 0:21:27.373
<v Speaker 3>come in to vote on that issue, they tend to

0:21:27.413 --> 0:21:30.373
<v Speaker 3>be on the pro life side, which rather balances things out.

0:21:30.413 --> 0:21:34.533
<v Speaker 3>But the bottom line is that the issues that conventional

0:21:34.573 --> 0:21:38.573
<v Speaker 3>wisdom says and traditionally historically a favor of the Democrats,

0:21:38.573 --> 0:21:42.613
<v Speaker 3>the environment, healthcare, put my view aside, and let's say

0:21:42.653 --> 0:21:45.973
<v Speaker 3>abortion is another one of those. They're out there, they

0:21:46.013 --> 0:21:50.213
<v Speaker 3>mean something to voters, to really much all voters, but

0:21:50.253 --> 0:21:54.853
<v Speaker 3>they're not what overwhelmingly voters are choosing to cast their

0:21:54.893 --> 0:21:58.293
<v Speaker 3>ballot on the basis of. And that is bad news

0:21:58.373 --> 0:22:02.773
<v Speaker 3>for the Democrats. Just as when issues like healthcare were

0:22:02.973 --> 0:22:06.413
<v Speaker 3>far more of a priority for voters in past elections,

0:22:06.613 --> 0:22:10.653
<v Speaker 3>those inherently benefitted the Democrats, whether they were in power

0:22:10.733 --> 0:22:12.013
<v Speaker 3>or whether they were in opposition.

0:22:12.173 --> 0:22:15.093
<v Speaker 2>Why didn't we go back to well where we were

0:22:16.333 --> 0:22:18.813
<v Speaker 2>and just take a look at how you conduct your

0:22:18.853 --> 0:22:21.533
<v Speaker 2>polling because it impressed a lot of people last time,

0:22:21.573 --> 0:22:23.533
<v Speaker 2>and there'll be people who didn't hear it. So let's

0:22:23.613 --> 0:22:24.413
<v Speaker 2>let's try it again.

0:22:25.053 --> 0:22:28.693
<v Speaker 3>Okay, tell me to shut up when I get especially

0:22:29.413 --> 0:22:31.653
<v Speaker 3>drew down to too many details or get especially a

0:22:31.733 --> 0:22:36.373
<v Speaker 3>doll here. So what we do is for our national polling,

0:22:36.773 --> 0:22:41.773
<v Speaker 3>we usually have completed surveys, we talked, we actually contact

0:22:41.893 --> 0:22:46.413
<v Speaker 3>hundreds of thousands of voters, but we completed surveys from

0:22:46.693 --> 0:22:50.613
<v Speaker 3>usually between twelve and fifteen hundred, and you have to

0:22:50.933 --> 0:22:53.573
<v Speaker 3>you know, it's such a small percentage of people that

0:22:53.653 --> 0:22:56.733
<v Speaker 3>you contact who are willing to take a poll. I mean,

0:22:56.773 --> 0:22:59.493
<v Speaker 3>that's just that, you know, the problem in the polling industry.

0:22:59.533 --> 0:23:02.373
<v Speaker 3>That's number one. You know, you get one two three

0:23:02.413 --> 0:23:06.413
<v Speaker 3>percent of folks are actually willing to talk to you,

0:23:06.493 --> 0:23:09.293
<v Speaker 3>whereas you know, decades ago it might be fifty percent

0:23:09.453 --> 0:23:12.773
<v Speaker 3>or forty or thirty percent. So that's that's the first problem.

0:23:13.013 --> 0:23:15.453
<v Speaker 3>So we contact people. I mean, there are various ways

0:23:15.493 --> 0:23:17.573
<v Speaker 3>of doing it these days because of technology. The way

0:23:17.613 --> 0:23:20.173
<v Speaker 3>we do it, what we think is the least worst

0:23:20.213 --> 0:23:22.893
<v Speaker 3>way of doing it, that is potentially the most accurate,

0:23:23.533 --> 0:23:26.733
<v Speaker 3>is we phone. We phone voters just as you know

0:23:26.813 --> 0:23:29.493
<v Speaker 3>in the old days, as it were, but we don't

0:23:29.573 --> 0:23:32.933
<v Speaker 3>use live callers. A couple of reasons for that. The

0:23:33.093 --> 0:23:36.653
<v Speaker 3>principal one is expense. So we have a we have

0:23:36.733 --> 0:23:40.733
<v Speaker 3>recorded questions and someone answers their phone. They sort of

0:23:40.733 --> 0:23:43.173
<v Speaker 3>picks up in this these days almost all cell phones,

0:23:43.253 --> 0:23:47.093
<v Speaker 3>mobile phones. They answer their phone and a human voice,

0:23:47.093 --> 0:23:51.613
<v Speaker 3>but a recorded voice. After introducing the concept and them

0:23:52.013 --> 0:23:53.893
<v Speaker 3>and the person on the other end of the of

0:23:53.933 --> 0:23:56.973
<v Speaker 3>the call agreeing to take part in the poll, they

0:23:57.013 --> 0:23:59.333
<v Speaker 3>answer the question. The questions are given to them, read

0:23:59.373 --> 0:24:01.733
<v Speaker 3>to them, you know, a human, real voice, but recorded,

0:24:01.933 --> 0:24:04.213
<v Speaker 3>and then they answer by pressing numbers on their keypads,

0:24:04.213 --> 0:24:07.893
<v Speaker 3>sort of multiple choice. And that way we're able to

0:24:08.453 --> 0:24:12.133
<v Speaker 3>all huge numbers of people and it's relatively over two

0:24:12.213 --> 0:24:17.093
<v Speaker 3>or three days and actually come up with a good number.

0:24:17.213 --> 0:24:19.973
<v Speaker 3>So one thing that we do in just about all

0:24:19.973 --> 0:24:23.413
<v Speaker 3>our polling that only a couple of other posters do.

0:24:24.453 --> 0:24:26.973
<v Speaker 3>We think it makes a big difference. And this might

0:24:26.973 --> 0:24:29.573
<v Speaker 3>be you know, relevant to your to your audience, is

0:24:30.893 --> 0:24:34.773
<v Speaker 3>we only take the responses of those we determine what

0:24:34.773 --> 0:24:37.453
<v Speaker 3>we call likely voters. And the reason we do that

0:24:38.013 --> 0:24:40.853
<v Speaker 3>is that, you know, it's not rocket science. They're the

0:24:40.893 --> 0:24:43.613
<v Speaker 3>people who are actually going to show up and vote. Right.

0:24:43.653 --> 0:24:47.213
<v Speaker 3>We're not interesting. We're interested intellectually in whateverybody who lives

0:24:47.213 --> 0:24:49.773
<v Speaker 3>in America thinks, but in terms of the election outcome,

0:24:50.373 --> 0:24:51.853
<v Speaker 3>we're interested in what the people who are going to

0:24:51.933 --> 0:24:54.973
<v Speaker 3>vote think. Uh. And you say, well, okay, well don't

0:24:55.013 --> 0:24:58.373
<v Speaker 3>most people vote, well, yes, but enough don't. It makes

0:24:58.373 --> 0:25:00.893
<v Speaker 3>a difference. So, for example, there are there are polls

0:25:00.933 --> 0:25:06.213
<v Speaker 3>out there the survey adults, and that means they survey

0:25:06.653 --> 0:25:10.013
<v Speaker 3>every single well every person person they survey may be

0:25:10.093 --> 0:25:12.093
<v Speaker 3>a voter, they may not be a voter, they may

0:25:12.133 --> 0:25:13.733
<v Speaker 3>not even be a citizen. And so it's kind of

0:25:13.733 --> 0:25:17.173
<v Speaker 3>like asking a thousand consumers what they're going to buy,

0:25:17.613 --> 0:25:19.733
<v Speaker 3>which might be relevant because they're all spending money in

0:25:19.813 --> 0:25:23.093
<v Speaker 3>the in the grocery store, but they're not all going

0:25:23.133 --> 0:25:25.493
<v Speaker 3>to vote. The other way of doing it, which is

0:25:25.693 --> 0:25:28.693
<v Speaker 3>the most common, is you just you talk to registered

0:25:28.773 --> 0:25:32.533
<v Speaker 3>voters because in America you have to register before you

0:25:32.573 --> 0:25:35.133
<v Speaker 3>can get a ballot, and your register as a Republican,

0:25:35.173 --> 0:25:38.733
<v Speaker 3>a Democrat, as an independent. And that's better than looking

0:25:38.773 --> 0:25:42.853
<v Speaker 3>at everyone. But it's of those registered voters, about twenty

0:25:42.893 --> 0:25:46.253
<v Speaker 3>five thirty thirty five percent any given election aren't actually

0:25:46.293 --> 0:25:51.933
<v Speaker 3>going to show up. Sooks. Posters use registered voters or

0:25:51.933 --> 0:25:54.693
<v Speaker 3>they use adults because it's way cheaper because you don't

0:25:54.813 --> 0:25:59.613
<v Speaker 3>have to call or email or text or online communicate

0:25:59.653 --> 0:26:02.453
<v Speaker 3>with anything like as many because you are not rejecting

0:26:02.733 --> 0:26:07.053
<v Speaker 3>you know, we're rejecting so many potential respondents. It takes

0:26:07.093 --> 0:26:08.973
<v Speaker 3>longer and costs a lot more money. And then of

0:26:08.973 --> 0:26:11.973
<v Speaker 3>course the other the art I mean This is a

0:26:11.973 --> 0:26:15.093
<v Speaker 3>combination of art and science. And another part of the

0:26:15.213 --> 0:26:17.933
<v Speaker 3>art involved is, Okay, you've got all these you know,

0:26:17.933 --> 0:26:21.213
<v Speaker 3>we've got our fifteen hundred likely voters who have completed

0:26:21.253 --> 0:26:25.813
<v Speaker 3>this phone survey, but how do we figure out whether

0:26:25.893 --> 0:26:30.533
<v Speaker 3>they are representative of the country right? And so you

0:26:30.693 --> 0:26:34.213
<v Speaker 3>have to then weight those responses based on what we

0:26:34.293 --> 0:26:38.373
<v Speaker 3>believe are the most accurate up to date demographic factors,

0:26:39.373 --> 0:26:45.493
<v Speaker 3>socioeconomic factors, you know, age, gender, race, ethnicity, where they live,

0:26:45.813 --> 0:26:50.253
<v Speaker 3>and of course where they what their political affiliation is.

0:26:50.773 --> 0:26:54.493
<v Speaker 3>And one of the ways in which many polls, and

0:26:54.613 --> 0:26:56.613
<v Speaker 3>this has gone on for a long time, but it's

0:26:56.693 --> 0:27:02.973
<v Speaker 3>particularly prominent in the recent elections, and I would say

0:27:02.973 --> 0:27:05.693
<v Speaker 3>still in this one. What happens so often is that

0:27:05.813 --> 0:27:11.453
<v Speaker 3>these polls are not weighting it accurately, either intentionally or

0:27:11.813 --> 0:27:15.893
<v Speaker 3>out of ignorance. And so you'll see polls that are

0:27:15.893 --> 0:27:19.893
<v Speaker 3>attractive in terms of the headline for the Democrat, and

0:27:19.893 --> 0:27:23.773
<v Speaker 3>then you look underneath the hood and you'll see that

0:27:23.933 --> 0:27:26.813
<v Speaker 3>they have weighted it in such a way that the

0:27:26.853 --> 0:27:30.893
<v Speaker 3>Democrats are disproportionately represented. And that means, of course, you know,

0:27:30.933 --> 0:27:33.213
<v Speaker 3>if you if your sample has ten percent to me

0:27:33.293 --> 0:27:36.653
<v Speaker 3>Democrats you're probably going to have a headline number that

0:27:36.933 --> 0:27:39.093
<v Speaker 3>you know skews to the Democrats. Now you say, well,

0:27:39.093 --> 0:27:40.653
<v Speaker 3>it could go both ways. Of course, it can go

0:27:40.733 --> 0:27:44.013
<v Speaker 3>both ways. But if you look at the media polling

0:27:44.933 --> 0:27:49.173
<v Speaker 3>over the last decade, it always skews in one direction. Right.

0:27:49.373 --> 0:27:52.173
<v Speaker 3>To ensure I don't bore anybody any further, I'll stop.

0:27:52.413 --> 0:27:55.573
<v Speaker 3>But those that's sort of the the outline, the skeleton

0:27:55.653 --> 0:27:57.533
<v Speaker 3>of sort of how we approach it and why we

0:27:57.813 --> 0:27:59.533
<v Speaker 3>do some of the things we do with our polling.

0:27:59.573 --> 0:28:01.813
<v Speaker 2>Well, there is no question what you said a moment ago,

0:28:02.213 --> 0:28:06.653
<v Speaker 2>that it leans in one direction is accurate. Now, if

0:28:06.693 --> 0:28:11.413
<v Speaker 2>I may, I'm going to refer to another pole. Here's

0:28:11.453 --> 0:28:16.413
<v Speaker 2>the headline this morning from zero Hedge, and it's their story.

0:28:18.093 --> 0:28:21.813
<v Speaker 2>I presume you look at zero Hedge occasionally, Yes, so

0:28:21.893 --> 0:28:24.053
<v Speaker 2>you know you know Tyler Durden or who he is

0:28:24.173 --> 0:28:28.373
<v Speaker 2>or who he represents anyway, he's they're responsible for this

0:28:28.493 --> 0:28:32.093
<v Speaker 2>story rather than somebody else feeding it to them that

0:28:32.373 --> 0:28:36.733
<v Speaker 2>Trump trouncing Carmela in key battleground states after sudden poly

0:28:36.933 --> 0:28:41.573
<v Speaker 2>market surge. And I want to refer to the New

0:28:41.653 --> 0:28:44.893
<v Speaker 2>York Times. Even the New York Times notes that Harris's

0:28:45.013 --> 0:28:49.413
<v Speaker 2>edge in Pennsylvania in mainstream polling could be faked news,

0:28:50.133 --> 0:28:53.853
<v Speaker 2>as the pole average could even be so stable in

0:28:53.973 --> 0:28:58.413
<v Speaker 2>part because many posters are using heavy handed statistical techniques

0:28:58.653 --> 0:29:02.333
<v Speaker 2>that reduce the variance of their results from from pole

0:29:02.373 --> 0:29:06.293
<v Speaker 2>to pole, but that increase the risk of systematic errors.

0:29:06.493 --> 0:29:09.533
<v Speaker 2>Systematic polling errors in which which one side does better

0:29:09.573 --> 0:29:13.653
<v Speaker 2>than expected across the board have been common in recent cycles.

0:29:13.653 --> 0:29:15.773
<v Speaker 2>And that's essentially what you're referring to.

