1 00:00:00,360 --> 00:00:03,120 Speaker 1: Ryan Bridge nineteen after six News Talk c e B 2 00:00:03,440 --> 00:00:06,200 Speaker 1: chained solies with a harbor asset management, Shane good evening, 3 00:00:06,760 --> 00:00:09,240 Speaker 1: get a Ryan great to have you on, Hey good day. 4 00:00:09,320 --> 00:00:11,920 Speaker 1: For a two their share price was it almost twenty 5 00:00:11,960 --> 00:00:12,880 Speaker 1: percent today? Up? 6 00:00:13,160 --> 00:00:15,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's right. It was a real ripper, and it's 7 00:00:15,480 --> 00:00:18,000 Speaker 2: about it's been a tough run for a two. They've 8 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:21,680 Speaker 2: probably been battling a really modest Chinese and they're keeping 9 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:25,840 Speaker 2: is in for formula being sold into China. They beat 10 00:00:26,239 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 2: expectations pretty handling more than ten percent above expectations, really 11 00:00:30,000 --> 00:00:32,760 Speaker 2: driven by better revenue and margin, and they're upgraded for 12 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:34,960 Speaker 2: next year as well, and they've talked about a dividend, 13 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:38,440 Speaker 2: So you're really about them doing their thing, picking up 14 00:00:38,479 --> 00:00:42,080 Speaker 2: share in the Chinese info formula market. Those Chinese birth 15 00:00:42,159 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 2: rates still yet to show recovery, and they talked about 16 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:47,320 Speaker 2: being on track to be making two billion dollars by 17 00:00:47,320 --> 00:00:49,800 Speaker 2: twenty twenty six with their new product launches and supply 18 00:00:49,880 --> 00:00:53,440 Speaker 2: chain improvement. So yeah, market got pretty excited up just 19 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:54,320 Speaker 2: under twenty percent. 20 00:00:55,600 --> 00:00:59,480 Speaker 1: Mixed results from the electricity generators. Is this the you know, 21 00:00:59,520 --> 00:01:02,800 Speaker 1: the price fights and the wholesale rates, the impact of 22 00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:03,640 Speaker 1: dry weather. 23 00:01:04,120 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, look, you've knowed it. Today was very much about 24 00:01:07,280 --> 00:01:10,560 Speaker 2: both Manowa and Contact Energy came out with some of 25 00:01:10,600 --> 00:01:13,960 Speaker 2: little below expectations that was about this dry weather and 26 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:17,960 Speaker 2: impact on generation, and so we have seen both companies 27 00:01:17,959 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 2: come out with yes guidance for Contact that was saying 28 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:23,840 Speaker 2: financial year twenty k twenty six, we're going to be 29 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:25,840 Speaker 2: a little bit sort of more cautious. So maybe a 30 00:01:25,880 --> 00:01:29,000 Speaker 2: bit of conservatism, but certainly that dry weather we've been 31 00:01:29,040 --> 00:01:30,360 Speaker 2: seeing coming back to buy. 32 00:01:31,400 --> 00:01:34,400 Speaker 1: Share prices for I mean, this is the problem, isn't 33 00:01:34,400 --> 00:01:36,640 Speaker 1: it If your company, if your business is exposed to 34 00:01:36,840 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 1: the New Zealand economy, you know you have been in 35 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:42,479 Speaker 1: a bit of trouble. 