1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:03,880 Speaker 1: This is the huddle with New Zealand Southby's international realty, 2 00:00:04,120 --> 00:00:06,520 Speaker 1: local and global exposure like no other. 3 00:00:06,800 --> 00:00:08,520 Speaker 2: On the huddle with me this evening, we've got Morris 4 00:00:08,560 --> 00:00:12,040 Speaker 2: Williams and Auckland Councilor, former US Consul General, and Tim Wilson, 5 00:00:12,080 --> 00:00:14,280 Speaker 2: Maximu Institute, former US correspondent for TV ands that. 6 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:17,280 Speaker 3: All are you two? Good afternoon? Hi there now, Morris. 7 00:00:17,360 --> 00:00:19,639 Speaker 2: When John was just saying that he still sees a 8 00:00:19,720 --> 00:00:21,680 Speaker 2: path for Carmela, you shook your headway. 9 00:00:21,960 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 3: I just don't think it's possible. The percentages have closed 10 00:00:24,560 --> 00:00:28,040 Speaker 3: down so much, the eighties percents of the voter in 11 00:00:28,720 --> 00:00:32,200 Speaker 3: he's talking about Allanown and Pittsburgh. But there's a county 12 00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:36,920 Speaker 3: there called Northampton, right by Allentown. I was watching Northampton before. 13 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:40,000 Speaker 3: It's a really interesting one. Like Arie on the other side. 14 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 3: It went both times with Obama, it then went with Trump, 15 00:00:43,800 --> 00:00:47,680 Speaker 3: and it then went with Biden, and Trump is one 16 00:00:47,920 --> 00:00:52,479 Speaker 3: north It's a It's a very bell Weather county within Pennsylvania, 17 00:00:52,880 --> 00:00:56,400 Speaker 3: and so is Aerie. So I just think there would 18 00:00:56,440 --> 00:00:59,520 Speaker 3: have to be some boxes of ballots hidden somewhere underneath 19 00:00:59,560 --> 00:01:02,120 Speaker 3: the table now for it to not be a final 20 00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:02,600 Speaker 3: trump Win. 21 00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:04,720 Speaker 2: I mean, I've been reluctant to say things like that 22 00:01:04,760 --> 00:01:07,600 Speaker 2: out loud. Tim given the circumstances, what do you think 23 00:01:07,640 --> 00:01:10,959 Speaker 2: do you see any chance that she takes it? 24 00:01:10,959 --> 00:01:12,320 Speaker 3: It's getting harder and harder, isn't it. 25 00:01:12,360 --> 00:01:16,280 Speaker 4: And I think your reference to Fox News calling the Senate, 26 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:20,360 Speaker 4: I think that's really indicative because that determines the mood 27 00:01:20,360 --> 00:01:23,920 Speaker 4: of the nation in a way that you know, this discussion, 28 00:01:24,080 --> 00:01:25,679 Speaker 4: I was it going to be Karmela or Trump. I 29 00:01:25,680 --> 00:01:28,440 Speaker 4: don't like Trump. Blah blah blah. All of the personnality's 30 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:30,080 Speaker 4: taken out of it. But when you look at the 31 00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 4: House and Senate, I think that's a fascinating that's the 32 00:01:33,280 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 4: fascinating sort of contest. I think Karmala always had a 33 00:01:36,840 --> 00:01:39,720 Speaker 4: problem because, as a very smart person framed it the 34 00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:43,160 Speaker 4: other day, she's saying, oh, I'm the changed person, but 35 00:01:43,319 --> 00:01:47,160 Speaker 4: she's an incumbent. So there just seems to be a 36 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 4: structural paradox there that we're seeing evidence of. 37 00:01:50,560 --> 00:01:50,760 Speaker 5: Now. 38 00:01:51,920 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 3: I've been on the rough end of that pineapple. In 39 00:01:54,520 --> 00:01:57,200 Speaker 3: nineteen ninety nine, I would set up at Premier House 40 00:01:57,240 --> 00:02:00,280 Speaker 3: with Jenny Shipley. Our polling was showing we were down 41 00:02:00,360 --> 00:02:02,720 Speaker 3: the toilet so we would announce the next day some 42 00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:04,560 Speaker 3: things that would help get us back in the game. 43 00:02:04,680 --> 00:02:06,559 Speaker 3: And two nights later the polling coming and we dropped 44 00:02:06,560 --> 00:02:09,280 Speaker 3: another three points. When you're on that tide of its 45 00:02:09,320 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 3: time to go, it just sweeps you. No matter what track, 46 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:14,680 Speaker 3: right track is all you need to do. And she 47 00:02:14,720 --> 00:02:17,639 Speaker 3: didn't distance herself enough from incumbency. If she'd come out 48 00:02:17,720 --> 00:02:20,240 Speaker 3: and said, look, I was only a vice president and 49 00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:22,239 Speaker 3: you're not allowed to say anything. I didn't win. Joe 50 00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 3: Biden became the president. I was only his running mate. 51 00:02:24,840 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 3: But I can tell you there was heaps of things 52 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:28,800 Speaker 3: he said and did I disagreed with. I would have 53 00:02:28,880 --> 00:02:30,600 Speaker 3: changed if I'd been the president, And if he had 54 00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:32,720 Speaker 3: left earlier, I would have made that Joe. She could 55 00:02:32,760 --> 00:02:35,000 Speaker 3: have tried to distance herself, but she actually said she 56 00:02:35,040 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 3: supported everything that he stood for. Yeah, and that means 57 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:41,480 Speaker 3: she was part of the incumbent track. And I think 58 00:02:41,480 --> 00:02:43,240 Speaker 3: I sent you a text well earlier today. There's just 59 00:02:43,280 --> 00:02:46,600 Speaker 3: not possible for him for her to win. When people 60 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:49,280 Speaker 3: are desperate for change, they're hurting in their pocket book, 61 00:02:49,600 --> 00:02:51,920 Speaker 3: they're hurting in their bank account, they're hurting in their 62 00:02:51,919 --> 00:02:54,920 Speaker 3: mortgage rate. The economy every one of the polls I 63 00:02:54,919 --> 00:02:56,520 Speaker 3: saw on see An end of the day. Number one 64 00:02:56,560 --> 00:02:58,440 Speaker 3: was always the economy. It always is. I like you. 65 00:02:58,720 --> 00:03:00,880 Speaker 2: I like it both of you guys. Before you carry on, Tim, 66 00:03:00,880 --> 00:03:02,280 Speaker 2: I just want to give both of you props. Okay, 67 00:03:02,360 --> 00:03:04,400 Speaker 2: both of you made sure that you got your predictions 68 00:03:04,400 --> 00:03:07,960 Speaker 2: on record into me early. So two o'clock this afternoon, 69 00:03:08,360 --> 00:03:11,760 Speaker 2: Morris texts me and says, I believe Trump will win 70 00:03:11,800 --> 00:03:14,400 Speaker 2: the selection and reasonably comfortably. And Tim, when did you 71 00:03:14,440 --> 00:03:15,560 Speaker 2: text me? Was it last night? 72 00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:16,639 Speaker 5: Yeah? 73 00:03:16,720 --> 00:03:19,880 Speaker 2: Last night, Yeah, last night, seven twenty two? You said, 74 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:22,600 Speaker 2: I'm picking The result will surprise many commentators. At two 75 00:03:22,600 --> 00:03:25,160 Speaker 2: to three percent shift, will make a significant dent. And 76 00:03:25,240 --> 00:03:27,800 Speaker 2: I said to you, is Trump you pick? You are like, yep, clean, 77 00:03:27,840 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 2: clear result either way. So there you go, both of 78 00:03:30,120 --> 00:03:32,800 Speaker 2: your geniuses. You're both better than most of the pollsters 79 00:03:33,040 --> 00:03:38,280 Speaker 2: in the States. Trump Trump, Tim, Sorry, hey. 80 00:03:38,360 --> 00:03:40,440 Speaker 4: Listen, I I just spent the afternoon with him once, 81 00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:42,320 Speaker 4: so please don't mistake me for Donald Trump. 82 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:45,360 Speaker 2: And was his hipness in person as he seems on Telly? 83 00:03:46,560 --> 00:03:49,200 Speaker 5: No, No, he was a new he was a new 84 00:03:49,280 --> 00:03:50,240 Speaker 5: or real estate guy. 85 00:03:50,320 --> 00:03:54,320 Speaker 4: He was a charming he was a charming, charming fellow 86 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 4: interesting fact about Donald Trump though, when you met he's 87 00:03:57,360 --> 00:03:57,960 Speaker 4: always late. 88 00:03:58,720 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 5: You're waiting for him, You're waiting year. 89 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:02,080 Speaker 4: And when you meet him, he comes in and he 90 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:04,640 Speaker 4: does the power handshake. You know, the power handshake? 