0:29:17.253 --> 0:29:21.853
<v Speaker 3>Yes, absolutely, that's why some of the you know, there

0:29:21.853 --> 0:29:25.893
<v Speaker 3>are forecasters and modelers, you know, professional, amateur, you name it,

0:29:25.973 --> 0:29:28.493
<v Speaker 3>who are doing this thing, whether in the US or

0:29:28.533 --> 0:29:33.093
<v Speaker 3>doing it from outside the US, and some of them

0:29:33.213 --> 0:29:36.053
<v Speaker 3>on the sort of right of the spectrum are pointing

0:29:36.093 --> 0:29:40.133
<v Speaker 3>out that the last two elections, there were these major

0:29:40.853 --> 0:29:44.173
<v Speaker 3>polling errors, whether you look at an individual polls, you

0:29:44.213 --> 0:29:47.973
<v Speaker 3>look at these averages that are so heralded of several points,

0:29:48.853 --> 0:29:52.573
<v Speaker 3>and you know, by the bottom line is Hillary Clinton

0:29:52.653 --> 0:29:57.053
<v Speaker 3>and Joe Biden's numbers, whatever their eventual numbers were, they

0:29:57.053 --> 0:30:02.693
<v Speaker 3>were much less than were forecasts. And Trump's numbers, whatever

0:30:02.893 --> 0:30:07.373
<v Speaker 3>you think they really were, were officially much higher than

0:30:07.413 --> 0:30:11.973
<v Speaker 3>the polls the quote unquote heralded polls and averages had suggested,

0:30:12.333 --> 0:30:15.213
<v Speaker 3>and so many of these forecasters and modelers on the

0:30:15.293 --> 0:30:19.373
<v Speaker 3>right are now taking the current polls and saying the

0:30:19.413 --> 0:30:24.493
<v Speaker 3>only sensible thing is to is to adjust them on

0:30:24.573 --> 0:30:27.253
<v Speaker 3>the basis of what we now know is an historical

0:30:27.493 --> 0:30:31.133
<v Speaker 3>polling error and say, look, actually Trump, wherever he is

0:30:31.133 --> 0:30:33.373
<v Speaker 3>ahead or behind, he's usually really give him a few

0:30:33.413 --> 0:30:36.093
<v Speaker 3>more points, because we know from recent history that that's

0:30:36.133 --> 0:30:39.773
<v Speaker 3>how it pans out. Because Trump, it's not simply that

0:30:39.813 --> 0:30:44.733
<v Speaker 3>these polls have been inaccurate, again by accident or by design.

0:30:45.293 --> 0:30:48.933
<v Speaker 3>But Trump, whether it's a primary, whether it's a general election,

0:30:49.573 --> 0:30:53.813
<v Speaker 3>Trump consistently outvotes his polls. He just does better for

0:30:53.893 --> 0:30:55.733
<v Speaker 3>four kinds of reasons that we've discussed in the past,

0:30:55.773 --> 0:30:59.533
<v Speaker 3>you know. So, yeah, it's a very valid concern.

0:31:00.533 --> 0:31:03.213
<v Speaker 2>All right, So let's look at the latest poll that

0:31:03.293 --> 0:31:07.013
<v Speaker 2>came out a couple of days ago. Democracy Institute are

0:31:07.053 --> 0:31:11.613
<v Speaker 2>the Express US Prison Dential Poll four October twenty twenty four.

0:31:12.133 --> 0:31:17.133
<v Speaker 2>The national popular vote is out of sync with the

0:31:17.733 --> 0:31:19.173
<v Speaker 2>mainstream I think, Am I right?

0:31:20.773 --> 0:31:22.813
<v Speaker 3>It's out of sync with Yeah, it's out of sync

0:31:22.853 --> 0:31:26.573
<v Speaker 3>with most of the polls that you hear about a lot. Yes,

0:31:26.733 --> 0:31:27.893
<v Speaker 3>so you've got correct.

0:31:27.773 --> 0:31:30.973
<v Speaker 2>Well, your numbers, so why don't you why don't you

0:31:31.013 --> 0:31:31.493
<v Speaker 2>share them?

0:31:31.853 --> 0:31:35.293
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, we have Trump at fifty, Harris at forty seven,

0:31:36.533 --> 0:31:39.133
<v Speaker 3>the other little you know, minor candidates with two and

0:31:39.213 --> 0:31:42.973
<v Speaker 3>only one percent undecided. Now, so that's that's the lead

0:31:43.093 --> 0:31:46.693
<v Speaker 3>that we've the kind of lead we've been showing for

0:31:46.733 --> 0:31:49.533
<v Speaker 3>a while now. I mean Trump had a much bigger

0:31:49.613 --> 0:31:53.333
<v Speaker 3>lead the end of Biden's candidacy and when Harris first

0:31:53.413 --> 0:31:55.973
<v Speaker 3>took over for a bunch of reasons, I mean, it

0:31:56.013 --> 0:32:00.893
<v Speaker 3>was unrealistic that that would last. But since Harris has

0:32:00.933 --> 0:32:04.973
<v Speaker 3>been the facto and then the actual candidate, we've had

0:32:05.013 --> 0:32:08.293
<v Speaker 3>this sort of two three point lead. That's that's that's

0:32:08.613 --> 0:32:14.373
<v Speaker 3>Fay state fairly consistent and not that one should view

0:32:15.093 --> 0:32:18.493
<v Speaker 3>judge one's own polling based on what other posters are doing,

0:32:18.853 --> 0:32:21.413
<v Speaker 3>but it's just a point of reference for your audience, latent.

0:32:21.773 --> 0:32:25.213
<v Speaker 3>As you correctly said, this is out of line with

0:32:25.333 --> 0:32:30.933
<v Speaker 3>most mainstream polls, who generally show Harris with a small lead,

0:32:31.413 --> 0:32:34.373
<v Speaker 3>maybe a tie. The occasional one has Trump maybe up

0:32:34.373 --> 0:32:38.133
<v Speaker 3>a point. But there are two or three that have

0:32:38.213 --> 0:32:44.693
<v Speaker 3>consistently been the more accurate national polls that show that

0:32:44.333 --> 0:32:47.973
<v Speaker 3>that are showing now or have shown consistently consistently like

0:32:48.013 --> 0:32:51.053
<v Speaker 3>we have over recent weeks and months, Trump with a

0:32:51.493 --> 0:32:56.213
<v Speaker 3>one two three point lead. So we are we're in

0:32:56.373 --> 0:32:59.253
<v Speaker 3>minority company, but I think but I think we're in

0:32:59.253 --> 0:33:01.053
<v Speaker 3>a very good company, if I might put it that way.

0:33:01.573 --> 0:33:06.053
<v Speaker 2>I believe so because I well, like a lot of

0:33:06.293 --> 0:33:10.853
<v Speaker 2>people who heard that podcast and your description prior to

0:33:10.893 --> 0:33:16.213
<v Speaker 2>this one, they liked the way you approached it. It's

0:33:16.253 --> 0:33:19.853
<v Speaker 2>a much more it's a much more honest way, and

0:33:19.893 --> 0:33:22.653
<v Speaker 2>I think I think that that shows up. So looking

0:33:22.693 --> 0:33:26.373
<v Speaker 2>at the swing states, you've got Michigan just for a start,

0:33:26.653 --> 0:33:29.293
<v Speaker 2>with forty seven to forty six in favor of Trump.

0:33:29.333 --> 0:33:31.213
<v Speaker 2>So that's in the well and truly in the margin

0:33:31.253 --> 0:33:35.973
<v Speaker 2>of era. But as you've alluded to already, people are

0:33:36.013 --> 0:33:39.453
<v Speaker 2>now starting to talk about and I'm talking about polsters

0:33:39.453 --> 0:33:42.253
<v Speaker 2>and commentators are starting to talk about the fact that

0:33:42.973 --> 0:33:45.253
<v Speaker 2>you've got to allow Trump a bit more space than that,

0:33:45.333 --> 0:33:50.213
<v Speaker 2>because he's very likely to poll better than the forty seven.

0:33:51.133 --> 0:33:57.813
<v Speaker 3>Yes, that is absolutely true. You said, that's what's what

0:33:57.933 --> 0:34:02.733
<v Speaker 3>history tells us. I mean, we're slightly argue. You musty

0:34:02.853 --> 0:34:07.813
<v Speaker 3>argue against myself here in the sense that for all

0:34:07.853 --> 0:34:11.573
<v Speaker 3>our you know, no polling is perfect. Ours isn't perfect.

0:34:12.693 --> 0:34:14.933
<v Speaker 3>For all our flaws and imperfections. The one thing that

0:34:14.973 --> 0:34:17.453
<v Speaker 3>we have consistently done over the years since Trump's been

0:34:17.453 --> 0:34:20.213
<v Speaker 3>on the scene is we've tended to nail his vote,

0:34:20.213 --> 0:34:23.213
<v Speaker 3>whether it's in primaries or in general elections, pretty comparatively

0:34:23.253 --> 0:34:27.053
<v Speaker 3>on the nose because for a couple of reasons, you know,

0:34:27.173 --> 0:34:29.493
<v Speaker 3>Boyer listeners with but in terms of how we approach

0:34:30.013 --> 0:34:34.293
<v Speaker 3>identifying what became known as the shy Trump voter right,

0:34:36.013 --> 0:34:39.933
<v Speaker 3>because we think we still do that well, we may

0:34:39.933 --> 0:34:42.813
<v Speaker 3>be proven wrong. Because we think we still do that well.

0:34:43.213 --> 0:34:48.613
<v Speaker 3>We think our Trump numbers this year are are pretty accurate,

0:34:49.013 --> 0:34:53.373
<v Speaker 3>although we acknowledge, as I've been acknowledging to you and

0:34:53.493 --> 0:34:58.173
<v Speaker 3>others are acknowledging that the likelihood is that Trump's numbers

0:34:58.173 --> 0:35:03.173
<v Speaker 3>in any poll are not his ceiling, but they're his flaw. Right,

0:35:03.613 --> 0:35:06.813
<v Speaker 3>So I think we're close to the mark. But I

0:35:07.013 --> 0:35:10.733
<v Speaker 3>do agree, wouldn cur with anyone who said, if you're wrong,

0:35:11.373 --> 0:35:14.493
<v Speaker 3>you're probably underestimating him a bit. He may be a

0:35:14.533 --> 0:35:16.933
<v Speaker 3>point or two above that, And I would say, yeah,

0:35:16.933 --> 0:35:19.493
<v Speaker 3>that's that's entirely possible. That's where if there's an error

0:35:19.733 --> 0:35:21.253
<v Speaker 3>the eras I think in that direction.

0:35:21.493 --> 0:35:24.813
<v Speaker 2>Right, So you've got Minnesota forty four to Trump and

0:35:24.893 --> 0:35:29.453
<v Speaker 2>forty forty eight two Harris. Uh huh? Is that that

0:35:29.653 --> 0:35:33.133
<v Speaker 2>four point margin? Is that considered margin of era?

0:35:34.453 --> 0:35:41.653
<v Speaker 3>It is in this one. But what's important about Minnesota is, well,

0:35:41.693 --> 0:35:44.973
<v Speaker 3>it's less about Minnesota itself what happens there on election

0:35:45.173 --> 0:35:47.333
<v Speaker 3>night and the days after, than what it tells is

0:35:47.453 --> 0:35:53.133
<v Speaker 3>So you know, the context is Minnesota was fairly close

0:35:53.173 --> 0:35:55.133
<v Speaker 3>to the last two elections, but it's been a safe

0:35:55.213 --> 0:35:58.853
<v Speaker 3>Democratic state, you know, forever. Right, It's the only state

0:35:58.893 --> 0:36:02.373
<v Speaker 3>that Walter Mondale won in eighty four when Reagan ran

0:36:02.453 --> 0:36:05.693
<v Speaker 3>the table, right, forty nine to one. But okay, but

0:36:06.093 --> 0:36:09.733
<v Speaker 3>so it's a blue Democratic state. Something things have to

0:36:09.733 --> 0:36:13.933
<v Speaker 3>go crazy for the Republicans to win it. So Kamala Harris,

0:36:14.053 --> 0:36:17.733
<v Speaker 3>she chooses the Minnesota governor as her running mate, and

0:36:17.773 --> 0:36:20.533
<v Speaker 3>that I means for a bunch of reasons. Number one

0:36:20.533 --> 0:36:24.773
<v Speaker 3>being the fact he wasn't Jewish. But besides besides that,

0:36:26.173 --> 0:36:29.773
<v Speaker 3>it was the fact that her weakness or you know,

0:36:29.893 --> 0:36:31.853
<v Speaker 3>she can't. She has to run the table in the

0:36:31.893 --> 0:36:37.053
<v Speaker 3>Midwestern states, the ross belt states, one presumes, and Trump

0:36:37.133 --> 0:36:40.893
<v Speaker 3>merely has his million really needs probably to pierce that

0:36:40.973 --> 0:36:45.333
<v Speaker 3>blue wall to be victorious overall. So she chose a

0:36:45.373 --> 0:36:47.893
<v Speaker 3>governor who was quote unquote popular, you know, being re

0:36:47.933 --> 0:36:52.613
<v Speaker 3>elected in a Midwestern state and with a sort of

0:36:52.653 --> 0:36:56.853
<v Speaker 3>folksy everyman persona someone who was older than her and

0:36:56.893 --> 0:36:59.013
<v Speaker 3>whiter than her and all that sort of stuff. The

0:36:59.133 --> 0:37:03.333
<v Speaker 3>problem is, what this polling and other polling demonstrates is

0:37:03.373 --> 0:37:09.613
<v Speaker 3>that she chose someone who because minnies Sota is dominated

0:37:09.693 --> 0:37:14.053
<v Speaker 3>by its very liberal urban areas, politically, it's popular there.

0:37:14.093 --> 0:37:17.253
<v Speaker 3>He was very woke and very anti police and all

0:37:17.293 --> 0:37:21.373
<v Speaker 3>this stuff, but and with you know, particularly interesting ties

0:37:21.413 --> 0:37:25.413
<v Speaker 3>to communist China. But it's not actually popular with blue

0:37:25.413 --> 0:37:28.733
<v Speaker 3>collar Minnesotan's. And the reason that's important is not what's

0:37:28.813 --> 0:37:31.573
<v Speaker 3>less what happens in Minnesota than the fact that it's

0:37:31.653 --> 0:37:36.853
<v Speaker 3>blue collar white Midwesterners who are going to determine how

0:37:36.933 --> 0:37:40.773
<v Speaker 3>those rustbelt Midwestern states go. So they they sort of

0:37:40.813 --> 0:37:44.373
<v Speaker 3>did their identity politics thing, you know, middle aged, older

0:37:44.453 --> 0:37:48.693
<v Speaker 3>white guy who gets elected in the Midwest. So we'll

0:37:49.053 --> 0:37:50.733
<v Speaker 3>we'll put him on the ticket, and he'll make sure

0:37:50.773 --> 0:37:54.773
<v Speaker 3>we keep Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. And it's not worked

0:37:54.773 --> 0:37:58.413
<v Speaker 3>out seemingly that great, you know, in his performance in

0:37:58.453 --> 0:38:01.853
<v Speaker 3>the vibe presidential debates sort have exemplified that. And so

0:38:02.333 --> 0:38:07.533
<v Speaker 3>if Minnesota goes is retained by the Democrats and Harris

0:38:07.533 --> 0:38:12.333
<v Speaker 3>in November, well no surprise there. But there's the potential.

0:38:12.413 --> 0:38:16.333
<v Speaker 3>It appears that it could be a lot closer, in

0:38:16.453 --> 0:38:20.253
<v Speaker 3>sort of almost uncomfortably close. What that tells you is

0:38:20.293 --> 0:38:23.413
<v Speaker 3>that the neighboring state of Wisconsin, which is a true

0:38:23.453 --> 0:38:26.853
<v Speaker 3>swing state, and one or two others are likely to

0:38:26.933 --> 0:38:31.573
<v Speaker 3>be trending even more away from the Democrats. Uh. And

0:38:31.613 --> 0:38:37.133
<v Speaker 3>so this four point lead for Harrison Minnesota is something

0:38:37.173 --> 0:38:42.213
<v Speaker 3>which doesn't say, you know, panic, panic, panic, but it says, oh,

0:38:42.293 --> 0:38:44.533
<v Speaker 3>this is looking up hill, this is this is an

0:38:44.613 --> 0:38:48.693
<v Speaker 3>uncomfortable number for us. We have to hope this is

0:38:49.133 --> 0:38:52.533
<v Speaker 3>as an outlier. But other polls are showing, you know,

0:38:52.693 --> 0:38:56.573
<v Speaker 3>comparable results that are in this margin of era, you

0:38:56.573 --> 0:39:01.173
<v Speaker 3>know area. So it's that's why it's worth doing and

0:39:01.293 --> 0:39:04.453
<v Speaker 3>worth as it turns out, I think, you know, reflecting upon.

0:39:05.373 --> 0:39:09.293
<v Speaker 2>So skipping to Pennsylvania, which is which is I'm sick

0:39:09.293 --> 0:39:14.453
<v Speaker 2>of hearing. It is a must win for Kamela to

0:39:16.133 --> 0:39:20.173
<v Speaker 2>get where she wants. She's not doing so well fifty

0:39:20.653 --> 0:39:24.253
<v Speaker 2>Trump forty six to her. Now, how does that compare

0:39:24.293 --> 0:39:25.653
<v Speaker 2>with them last time?

0:39:27.413 --> 0:39:30.053
<v Speaker 3>Well, last time it was I mean, you know, officially

0:39:30.413 --> 0:39:32.053
<v Speaker 3>it was very close. I think it was about a

0:39:32.173 --> 0:39:37.893
<v Speaker 3>point point and change that Biden officially won by And

0:39:37.973 --> 0:39:42.493
<v Speaker 3>I think Pennsylvania, really, I think we're going to look back.

0:39:42.533 --> 0:39:44.093
<v Speaker 3>I could be wrong, obviously, but I think I'm going

0:39:44.133 --> 0:39:48.613
<v Speaker 3>to look back and say that Pennsylvania exemplified the mistake

0:39:48.653 --> 0:39:52.213
<v Speaker 3>the Democrats and made by tossing Biden out and putting

0:39:52.213 --> 0:39:53.893
<v Speaker 3>her in. I mean I say that obviously as someone

0:39:53.893 --> 0:39:56.053
<v Speaker 3>who thought that Biden was going to lose to Trump,

0:39:56.213 --> 0:40:00.613
<v Speaker 3>and I'm sure he would have done. But what was

0:40:00.653 --> 0:40:06.093
<v Speaker 3>overlooked by the Democrats the powers that been was that, yeah,

0:40:06.133 --> 0:40:09.973
<v Speaker 3>they have this guy who's this pop unpopular failed president,

0:40:10.533 --> 0:40:12.653
<v Speaker 3>and they won this this quote unquote fresh face, and

0:40:12.693 --> 0:40:15.173
<v Speaker 3>maybe we can build a new narrative around this younger,

0:40:15.413 --> 0:40:18.733
<v Speaker 3>darker woman, right and all of that. What they overlooked

0:40:19.933 --> 0:40:25.693
<v Speaker 3>is that her natural appeal is strongest in areas as

0:40:25.773 --> 0:40:28.653
<v Speaker 3>dissimilar from the Midwest as you can find in America,

0:40:28.853 --> 0:40:31.933
<v Speaker 3>that is, on the East and West coast, right where Biden.

0:40:32.533 --> 0:40:34.213
<v Speaker 3>This is the thing with Biden, and this is the

0:40:34.253 --> 0:40:36.573
<v Speaker 3>part of why he you know, even if in my

0:40:36.733 --> 0:40:40.893
<v Speaker 3>view the election had been fairly contested in Pennsylvania, it

0:40:41.013 --> 0:40:42.893
<v Speaker 3>still would have been a close thing, even though I

0:40:42.933 --> 0:40:47.333
<v Speaker 3>think Trump would have won, is because Biden, rightly or wrongly,

0:40:48.293 --> 0:40:53.133
<v Speaker 3>he retained throughout his career an image not only as

0:40:53.253 --> 0:40:58.653
<v Speaker 3>the as the sort of gaff prone, humorous every man

0:40:59.893 --> 0:41:02.613
<v Speaker 3>guy who you know, sort of was comfortable with with

0:41:02.733 --> 0:41:05.973
<v Speaker 3>with everybody and wasn't that bright, but he just had

0:41:05.973 --> 0:41:11.053
<v Speaker 3>everybody's best interest in heart. That he was someone who

0:41:11.213 --> 0:41:15.293
<v Speaker 3>was by by his default position was always to be

0:41:15.293 --> 0:41:18.213
<v Speaker 3>supportive of the labor unions. He was blue collar Joe.

0:41:18.653 --> 0:41:22.253
<v Speaker 3>He was. He was born in Scranton, Pennsylvania, in the

0:41:22.253 --> 0:41:25.893
<v Speaker 3>northern part of the state, and the state is littered

0:41:26.173 --> 0:41:30.653
<v Speaker 3>with buildings and highways, et cetera named after him already,

0:41:31.253 --> 0:41:38.333
<v Speaker 3>uh and he retained a reservoir of goodwill amongst older

0:41:38.893 --> 0:41:43.373
<v Speaker 3>blue collar Democrats, many of whom no elsewhere in the

0:41:43.373 --> 0:41:46.173
<v Speaker 3>country no longer vote or vote for vote for the

0:41:46.173 --> 0:41:50.013
<v Speaker 3>Trump or vote for the Republicans. But these folks ex union,

0:41:51.053 --> 0:41:56.013
<v Speaker 3>many of them retired white blue collar jobs occupations when

0:41:56.053 --> 0:41:59.933
<v Speaker 3>they were working, they they remember this this, you know,

0:42:00.093 --> 0:42:02.213
<v Speaker 3>uncle Joe, who looked out for them and their and

0:42:02.253 --> 0:42:05.853
<v Speaker 3>their and their interests, and they turned out for him.

0:42:06.373 --> 0:42:10.013
<v Speaker 3>It's quite skewed. Actually, they turned out for him disproportionately

0:42:10.413 --> 0:42:15.133
<v Speaker 3>in areas of Pennsylvania where you know, their numbers, you know,

0:42:15.213 --> 0:42:18.893
<v Speaker 3>tend to dominate. Now, that's great for the Democrats. He

0:42:18.973 --> 0:42:22.453
<v Speaker 3>was greade in twenty twenty. The problem is that they

0:42:22.853 --> 0:42:28.973
<v Speaker 3>that demographic pro that demographic and Democratic profile voter has

0:42:29.133 --> 0:42:33.693
<v Speaker 3>absolutely no interest in a Kamala Harris type candidate. And

0:42:33.733 --> 0:42:36.173
<v Speaker 3>I mean, you know, she doesn't get them. They don't

0:42:36.173 --> 0:42:41.293
<v Speaker 3>get her. And it's just a complete mismatch, right, it

0:42:41.413 --> 0:42:44.933
<v Speaker 3>just is, you know, putting all preferences and opinions aside.

0:42:45.173 --> 0:42:50.933
<v Speaker 3>So her appeal in Pennsylvania was always going to be limited.

0:42:51.213 --> 0:42:54.093
<v Speaker 3>Now what was going What could have made the difference

0:42:54.653 --> 0:42:59.213
<v Speaker 3>was that the popular governor of Pennsylvania, who also wanted

0:42:59.213 --> 0:43:00.973
<v Speaker 3>to be the next candidate and would like to be

0:43:01.053 --> 0:43:05.773
<v Speaker 3>the next president. Still, if she'd chosen him, he played

0:43:05.773 --> 0:43:08.933
<v Speaker 3>a great hit, great influence on how the election was

0:43:08.973 --> 0:43:12.413
<v Speaker 3>a show we say contested in twenty twenty. And he

0:43:12.573 --> 0:43:15.373
<v Speaker 3>might have been able, by hook and by crook, to

0:43:15.413 --> 0:43:19.133
<v Speaker 3>have guaranteed Pennsylvania to her, but she couldn't choose him

0:43:19.253 --> 0:43:21.853
<v Speaker 3>because the base of her party wouldn't accept a pro

0:43:21.973 --> 0:43:28.693
<v Speaker 3>Israeli Jewish vice presidential candidate. So her one card, the

0:43:28.733 --> 0:43:31.893
<v Speaker 3>one ace she could have played in that key state,

0:43:32.453 --> 0:43:36.533
<v Speaker 3>she chose not to play. And that means that she

0:43:36.733 --> 0:43:41.973
<v Speaker 3>has her comparatively low ceiling. And when you see, you know,

0:43:42.093 --> 0:43:45.453
<v Speaker 3>what was it Saturday night in a town of thirteen

0:43:45.453 --> 0:43:48.293
<v Speaker 3>and a half thousand people in Pennsylvania, Trump gets one

0:43:48.373 --> 0:43:52.733
<v Speaker 3>hundred and five thousand to show up, it just demonstrates

0:43:52.773 --> 0:43:59.173
<v Speaker 3>that the last estimate, the final estimate, I believe, was

0:43:59.173 --> 0:44:04.693
<v Speaker 3>one hundred and five thousand. That's obviously from all around

0:44:04.693 --> 0:44:10.413
<v Speaker 3>the Yeah, it's it's extremely big. So it just demonstrates

0:44:10.693 --> 0:44:12.493
<v Speaker 3>that he has the wind of his sale, you know,

0:44:12.533 --> 0:44:15.813
<v Speaker 3>in his sales. She's fighting uphill, doesn't mean she can't

0:44:15.813 --> 0:44:18.853
<v Speaker 3>pull it off. It's probably going to be within the

0:44:18.893 --> 0:44:21.293
<v Speaker 3>margin of error in terms of the file outcome because

0:44:21.813 --> 0:44:24.693
<v Speaker 3>these you know, these states are so closely contested. But

0:44:24.813 --> 0:44:29.093
<v Speaker 3>it's just a calculation of Democrats made and they may

0:44:29.133 --> 0:44:31.533
<v Speaker 3>have made it thinking they could get that govern they

0:44:31.533 --> 0:44:33.773
<v Speaker 3>would have that governor because he was the obvious pick.

0:44:33.813 --> 0:44:36.893
<v Speaker 3>As you said, you're tired of hearing how Pennsylvania is

0:44:37.213 --> 0:44:42.373
<v Speaker 3>everything to the Harris campaign. But they made the other decisions,

0:44:42.333 --> 0:44:44.013
<v Speaker 3>they mean, decisions that took them in a different direction,

0:44:44.293 --> 0:44:45.933
<v Speaker 3>and so they're in a real battle.

0:44:45.973 --> 0:44:54.133
<v Speaker 2>Now, when is your next set of statistics, your next party.

0:44:55.053 --> 0:45:00.173
<v Speaker 3>Well, working backwards, our final poll, sort of comprehensive poll

0:45:00.373 --> 0:45:04.573
<v Speaker 3>will be the weekend before the election, is on Tuesday,

0:45:04.773 --> 0:45:09.013
<v Speaker 3>November fifth, so it'll be out for his first sorry,

0:45:09.133 --> 0:45:13.573
<v Speaker 3>second and third probably I would expect, you know, Daily

0:45:13.573 --> 0:45:17.893
<v Speaker 3>Express willing and allowing, but we'll almost certainly we will

0:45:17.933 --> 0:45:22.053
<v Speaker 3>be doing between now and then, we'll be doing more polling.

0:45:22.133 --> 0:45:25.253
<v Speaker 3>So we'll do probably the national popular vote a couple

0:45:25.293 --> 0:45:26.853
<v Speaker 3>of times, we'll do we do some you know, this

0:45:26.933 --> 0:45:30.333
<v Speaker 3>recent poll that you're kindly discussing now, Laton, this is

0:45:30.413 --> 0:45:32.973
<v Speaker 3>Midwest wing states and some blue states in the north.

0:45:33.133 --> 0:45:36.053
<v Speaker 3>Will be looking at the sun so called sun Belt,

0:45:36.093 --> 0:45:38.693
<v Speaker 3>the swing states and the Sun Belt over the next

0:45:38.733 --> 0:45:41.893
<v Speaker 3>couple of weeks. So it's a roundabout way of saying,

0:45:42.973 --> 0:45:47.333
<v Speaker 3>you know, to keep keep watching, keep listening, because in

0:45:47.373 --> 0:45:49.973
<v Speaker 3>the next week or two there will be more numbers.

0:45:52.573 --> 0:45:58.253
<v Speaker 2>Do you think that there is a wearisome approach developing

0:45:58.333 --> 0:45:59.653
<v Speaker 2>to the selection.

0:46:00.373 --> 0:46:06.333
<v Speaker 3>A yes, my, my, unintentionally political sounding answer is yes

0:46:06.373 --> 0:46:12.053
<v Speaker 3>and no. Right, Yes, there are so many you know,

0:46:12.213 --> 0:46:14.973
<v Speaker 3>so many people are so locked in and have been

0:46:15.213 --> 0:46:19.373
<v Speaker 3>for so long on this election as they were the

0:46:20.253 --> 0:46:26.133
<v Speaker 3>previous two elections that you know, most people would happily say,

0:46:26.893 --> 0:46:29.693
<v Speaker 3>you know, in July, can we just get over this thing? Right?

0:46:31.253 --> 0:46:35.813
<v Speaker 3>But the no part comes from I think initially on

0:46:35.853 --> 0:46:39.533
<v Speaker 3>the Democratic side, they you know, they've suddenly realized after

0:46:39.533 --> 0:46:43.413
<v Speaker 3>the debate that Biden was poor a candidate, as his

0:46:43.453 --> 0:46:46.893
<v Speaker 3>opponents had said, and so they were devastated. But then

0:46:46.933 --> 0:46:50.373
<v Speaker 3>they got this second chance. Right the second they've grabbed

0:46:50.373 --> 0:46:54.573
<v Speaker 3>this second chance, they now have hope. So let's, you know,

0:46:55.413 --> 0:46:57.533
<v Speaker 3>how much time can we squeeze, you know, how much

0:46:57.613 --> 0:46:59.333
<v Speaker 3>Jews can we squeeze out of what's rest in the

0:46:59.333 --> 0:47:02.733
<v Speaker 3>campaign to get Kamala Harris over the top. So some

0:47:02.973 --> 0:47:07.253
<v Speaker 3>Democrats are actually you know, not wanting this to end

0:47:07.333 --> 0:47:10.413
<v Speaker 3>because they think the more time she's on she's out there,

0:47:10.413 --> 0:47:12.853
<v Speaker 3>the better it will go. Some of us argue the opposite.

