1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:02,520 Speaker 1: Reserve Bank ounting today one last hurrah for the year. 2 00:00:02,560 --> 00:00:04,040 Speaker 1: It has a certain night thing, it's got a certain 3 00:00:04,040 --> 00:00:06,760 Speaker 1: anti climax about it doesn't it's probably twenty five points. 4 00:00:06,920 --> 00:00:09,080 Speaker 1: Twenty five points is priced in by just about everyone. 5 00:00:09,080 --> 00:00:11,760 Speaker 1: I mean, there's a chance at zero and next to 6 00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:14,319 Speaker 1: no one says it's fifty. And for metrics. Last week, 7 00:00:14,360 --> 00:00:16,599 Speaker 1: by the way, had the Q three GDP number at 8 00:00:16,680 --> 00:00:18,960 Speaker 1: zero point nine percent, And I'm told the Q two 9 00:00:19,040 --> 00:00:21,440 Speaker 1: number is going to be revised up, which means if 10 00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:23,160 Speaker 1: you add all that to the Q one number, where 11 00:00:23,160 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 1: actually we've actually had a pretty decent year. What are 12 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:28,440 Speaker 1: you mad? How can you say that? I hear you say, well, 13 00:00:28,480 --> 00:00:31,080 Speaker 1: don't you the messenger? These are either facts or expert predictions. 14 00:00:31,120 --> 00:00:33,519 Speaker 1: Either way, they're on the right side of the equation. 15 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:35,800 Speaker 1: The point being that's the sort of thing the Reserve 16 00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:39,120 Speaker 1: Bank looks at, is inflation in its box. Well, it's 17 00:00:39,120 --> 00:00:41,239 Speaker 1: a smidge high given it's three percent, so right at 18 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:43,840 Speaker 1: the very top end, but technically still within the zero 19 00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:46,440 Speaker 1: to three range. If we cut further, they will ask 20 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:48,880 Speaker 1: do we risk driving that number a little bit higher 21 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:52,239 Speaker 1: through increased bullishness and spending? Quite possibly? Now I'm not 22 00:00:52,280 --> 00:00:54,560 Speaker 1: personally arguing for a hold, But if you want to 23 00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:56,520 Speaker 1: toss a few ideas about the place that isn't a 24 00:00:56,560 --> 00:00:58,760 Speaker 1: bad one, a case can be made for holding, for 25 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 1: saying inflation is there or thereabouts, and that the economy 26 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:03,720 Speaker 1: has got no shortage of green shoots, and twenty six 27 00:01:03,800 --> 00:01:07,880 Speaker 1: looks okay, our job is done. The psychological advantage, no 28 00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:10,160 Speaker 1: matter what they do, is not to be underestimated either. 29 00:01:10,520 --> 00:01:13,680 Speaker 1: Is is this as good as it gets? As low 30 00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:15,320 Speaker 1: as they go, then a lot of people are going 31 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:17,800 Speaker 1: to start making decisions around money in mortgages, and a 32 00:01:17,800 --> 00:01:19,520 Speaker 1: lot of people have been holding. Of course, they've been 33 00:01:19,520 --> 00:01:22,040 Speaker 1: in the waiting place, and as doctor SEUs said, the 34 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:24,480 Speaker 1: waiting place is no place for you. In a funny way, 35 00:01:25,200 --> 00:01:27,680 Speaker 1: it might also shake us out of our funk. We're 36 00:01:27,680 --> 00:01:30,840 Speaker 1: disproportionately miserable, not because of reality, but because it's been 37 00:01:30,880 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 1: so bad and we need to kick up the backside 38 00:01:32,640 --> 00:01:34,760 Speaker 1: to get on with it. Maybe Christian Hawksby, in his 39 00:01:34,800 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 1: farewell Flourish, offers not just the twenty five points, but 40 00:01:37,600 --> 00:01:40,080 Speaker 1: a bit of uplifting hyperbole. As he steps out the door. 41 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:43,759 Speaker 1: They've cut six times this year. We could end twenty 42 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:45,680 Speaker 1: five at two point twenty five It started at four 43 00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:48,040 Speaker 1: point twenty five, shows you what a mess we've dealt with, 44 00:01:48,120 --> 00:01:51,840 Speaker 1: but I get the sense the page is turned for 45 00:01:51,960 --> 00:01:55,360 Speaker 1: more from the mic Asking breakfast listen live to news talks. 46 00:01:55,360 --> 00:01:58,560 Speaker 1: It'd be from six am weekdays, or follow the podcast 47 00:01:58,600 --> 00:01:59,480 Speaker 1: on iHeartRadio