36 00:01:43,280 --> 00:01:47,319 Speaker 2: Yeah, it has been tough, but we're actually seeing a 37 00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:49,560 Speaker 2: number of companies starting to talk about green shoots. We 38 00:01:49,600 --> 00:01:51,760 Speaker 2: saw this last week with Bulk and Steel, when today 39 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:55,280 Speaker 2: we've had Freightways come out with a similar comment that 40 00:01:55,640 --> 00:01:57,680 Speaker 2: you know, while things have been tough, they're seeing things 41 00:01:57,720 --> 00:02:00,600 Speaker 2: get less tough. We're seeing a bit of buying for 42 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:03,920 Speaker 2: companies that are exposed to New zeal economy, things like Spark, 43 00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:07,080 Speaker 2: mu Zeum, the Telco, the Telecom mu Zeon, Fletcher Building 44 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 2: seeing a bit of a recovery. Some of it's about 45 00:02:09,680 --> 00:02:12,880 Speaker 2: as say, these better numbers coming from companies recently Freightways 46 00:02:12,880 --> 00:02:17,919 Speaker 2: of Vulcan, but also anticipating the Reserve Bank statement this Wednesday, 47 00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 2: where the markets expecting another rate cut. We've seen this before, 48 00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:24,600 Speaker 2: Ryan back in twenty eight twenty nineteen. Takes New Zealand 49 00:02:24,600 --> 00:02:27,000 Speaker 2: Mark a little bit of time to respond to rate cups. 50 00:02:27,639 --> 00:02:27,760 Speaker 1: You know. 51 00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:29,679 Speaker 2: First that we had to roll is this period of 52 00:02:29,720 --> 00:02:32,880 Speaker 2: slow ecin on their activity before the lower rates kicking. 53 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:35,200 Speaker 2: And we're seeing that now, so we might be seeing 54 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:37,359 Speaker 2: the green shoots coming through. They still need to grow 55 00:02:37,360 --> 00:02:40,040 Speaker 2: a bit to really support company returns, but we're seeing 56 00:02:40,080 --> 00:02:42,520 Speaker 2: a lot more interests back in New Zealand companies listed 57 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:43,240 Speaker 2: on the share market. 58 00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 1: The share price for several Aussie banks that are listed 59 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 1: here on our stock exchange a week today. What's behind that? 60 00:02:49,680 --> 00:02:53,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, look we saw Duell listed, am Z and Westpac. 61 00:02:54,000 --> 00:02:55,760 Speaker 2: This share prices is a bit weaker today. So they're 62 00:02:55,760 --> 00:02:58,040 Speaker 2: listed on the New Zealand market and the Australian market. 63 00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:01,040 Speaker 2: And what we saw was Westpac released corterly update. There 64 00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:05,560 Speaker 2: was wicked and expected when it comes back to the 65 00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 2: profit guidance for this first quarter is not enough to 66 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:11,840 Speaker 2: meet expectations. A couple of things behind that hard to 67 00:03:11,880 --> 00:03:14,200 Speaker 2: believe for some, but their need interest margins were lower 68 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:16,440 Speaker 2: than expected, so they're not making as much on their 69 00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:19,600 Speaker 2: lending as they previously did. And their revenue run rate 70 00:03:19,680 --> 00:03:22,560 Speaker 2: so the rate of new mortgages and so forth to 71 00:03:22,600 --> 00:03:25,480 Speaker 2: writing not quite heading expectations there. Only good news really 72 00:03:25,560 --> 00:03:27,799 Speaker 2: was cost coming in a bit LOWO. So yep, that 73 00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:30,680 Speaker 2: dragged the banks down and dragged down aims in respect 74 00:03:30,680 --> 00:03:31,560 Speaker 2: that are listed on the new. 75 00:03:31,440 --> 00:03:34,080 Speaker 1: Is our market Shane, Thank you so much for that. 76 00:03:34,120 --> 00:03:36,160 Speaker 1: Great to have you on as always, that is Shane 77 00:03:36,160 --> 00:03:38,880 Speaker 1: solely Harbor Asset Management with your market update for the seven. 78 00:03:39,600 --> 00:03:42,760 Speaker 1: For more from Heather Duplessy Allen Drive, listen live to 79 00:03:42,880 --> 00:03:45,920 Speaker 1: news Talks it'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow 80 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:47,720 Speaker 1: the podcast on iHeartRadio