0:47:13.413 --> 0:47:16.733
<v Speaker 3>And then on the on the Republican side, you have

0:47:16.813 --> 0:47:20.573
<v Speaker 3>a good and I would say growing number of Trump

0:47:20.693 --> 0:47:28.413
<v Speaker 3>voters who with every assassination attempt, every federal government response

0:47:28.493 --> 0:47:32.893
<v Speaker 3>or lack of to a hurricane. Everything that happens in

0:47:32.973 --> 0:47:38.013
<v Speaker 3>terms of the politics of the country, they are more

0:47:38.293 --> 0:47:42.973
<v Speaker 3>and more enthused and keen to ensure do what they

0:47:43.013 --> 0:47:46.893
<v Speaker 3>can to make this election mean something from their point

0:47:46.893 --> 0:47:51.013
<v Speaker 3>of view. And so there's what I'm trying to say

0:47:51.053 --> 0:47:54.653
<v Speaker 3>is that there's renewed energy on both sides for very

0:47:54.693 --> 0:47:57.053
<v Speaker 3>different reasons. And of course the fact that just as

0:47:57.573 --> 0:48:00.133
<v Speaker 3>Trump being the candidate for the third election in a

0:48:00.213 --> 0:48:02.493
<v Speaker 3>row means that for the third election in the row

0:48:03.013 --> 0:48:05.653
<v Speaker 3>for the Democrats, the main the only thing they have

0:48:05.733 --> 0:48:08.093
<v Speaker 3>to say to most of their loyal voters is Trump's

0:48:08.093 --> 0:48:10.253
<v Speaker 3>are publican candidate, and that's it. You know, they're off,

0:48:11.133 --> 0:48:13.373
<v Speaker 3>They're frothing at the mouth, and they're after the polling

0:48:13.373 --> 0:48:15.813
<v Speaker 3>stations or in their case, you know, railing in the

0:48:15.893 --> 0:48:20.213
<v Speaker 3>posting the ballot. On the Republican side, there was tremendous

0:48:20.253 --> 0:48:26.933
<v Speaker 3>antipathy obviously to Biden, but most Trump voters dislike personally

0:48:27.013 --> 0:48:30.013
<v Speaker 3>Harris far more than they dislike Biden personally and are

0:48:30.093 --> 0:48:33.173
<v Speaker 3>more terror even more terrified of her views than they

0:48:33.173 --> 0:48:38.533
<v Speaker 3>are of Biden's policies. So on both sides, there's more

0:48:38.693 --> 0:48:42.413
<v Speaker 3>juice at this late stage most of which could not

0:48:42.453 --> 0:48:45.013
<v Speaker 3>have been anticipated even a few months ago.

0:48:45.453 --> 0:48:48.733
<v Speaker 2>It's intriguing because there is a fair bit of weariness

0:48:49.293 --> 0:48:52.173
<v Speaker 2>down in this part of the world. And I keep

0:48:52.493 --> 0:48:57.293
<v Speaker 2>suggesting to those who challenge occasionally the amount of time

0:48:57.333 --> 0:49:01.013
<v Speaker 2>that I spend on American politics, particularly at the time

0:49:01.133 --> 0:49:03.413
<v Speaker 2>like this, that there are another things you've got to

0:49:03.413 --> 0:49:07.773
<v Speaker 2>take into account. First of all, that the United States

0:49:07.893 --> 0:49:10.773
<v Speaker 2>is the the and most powerful country in the world.

0:49:11.333 --> 0:49:17.053
<v Speaker 2>What happens in America on all fronts, really, if it's dramatic,

0:49:17.493 --> 0:49:20.413
<v Speaker 2>what happens in America has an effect or is likely

0:49:20.453 --> 0:49:22.453
<v Speaker 2>to have an effect on the rest of the world.

0:49:23.013 --> 0:49:28.493
<v Speaker 2>And if you've got a useless president, whoever it might be,

0:49:28.933 --> 0:49:33.053
<v Speaker 2>and they've had some, then we're all in dire straits

0:49:33.333 --> 0:49:37.693
<v Speaker 2>or likely to be. And there's another aspect too, and

0:49:37.733 --> 0:49:41.093
<v Speaker 2>that is that you can watch how people follow politics

0:49:41.093 --> 0:49:44.493
<v Speaker 2>in America and react to it, and learn what their

0:49:44.533 --> 0:49:48.453
<v Speaker 2>attitude is to their own country and what's important or

0:49:48.653 --> 0:49:52.573
<v Speaker 2>not important, or how much they care or how much

0:49:52.653 --> 0:49:56.053
<v Speaker 2>they know or don't know in many cases. And I

0:49:56.093 --> 0:49:58.293
<v Speaker 2>find all of that intriguing, apart from the fact that

0:49:58.333 --> 0:49:59.973
<v Speaker 2>it's also scary at times.

0:50:00.853 --> 0:50:03.333
<v Speaker 3>Oh absolutely. I mean one of the things that's always

0:50:03.773 --> 0:50:07.213
<v Speaker 3>interested me intriguing me about American politics going way back,

0:50:07.413 --> 0:50:13.893
<v Speaker 3>is how compared to most other democratic nations, the American

0:50:13.893 --> 0:50:18.773
<v Speaker 3>political system largely washed this dirty laundry in public. Right now,

0:50:18.813 --> 0:50:22.893
<v Speaker 3>I would argue that in recent times a lot more

0:50:23.013 --> 0:50:26.533
<v Speaker 3>is happening in a sort of inside private laundereat than

0:50:26.573 --> 0:50:31.333
<v Speaker 3>in the past. But nevertheless, one of the reasons that

0:50:32.653 --> 0:50:37.133
<v Speaker 3>many people outside the country find it easy to automatically

0:50:37.373 --> 0:50:40.453
<v Speaker 3>criticize American politics is because they know so much about it.

0:50:40.533 --> 0:50:42.253
<v Speaker 3>In part because, as you say, for all those reasons

0:50:42.253 --> 0:50:46.853
<v Speaker 3>you enunciated, laden it's important for the rest of it

0:50:46.933 --> 0:50:49.333
<v Speaker 3>influences the rest of the world, but also because Americans

0:50:49.533 --> 0:50:52.173
<v Speaker 3>sort of can't keep their mouth shut and they sort

0:50:52.213 --> 0:50:55.573
<v Speaker 3>of show the world what's going on. Right the characteristic

0:50:55.613 --> 0:51:00.453
<v Speaker 3>American personality of telling everybody what they think about everything

0:51:01.693 --> 0:51:07.493
<v Speaker 3>also applies to their politics and wanting to export their system,

0:51:07.773 --> 0:51:12.893
<v Speaker 3>their style of politics around the world. Also, you know,

0:51:12.973 --> 0:51:16.173
<v Speaker 3>robs some people the wrong way, but it influences how

0:51:16.213 --> 0:51:22.253
<v Speaker 3>things happen elsewhere. Has done America's intervening for good or

0:51:22.293 --> 0:51:26.373
<v Speaker 3>for ill, and for good or for bad intentions around

0:51:26.413 --> 0:51:28.213
<v Speaker 3>the world. I mean, just just one thing on, why

0:51:28.693 --> 0:51:31.053
<v Speaker 3>you know the importance of it, and not of your

0:51:31.053 --> 0:51:33.613
<v Speaker 3>listeners say, well, Patrickson now about to bash Harris and

0:51:33.613 --> 0:51:35.733
<v Speaker 3>Biden over foreign policy. I'm not actually going to mention

0:51:35.773 --> 0:51:37.613
<v Speaker 3>that these following two things for that reason, but to

0:51:37.653 --> 0:51:43.053
<v Speaker 3>make another point, which is much of the criticism of

0:51:43.093 --> 0:51:49.333
<v Speaker 3>the hurricane response has been because so much money has

0:51:49.413 --> 0:51:54.373
<v Speaker 3>been and continues to be showered upon foreign governments and

0:51:54.573 --> 0:51:58.693
<v Speaker 3>foreign countries by Biden and Harris, who they deem to

0:51:58.733 --> 0:52:04.533
<v Speaker 3>be clearly in greater need than anybody at home in America. Now,

0:52:04.693 --> 0:52:07.093
<v Speaker 3>whether you know whether one thinks that money should or

0:52:07.093 --> 0:52:10.493
<v Speaker 3>shouldn't be spent in Lebanon, in Ukraine and wherever, the

0:52:10.493 --> 0:52:16.293
<v Speaker 3>bottom line is that America is in a position through

0:52:16.453 --> 0:52:19.733
<v Speaker 3>oh been part these days, through some very artful accounting,

0:52:19.773 --> 0:52:21.853
<v Speaker 3>but that America is in a position to at least

0:52:21.893 --> 0:52:25.253
<v Speaker 3>in the short term, to spend these huge sums and

0:52:25.293 --> 0:52:30.133
<v Speaker 3>to therefore influence what happens in country X or y. Right,

0:52:30.253 --> 0:52:33.213
<v Speaker 3>they can choose that Biden and Harris are in a

0:52:33.253 --> 0:52:37.013
<v Speaker 3>position where they can make these kinds of choices about

0:52:37.293 --> 0:52:41.533
<v Speaker 3>whether the money goes externally or internally. Now, most people

0:52:41.573 --> 0:52:43.213
<v Speaker 3>think they're making the wrong choices, and I think they're

0:52:43.213 --> 0:52:45.813
<v Speaker 3>making the wrong choices, but the fact is they're making them,

0:52:46.013 --> 0:52:49.253
<v Speaker 3>and those choices will make a difference. Do make a

0:52:49.253 --> 0:52:52.093
<v Speaker 3>difference elsewhere. It doesn't necessarily it's necessary for good, but

0:52:52.133 --> 0:52:56.413
<v Speaker 3>they make a difference. Whereas your average democracy in the world,

0:52:56.613 --> 0:52:59.693
<v Speaker 3>the government may have all kinds of views, and they

0:52:59.733 --> 0:53:02.853
<v Speaker 3>may be good ones about what's happening elsewhere, but they

0:53:02.893 --> 0:53:06.133
<v Speaker 3>can't do much about it because they have a small military,

0:53:06.213 --> 0:53:09.213
<v Speaker 3>or they don't have the foreign aid, whatever the heck

0:53:09.253 --> 0:53:11.493
<v Speaker 3>it is. They don't have the trade influence in the

0:53:11.533 --> 0:53:13.613
<v Speaker 3>trade power that kind of thing, and the economic might

0:53:13.693 --> 0:53:18.813
<v Speaker 3>the hest to put muscle behind their words, but America does.

0:53:19.133 --> 0:53:23.613
<v Speaker 3>And so you know, if you don't think American elections

0:53:23.653 --> 0:53:29.773
<v Speaker 3>are that important, you have to somehow gel that with

0:53:30.013 --> 0:53:34.613
<v Speaker 3>the fact that America might be intervening in your country,

0:53:34.733 --> 0:53:37.173
<v Speaker 3>or a country neighbor to yours, or one that you

0:53:37.213 --> 0:53:41.093
<v Speaker 3>think is really important around the world as a result

0:53:41.133 --> 0:53:44.213
<v Speaker 3>of its election outcome, or as a way of trying

0:53:44.253 --> 0:53:48.533
<v Speaker 3>to influence that election outcome domestically here in America, let

0:53:48.573 --> 0:53:52.373
<v Speaker 3>alone influence it and influence what's happening elsewhere. I mean

0:53:52.533 --> 0:53:57.533
<v Speaker 3>the fact that Harris yesterday on CBS's sixty minutes in

0:53:57.573 --> 0:54:02.093
<v Speaker 3>one of for very rare sit down interviews, refuse to

0:54:02.133 --> 0:54:07.333
<v Speaker 3>say that, yes, Naiu in Israel there was an ally

0:54:07.413 --> 0:54:10.133
<v Speaker 3>of the United States. I mean, you can say why,

0:54:10.133 --> 0:54:12.933
<v Speaker 3>I don't think he is. But for her, as vice

0:54:13.013 --> 0:54:18.333
<v Speaker 3>president of a quote unquote pro Israeli administration, to not

0:54:18.413 --> 0:54:22.173
<v Speaker 3>be able to say yes to that tells you, you know,

0:54:22.373 --> 0:54:26.773
<v Speaker 3>is important not just for American voters information, but it's

0:54:26.813 --> 0:54:30.053
<v Speaker 3>important for what's going on in the Middle East right now. Right. Yes,

0:54:30.853 --> 0:54:33.413
<v Speaker 3>that's just a fact. We may like that fact or

0:54:33.413 --> 0:54:34.893
<v Speaker 3>dislike that fact, but it's a fact.

0:54:35.213 --> 0:54:36.853
<v Speaker 2>Well, it's one other thing that I wanted to add

0:54:36.853 --> 0:54:40.253
<v Speaker 2>to my list, and it's probably the most important actually

0:54:41.053 --> 0:54:44.693
<v Speaker 2>for most people. Anyway, Where did all the ideas come

0:54:44.773 --> 0:54:49.853
<v Speaker 2>from to form the government of the United States. They

0:54:49.893 --> 0:54:53.253
<v Speaker 2>came from Europe, from England and Europe, if you want

0:54:53.293 --> 0:54:57.933
<v Speaker 2>to separate the two. But all the French philosophers, et cetera,

0:54:57.973 --> 0:55:01.373
<v Speaker 2>et ce all contributed one way or the other, for

0:55:01.413 --> 0:55:05.613
<v Speaker 2>better or worse. After the Second World War, things changed,

0:55:05.933 --> 0:55:08.013
<v Speaker 2>and the further away we got from the Second World War,

0:55:08.053 --> 0:55:11.893
<v Speaker 2>the more they changed. And now most of the ideas

0:55:11.933 --> 0:55:15.333
<v Speaker 2>that disturb us in particular come from the United States,

0:55:15.413 --> 0:55:19.413
<v Speaker 2>all the woke stuff, all the craziness that we have

0:55:19.813 --> 0:55:24.413
<v Speaker 2>that we have been reading about, hearing about, experiencing, and

0:55:24.533 --> 0:55:27.253
<v Speaker 2>it has spread to this part of the world. In fact,

0:55:27.253 --> 0:55:28.613
<v Speaker 2>it has spread the many parts of the world. But

0:55:28.853 --> 0:55:32.173
<v Speaker 2>in the in the free world, as we like to

0:55:32.213 --> 0:55:36.253
<v Speaker 2>think we are, it's affected as most. And I picked

0:55:36.253 --> 0:55:38.453
<v Speaker 2>this up back in the back in the early eighties

0:55:39.013 --> 0:55:43.813
<v Speaker 2>more than before that, partly due to age and interest

0:55:43.853 --> 0:55:48.253
<v Speaker 2>in development, but I picked it up. And political correctness

0:55:48.293 --> 0:55:51.133
<v Speaker 2>as it was initially has developed into all sorts of

0:55:51.373 --> 0:55:57.613
<v Speaker 2>very ugly and unhelpful attitudes to life, reflected most recently

0:55:57.693 --> 0:56:02.093
<v Speaker 2>in my opinion today or yesterday by Hillary Clinton, who,

0:56:02.173 --> 0:56:05.533
<v Speaker 2>talking about social media, says, we have to control social media.

0:56:05.533 --> 0:56:08.933
<v Speaker 2>If we don't control social media, then we we've lost.

0:56:09.213 --> 0:56:11.533
<v Speaker 2>We can only control it. We can only get get

0:56:11.533 --> 0:56:15.373
<v Speaker 2>where we want by controlling social media and associated comments.

0:56:16.173 --> 0:56:18.133
<v Speaker 2>That's where that's where it originates.

