1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,040 Speaker 1: It's the triaffect of the GOP. They would in the 2 00:00:02,040 --> 00:00:04,200 Speaker 1: White House take control of the center, most likely hold 3 00:00:04,200 --> 00:00:06,320 Speaker 1: the House. I think we can almost confirm that President 4 00:00:06,320 --> 00:00:08,440 Speaker 1: Eliz says it will be a golden age for America. 5 00:00:08,520 --> 00:00:11,399 Speaker 1: The Republican Party's form of communications director Doug hayesback with 6 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:12,280 Speaker 1: this morning. 7 00:00:12,039 --> 00:00:13,239 Speaker 2: Good morning, good to be with you. 8 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:15,640 Speaker 1: What's your seen? Some of what is number will eventually 9 00:00:15,680 --> 00:00:17,599 Speaker 1: be I've got them in the low threes three o 10 00:00:17,720 --> 00:00:19,799 Speaker 1: eight sort of twenty sixteen. Ibergain, isn't it. 11 00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:23,400 Speaker 2: I mean, if I'm honest, I've stopped looking once it 12 00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:26,720 Speaker 2: got to two seventy. What I've seen has been a 13 00:00:26,800 --> 00:00:29,960 Speaker 2: dramatic shift, though not just in the states that we 14 00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:33,080 Speaker 2: all focused on, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, you know, et cetera. 15 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:35,559 Speaker 2: It's also been a shift in a lot of the 16 00:00:35,600 --> 00:00:39,280 Speaker 2: blue states, you know, states that were on nobody's radar screen, 17 00:00:39,320 --> 00:00:41,280 Speaker 2: which tells you a whole lot about how the country 18 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:44,879 Speaker 2: has changed and is changing. So New Jersey nobody was 19 00:00:44,920 --> 00:00:48,720 Speaker 2: talking about. Donald Trump lost it by four points as 20 00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:52,440 Speaker 2: opposed to sixteen points last time, Connecticut eight points this 21 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:56,040 Speaker 2: time as opposed to twenty last time, Maryland twenty two 22 00:00:56,040 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 2: as opposed to thirty three. We're seeing a huge shift 23 00:01:00,240 --> 00:01:04,280 Speaker 2: in to the right throughout the country. And you know, 24 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:07,480 Speaker 2: New York State is a good example. Trump lost the 25 00:01:07,520 --> 00:01:10,440 Speaker 2: state by twelve points, he lost it by twenty three 26 00:01:11,640 --> 00:01:14,399 Speaker 2: last time, and Kamala Harris is on track for the 27 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:17,640 Speaker 2: worst performance in New York City since nineteen ninety two. 28 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:20,839 Speaker 2: So it's not just about electoral votes. It's a shift 29 00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:21,640 Speaker 2: within the country. 30 00:01:21,800 --> 00:01:24,480 Speaker 1: New York got me as well. They hate him, they 31 00:01:24,520 --> 00:01:27,119 Speaker 1: indict them, but whoop, snow he don't will vote for him? 32 00:01:27,160 --> 00:01:27,959 Speaker 1: How does that work? 33 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:32,480 Speaker 2: Well, look, he still lost the state, but clearly, especially 34 00:01:32,480 --> 00:01:35,040 Speaker 2: if you look at New York City, those outer bureaus 35 00:01:35,840 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 2: that tend to be more heavily Hispanic where Trump has 36 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:42,520 Speaker 2: absolutely overperformed, they voted for him, I have no doubt. 37 00:01:42,720 --> 00:01:46,280 Speaker 2: And Jewish voters certainly voted for Trump at a higher level. 38 00:01:46,319 --> 00:01:48,800 Speaker 2: He clearly lost Manhattan. I don't think there's any doubt 39 00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 2: about that. But it tells us that there's real shifts 40 00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:55,720 Speaker 2: happening within the country throughout the country. And it's not 41 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 2: just here outside of Pennsylvania, or outside of Philadelphia or 42 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:03,480 Speaker 2: or suburban Charlotte. It's almost everywhere in the country. 43 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 1: His campaign this time was much more disciplined and professional. 44 00:02:07,240 --> 00:02:10,079 Speaker 1: I thought, is his presidency the same. 45 00:02:11,240 --> 00:02:15,320 Speaker 2: Well, we have to see who he hires. He started 46 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:17,800 Speaker 2: with a very professional team in his early days at 47 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:20,840 Speaker 2: the White House, with Ryan's previous and Sean Spice are 48 00:02:20,880 --> 00:02:24,040 Speaker 2: being two of the most prominent examples, and they didn't 49 00:02:24,080 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 2: last very long. And you know, you're going to have 50 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:29,200 Speaker 2: a surge of people trying to go into this administration, 51 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:31,360 Speaker 2: but they also need to go in with their eyes 52 00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:34,520 Speaker 2: wide open of what happened to the previous team. If 53 00:02:34,560 --> 00:02:36,519 Speaker 2: you were a press secretary or a chief of staff 54 00:02:36,600 --> 00:02:40,880 Speaker 2: or other prominent roles, your life expectancy was similar to 55 