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Speaker 1: As well as launched these new strikes and Gaza negotiations

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Speaker 1: for the past couple of weeks. We're going nowhere. Of course,

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Speaker 1: the international geopolitical analyst Jeffrey Miller is back with us.

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Speaker 1: Jeffrey morning, Good morning.

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Speaker 2: Mind.

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Speaker 1: This does have the same old, same old feel about it,

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Speaker 1: isn't It wasn't very hard to predict that Phase two

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Speaker 1: probably wasn't going to be a thing and the bombs

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Speaker 1: would start falling again. Where does this go? Do you reckon?

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Speaker 2: Yes? Look, the surprise really was that the cease fire

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Speaker 2: lasted as long as it did, almost two whole months,

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Speaker 2: and it was a success. It took Gaza off the

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Speaker 2: front pages for around eight weeks and we started looking

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Speaker 2: at tariffs and back to the war in Ukraine. But

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Speaker 2: now we're back at square one and it was the

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Speaker 2: deadiest twenty four hour period in the war since November

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Speaker 2: twenty twenty three, over four hundred kils. It's a desperately

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Speaker 2: sad situation and we absolutely need to keep applicating for

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Speaker 2: that ceasefire to be resumed because it's now looking increasingly grim.

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Speaker 2: Israel's Defense minister is promising the gates as Hell will

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Speaker 2: open if Hamas does not release the remaining twenty four

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Speaker 2: hostage and it could go from bad to words.

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Speaker 1: Is Israel right, give us the hostages and we've got

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Speaker 1: a deal, and they haven't handed over the hostages.

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Speaker 2: Well, look, the devil is always in the detail. There

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Speaker 2: has been some real success with the CSIRE since January,

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Speaker 2: you've had twenty five hostages released alive. I think the

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Speaker 2: correct approach would have been to continue negotiating and the

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Speaker 2: talks we're on going. The official first phase of the

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Speaker 2: CSIRE ended in the start of March, and since then

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Speaker 2: we've been in a holding period. But negotiations broke down

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Speaker 2: and Doha at the weekend over the extension of the Cespire.

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Speaker 2: Hamas wanted to move into phase two, Israel wanted to

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Speaker 2: extend phase one, and now Israel has just gone in

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Speaker 2: with a military approach. It's been greenlit by Donald Trump.

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Speaker 2: So Donald Trump deserved a lot of the credit for

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Speaker 2: bringing that Ceespire about in January, but he also deserves

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Speaker 2: the blame now for allowing this to happen. And ultimately

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Speaker 2: the only way through now here is through Donald Trump.

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Speaker 2: Donald Trump is incredibly powerful. We saw how Joe Biden

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Speaker 2: was very impotent when it came to gather and Niznyakho

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Speaker 2: did what he please. Trump does hold all the cards,

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Speaker 2: as he might say on Gaza.

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Speaker 1: At the moment, all R Jeffrey appreciate it Jeffrey Miller,

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Speaker 1: international geopolitical analyst, But he won't be feeling particularly good

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Speaker 1: about the phone calling. He might be a bit stretched.

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Speaker 1: I mean, there's only so many things you can promise

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Speaker 1: and eventually you got to deliver it.

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Speaker 2: For more from the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to

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Speaker 2: news talks. It'd be from six am weekdays, or follow

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Speaker 2: the podcast on iHeartRadio