0:56:19.333 --> 0:56:21.173
<v Speaker 3>Absolutely, And of course I mean just on the Hillary

0:56:21.173 --> 0:56:24.613
<v Speaker 3>Clinton interview there, because it begs what she said, bige

0:56:24.653 --> 0:56:27.573
<v Speaker 3>many questions. I mean, among them, who's the wei she's

0:56:27.613 --> 0:56:31.493
<v Speaker 3>referring to. I'm guessing her wei is more her and Bill,

0:56:31.693 --> 0:56:34.053
<v Speaker 3>not you and me. Late I'm just taking a wild

0:56:34.053 --> 0:56:38.493
<v Speaker 3>guess that perhaps right, just just just perhaps, you know,

0:56:38.533 --> 0:56:42.213
<v Speaker 3>it's make a great point. I mean, there's a a

0:56:42.613 --> 0:56:48.053
<v Speaker 3>now long departed I think Nobel Laureate winning economist Joseph

0:56:48.093 --> 0:56:51.933
<v Speaker 3>Schumpeter German Chap if I've got that right, who said

0:56:51.933 --> 0:56:54.693
<v Speaker 3>many important things for which he got many accolades and

0:56:55.013 --> 0:57:00.533
<v Speaker 3>much controversy. But one of his sort of central thoughts

0:57:01.453 --> 0:57:04.893
<v Speaker 3>was that the problem, and this is this is something

0:57:04.933 --> 0:57:07.333
<v Speaker 3>that I think became apparent is really where I'm getting

0:57:07.333 --> 0:57:11.653
<v Speaker 3>to in the eighties and nineties in the West, across

0:57:11.653 --> 0:57:15.933
<v Speaker 3>the West, was that capitalism was the best way to

0:57:16.453 --> 0:57:22.173
<v Speaker 3>organize things economically, right, most most productivity, most wealth, greatest consumption,

0:57:22.253 --> 0:57:25.813
<v Speaker 3>quality of life, all that material stuff. But he foresaw

0:57:25.853 --> 0:57:31.533
<v Speaker 3>the fact that capitalism's success would be problematic for capitalism

0:57:31.613 --> 0:57:35.573
<v Speaker 3>or capitalist societies because once you've sort of once you've

0:57:35.613 --> 0:57:39.173
<v Speaker 3>got all this wealth and everyone's most people are fairly

0:57:39.173 --> 0:57:42.933
<v Speaker 3>comfortable by historical standards, So what do you do next?

0:57:43.373 --> 0:57:46.973
<v Speaker 3>And next comes people's the average no, the average person

0:57:47.133 --> 0:57:50.893
<v Speaker 3>at first, but the average intellectual and thinker and bureaucrat

0:57:50.933 --> 0:57:54.453
<v Speaker 3>and policy maker about what they can do now because

0:57:54.453 --> 0:57:56.933
<v Speaker 3>they don't have to worry about feeding everybody and most

0:57:56.933 --> 0:57:59.613
<v Speaker 3>people having a job and clean water. It's like, what

0:57:59.693 --> 0:58:03.493
<v Speaker 3>do we do? And of course you give enough intellectuals

0:58:03.573 --> 0:58:07.853
<v Speaker 3>enough time to ruminate and fester, and they start coming

0:58:07.893 --> 0:58:10.493
<v Speaker 3>up with all kinds of wacky notions about the planet,

0:58:10.693 --> 0:58:13.693
<v Speaker 3>you know, dying off. We've got to do all kinds

0:58:13.733 --> 0:58:16.333
<v Speaker 3>of things about that, and all this social you know,

0:58:16.413 --> 0:58:19.493
<v Speaker 3>you know, wokeness. Of course, there is the bastard child

0:58:19.493 --> 0:58:22.413
<v Speaker 3>of political correctness from the eighties, and you know, we

0:58:22.493 --> 0:58:24.773
<v Speaker 3>get all of that stuff that started in the eighties,

0:58:24.893 --> 0:58:27.413
<v Speaker 3>as you say, started in America, and America being the

0:58:27.413 --> 0:58:31.293
<v Speaker 3>most successful capitalist economy, much of this stuff, and being

0:58:31.573 --> 0:58:36.893
<v Speaker 3>just numerically large, you've just got more numerically more folks,

0:58:37.013 --> 0:58:41.053
<v Speaker 3>more affluent folks, and more universities, and more intellectuals and

0:58:41.053 --> 0:58:44.613
<v Speaker 3>more public policy types, more think tanks who are coming

0:58:44.693 --> 0:58:48.013
<v Speaker 3>up with more and more crazy ideas and telling convincing

0:58:48.053 --> 0:58:51.613
<v Speaker 3>each other that they're good and then you know, starting

0:58:51.653 --> 0:58:54.093
<v Speaker 3>to work their magic in terms of the system. And

0:58:54.133 --> 0:58:57.773
<v Speaker 3>of course America, because it was so politically powerful, because

0:58:57.813 --> 0:59:01.813
<v Speaker 3>it was so economically powerful, it became culturally powerful around

0:59:01.853 --> 0:59:05.013
<v Speaker 3>the world. And then that culture, you know, political correctness

0:59:05.013 --> 0:59:10.093
<v Speaker 3>didn't didn't seep into the sinew of other Western nations

0:59:10.133 --> 0:59:13.933
<v Speaker 3>because people voted on it. It's because it was exported

0:59:13.973 --> 0:59:18.933
<v Speaker 3>through American culture right in many and American academics and

0:59:18.973 --> 0:59:22.333
<v Speaker 3>all of that American think tanks. So you end up,

0:59:23.133 --> 0:59:27.893
<v Speaker 3>in the case of America, with a country that culturally, socially,

0:59:28.413 --> 0:59:31.813
<v Speaker 3>and in many ways politically, I would argue now is

0:59:31.853 --> 0:59:35.893
<v Speaker 3>almost unrecognizable from the country it was even twenty years ago,

0:59:36.813 --> 0:59:40.493
<v Speaker 3>certainly a generation or two ago, and in almost all

0:59:40.573 --> 0:59:46.813
<v Speaker 3>cases not for the better right, and that that America

0:59:46.893 --> 0:59:51.333
<v Speaker 3>is still I think America is probably even more criticized

0:59:51.573 --> 0:59:56.533
<v Speaker 3>than she was in the past, but she's still influential.

0:59:56.693 --> 0:59:59.853
<v Speaker 3>And therefore, depending on which country you chew, western country

0:59:59.853 --> 1:00:03.533
<v Speaker 3>you name, that country has been influenced in what I

1:00:03.573 --> 1:00:07.173
<v Speaker 3>would view and I'm guessing you would view as unfortunate ways,

1:00:07.373 --> 1:00:10.213
<v Speaker 3>but to varying, varying degrees. You know, in another way

1:00:10.213 --> 1:00:14.973
<v Speaker 3>that this is we've demonstrated how we've lost that genius,

1:00:15.373 --> 1:00:19.173
<v Speaker 3>the method of the in the madness of those sixteen

1:00:19.693 --> 1:00:25.453
<v Speaker 3>seventeen eighteenth century you know, true intellectuals from across Europe

1:00:25.693 --> 1:00:28.493
<v Speaker 3>is that when the Cold War ended and there was

1:00:28.653 --> 1:00:31.773
<v Speaker 3>much talk everywhere, but particularly in the US, about the

1:00:32.373 --> 1:00:35.973
<v Speaker 3>Cold War dividend, the peace dividend, the defense dividend, because

1:00:36.133 --> 1:00:38.973
<v Speaker 3>we have this massive spending all this money on this

1:00:39.053 --> 1:00:44.173
<v Speaker 3>defense budget, paying for most of you know, Europe's defense.

1:00:44.973 --> 1:00:48.093
<v Speaker 3>But now we've won the Cold War, we don't have

1:00:48.213 --> 1:00:51.333
<v Speaker 3>to spend all that money on defense now. Whereas in

1:00:51.373 --> 1:00:54.173
<v Speaker 3>the past, the react the response would have been, that's

1:00:54.253 --> 1:00:57.453
<v Speaker 3>great news, So we can now reduce bring the size

1:00:57.493 --> 1:01:00.213
<v Speaker 3>of government back down to a more reasonable level, we

1:01:00.253 --> 1:01:02.533
<v Speaker 3>can cut taxes, we can give people back sort of

1:01:02.573 --> 1:01:05.253
<v Speaker 3>more economic freedom, et cetera, et cetera. Oh no, The

1:01:05.333 --> 1:01:08.933
<v Speaker 3>response was across the board pretty much with the exception

1:01:08.973 --> 1:01:12.173
<v Speaker 3>of you know which your Reaganites was, We're not going

1:01:12.213 --> 1:01:14.933
<v Speaker 3>to spend all this money on defense, So which social

1:01:15.013 --> 1:01:17.693
<v Speaker 3>programs can we spend it on now? Like what can

1:01:17.733 --> 1:01:21.013
<v Speaker 3>the government do in a for the first time or

1:01:21.053 --> 1:01:23.613
<v Speaker 3>in bigger and better, in my view, bader ways than

1:01:23.653 --> 1:01:26.293
<v Speaker 3>it was already doing. And that's what's happened, right, So

1:01:27.253 --> 1:01:33.813
<v Speaker 3>it's that choice happened in the nineties. If it had

1:01:33.853 --> 1:01:36.413
<v Speaker 3>happened in the fifties, the choices would have nineteen fifties,

1:01:36.453 --> 1:01:38.533
<v Speaker 3>the choices I think made would have been quite different.

1:01:39.453 --> 1:01:45.053
<v Speaker 3>And if they were made now, when only imagine in

1:01:45.093 --> 1:01:46.453
<v Speaker 3>which direction they would be headed.

1:01:47.773 --> 1:01:53.253
<v Speaker 2>Just on another matter, and on a very obvious one overall,

1:01:53.533 --> 1:01:58.333
<v Speaker 2>how is the current situation in the Middle East affecting

1:01:58.493 --> 1:01:59.453
<v Speaker 2>your average American?

1:02:01.253 --> 1:02:02.493
<v Speaker 3>Your average American?

1:02:03.333 --> 1:02:04.133
<v Speaker 2>Is this such a thing?

1:02:05.773 --> 1:02:11.653
<v Speaker 3>Not a lot? Like it's not central to most people's

1:02:12.253 --> 1:02:17.013
<v Speaker 3>views of voting calculus, however, and i'm you know as

1:02:17.053 --> 1:02:19.653
<v Speaker 3>we are. You know, we're around the anniversary of the

1:02:19.973 --> 1:02:26.133
<v Speaker 3>Harmas attack on Israel from October seventh, twenty twenty three.

1:02:26.653 --> 1:02:29.613
<v Speaker 3>That that that what happened then, and more to the point,

1:02:29.613 --> 1:02:32.333
<v Speaker 3>what's happened since in the Middle East and America's role

1:02:32.733 --> 1:02:38.493
<v Speaker 3>regarding that, you know, that is it's a secondary campaign issue,

1:02:38.493 --> 1:02:42.333
<v Speaker 3>but it's it's still a prominent one, and it's one

1:02:42.413 --> 1:02:48.573
<v Speaker 3>that has on the Trump side. Meant that Trump is,

1:02:48.693 --> 1:02:52.453
<v Speaker 3>according to the polls, getting a lot more Jewish support

1:02:52.693 --> 1:02:55.413
<v Speaker 3>than he has in the past. And that this or

1:02:55.493 --> 1:02:58.213
<v Speaker 3>is what's traditional for Republican because your listeners may or

1:02:58.213 --> 1:03:02.933
<v Speaker 3>may not know Jewish Americas in Cheish American voters overwhelmingly

1:03:03.013 --> 1:03:07.413
<v Speaker 3>vote Democratic right and you know, for a whole host

1:03:07.493 --> 1:03:11.333
<v Speaker 3>of reasons. You know, time topic for another conversation, perhaps

1:03:12.213 --> 1:03:15.533
<v Speaker 3>at the same time, on the Democratic side, they have

1:03:15.773 --> 1:03:19.213
<v Speaker 3>sort of owned the the the the small but growing

1:03:19.333 --> 1:03:26.093
<v Speaker 3>Muslim vote, an Arab vote, and those folks are really upset,

1:03:26.373 --> 1:03:30.413
<v Speaker 3>really upset with Biden and Harris over what they view

1:03:30.493 --> 1:03:34.693
<v Speaker 3>is their slavish support for Israel uh. And so they

1:03:34.733 --> 1:03:38.453
<v Speaker 3>are they are either deciding not to vote or are,

1:03:38.533 --> 1:03:42.133
<v Speaker 3>according to the polls again showing much more interest in

1:03:42.213 --> 1:03:45.093
<v Speaker 3>Trump than in the past as a sort of protest

1:03:46.013 --> 1:03:50.293
<v Speaker 3>to Harris and Biden. And crucially, I mean, your question

1:03:50.373 --> 1:03:53.013
<v Speaker 3>really kind of actually takes us back to these specific

1:03:53.093 --> 1:03:56.773
<v Speaker 3>states because the Arab and the Arab vote is I mean,

1:03:56.813 --> 1:03:59.053
<v Speaker 3>it's it's in all kinds of places, but it's in

1:03:59.133 --> 1:04:03.173
<v Speaker 3>terms of politics where it matters is in Michigan swing state.

1:04:03.253 --> 1:04:07.493
<v Speaker 3>It matters in and around Detroit and Arab voters there

1:04:08.093 --> 1:04:11.653
<v Speaker 3>by staying home or by let's say thirty forty percent

1:04:11.733 --> 1:04:15.053
<v Speaker 3>voting for Trump where normally only ten percent would could

1:04:15.053 --> 1:04:19.253
<v Speaker 3>swing that state. Where and we go back to Minnesota, Minneapolis,

1:04:19.293 --> 1:04:23.533
<v Speaker 3>Saint Paul, the big liberal centers, that is where your

1:04:23.773 --> 1:04:29.093
<v Speaker 3>Muslim voters are concentrated, especially Somalian voters, and they are

1:04:29.133 --> 1:04:33.733
<v Speaker 3>having the same buyer's remorse about Biden and Harris, and

1:04:33.853 --> 1:04:36.613
<v Speaker 3>although it's less likely the tit Minnesota for the reasons

1:04:36.653 --> 1:04:40.773
<v Speaker 3>we've already discussed in our conversation today, it's still one

1:04:40.773 --> 1:04:42.653
<v Speaker 3>of the factors that appears to be making it a

1:04:42.693 --> 1:04:46.093
<v Speaker 3>closet an uncomfortably close race of the Democrats. So there

1:04:46.133 --> 1:04:53.133
<v Speaker 3>are obvious ethnic groups religious groups in America for whom

1:04:53.573 --> 1:04:56.373
<v Speaker 3>what's happening in the Middle East is the number one

1:04:56.413 --> 1:05:01.813
<v Speaker 3>issue an America's role in response to it, Whereas most

1:05:01.933 --> 1:05:07.053
<v Speaker 3>voters they're broadly vaguely aware of what's going on, but

1:05:07.373 --> 1:05:11.293
<v Speaker 3>they're concerned about it is more under the umbrella of

1:05:11.773 --> 1:05:14.533
<v Speaker 3>the world seems to be spinning a bit out of control.

1:05:14.813 --> 1:05:17.333
<v Speaker 3>And do I think these guys have a handle on

1:05:17.373 --> 1:05:21.693
<v Speaker 3>it and can get things back on track, stabilize things,

1:05:21.773 --> 1:05:23.813
<v Speaker 3>or do I blame them for it? So it's in

1:05:23.853 --> 1:05:27.853
<v Speaker 3>a bucket with Ukraine, Iran. You know, it's all this

1:05:27.973 --> 1:05:30.493
<v Speaker 3>stuff that if you're on the Trump side, you think,

1:05:31.053 --> 1:05:33.533
<v Speaker 3>you know, they just screwed things up, and if you're

1:05:33.573 --> 1:05:35.773
<v Speaker 3>on the Harris Biden side, you think they've made the

1:05:35.773 --> 1:05:37.093
<v Speaker 3>best of a bad hand.

1:05:39.293 --> 1:05:41.533
<v Speaker 2>Well, we started with the question of what was the

1:05:41.533 --> 1:05:45.173
<v Speaker 2>biggest political issue or headline in the country at the moment.