00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:44,520 Speaker 2: a spinal tap drummer. You might spontaneously combust at some point, 56 00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:47,400 Speaker 2: and certainly people going in are going to be mindful 57 00:02:47,440 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 2: of that this time. 58 00:02:49,040 --> 00:02:51,240 Speaker 1: How do the do the Democrats? Let me put it 59 00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:55,480 Speaker 1: this way, do the Democrats have the wherewithal to understand 60 00:02:55,520 --> 00:02:58,400 Speaker 1: how badly they've misriad this and to fix it and 61 00:02:58,480 --> 00:03:01,760 Speaker 1: be competitive in twenty eight Not well. 62 00:03:01,600 --> 00:03:04,680 Speaker 2: The wherewithal to understand it absolutely, the willingness to do 63 00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:07,520 Speaker 2: something about it may be a very different question, and 64 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:10,920 Speaker 2: part of that is one of the reasons that Kamala 65 00:03:10,960 --> 00:03:13,440 Speaker 2: Harris lost wasn't because of anything she said in the 66 00:03:13,480 --> 00:03:16,000 Speaker 2: last couple of weeks. It's because she lost in twenty 67 00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:20,040 Speaker 2: nineteen when she took very far left positions to try 68 00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:22,480 Speaker 2: and flank to the left to win the primary, which 69 00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:25,240 Speaker 2: she obviously didn't do. Those came back to bid her. 70 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:29,320 Speaker 2: And when we see what looks at as happened with 71 00:03:29,480 --> 00:03:33,399 Speaker 2: Hispanic voters, certainly rule voters. They're moving more to the right, 72 00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 2: which means they're rejecting the more far left policies that 73 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:40,560 Speaker 2: are coming from the Democrats, and they're willing to say, listen, 74 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:42,520 Speaker 2: I don't like Donald Trump, per se. I don't like 75 00:03:42,600 --> 00:03:44,600 Speaker 2: some of the crazy things he says. He goes off 76 00:03:44,600 --> 00:03:47,760 Speaker 2: the rails sometimes. But what Democrats are doing in policy 77 00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:50,480 Speaker 2: I'm fundamentally opposed to. And that's part of the decision 78 00:03:50,520 --> 00:03:50,960 Speaker 2: they made. 79 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 1: Where do you reckon? The Trump victory sits in the 80 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:57,720 Speaker 1: annals of history A term, a loss, a term. How 81 00:03:57,760 --> 00:03:58,400 Speaker 1: does that work? 82 00:03:59,480 --> 00:04:03,720 Speaker 2: Well, it's happened once before with Grover Cleveland. I look 83 00:04:03,760 --> 00:04:07,440 Speaker 2: at this election in terms of nineteen eighty. When Ronald 84 00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:10,839 Speaker 2: Reagan won one in nineteen eighty, it was a generational 85 00:04:10,920 --> 00:04:15,440 Speaker 2: shift and really propelled our politics for a long time. 86 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:18,719 Speaker 2: The movement that we saw on the ground tells us 87 00:04:18,800 --> 00:04:23,000 Speaker 2: with rule voters, especially with Hispanic voters, Trump is probably 88 00:04:23,040 --> 00:04:25,960 Speaker 2: going to do better with Hispanic voters than any Republican ever. 89 00:04:26,560 --> 00:04:28,960 Speaker 2: And given everything that we've heard about immigration over the 90 00:04:28,960 --> 00:04:33,240 Speaker 2: past year, the people who think they know everything would 91 00:04:33,240 --> 00:04:36,320 Speaker 2: tell you that's impossible. But the reality is Hispanic voters 92 00:04:36,360 --> 00:04:38,520 Speaker 2: also care about a secure border, right, just like they 93 00:04:38,520 --> 00:04:41,359 Speaker 2: care about jobs in the economy and so forth. They 94 00:04:41,400 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 2: don't want to be called Latin X. They just want 95 00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:46,680 Speaker 2: a job that provides for their family, a secure border 96 00:04:46,680 --> 00:04:50,039 Speaker 2: and low crime and all of those things. Trump was 97 00:04:50,080 --> 00:04:53,040 Speaker 2: able to speak to those voters, and that's something that 98 00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:56,040 Speaker 2: Democrats are going to have to reckon with for a 99 00:04:56,080 --> 00:04:58,760 Speaker 2: long time. They could have a very good twenty twenty 100 00:04:58,800 --> 00:05:01,960 Speaker 2: six that sort of happened. There's a rebound Republicans certainly 101 00:05:02,000 --> 00:05:05,000 Speaker 2: did in twenty ten after Barack Obama's win in two 102 00:05:05,040 --> 00:05:08,839 Speaker 2: thousand and eight. But there's something generally generationally that's happening 103 00:05:08,920 --> 00:05:12,359 Speaker 2: on the ground, and that's what Democrats need to not 104 00:05:12,440 --> 00:05:14,960 Speaker 2: only reckon with and realize, but work to fix. 105 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:16,560 Speaker 1: Oh it's good to have you on the program. Doug 106 00:05:16,600 --> 00:05:19,320 Speaker 1: Doug Hay, form of Communications directed for the Republican Party. 107 00:05:19,760 --> 00:05:22,640 Speaker 2: For more from the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to 108 00:05:22,760 --> 00:05:23,320 Speaker 2: news talks. 109 00:05:23,320 --> 00:05:26,520 Speaker 1: It'd be from six am weekdays, or follow the podcast 110 00:05:26,560 --> 00:05:27,440 Speaker 1: on iHeartRadio