91 00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:07,600 Speaker 3: Is that what you and you're on the butt. 92 00:04:07,840 --> 00:04:13,160 Speaker 6: Oh yeah, And it goes on and on and fy squeeze, yeah, 93 00:04:13,280 --> 00:04:16,680 Speaker 6: firm squeeze. But he's a he's a germophobe, so he 94 00:04:16,800 --> 00:04:20,440 Speaker 6: hates touching strangers, but he likes the power. 95 00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:23,920 Speaker 2: I don't why this is creeping me out so much. 96 00:04:24,040 --> 00:04:27,880 Speaker 5: All right, break creeping me out doing it ethics, relive. 97 00:04:27,600 --> 00:04:28,120 Speaker 3: It, all right? 98 00:04:28,240 --> 00:04:29,960 Speaker 2: And did he have small hands? Because did he have 99 00:04:30,000 --> 00:04:30,840 Speaker 2: small hands as well? 100 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:33,400 Speaker 6: No, no, not that I recall. 101 00:04:33,480 --> 00:04:35,440 Speaker 3: That's that's the myth. They all say. His hands are 102 00:04:35,520 --> 00:04:35,920 Speaker 3: very well well. 103 00:04:35,960 --> 00:04:38,400 Speaker 2: I mean, it's always possible that Tim also has small hands, 104 00:04:38,680 --> 00:04:40,159 Speaker 2: could be and so relative to each other. 105 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:41,680 Speaker 3: You can give us a report when we come back up. 106 00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:43,920 Speaker 3: Break size of your hands, but make. 107 00:04:43,839 --> 00:04:46,000 Speaker 2: You break recorded to. 108 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:49,039 Speaker 1: The huddle with New Zealand Southby's International Realty Elevate the 109 00:04:49,080 --> 00:04:50,160 Speaker 1: marketing of your home. 110 00:04:51,000 --> 00:04:54,640 Speaker 2: Ap by the way, has just called Virginia for Kamala Harris. 111 00:04:55,839 --> 00:04:59,880 Speaker 2: Nevada has just been called for Donald Trump by Fox News. 112 00:05:00,160 --> 00:05:02,640 Speaker 2: And also remember apparently Kamala Harris was supposed to be 113 00:05:02,640 --> 00:05:04,680 Speaker 2: speaking within half an hour. We're outside that half an 114 00:05:04,680 --> 00:05:07,160 Speaker 2: hour bracket at the moment and she hasn't started speaking yet. 115 00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:09,000 Speaker 2: So we'll keep you posted if that actually does happen. 116 00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:12,320 Speaker 2: You back with Hutle Morris Williamson and Tim Wilson. Morris, 117 00:05:12,360 --> 00:05:14,760 Speaker 2: what do you make of the White Tangy Tribune or 118 00:05:14,800 --> 00:05:17,280 Speaker 2: just back home here quickly leaking the fact that the 119 00:05:17,320 --> 00:05:19,320 Speaker 2: Treaty Principal's Bill is going to Parliament tomorrow. 120 00:05:19,720 --> 00:05:22,159 Speaker 3: Well, I think it's disgraceful. I think the White Tangy 121 00:05:22,200 --> 00:05:24,400 Speaker 3: Tribunal really has to answer for what it's done. It's 122 00:05:24,440 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 3: clear they have leaked it out after they were given 123 00:05:26,800 --> 00:05:29,720 Speaker 3: the date. I actually don't think there is a plot 124 00:05:29,800 --> 00:05:32,400 Speaker 3: for or bringing it forward for any reason. I was 125 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:34,480 Speaker 3: a minister with a whole lot of portfolios trying to 126 00:05:34,480 --> 00:05:38,400 Speaker 3: get legislative time, and sometimes the LEDs Committee which say 127 00:05:38,600 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 3: you're on tomorrow and you say I haven't even got 128 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:42,360 Speaker 3: my speech right. Oh but Morris, come. 129 00:05:42,240 --> 00:05:45,840 Speaker 2: On, queen, all the whole world I agree with you 130 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:48,520 Speaker 2: on that, but the whole world like this is when 131 00:05:48,560 --> 00:05:50,880 Speaker 2: you bury bad news TVMZ. It has just announced fifty 132 00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:52,920 Speaker 2: people are going to lose their jobs on election day 133 00:05:52,960 --> 00:05:55,320 Speaker 2: for a reason, and whatever happens tomorrow is being done 134 00:05:55,360 --> 00:05:57,520 Speaker 2: for a reason because it's buried by the US election. 135 00:05:57,760 --> 00:06:00,839 Speaker 3: Yeah, well, I look, I go with them Alding line. 136 00:06:00,839 --> 00:06:03,040 Speaker 3: He used to say, if you have to choose between 137 00:06:03,080 --> 00:06:06,000 Speaker 3: the conspiracy theory and the cockup, always go with a cockup. 138 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:10,080 Speaker 3: And that's what I think. But I'm a big fan 139 00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:12,000 Speaker 3: of the bill. I actually am sorry the NATS that 140 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:14,440 Speaker 3: are opposed to it, because I tell you the problem 141 00:06:14,480 --> 00:06:16,000 Speaker 3: I had while I was a minister. I'd put some 142 00:06:16,040 --> 00:06:18,440 Speaker 3: papers together, we're getting a bill together, and I'd write 143 00:06:18,440 --> 00:06:21,719 Speaker 3: what I wanted done, and then i'd have official saying, problem, 144 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:23,479 Speaker 3: as minister, that could be in breach of some of 145 00:06:23,520 --> 00:06:25,720 Speaker 3: the principles of the treaty, And I'd say, oh, can 146 00:06:25,760 --> 00:06:27,360 Speaker 3: I get a copy of the principle so I can 147 00:06:27,400 --> 00:06:30,039 Speaker 3: work through them and see where I'm Well, they're not 148 00:06:30,120 --> 00:06:32,720 Speaker 3: that clearly, they're not written down. I said, so, then 149 00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:34,880 Speaker 3: how do I know what they are? Well, they've been 150 00:06:34,920 --> 00:06:37,400 Speaker 3: made by a number of judges and by the White 151 00:06:37,400 --> 00:06:40,040 Speaker 3: Tang trim and it's really not clear. And I said, well, 152 00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:41,360 Speaker 3: hang on, how would you ever play a game of 153 00:06:41,440 --> 00:06:43,280 Speaker 3: rugby if you didn't have a rule book? You get 154 00:06:43,320 --> 00:06:45,159 Speaker 3: the rule book. No, you can't pass the ball forward, 155 00:06:45,160 --> 00:06:47,120 Speaker 3: that's fine, can't tackle the man without the ball. So 156 00:06:47,200 --> 00:06:48,760 Speaker 3: I know how to play rugby. But if they said, 157 00:06:48,760 --> 00:06:50,240 Speaker 3: I'm not telling you what the rules are, now go 158 00:06:50,279 --> 00:06:52,800 Speaker 3: and play. So I think it's a damn good thing, 159 00:06:52,839 --> 00:06:55,039 Speaker 3: and I thought it would be welcomed by everybody, including 160 00:06:55,080 --> 00:06:58,000 Speaker 3: Mari that we know exactly what is the Treaty of 161 00:06:58,040 --> 00:07:00,680 Speaker 3: White Town. This idea we're trying to rerir the treaty. 162 00:07:00,720 --> 00:07:04,000 Speaker 3: No one's doing that. The treaty. The treaty is not 163 00:07:04,040 --> 00:07:06,560 Speaker 3: being touched. Yeah, but what are the principles and where 164 00:07:06,600 --> 00:07:08,599 Speaker 3: did they come from and who had the right to 165 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:12,600 Speaker 3: decide them? Because if one judge somewhere who decided these 166 00:07:12,640 --> 00:07:15,600 Speaker 3: are this is a principle of the treaty, why does 167 00:07:15,640 --> 00:07:18,480 Speaker 3: he have that right as opposed to a parliament that's 168 00:07:18,520 --> 00:07:21,400 Speaker 3: elected and so on? Right, So I'm disappointed in that's 169 00:07:21,400 --> 00:07:24,440 Speaker 3: and not backing it at least a little bit further. 170 00:07:24,480 --> 00:07:26,560 Speaker 3: But they're clearly not They're clearly said, well. 171 00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:28,960 Speaker 2: They're bit cowardly on the subject. I think, what do 172 00:07:29,000 --> 00:07:29,440 Speaker 2: you make of it. 173 00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:33,360 Speaker 5: Tim, Yeah, Look, I think we need to be able 174 00:07:33,360 --> 00:07:35,880 Speaker 5: to cut because even a Chris Hipkins, I think it 175 00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:38,600 Speaker 5: Rasena last year said that Labor hadn't brought people with 176 00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:39,960 Speaker 5: them on this issue. 