1:05:45.933 --> 1:05:50.773
<v Speaker 2>So let's conclude with hopefully something a little different. What

1:05:50.853 --> 1:05:54.493
<v Speaker 2>would be the top good news story in America today?

1:05:55.973 --> 1:05:59.573
<v Speaker 3>Sure, well, the top good news story getting some attention,

1:05:59.653 --> 1:06:02.493
<v Speaker 3>particularly on a lot of attentions on social and alternative media,

1:06:03.013 --> 1:06:06.453
<v Speaker 3>less so in mainstream media. But we always remain hopeful

1:06:06.493 --> 1:06:10.173
<v Speaker 3>and optimistic, don't we. Late is actually the response to

1:06:10.213 --> 1:06:13.213
<v Speaker 3>the hurricane, not the federal government response, not the government,

1:06:13.213 --> 1:06:15.813
<v Speaker 3>the response of the democratic governor of North Carolina, the

1:06:15.893 --> 1:06:22.493
<v Speaker 3>response of ordinary individual, regular average Americans. Both the financial

1:06:22.573 --> 1:06:26.773
<v Speaker 3>assistance the people, number of people who are dropping everything

1:06:27.093 --> 1:06:29.573
<v Speaker 3>and traveling there, and the hope they can do something

1:06:29.573 --> 1:06:34.173
<v Speaker 3>to help the people there who are affected. They may

1:06:34.173 --> 1:06:36.373
<v Speaker 3>have been as affected as anyone else, or they may have,

1:06:37.093 --> 1:06:39.533
<v Speaker 3>from their point of view, been lucky in their house

1:06:39.613 --> 1:06:42.093
<v Speaker 3>is flooded, but it's not destroyed. You know this, The

1:06:42.093 --> 1:06:44.573
<v Speaker 3>people who still have water, or people some people have

1:06:44.613 --> 1:06:48.773
<v Speaker 3>electricity back. They who are just dropping everything, you know,

1:06:48.813 --> 1:06:51.333
<v Speaker 3>and just putting their shoulders to the will literally and

1:06:51.373 --> 1:06:55.893
<v Speaker 3>figuratively to help out their neighbors, their you know, their

1:06:55.973 --> 1:06:59.493
<v Speaker 3>their fellow citizens, they're fellow Americans. It is a phenomenal

1:07:00.013 --> 1:07:05.493
<v Speaker 3>thing that's happening. It is incredibly it's conreadily moving and touching,

1:07:05.893 --> 1:07:12.693
<v Speaker 3>and it's reassuring that this the sort of grassroots spirit

1:07:13.173 --> 1:07:20.693
<v Speaker 3>of compassion and neighborliness and concern and a sense that

1:07:21.573 --> 1:07:24.773
<v Speaker 3>what's happening to others, whether you know them or not,

1:07:25.493 --> 1:07:27.813
<v Speaker 3>might in the moment, be as important, even more important,

1:07:27.853 --> 1:07:30.333
<v Speaker 3>than what's happening to you in your own life. I

1:07:30.333 --> 1:07:32.773
<v Speaker 3>think it's really it's you know, really quite something, really

1:07:32.853 --> 1:07:36.533
<v Speaker 3>kind of moving, and I think it will become more

1:07:36.573 --> 1:07:39.453
<v Speaker 3>and more prominent in terms of the coverage, and I think,

1:07:39.533 --> 1:07:41.253
<v Speaker 3>you know, I suspect that, you know, they'll it's one

1:07:41.253 --> 1:07:43.093
<v Speaker 3>of those things. There'll be at some point there'll be

1:07:43.133 --> 1:07:48.093
<v Speaker 3>Netflix movies about this, because it is worse than Katrina.

1:07:49.253 --> 1:07:51.693
<v Speaker 3>We just don't most people don't realize that because the

1:07:51.893 --> 1:07:56.693
<v Speaker 3>media has decided to not announce it that way, not

1:07:56.853 --> 1:08:01.613
<v Speaker 3>to allow that narrative to completely blossom. But so, yeah,

1:08:01.613 --> 1:08:05.373
<v Speaker 3>that's actually it's there is There is good news beneath

1:08:05.493 --> 1:08:07.613
<v Speaker 3>all of the all of the bad news.

1:08:07.813 --> 1:08:10.133
<v Speaker 2>That was a that was a great answer, and I'm

1:08:10.253 --> 1:08:14.013
<v Speaker 2>very pleased. And I asked the question because it's a

1:08:14.133 --> 1:08:18.133
<v Speaker 2>very very good note to call it quits for this

1:08:18.213 --> 1:08:21.333
<v Speaker 2>day and turn you loose, so that you can recover

1:08:21.413 --> 1:08:23.293
<v Speaker 2>in time for election day.

1:08:24.773 --> 1:08:29.933
<v Speaker 3>Absolutely, we just have to keep winding oneself up. And

1:08:30.253 --> 1:08:31.973
<v Speaker 3>it's a little great when you're doing the polling and

1:08:32.013 --> 1:08:34.573
<v Speaker 3>you're talking about elections every day and studying it all.

1:08:34.893 --> 1:08:39.293
<v Speaker 3>It's very groundhog Day, right, It's every day seemed a

1:08:39.293 --> 1:08:40.893
<v Speaker 3>little bit like that the part of the next one.

1:08:40.933 --> 1:08:44.213
<v Speaker 3>But this year, so much has happened that only happened

1:08:44.213 --> 1:08:46.333
<v Speaker 3>once a decade or once the century. It's all happening

1:08:46.333 --> 1:08:51.213
<v Speaker 3>in the same few months that it sort of gives

1:08:51.253 --> 1:08:55.493
<v Speaker 3>one a bolt of energy each time the latest craziness occurs,

1:08:55.493 --> 1:08:57.693
<v Speaker 3>if I may sound put it so cold bloodedly.

1:08:58.813 --> 1:09:03.813
<v Speaker 2>Indeed, Patrick Vasham, Director of Democracy Institute in Washington, d C.

1:09:04.653 --> 1:09:08.493
<v Speaker 2>It's been fabulous having this discussion, and I appreciate at

1:09:08.533 --> 1:09:10.253
<v Speaker 2>your time, your effort, your energy.

1:09:10.733 --> 1:09:15.413
<v Speaker 3>Thank you, Laton, My pleasure always.

1:09:27.453 --> 1:09:30.893
<v Speaker 2>Now into the mail room for Podcast two fifty nine,

1:09:30.933 --> 1:09:33.693
<v Speaker 2>missus producer. You're looking terrifix. I'm not even go to ask.

1:09:33.853 --> 1:09:39.053
<v Speaker 4>Oh, thanks, Layton. I'll always take a compliment. Brian Leyland,

1:09:39.133 --> 1:09:43.973
<v Speaker 4>who's your sometime interviewee and specialist in energy matters, has

1:09:43.973 --> 1:09:47.253
<v Speaker 4>written to you this week. So what he's got to say, Obviously,

1:09:47.293 --> 1:09:51.213
<v Speaker 4>we should listen to closely. Brian says, if you've read

1:09:51.293 --> 1:09:53.253
<v Speaker 4>mood of the boardroom in the Herald this morning, you

1:09:53.293 --> 1:09:56.053
<v Speaker 4>would have seen that many senior people in the electricity

1:09:56.093 --> 1:09:59.493
<v Speaker 4>industry seem to believe that building more and more intermittent

1:09:59.733 --> 1:10:03.813
<v Speaker 4>and unreliable solar and wind power will provide us with

1:10:03.853 --> 1:10:08.813
<v Speaker 4>an economic and reliable supply. It won't. The problem is

1:10:08.893 --> 1:10:12.733
<v Speaker 4>that to provide enough energy for the four thousand milliwatts

1:10:12.773 --> 1:10:16.533
<v Speaker 4>of postulated new demand, we will need to install about

1:10:16.573 --> 1:10:21.013
<v Speaker 4>twelve thousand megawatts of wind and solar power. Sometimes this

1:10:21.093 --> 1:10:24.813
<v Speaker 4>will produce maybe ten thousand megawatts and other times maybe

1:10:24.853 --> 1:10:28.853
<v Speaker 4>a few hundred. This does not provide a reliable supply,

1:10:29.213 --> 1:10:32.973
<v Speaker 4>and the cost of twelve thousand megawatts to supply eight

1:10:33.453 --> 1:10:38.373
<v Speaker 4>four thousand megawatt load is extortionate. Another factor is that

1:10:38.533 --> 1:10:42.453
<v Speaker 4>wind and solar are abundant, the surplus energy available will

1:10:42.453 --> 1:10:45.213
<v Speaker 4>crash the price, and when they are not available, the

1:10:45.453 --> 1:10:49.333
<v Speaker 4>prices will skyrocket. The economics of installing more and more

1:10:49.373 --> 1:10:53.493
<v Speaker 4>wind and solar power is more than is installed. There

1:10:53.613 --> 1:10:56.253
<v Speaker 4>is also a major problem with systems stability, but it

1:10:56.333 --> 1:11:00.613
<v Speaker 4>is probably beyond the understanding of the average person. International

1:11:00.653 --> 1:11:03.733
<v Speaker 4>statistics show that the more wind and solar power connected

1:11:03.733 --> 1:11:06.733
<v Speaker 4>to the system, the higher the power price. That's from Brian.

1:11:06.893 --> 1:11:10.653
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, well anything, Ryan says worth consideration. Don't have to

1:11:10.693 --> 1:11:14.093
<v Speaker 2>agree with everything, but he is an independent I won't

1:11:14.213 --> 1:11:18.693
<v Speaker 2>use the word expert, knowledgeable man with vast experience and

1:11:18.853 --> 1:11:20.853
<v Speaker 2>probably more brains than the rest of them put together.

1:11:21.653 --> 1:11:25.773
<v Speaker 2>Now from Brett, one can only hope humanity will eventually

1:11:25.853 --> 1:11:28.653
<v Speaker 2>wake up to the corruption it has brought on itself,

1:11:28.933 --> 1:11:32.693
<v Speaker 2>including here in New Zealand and turn the tide. The

1:11:32.733 --> 1:11:36.533
<v Speaker 2>battle between light and dark has to play out, however messy.

1:11:36.973 --> 1:11:40.053
<v Speaker 2>May the light stir and grow within humanity till it

1:11:40.173 --> 1:11:44.013
<v Speaker 2>simply cannot be constrained. The dark elements will fight tooth

1:11:44.053 --> 1:11:47.773
<v Speaker 2>and nail for increasing control, for it knows it cannot

1:11:47.773 --> 1:11:51.773
<v Speaker 2>survive in the light should critical mass be reached. What

1:11:51.933 --> 1:11:55.133
<v Speaker 2>is feared most is the common people having the empowerment

1:11:55.173 --> 1:12:00.133
<v Speaker 2>of freedom of thought, of will and self determination. A

1:12:00.213 --> 1:12:04.773
<v Speaker 2>self empowered, well informed people are the hardest to control

1:12:04.893 --> 1:12:10.613
<v Speaker 2>and contain. Little bit of philosophy from HTT thank.

1:12:10.413 --> 1:12:15.013
<v Speaker 4>You, Ladon Colin says the mood of the boardroom article

1:12:15.133 --> 1:12:18.333
<v Speaker 4>in The Herald, where the CEOs and directors express their

1:12:18.373 --> 1:12:22.773
<v Speaker 4>opinion on the upcoming USA election gives some insight on

1:12:23.013 --> 1:12:26.533
<v Speaker 4>how they think. Only the CEO from One New Zealand,

1:12:26.573 --> 1:12:29.293
<v Speaker 4>who put his name to an alternative of the group think,

1:12:29.573 --> 1:12:33.813
<v Speaker 4>appeared to give more consideration to his answer. Most seem

1:12:33.853 --> 1:12:36.573
<v Speaker 4>to miss the point that the middle class worldwide wants

1:12:36.573 --> 1:12:39.853
<v Speaker 4>stability in the States and the world, and not the

1:12:39.893 --> 1:12:42.693
<v Speaker 4>carnage we have now. If we carry on like this,

1:12:42.853 --> 1:12:47.053
<v Speaker 4>it can be assumed trade worldwide will become increasingly difficult

1:12:47.053 --> 1:12:49.693
<v Speaker 4>for a lot of countries. So I then looked at

1:12:49.733 --> 1:12:52.773
<v Speaker 4>how they voted, first of all, going back to where

1:12:52.773 --> 1:12:56.173
<v Speaker 4>they backed Hillary Clinton, who is part of the Obama administration.

1:12:57.213 --> 1:12:59.973
<v Speaker 4>Then they backed Biden, who was also part of the

1:13:00.013 --> 1:13:04.213
<v Speaker 4>same administration. Harris became his vice president, and this has

1:13:04.253 --> 1:13:08.853
<v Speaker 4>also become a weak administration. It is difficult seeing Harris

1:13:09.013 --> 1:13:13.253
<v Speaker 4>making much improvement as the same powerful people that support

1:13:13.333 --> 1:13:17.093
<v Speaker 4>her and her running maker right back to that very administration.

1:13:18.053 --> 1:13:20.933
<v Speaker 4>So therefore, the States has had a weak administration before

1:13:20.973 --> 1:13:24.253
<v Speaker 4>and after Trump's, which gave a form of stability for

1:13:25.013 --> 1:13:28.453
<v Speaker 4>US in the world until COVID. A lot of our

1:13:28.493 --> 1:13:32.813
<v Speaker 4>boardroom people ignore that and give Harris their backing. I

1:13:32.813 --> 1:13:34.813
<v Speaker 4>suppose it is to be expected as many of them

1:13:34.813 --> 1:13:38.773
<v Speaker 4>pushed for the ar Durn administration and its disaster. So

1:13:39.173 --> 1:13:42.053
<v Speaker 4>in summary, I concluded that some of the private and

1:13:42.133 --> 1:13:45.493
<v Speaker 4>public executives seem to be quite a lot out of touch.

1:13:46.373 --> 1:13:49.093
<v Speaker 4>Is this why so many of late are being or

1:13:49.213 --> 1:13:52.453
<v Speaker 4>need to be replaced, Not so much because their qualifications

1:13:52.453 --> 1:13:56.373
<v Speaker 4>don't fit, but because of their ingrained, woke herd mentality.

1:13:57.053 --> 1:13:59.213
<v Speaker 4>And then Colin goes on to say, I see Toyota

1:13:59.253 --> 1:14:01.813
<v Speaker 4>is sorting out more of the junk that their administrators

1:14:01.813 --> 1:14:04.053
<v Speaker 4>and hung up on. So that will be a positive

1:14:04.093 --> 1:14:06.973
<v Speaker 4>if more companies follow suitor.

1:14:07.213 --> 1:14:09.813
<v Speaker 2>Well, I think he's a now US is actually very good.

