1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,040 Speaker 1: It has been a brilliant week for our dairy farmers. 2 00:00:02,040 --> 00:00:04,600 Speaker 1: Fonterra has delivered a bumper first half result with net 3 00:00:04,600 --> 00:00:06,880 Speaker 1: profit up to seven hundred and twenty nine million dollars, 4 00:00:07,240 --> 00:00:09,560 Speaker 1: a dividend of twenty two cents a share will be paid, 5 00:00:09,600 --> 00:00:11,920 Speaker 1: and the midpoint milk price is still at ten bucks 6 00:00:11,960 --> 00:00:15,520 Speaker 1: a kilo. Chair Federated Farmers Dairy Industry Group, Richard McIntyre 7 00:00:15,720 --> 00:00:19,639 Speaker 1: is with us. Good morning, Richard, good morning. So is 8 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:22,840 Speaker 1: the mood the vibe on the farm shifting to something 9 00:00:22,880 --> 00:00:24,000 Speaker 1: a little bit more positive? 10 00:00:25,320 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, farmers are, or dairy farmers are a lot more 11 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:30,480 Speaker 2: optimistic at the moment. You know. Obviously we've got a 12 00:00:30,520 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 2: few that are going through a drought at the moment 13 00:00:32,120 --> 00:00:34,879 Speaker 2: in the Northoland, but a lot of it rain over 14 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:37,720 Speaker 2: the last three days, which is sitting void spirits a 15 00:00:37,720 --> 00:00:39,320 Speaker 2: little bit in that respect. But look, you know, a 16 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:41,720 Speaker 2: ten to a milk price is great. You know. The 17 00:00:41,720 --> 00:00:45,159 Speaker 2: fact that's becoming more and more certain is really really positive. 18 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:46,880 Speaker 2: And we're hearing a lot of talk about attend to 19 00:00:46,920 --> 00:00:49,760 Speaker 2: a milk price for next season as well, which is awesome. 20 00:00:50,240 --> 00:00:52,600 Speaker 2: So the break even milk price is sitting at around 21 00:00:52,600 --> 00:00:54,640 Speaker 2: eight dollars fifty at the moment, so it's still really high, 22 00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:59,360 Speaker 2: but there's still a reasonable margin there for the average farmer. 23 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 2: A lot of talking about, you know, paying down some debt, 24 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:04,800 Speaker 2: you know, a lot of accumulated some debt over the 25 00:01:04,880 --> 00:01:08,000 Speaker 2: last few years to paying that down, some deferred maintenance 26 00:01:08,440 --> 00:01:10,959 Speaker 2: or some capital projects. And probably you know, for the 27 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:13,280 Speaker 2: first time in quite a while, I'm hearing a lot 28 00:01:13,280 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 2: of farmers starting to ask but a few questions and 29 00:01:16,040 --> 00:01:18,959 Speaker 2: talk about what they could or should invest in their 30 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:21,600 Speaker 2: farm that will future proof it for the next ten 31 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:24,240 Speaker 2: to twenty years. So you know, that is awesome. 32 00:01:24,400 --> 00:01:25,319 Speaker 1: What is the answer to that? 33 00:01:26,920 --> 00:01:29,720 Speaker 2: Look, it really depends on the farm and this situation. 34 00:01:29,880 --> 00:01:32,560 Speaker 2: You know, there are a lot of improvements that can 35 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:36,080 Speaker 2: be made to I guess, focus on productivity and production. 36 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:39,280 Speaker 2: There's there are approvements that can be made to reduce 37 00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:42,679 Speaker 2: greenhouse gas emissions or improved water quality, and it depends 38 00:01:42,720 --> 00:01:45,280 Speaker 2: on I guess the starting point for those farms and 39 00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:47,920 Speaker 2: whether low hanging fruit is first and foremost. 40 00:01:48,320 --> 00:01:50,760 Speaker 1: This follows forecast this week of back to back good seasons, 41 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:53,560 Speaker 1: which is quite unusual, isn't it? Can it last? 42 00:01:54,960 --> 00:01:57,800 Speaker 2: Well, that's a really good question. So it is quite 43 00:01:57,920 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 2: rare to have a couple of good seasons in a row. 44 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 2: So often when you have a really good milk prices 45 00:02:02,600 --> 00:02:07,720 Speaker 2: because international milk prices are really high. And although we 46 00:02:07,840 --> 00:02:10,800 Speaker 2: although we produce a large proportion of the milk that 47 00:02:10,880 --> 00:02:14,520 Speaker 2: is traded across borders, we only produce a small proportion 48 00:02:14,600 --> 00:02:16,280 Speaker 2: of the milk that is produced in the wild, and 49 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:18,440 Speaker 2: so a lot of the other producers in the world 50 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:21,239 Speaker 2: actually just ramp up production when prices are high, and 51 00:02:21,639 --> 00:02:24,280 Speaker 2: often they overshoot a little bit and oversupply the following 52 00:02:24,360 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 2: year at the milk price jobs, so we've always going 53 00:02:26,560 --> 00:02:28,720 Speaker 2: to be really aware of that. You know, these productions 54 00:02:28,720 --> 00:02:31,680 Speaker 2: for next year great, but there is a chance that 55 00:02:31,680 --> 00:02:33,880 Speaker 2: the milk price might drop still and. 56 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:38,480 Speaker 1: You're all concerned about the global economic instability at the moment. 57 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:43,839 Speaker 2: Look, I think everyone's a little bit worried about where 58 00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 2: that might go this and there a little bit of uncertainty. 59 00:02:46,400 --> 00:02:48,680 Speaker 2: But you know the other side of it is in 60 00:02:48,720 --> 00:02:53,600 Speaker 2: New Zealand produces really good, safe food and you know 61 00:02:53,639 --> 00:02:56,960 Speaker 2: it's well with grass feed. It's sought out throughout the world, 62 00:02:57,040 --> 00:02:59,160 Speaker 2: and so you know, we typically get a bit of 63 00:02:59,160 --> 00:03:01,399 Speaker 2: a premium for that. So in any sort of trade 64 00:03:01,440 --> 00:03:05,040 Speaker 2: wards or anything like that, you know, typically we'll still 65 00:03:05,080 --> 00:03:07,280 Speaker 2: have people that we want to buy, all countries that 66 00:03:07,280 --> 00:03:10,680 Speaker 2: we want to buy milk product. So last time, you know, 67 00:03:10,919 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 2: Trump gotton, we had all that talk about tariffs, etc. 68 00:03:15,600 --> 00:03:19,600 Speaker 2: What really happened was that Mexico decided that they really 69 00:03:19,639 --> 00:03:23,280 Speaker 2: wanted our milk products over over America's and we set 70 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 2: and sold a hold of milk fare. So that's yeah, yeah, 71 00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:29,040 Speaker 2: we create opportunities as well. 72 00:03:29,360 --> 00:03:32,640 Speaker 1: Thank you so much for your time, Richard McIntyre. For 73 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:36,400 Speaker 1: more Familily Edition with Ryan Bridge, listen live to news talks. 74 00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:38,320 Speaker 1: It'd be from five am weekdays 75 00:03:38,560 --> 00:03:40,640 Speaker 2: Or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio