1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:04,200 Speaker 1: Markets are reacting strongly. The Dow has surged, Bitcoin going nuts, 2 00:00:04,240 --> 00:00:06,920 Speaker 1: the US dollar is stronger, Brad Olsen's with US bread. 3 00:00:07,240 --> 00:00:11,400 Speaker 1: How strong are these movements, They are fairly considerable. 4 00:00:11,440 --> 00:00:12,840 Speaker 2: I mean, if you look at some of the stock 5 00:00:12,960 --> 00:00:16,520 Speaker 2: market reactions that we've seen this morning in the US, 6 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:19,080 Speaker 2: I think if they kept it up, they'd be on 7 00:00:19,120 --> 00:00:21,680 Speaker 2: the Dow, for example, I think the fifth biggest points 8 00:00:21,720 --> 00:00:25,560 Speaker 2: movement in history. But to be fair, they're not the 9 00:00:25,560 --> 00:00:28,200 Speaker 2: biggest percentage shift, So I think really what you're seeing 10 00:00:28,320 --> 00:00:31,640 Speaker 2: is that, yes, there's definitely a strong market reaction. There's 11 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:34,600 Speaker 2: probably still going to be some volatility in the market 12 00:00:34,720 --> 00:00:37,680 Speaker 2: as everyone tries to pick not only today but over 13 00:00:37,720 --> 00:00:40,080 Speaker 2: the next couple of weeks and up until the twentieth 14 00:00:40,080 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 2: of January when President elect Trump is sworn in, what 15 00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:46,920 Speaker 2: exactly is going to happen first, Because this is I 16 00:00:46,960 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 2: think a big challenge for everyone looking at the economic 17 00:00:50,240 --> 00:00:53,720 Speaker 2: ramifications of the change in president is what of the 18 00:00:53,960 --> 00:00:57,160 Speaker 2: many economic policies is he going to pursue first. Is 19 00:00:57,200 --> 00:00:59,760 Speaker 2: it going to be tax changes, Is it going to 20 00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:02,240 Speaker 2: be ten tariffs, Is it going to be deregulation? Is 21 00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:04,560 Speaker 2: it going to be them all at once? Because there 22 00:01:04,600 --> 00:01:06,399 Speaker 2: are quite a lot of options on the table where 23 00:01:06,440 --> 00:01:10,160 Speaker 2: they do have very different impacts on quite different parts 24 00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:10,840 Speaker 2: of the economy. 25 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:13,560 Speaker 1: If you're an investor right now in New Zealand looking 26 00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:16,200 Speaker 1: at the stock market, should you be paying too much 27 00:01:16,240 --> 00:01:18,360 Speaker 1: attention or is this going to fluctuate for the next 28 00:01:18,400 --> 00:01:21,120 Speaker 1: couple of months until we get certainty on those things. 29 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:24,000 Speaker 2: I mean, I think it will fluctuate quite a bit 30 00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:27,679 Speaker 2: because of how all of these different trends are playing out, 31 00:01:27,840 --> 00:01:30,399 Speaker 2: and I expect Look, if you're a professional investor and 32 00:01:30,440 --> 00:01:32,200 Speaker 2: that's your job, then yeah, you'll be paying a lot 33 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:34,280 Speaker 2: of attention to it. If you're an average key we 34 00:01:34,400 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 2: worried about your Kiwi saber, I don't know if i'd 35 00:01:36,400 --> 00:01:39,759 Speaker 2: be immediately reacting right this second. In fact, i'd probably 36 00:01:39,760 --> 00:01:42,840 Speaker 2: again just be there's quite a few movements coming through 37 00:01:43,120 --> 00:01:45,759 Speaker 2: and if you've already taken the idea that you're happy 38 00:01:45,880 --> 00:01:48,920 Speaker 2: enough with a bit more risk in your investments, then 39 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:51,320 Speaker 2: it's probably worth while sort of sticking around to that 40 00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:54,800 Speaker 2: and not making any rash decisions. What's also I think 41 00:01:54,840 --> 00:01:57,960 Speaker 2: been interesting in some of the trading this morning has 42 00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:00,920 Speaker 2: been just how different some of those different parts of 43 00:02:00,920 --> 00:02:03,640 Speaker 2: the economy have gone. So you've seen a number of 44 00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:06,880 Speaker 2: bank stocks and similar that have increased on the view 45 00:02:06,880 --> 00:02:09,959 Speaker 2: that there will be a bit more deregulation in the US. 46 00:02:10,280 --> 00:02:13,000 Speaker 2: Number of tech stocks as well that have seen similar trends, 47 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:15,400 Speaker 2: but a number of ev makers as well that have 48 00:02:15,480 --> 00:02:19,640 Speaker 2: come back except for Tesla. So again, lots of moving parts, 49 00:02:19,680 --> 00:02:22,440 Speaker 2: lots of different elements, big questions as well for the dollars. 50 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:25,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, interesting you mentioned Tesla. I'll get to Elon Musk 51 00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:27,799 Speaker 1: in a few moments and just how much money he 52 00:02:27,840 --> 00:02:32,960 Speaker 1: made overnight. Brad Olson Informentric's chief executive and principal economists 53 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:33,880 Speaker 1: with us. 54 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:37,120 Speaker 2: For more from Early Edition with Ryan Bridge. Listen live 55 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:40,240 Speaker 2: to News Talks at b from five am weekdays, or 56 00:02:40,320 --> 00:02:42,160 Speaker 2: follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.