1:14:10.813 --> 1:14:14.013
<v Speaker 2>And the people that he referred to I have no

1:14:14.053 --> 1:14:18.053
<v Speaker 2>idea who because but the in principle the group of

1:14:18.173 --> 1:14:21.093
<v Speaker 2>people that he refers to will be slow. Well, they're

1:14:21.093 --> 1:14:25.413
<v Speaker 2>slow learners. And as the likes of Toyota, I guess

1:14:25.493 --> 1:14:28.813
<v Speaker 2>and others make the changes, and there's any number of

1:14:28.813 --> 1:14:33.013
<v Speaker 2>them now and growing, those who live in ignorance in

1:14:33.053 --> 1:14:37.013
<v Speaker 2>this country will pay the price. Now, Craig, I've got

1:14:37.093 --> 1:14:41.053
<v Speaker 2>your email on COVID. I have not had a well,

1:14:41.053 --> 1:14:43.533
<v Speaker 2>I only just got it. I haven't actually read it,

1:14:43.573 --> 1:14:48.213
<v Speaker 2>but I've grasped that it's a sensitive email. I will

1:14:48.213 --> 1:14:53.093
<v Speaker 2>give it to you consideration. Thank you now from Murray again,

1:14:53.133 --> 1:14:55.373
<v Speaker 2>thanks for your excellent work. I still listen every week,

1:14:55.533 --> 1:14:59.333
<v Speaker 2>and so you should. Doctor Merrick was a name that

1:14:59.493 --> 1:15:02.653
<v Speaker 2>harked back to when I first became a fully fledged

1:15:02.693 --> 1:15:07.453
<v Speaker 2>conspiracy theorist in twenty twenty. Along with Robert Malone, doctor McCulloch,

1:15:07.613 --> 1:15:11.253
<v Speaker 2>doctor Kouri and others. These guys were the heroes, truth

1:15:11.373 --> 1:15:14.333
<v Speaker 2>being too important for them to follow the money and

1:15:14.413 --> 1:15:16.693
<v Speaker 2>Guy Hatchett and New Zealand also should take a bow.

1:15:17.893 --> 1:15:20.413
<v Speaker 2>My horror at how everything went upside down in my

1:15:20.493 --> 1:15:23.573
<v Speaker 2>home country was a lesson that I didn't really want.

1:15:23.853 --> 1:15:27.853
<v Speaker 2>But as they say, you can't unsee these things. New

1:15:27.933 --> 1:15:31.893
<v Speaker 2>Zealand's terrible authoritarian labor government, what they did for the

1:15:31.893 --> 1:15:35.253
<v Speaker 2>country and certainly for me, or did to the country.

1:15:35.293 --> 1:15:37.613
<v Speaker 2>You might say. I still follow the news from my

1:15:37.853 --> 1:15:40.533
<v Speaker 2>new home in Australia, and it's not with pleasure that

1:15:40.613 --> 1:15:43.333
<v Speaker 2>I see the media continue to follow the path that

1:15:43.413 --> 1:15:47.293
<v Speaker 2>they have been on. I do hope that the natsen

1:15:47.373 --> 1:15:51.533
<v Speaker 2>act and NZF the Coalition find good common ground and

1:15:51.693 --> 1:15:55.093
<v Speaker 2>stick to their guns. The labor of mob in Australia

1:15:55.173 --> 1:15:58.173
<v Speaker 2>is similar to the adern mob and almost as inept.

1:15:58.653 --> 1:16:01.653
<v Speaker 2>They also have the taxpayer fund at ABC to do

1:16:01.733 --> 1:16:04.893
<v Speaker 2>their media bidding. It looks like the worst excesses of

1:16:04.933 --> 1:16:09.653
<v Speaker 2>neo Marxism are only getting worse, with the ABC concocting

1:16:09.733 --> 1:16:13.933
<v Speaker 2>a scurlous hit job on Australian Defense Force soldiers. Thank

1:16:13.973 --> 1:16:17.933
<v Speaker 2>goodness for Sky News Australia via YouTube. Who I would

1:16:17.973 --> 1:16:22.693
<v Speaker 2>recommend to your listeners. I like your idea of recommended

1:16:22.733 --> 1:16:25.853
<v Speaker 2>reading and I appreciate that. And there to be more today.

1:16:26.173 --> 1:16:29.613
<v Speaker 2>Excellent guests, insightful interviewing Laton, thank you, Thank you, Marry.

1:16:31.653 --> 1:16:34.213
<v Speaker 4>Talking of people moving to the four corners of the world,

1:16:34.293 --> 1:16:40.773
<v Speaker 4>Greg is writing from Canada. His subject matter as woke Canada. Actually,

1:16:41.213 --> 1:16:44.173
<v Speaker 4>he says, I recently moved from christ Church to Toronto

1:16:44.413 --> 1:16:47.573
<v Speaker 4>with my family, and I can confirm Canada as drowning

1:16:47.613 --> 1:16:51.373
<v Speaker 4>and wokeness. For example, my youngest son came home from

1:16:51.453 --> 1:16:54.413
<v Speaker 4>school today and informed us they had someone come and

1:16:54.493 --> 1:16:58.893
<v Speaker 4>talk to them about the Canadian pronoun law. Apparently it's

1:16:58.933 --> 1:17:02.413
<v Speaker 4>an offense not to refer to someone by their chosen pronouns.

1:17:02.973 --> 1:17:05.253
<v Speaker 4>The one saving grace is that my son and his

1:17:05.373 --> 1:17:08.893
<v Speaker 4>mates thought it was ridiculous. Let's hope the next generation

1:17:09.093 --> 1:17:11.893
<v Speaker 4>can sort this nonsense out and get back to using

1:17:12.013 --> 1:17:17.013
<v Speaker 4>language as intended. It's interesting talking to everyday people. While

1:17:17.013 --> 1:17:19.653
<v Speaker 4>they tend to keep their opinions to themselves, people can

1:17:19.693 --> 1:17:22.733
<v Speaker 4>see the nonsense for what it is. By the way,

1:17:22.893 --> 1:17:25.973
<v Speaker 4>says Greg, we won't be staying long term. New Zealand

1:17:26.053 --> 1:17:28.813
<v Speaker 4>isn't as bad as we thought. That's nice to hear.

1:17:29.293 --> 1:17:31.613
<v Speaker 2>Well, not as bad as where you went. Maybe maybe

1:17:31.613 --> 1:17:35.813
<v Speaker 2>you made the wrong choice, just saying come home. It's

1:17:35.853 --> 1:17:43.453
<v Speaker 2>a great place now. From Eileen on the American elections opinion,

1:17:44.213 --> 1:17:50.053
<v Speaker 2>we're only one generation away from tyranny and totalitarianism. Who

1:17:50.093 --> 1:17:55.373
<v Speaker 2>said that, Ronald Reagan? How inspiring are Tampon Tim Walls?

1:17:55.573 --> 1:17:57.453
<v Speaker 2>And I can say that because as a woman that

1:17:57.493 --> 1:18:01.053
<v Speaker 2>wrote it. And America's beauty pageant contests and Kamala Harris

1:18:01.373 --> 1:18:06.093
<v Speaker 2>Kamala's girlish laughing and word Salard unburdening the burden is

1:18:06.133 --> 1:18:09.813
<v Speaker 2>alleged to be a Marxist saying she's a good looking girl.

1:18:09.813 --> 1:18:16.053
<v Speaker 2>Though really till he was telling Porky's about attending the

1:18:16.173 --> 1:18:21.573
<v Speaker 2>nineteen eighty ninety Animan Square protest question mark, God bless

1:18:21.613 --> 1:18:25.293
<v Speaker 2>America and God help America. On November five.

1:18:27.093 --> 1:18:29.653
<v Speaker 4>Ladon Olivia says, I think the world is waking up

1:18:29.653 --> 1:18:31.973
<v Speaker 4>to the fact that the Left has become the greatest

1:18:32.053 --> 1:18:36.813
<v Speaker 4>threat to the free world. Imaginable. They ruined everything. Few

1:18:36.853 --> 1:18:39.373
<v Speaker 4>people really understood that this was the way of things

1:18:39.453 --> 1:18:43.133
<v Speaker 4>until the COVID hoax transpired. The right went along with

1:18:43.213 --> 1:18:45.573
<v Speaker 4>all this. Two of course, they were not skeptical of

1:18:45.613 --> 1:18:48.973
<v Speaker 4>big Farmer, but or more so about media and government.

1:18:49.493 --> 1:18:52.973
<v Speaker 4>Yet on all things COVID related, chose to suddenly trust

1:18:53.053 --> 1:18:57.973
<v Speaker 4>both media's and government's total capitulation to one very lucrative

1:18:58.013 --> 1:19:02.373
<v Speaker 4>industry where the contracts were militantly hidden from all public

1:19:02.413 --> 1:19:04.613
<v Speaker 4>scrutiny and still are.

1:19:05.053 --> 1:19:09.413
<v Speaker 2>That's from Olivia, Good Olivia as always, although it's been

1:19:09.453 --> 1:19:14.293
<v Speaker 2>a while, there's no question that they're being uncovered the

1:19:14.333 --> 1:19:17.693
<v Speaker 2>woe plot all over the world. Wonder where they're going

1:19:17.693 --> 1:19:22.893
<v Speaker 2>to ban the internet, missus producer. And finally, I bought

1:19:22.933 --> 1:19:27.933
<v Speaker 2>a signed copy of Bibi my Story Benjamin Netanya Who's autobiography,

1:19:28.013 --> 1:19:30.533
<v Speaker 2>in the hopes that it will increase in value one day.

1:19:31.133 --> 1:19:35.493
<v Speaker 2>Given Ashley Rinsberg's positive assessment of the Israeli Prime Minister.

1:19:35.733 --> 1:19:39.613
<v Speaker 2>I'm hopeful, I'm not surprised that Benjamin Netanya, who's polling

1:19:39.693 --> 1:19:43.813
<v Speaker 2>as PM, has jumped ever since he decided to retaliate

1:19:43.933 --> 1:19:48.773
<v Speaker 2>hard against the damned hamas Hezbila and Iranian terrorists, with

1:19:49.013 --> 1:19:52.893
<v Speaker 2>or without the limp wristed Biden Harris America. Recently, I've

1:19:52.933 --> 1:19:55.773
<v Speaker 2>come to realize one thing. This world has only two

1:19:55.773 --> 1:19:58.853
<v Speaker 2>types of country leaders, the nice ones and the not

1:19:58.933 --> 1:20:02.413
<v Speaker 2>so nice ones. The nice ones always prioritize looking good

1:20:02.573 --> 1:20:05.773
<v Speaker 2>over the interests of their people. They always try to

1:20:05.773 --> 1:20:09.373
<v Speaker 2>be friend terrorists at great cost to their own. These

1:20:09.973 --> 1:20:13.013
<v Speaker 2>nice leaders always end up running their country down to

1:20:13.093 --> 1:20:16.933
<v Speaker 2>the ground by feeding their desire to please all the

1:20:16.973 --> 1:20:20.933
<v Speaker 2>wrong people. Examples of nice leaders include just Senda Adoern,

1:20:21.533 --> 1:20:25.933
<v Speaker 2>Justin Trudeau, Joe Biden, and Kamander Harris. Then there are

1:20:25.973 --> 1:20:28.893
<v Speaker 2>the not so nice leaders. These leaders prioritize the protection

1:20:29.013 --> 1:20:33.053
<v Speaker 2>of their country's interests over their own because they know

1:20:33.213 --> 1:20:36.173
<v Speaker 2>that if their country does well under their watch, they'll

1:20:36.213 --> 1:20:39.733
<v Speaker 2>be rewarded by the people. These not always nice leaders

1:20:40.173 --> 1:20:43.613
<v Speaker 2>don't be friend terrorists, they bomb them. Examples of not

1:20:43.653 --> 1:20:49.773
<v Speaker 2>so nice leaders include Benjamin Netting, Yahoo, Javille Miller, South America,

1:20:50.293 --> 1:20:54.373
<v Speaker 2>Donald Trump and JD. Vance and In less than thirty days,

1:20:54.373 --> 1:20:58.893
<v Speaker 2>America decides between a nice Harris and a not so

1:20:59.053 --> 1:21:02.893
<v Speaker 2>nice Trump. May God save America if they don't wish

1:21:02.973 --> 1:21:07.733
<v Speaker 2>to save themselves. Thank you, Jim Missus, producer, Thank you,

1:21:07.973 --> 1:21:27.293
<v Speaker 2>thank you. That was the mail room that was so

1:21:27.413 --> 1:21:29.693
<v Speaker 2>to Jeremy Clarkson and what we have in common. And

1:21:29.733 --> 1:21:31.893
<v Speaker 2>it's not the Farm. I bet you thought it was.

1:21:32.413 --> 1:21:36.053
<v Speaker 2>It's not. For years the well, the family and others

1:21:36.533 --> 1:21:40.493
<v Speaker 2>have been nagging me to watch Clarkson's Farm. I tried

1:21:40.533 --> 1:21:43.373
<v Speaker 2>it once and I couldn't last. And the only reason

1:21:43.533 --> 1:21:46.093
<v Speaker 2>I can put on it because everyone tells me how

1:21:46.173 --> 1:21:48.333
<v Speaker 2>good it is and how much I'd love it. The

1:21:48.373 --> 1:21:51.333
<v Speaker 2>only reason I can hold responsible for me not wanting

1:21:51.333 --> 1:21:55.413
<v Speaker 2>to watch it is that it makes me sad having

1:21:55.453 --> 1:21:58.013
<v Speaker 2>had one, having done all the things, driven the track,

1:21:58.053 --> 1:22:00.573
<v Speaker 2>that grown the grapes, played with the Chucks, and I

1:22:00.573 --> 1:22:03.293
<v Speaker 2>don't want to see somebody else doing it, had all

1:22:03.293 --> 1:22:06.573
<v Speaker 2>the experience, and it would make me sad and maybe

1:22:06.573 --> 1:22:10.373
<v Speaker 2>even shed a tear. So it's not that. No, it's

1:22:10.653 --> 1:22:16.653
<v Speaker 2>Jeremy Clarkson reviewing the merceds AMGGT sixty three. Now I

1:22:16.773 --> 1:22:19.973
<v Speaker 2>think it was the last. At the end of twenty eighteen,

1:22:20.053 --> 1:22:23.613
<v Speaker 2>just before Christmas and we finished of the program I

1:22:23.933 --> 1:22:27.533
<v Speaker 2>the radio program. I was asked what I wanted for Christmas.

1:22:27.733 --> 1:22:29.333
<v Speaker 2>Could have been the first year of the podcast, it

1:22:29.333 --> 1:22:32.453
<v Speaker 2>doesn't really matter it. Actually this is how it went.

1:22:32.973 --> 1:22:35.333
<v Speaker 2>I said, I wanted a V eight and it had

1:22:35.373 --> 1:22:38.733
<v Speaker 2>to be at least five liters, it had to be read,

1:22:39.453 --> 1:22:41.813
<v Speaker 2>it had to be an suv, and it had to

1:22:41.853 --> 1:22:44.813
<v Speaker 2>do not to one hundred and under five second. Well,

1:22:45.013 --> 1:22:48.493
<v Speaker 2>in the end, I got everything bar the V eight,

1:22:48.813 --> 1:22:54.373
<v Speaker 2>got the V six twin turbo Amgsuv and I love it.

1:22:54.813 --> 1:22:58.293
<v Speaker 2>So this is Jeremy Clarkson in the Mescedes AMGGT sixty

1:22:58.373 --> 1:23:02.533
<v Speaker 2>threes is in opening. When I put my foot down

1:23:02.773 --> 1:23:06.293
<v Speaker 2>in my supercharged F type Jaguar, I never think on

1:23:06.973 --> 1:23:10.573
<v Speaker 2>something's broken. To the accompaniment of a muted but rather

1:23:10.733 --> 1:23:13.573
<v Speaker 2>delicious rear end cackle, it sets off at a pace

1:23:13.653 --> 1:23:14.973
<v Speaker 2>you'd call exhilarating.

1:23:15.053 --> 1:23:15.733
<v Speaker 3>It's nice.

