1
00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:02,759
Speaker 1: War's back front and center this morning as well. Israel

2
00:00:02,840 --> 00:00:04,720
Speaker 1: went after yem And over the weekend with an attack

3
00:00:04,760 --> 00:00:06,840
Speaker 1: on the port. It was a response to the Hooty

4
00:00:06,920 --> 00:00:08,799
Speaker 1: drone attack which killed one person in Tel Aviv. To

5
00:00:08,840 --> 00:00:11,680
Speaker 1: the international geopolitical analyst Jeffrey Miller's back, Well, it's Jeffrey

6
00:00:11,680 --> 00:00:12,160
Speaker 1: morning to you.

7
00:00:13,039 --> 00:00:13,720
Speaker 2: Good morning, Mike.

8
00:00:13,840 --> 00:00:15,880
Speaker 1: Given what's happened in the last couple of hours, does

9
00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:18,080
Speaker 1: the war change from America's point of view, whether it's

10
00:00:18,079 --> 00:00:19,400
Speaker 1: Harris or Biden or Trump.

11
00:00:20,720 --> 00:00:22,720
Speaker 2: Well, I think Benjamin Nahunja, who's really going to be

12
00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:25,280
Speaker 2: digging his heels, and he's scheduled to meet Joe Biden

13
00:00:25,280 --> 00:00:26,840
Speaker 2: in the US this week. We don't know whether that

14
00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:31,400
Speaker 2: will still happen. It may well do, but Beniamin Ninanjak,

15
00:00:31,480 --> 00:00:34,120
Speaker 2: I should say, it's got every incentive to just sit,

16
00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:37,200
Speaker 2: sit this out and wait for the US election, because

17
00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:38,880
Speaker 2: there's every chance that Donald Trump will be in the

18
00:00:38,880 --> 00:00:41,960
Speaker 2: White House and Donald Trump is very much going to

19
00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:44,800
Speaker 2: be backing Israel to the hilt on this. So if

20
00:00:45,280 --> 00:00:47,600
Speaker 2: Menimon Ninja, who can get through the next six months,

21
00:00:47,800 --> 00:00:50,000
Speaker 2: I things are going to be looking better for him.

22
00:00:50,040 --> 00:00:52,080
Speaker 1: Back here and now, does Israel have the resource to

23
00:00:52,120 --> 00:00:54,520
Speaker 1: continually go after Hamas and the Hootie and if it

24
00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:56,800
Speaker 1: explodes wider to take that on as well.

25
00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:00,640
Speaker 2: Well. That's a big question because it could he just

26
00:01:00,680 --> 00:01:03,640
Speaker 2: a two front war fighting Hamas in the south but

27
00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:07,040
Speaker 2: Hisbola in the north. With these constant attacks going on

28
00:01:07,160 --> 00:01:10,479
Speaker 2: from the south of Lemanon into northern Israel. But now

29
00:01:10,640 --> 00:01:13,240
Speaker 2: exactly the drone attack from the Hohothies shows you that

30
00:01:13,360 --> 00:01:16,120
Speaker 2: Yemen is very much going to be involved. And we

31
00:01:16,160 --> 00:01:18,720
Speaker 2: shouldn't forget Iran. Remember back in April we had that

32
00:01:18,800 --> 00:01:23,200
Speaker 2: direct exchange of rockets and missiles between Iran and Israel.

33
00:01:23,319 --> 00:01:26,160
Speaker 2: So everything's on the table here and it really is

34
00:01:26,160 --> 00:01:28,199
Speaker 2: a powder keg. This really could turn into a wide

35
00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:30,680
Speaker 2: o regional war. In New Zealand is absolutely going to

36
00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:33,160
Speaker 2: be involved in that. If that happens, We've already got

37
00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:35,240
Speaker 2: skin in the game. They were already New Zealand troops

38
00:01:35,319 --> 00:01:39,120
Speaker 2: in the Middle East, particularly involved with Yemen, so you

39
00:01:39,120 --> 00:01:41,600
Speaker 2: know it could get go from bads to much much worse.

40
00:01:41,720 --> 00:01:44,800
Speaker 1: Is nitnya Huaik domestically given the war cabinets falling apart,

41
00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:46,600
Speaker 1: and this has got to be wearing on pretty much

42
00:01:46,600 --> 00:01:47,400
Speaker 1: everyone in the area.

43
00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:51,560
Speaker 2: Doesn't it well Nedno, he's got through this far. No

44
00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:53,919
Speaker 2: one thought that he'd probably last as long as he has.

45
00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:57,720
Speaker 2: He's got through VI. Actually, the Kinessa session ends at the

46
00:01:57,800 --> 00:01:59,240
Speaker 2: end of the week. If he gets through to then,

47
00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:01,560
Speaker 2: I think he's got just every incentive just to wait

48
00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:03,320
Speaker 2: it out. And I think it's coalitional. We're backing, and

49
00:02:03,360 --> 00:02:06,200
Speaker 2: they'll be seeing the polls in the United States that

50
00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:08,920
Speaker 2: show Trump victory more likely than ever. I mean, we

51
00:02:08,960 --> 00:02:10,840
Speaker 2: wait and see what the first polls show was. Kamala

52
00:02:10,919 --> 00:02:14,880
Speaker 2: Harris presumably now than Democratic nominee. But there's every chance

53
00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:17,160
Speaker 2: that Donald Trump and JD. Vance will be in the

54
00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:20,639
Speaker 2: White House come January. And while they are isolationists in

55
00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:23,480
Speaker 2: some respects, they're not isolations when it comes to supporting Israel.

56
00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:25,160
Speaker 2: They'll be backing there. In Yahoo to the Hills.

57
00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:27,360
Speaker 1: Only got fifteen seconds. That court ruling over the weekend,

58
00:02:27,400 --> 00:02:29,080
Speaker 1: I'm assuming means nothing.

59
00:02:30,040 --> 00:02:34,280
Speaker 2: It's symbolic. It's symbolic. No, you won't solve this Australia

60
00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:37,200
Speaker 2: Palestinian crisis through the courts. Is going to be a

61
00:02:37,200 --> 00:02:39,560
Speaker 2: political solution in the end, but it's highly symbolic.

62
00:02:39,639 --> 00:02:41,640
Speaker 1: Good stuff. Jeffy nice to talk to you Jeffrey Miller,

63
00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:43,320
Speaker 1: international geopolitical analyst.

64
00:02:43,960 --> 00:02:46,880
Speaker 2: For more from the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to

65
00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:47,560
Speaker 2: news talks.

66
00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:50,760
Speaker 1: It'd be from six am weekdays, or follow the podcast

67
00:02:50,800 --> 00:02:51,679
Speaker 1: on iHeartRadio