177 00:07:40,040 --> 00:07:43,440 Speaker 4: So this is what I think David Seymour is trying 178 00:07:43,480 --> 00:07:45,760 Speaker 4: to do. At least, let's have the discussion. And it's 179 00:07:45,800 --> 00:07:49,280 Speaker 4: going to be painful. It's like a kind of national adolescence. 180 00:07:49,320 --> 00:07:51,800 Speaker 4: They'll be pimples, they'll be passed, but I think we'll 181 00:07:51,800 --> 00:07:55,040 Speaker 4: be more developed for it. So I think it's I 182 00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:57,960 Speaker 4: think it's a positive. One can't move anywhere if you 183 00:07:57,960 --> 00:07:59,040 Speaker 4: don't know what you're talking about. 184 00:07:59,160 --> 00:08:01,280 Speaker 3: And the one thing I get confused about is I'm 185 00:08:01,280 --> 00:08:04,480 Speaker 3: being told how dreadful it is, and just like saying, oh, 186 00:08:04,520 --> 00:08:06,560 Speaker 3: you can't give me a rule booker for rugby, you 187 00:08:06,560 --> 00:08:08,720 Speaker 3: can't give me a rule book for now, you're saying, well, 188 00:08:08,800 --> 00:08:11,239 Speaker 3: we would then have a guide that everyone had signed 189 00:08:11,320 --> 00:08:13,200 Speaker 3: up to, that it has been passed through Parliament, and 190 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:15,440 Speaker 3: we would know what we could bring, and then ministers 191 00:08:15,440 --> 00:08:17,360 Speaker 3: wouldn't say, well, I'd like to do this, but does 192 00:08:17,400 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 3: it breach the principles because I don't know what they 193 00:08:19,320 --> 00:08:20,640 Speaker 3: are and no one will show them. 194 00:08:20,680 --> 00:08:23,520 Speaker 7: To me, I just don't to make sure that we're yeah, 195 00:08:23,560 --> 00:08:26,520 Speaker 7: what's wrong. I want to make sure that we need 196 00:08:26,560 --> 00:08:29,520 Speaker 7: to be able to bring Mary with us, agree with 197 00:08:30,400 --> 00:08:33,240 Speaker 7: along on this, on this hiding of this journey, so 198 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:35,000 Speaker 7: that I think that's the important part of it. 199 00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:37,240 Speaker 3: But yeah, it's part of I'm not a past that 200 00:08:37,320 --> 00:08:39,480 Speaker 3: I think that's vital that everyone's brought along with us. 201 00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:41,480 Speaker 3: But I would have thought that a really good debate 202 00:08:41,600 --> 00:08:44,840 Speaker 3: sensible and said, well, actually that's just too radical. That's 203 00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:48,600 Speaker 3: not what you can Fox is called. 204 00:08:48,480 --> 00:08:50,520 Speaker 2: The Senate for the Republicans, Morris I make. I think 205 00:08:50,520 --> 00:08:52,120 Speaker 2: you make a very good point, and I think so 206 00:08:52,160 --> 00:08:55,000 Speaker 2: to you, Tim about actually I'm taking taking everybody with 207 00:08:55,080 --> 00:08:57,800 Speaker 2: But let's not. Let's not assume that Mary are necessarily 208 00:08:57,840 --> 00:08:59,719 Speaker 2: all represented by the Marty Party all all. 209 00:09:00,240 --> 00:09:02,400 Speaker 3: Oh, correct, make it absolutely song and dance about it. 210 00:09:02,360 --> 00:09:04,080 Speaker 4: Absolutely, because don't you don't want to You don't want 211 00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:06,720 Speaker 4: to make assumptions about us like who am Mari? Who 212 00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:07,360 Speaker 4: are parking her? 213 00:09:07,640 --> 00:09:08,000 Speaker 3: Exactly? 214 00:09:08,040 --> 00:09:10,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, because we don't all think like a lady politician 215 00:09:10,360 --> 00:09:12,480 Speaker 2: doesn't necessarily represent me just because she's a lady. 216 00:09:12,960 --> 00:09:15,800 Speaker 3: My current cabinet's got more marriing than any cabinet's ever had. 217 00:09:15,679 --> 00:09:17,720 Speaker 2: Quite very good point. Guys, listen, thank you. We're gonna 218 00:09:17,720 --> 00:09:19,280 Speaker 2: have to leave it there. I really appreciate your insights. 219 00:09:19,320 --> 00:09:21,920 Speaker 2: That's a huddle this evening, Morris Williamson and Tim Wilson. 220 00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:25,920 Speaker 1: For more from Hither Duplessy Allen Drive. 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