1:23:15.933 --> 1:23:18.933
<v Speaker 2>Some cars can't do this and they're boring, and some

1:23:19.013 --> 1:23:22.333
<v Speaker 2>can do more than this and they're silly. The first

1:23:22.333 --> 1:23:25.453
<v Speaker 2>car I drove with what I call silly performance was

1:23:25.493 --> 1:23:29.133
<v Speaker 2>the Ferrari five nine to nine gto. It was fine

1:23:29.253 --> 1:23:32.693
<v Speaker 2>on Ferrari's sunny test track in Italy, but in Scotland

1:23:33.253 --> 1:23:36.733
<v Speaker 2>where it's raining and there was sheep. I simply couldn't

1:23:36.733 --> 1:23:39.173
<v Speaker 2>put my food down hard in any of the first

1:23:39.213 --> 1:23:42.773
<v Speaker 2>four gears. It was just too terrifying. Then there was

1:23:42.813 --> 1:23:44.933
<v Speaker 2>the McLaren p one. He goes into a bit of

1:23:44.973 --> 1:23:48.293
<v Speaker 2>detail and from there he said, I'm often told by

1:23:48.333 --> 1:23:52.333
<v Speaker 2>planet enthusiasts that purely electrical cars can offer this level

1:23:52.333 --> 1:23:57.133
<v Speaker 2>of performance, but that's nonsense. EV's are like teenage boys,

1:23:57.613 --> 1:23:59.893
<v Speaker 2>lots of Well. I won't go into detail because this

1:23:59.973 --> 1:24:02.933
<v Speaker 2>is a family show, but I drove an EV for

1:24:02.973 --> 1:24:05.733
<v Speaker 2>the first time, the only time, when I had the

1:24:05.773 --> 1:24:10.253
<v Speaker 2>car serviced about three months ago, and I have to

1:24:10.293 --> 1:24:15.613
<v Speaker 2>say it was fascinating, but I still don't want one anyway.

1:24:16.093 --> 1:24:20.253
<v Speaker 2>There's another problem with cars this fast. People adenoid people.

1:24:20.653 --> 1:24:23.573
<v Speaker 2>Ever since the invention of the internal combustion engine. They've

1:24:23.573 --> 1:24:26.053
<v Speaker 2>been in their villagers, hands on hips and dressed as

1:24:26.053 --> 1:24:30.053
<v Speaker 2>speed cameras asking loudly why cars can can ever go

1:24:30.253 --> 1:24:34.453
<v Speaker 2>faster than eighty k's an hour. And that's because that's

1:24:34.533 --> 1:24:38.013
<v Speaker 2>the speed limit. Do you hear? Now? Today these people

1:24:38.093 --> 1:24:40.853
<v Speaker 2>have developed a new technique. They get into their faceless

1:24:40.853 --> 1:24:46.533
<v Speaker 2>boxes and drive around unbelievably slowly. I came back from

1:24:46.573 --> 1:24:49.613
<v Speaker 2>somewhere last night. I don't know where it was, sirencestor.

1:24:50.253 --> 1:24:52.173
<v Speaker 2>Hang on, I'm going to go and check with missus producer.

1:24:52.333 --> 1:24:58.053
<v Speaker 2>She'd lived there somewhere. Okay, got it? Sirensster cr e

1:24:58.333 --> 1:25:02.093
<v Speaker 2>n ceest sirens sster Now if they had it with

1:25:02.333 --> 1:25:05.053
<v Speaker 2>an S at the front, it would have been easy,

1:25:05.453 --> 1:25:08.613
<v Speaker 2>Siren says. Anyway, we sorted them. So I I'm back

1:25:08.653 --> 1:25:11.373
<v Speaker 2>from the Siren Sister last night behind some kind of

1:25:11.413 --> 1:25:14.733
<v Speaker 2>Mercedes people carrier, and it never once on a beautiful

1:25:14.773 --> 1:25:18.933
<v Speaker 2>country road, exceeded fifty five k's and the break lights

1:25:18.933 --> 1:25:21.373
<v Speaker 2>flashed on and off so regularly that I began to

1:25:21.373 --> 1:25:24.053
<v Speaker 2>think that I was at a seventies rock gig. And

1:25:24.093 --> 1:25:25.733
<v Speaker 2>then this morning I latched onto the bank of an

1:25:25.813 --> 1:25:28.813
<v Speaker 2>MG going down the A forty at thirty ks an hour.

1:25:29.573 --> 1:25:32.733
<v Speaker 2>Dawdling has become a national pastime, and there was a

1:25:32.773 --> 1:25:35.773
<v Speaker 2>time when even the littlest old lady cruised down the

1:25:35.853 --> 1:25:39.733
<v Speaker 2>road a road like this at ninety Not only more

1:25:40.333 --> 1:25:43.573
<v Speaker 2>and this makes the idiotically fast cars even more soley

1:25:44.333 --> 1:25:47.453
<v Speaker 2>as it's no longer the case that you aren't allowed

1:25:47.493 --> 1:25:50.973
<v Speaker 2>to drive them quickly. You actually can't, and you can't

1:25:51.013 --> 1:25:53.853
<v Speaker 2>overtake because there's always a cyclist coming the other way.

1:25:54.413 --> 1:25:56.933
<v Speaker 2>All of which brings me to the new Mercedes AMG

1:25:57.253 --> 1:26:02.773
<v Speaker 2>GT sixty three new questioned mark. It doesn't look it.

1:26:02.773 --> 1:26:05.973
<v Speaker 2>It looks pretty much identical to the old GT sixty three,

1:26:06.773 --> 1:26:10.413
<v Speaker 2>but it isn't. A very panel is different and now

1:26:10.413 --> 1:26:12.653
<v Speaker 2>there are two seats in the back and four wheel drive.

1:26:12.813 --> 1:26:16.293
<v Speaker 2>Plus it's bigger, much bigger. Parking will be an issue,

1:26:16.333 --> 1:26:19.733
<v Speaker 2>I can assure you. And there's more. The gearbox is

1:26:19.773 --> 1:26:22.773
<v Speaker 2>no longer at the other end of the prop shaft.

1:26:23.013 --> 1:26:26.253
<v Speaker 2>It's attached to the engine, and the anti roll bars

1:26:26.253 --> 1:26:29.333
<v Speaker 2>are being replaced by electronics, so they won't work after

1:26:29.373 --> 1:26:32.893
<v Speaker 2>a while if you want everything to not work. There's

1:26:32.973 --> 1:26:38.613
<v Speaker 2>even a hybrid version with fewer carbon dioxides the Mercedes

1:26:38.773 --> 1:26:43.413
<v Speaker 2>AMGGT sixty three dash. The car I drove was the

1:26:43.733 --> 1:26:47.653
<v Speaker 2>Premium Plus, which costs one hundred and sixty five thousand

1:26:47.813 --> 1:26:50.813
<v Speaker 2>pounds in the UK, and I must say it feels

1:26:50.933 --> 1:26:53.613
<v Speaker 2>like it should be more. It also feels like the

1:26:53.773 --> 1:26:58.333
<v Speaker 2>engine is more powerful than it is because it's silly fast,

1:26:58.893 --> 1:27:04.693
<v Speaker 2>scary fast. It's also loud, loud, like AMG Merks used

1:27:04.693 --> 1:27:07.173
<v Speaker 2>to be when I was one of their most passionate customers.

1:27:07.573 --> 1:27:11.933
<v Speaker 2>This car the growl of a bear called thunderstorm. It's

1:27:11.973 --> 1:27:15.853
<v Speaker 2>a wondrous noise. And yet when you dig into the stats,

1:27:15.933 --> 1:27:18.333
<v Speaker 2>you discover that the engine is not as the badge

1:27:18.333 --> 1:27:21.013
<v Speaker 2>would imply, a six point three liter of the eight.

1:27:21.853 --> 1:27:25.173
<v Speaker 2>It's a twin turbo four liter, just like mine, and

1:27:25.333 --> 1:27:28.493
<v Speaker 2>it only produces four hundred and thirty kilowatts. It feels

1:27:28.813 --> 1:27:31.853
<v Speaker 2>like a lot more. Maybe it's because the car is

1:27:32.053 --> 1:27:36.253
<v Speaker 2>so huge. It's as though someone has fitted after burners

1:27:36.333 --> 1:27:40.493
<v Speaker 2>to Yorkshire Mercedi says the car hits one hundred k's

1:27:40.533 --> 1:27:42.893
<v Speaker 2>in three point two seconds, but again, I'd bet it's

1:27:42.973 --> 1:27:46.653
<v Speaker 2>faster than that. The company also says it has limited

1:27:46.693 --> 1:27:49.653
<v Speaker 2>the top speed to three hundred and fifteen k's, which

1:27:49.733 --> 1:27:52.333
<v Speaker 2>brings me back to where I was. It's not the

1:27:52.413 --> 1:27:55.493
<v Speaker 2>electronics that keeps this car anchored in the real world.

1:27:56.253 --> 1:28:00.253
<v Speaker 2>It's the adenoidal clown in front and his horrible kiir.

1:28:01.213 --> 1:28:04.933
<v Speaker 2>You don't know precisely what adenoidal means. You can look

1:28:04.973 --> 1:28:07.893
<v Speaker 2>it up. It's not very kind. And then he goes

1:28:07.933 --> 1:28:11.013
<v Speaker 2>on with the cat of experiences about driving between the

1:28:11.773 --> 1:28:14.413
<v Speaker 2>farm and the pub, he says, but in the AMG

1:28:14.613 --> 1:28:17.653
<v Speaker 2>it was a constant frustration, because even the tractors were

1:28:17.733 --> 1:28:20.293
<v Speaker 2>being held up. Still, it gave me plenty of time

1:28:20.333 --> 1:28:22.613
<v Speaker 2>to think about other things, such as the meaning of life,

1:28:23.013 --> 1:28:25.573
<v Speaker 2>whether I could make it to the pub before mine ended,

1:28:26.133 --> 1:28:29.213
<v Speaker 2>and how lovely the dashboard was. I also noticed the

1:28:29.293 --> 1:28:33.453
<v Speaker 2>seats were superb, that the rear wheel steering wasn't too vicious,

1:28:34.013 --> 1:28:37.133
<v Speaker 2>and that the ride in comfort mode at least was

1:28:37.333 --> 1:28:40.813
<v Speaker 2>rather good, maybe because the front and back wheels are

1:28:40.893 --> 1:28:45.253
<v Speaker 2>so far apart. And then he concludes, ordinarily, using drapes

1:28:45.333 --> 1:28:47.893
<v Speaker 2>and tape to make a car bearable would cause me

1:28:47.973 --> 1:28:51.653
<v Speaker 2>the question to question the wisdom of buying it. And

1:28:51.733 --> 1:28:55.093
<v Speaker 2>I'd be similarly hesitant about buying all that power that

1:28:55.173 --> 1:28:57.413
<v Speaker 2>I could never use, especially as it comes in a

1:28:57.453 --> 1:29:02.933
<v Speaker 2>package that's only really parkable in Nevada. And yet this

1:29:03.133 --> 1:29:06.613
<v Speaker 2>is the first fast Mercedes I've driven in a very

1:29:06.693 --> 1:29:10.893
<v Speaker 2>long time that I've truly enjoyed. It's mad and completely

1:29:10.933 --> 1:29:13.373
<v Speaker 2>out of tune with the times, but I loved the

1:29:13.453 --> 1:29:17.173
<v Speaker 2>loudness and the unnecessariness of it all. Richard Hammond tells

1:29:17.253 --> 1:29:19.573
<v Speaker 2>me that he seriously thought about buying a GT, but

1:29:19.733 --> 1:29:23.453
<v Speaker 2>settled in the end for some kind of portion nine

1:29:23.493 --> 1:29:27.213
<v Speaker 2>to eleven. You made a mistake, mate. The Merks and

1:29:27.413 --> 1:29:32.213
<v Speaker 2>Absolute Belter details four liter of V eight twin turbo

1:29:32.293 --> 1:29:35.133
<v Speaker 2>petrol performance not to one hundred and three point two

1:29:35.173 --> 1:29:38.173
<v Speaker 2>seconds top speed, three hundred and fifteen k's price. The

1:29:38.293 --> 1:29:41.693
<v Speaker 2>GT sixty three series starts from three hundred and sixty

1:29:41.813 --> 1:29:47.173
<v Speaker 2>six thousand, five hundred Australian dollars and it still only

1:29:47.253 --> 1:29:53.493
<v Speaker 2>gets four stars, not five. So that's what Jeremy and

1:29:53.613 --> 1:29:57.853
<v Speaker 2>I have in common, a love for a particular Mercedes.

1:29:58.813 --> 1:30:01.573
<v Speaker 2>And I read no, I didn't. I watched a review

1:30:01.653 --> 1:30:04.293
<v Speaker 2>of the latest of my model, which is now three

1:30:04.373 --> 1:30:06.653
<v Speaker 2>years old, a couple of days ago, and I thought,

1:30:07.173 --> 1:30:09.613
<v Speaker 2>do I need that? The answer was no, I don't

1:30:09.693 --> 1:30:11.853
<v Speaker 2>need it. And besides that, it's got one of those

1:30:12.573 --> 1:30:16.253
<v Speaker 2>feral engines, which actually would save a lot of money.

1:30:16.733 --> 1:30:20.853
<v Speaker 2>I will probably just stick to the one I've got forever.

1:30:21.253 --> 1:30:23.653
<v Speaker 2>And the thought of the GT sixty three, and would

1:30:23.653 --> 1:30:26.413
<v Speaker 2>I could I afford it? If I started saving.

1:30:26.133 --> 1:30:26.613
<v Speaker 1>For it now?

1:30:27.533 --> 1:30:29.573
<v Speaker 2>It would be an antique car before I could buy it,

1:30:30.293 --> 1:30:33.333
<v Speaker 2>and that would mean that I wouldn't be here to

1:30:33.413 --> 1:30:40.573
<v Speaker 2>do it. So with all that in mind, that will

1:30:40.613 --> 1:30:43.533
<v Speaker 2>take us out for podcast Take us out for Podcasts

1:30:43.573 --> 1:30:46.973
<v Speaker 2>two hundred and fifty nine. If you would like to

1:30:47.053 --> 1:30:49.653
<v Speaker 2>comment on anything that's in the podcast, please do so.

1:30:50.773 --> 1:30:54.413
<v Speaker 2>We enjoy it, complimentary or critical, and you can write

1:30:54.453 --> 1:30:58.293
<v Speaker 2>too Leyton at NEWSTALKSB dot co dot Nz, Latin at

1:30:58.373 --> 1:31:00.933
<v Speaker 2>NEWSTALKSB dot co dot Nz, or Carolyn with a y

1:31:01.133 --> 1:31:04.933
<v Speaker 2>at NEWSTALKSB dot co dot Nz send the send the

1:31:04.973 --> 1:31:09.373
<v Speaker 2>complaints to her. This is the official complaints handler. So

1:31:09.573 --> 1:31:13.573
<v Speaker 2>we shall return shortly with podcast number two hundred and sixty.

1:31:13.933 --> 1:31:17.093
<v Speaker 2>In the meantime, thank you for listening to us always,

1:31:17.773 --> 1:31:18.933
<v Speaker 2>and we shall talk soon.

1:31:26.773 --> 1:31:29.813
<v Speaker 3>Thank you for more from News Talks at B.

1:31:30.093 --> 1:31:33.333
<v Speaker 1>Listen live on air or online, and keep our shows

1:31:33.373 --> 1:31:36.653
<v Speaker 1>with you wherever you go with our podcasts on iHeartRadio