1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:03,000 Speaker 1: The American market seems to have got over themselves this time. Yesterday. 2 00:00:03,040 --> 00:00:04,960 Speaker 1: Of course, the freak out over Deepseek was on this 3 00:00:05,080 --> 00:00:07,360 Speaker 1: tube and cheerful AI tool out of China that took 4 00:00:07,760 --> 00:00:10,360 Speaker 1: a lot of is my surprise New Zealand superannuation fund 5 00:00:10,360 --> 00:00:12,440 Speaker 1: that took a hit yesterday. In Vidia, of course took 6 00:00:12,440 --> 00:00:15,680 Speaker 1: a bath. Craig's Investment Partners director Mark Lister is with 7 00:00:15,800 --> 00:00:17,240 Speaker 1: us on this Marke. Very good morning to you. 8 00:00:18,239 --> 00:00:19,680 Speaker 2: Morning, Mike, Hey, you going well? 9 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:21,800 Speaker 1: Thank you? What do you make of yesterday when it unfolded? 10 00:00:23,480 --> 00:00:26,279 Speaker 2: It was a pretty big day, wasn't it. I guess 11 00:00:26,320 --> 00:00:30,200 Speaker 2: what was interesting was the reason for the moves, and 12 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:32,760 Speaker 2: I guess the concentration of the moves. You know deep 13 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:36,519 Speaker 2: seeks model. What surprised everybody is that it seems to 14 00:00:36,600 --> 00:00:39,559 Speaker 2: run on less advanced chips and they can seem to 15 00:00:39,600 --> 00:00:42,199 Speaker 2: do it with lower costs. So I guess that's a 16 00:00:42,240 --> 00:00:45,200 Speaker 2: good thing and a big picture sense. You think about productivity, 17 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:48,880 Speaker 2: You think about some of the advancers with AI overall, 18 00:00:49,000 --> 00:00:52,040 Speaker 2: but not great for in Nvidia because they've obviously built 19 00:00:52,040 --> 00:00:56,480 Speaker 2: a business about selling these very very speedy chips and 20 00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:59,680 Speaker 2: with that stock having become the biggest in the market, 21 00:01:00,560 --> 00:01:03,240 Speaker 2: and having had a cracking run these last two years, 22 00:01:03,440 --> 00:01:07,400 Speaker 2: it took a bath, as did anything in that semiconductor space, 23 00:01:07,560 --> 00:01:10,400 Speaker 2: so a bit of a recovery today. But yeah, definitely 24 00:01:10,400 --> 00:01:11,680 Speaker 2: interesting what you're seeing out there. 25 00:01:11,800 --> 00:01:13,560 Speaker 1: So what have we learned about in video? Are they 26 00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:16,039 Speaker 1: gouging the market and ripping us off or they just 27 00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:17,959 Speaker 1: don't know what they're doing compared to the Chinese when 28 00:01:17,959 --> 00:01:19,000 Speaker 1: it comes to making stuff. 29 00:01:20,160 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 2: Now, I don't think it's that. I think it's that 30 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:26,679 Speaker 2: the AI models. If these Chinese ones are everything they 31 00:01:26,720 --> 00:01:29,039 Speaker 2: claim to be, they will be able to run on 32 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:33,000 Speaker 2: less powerful chips and obviously within video, which remember it 33 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 2: was up two hundred and forty twenty twenty three, then 34 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:38,960 Speaker 2: it was up another one hundred and seventy in twenty 35 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:42,560 Speaker 2: twenty four, so it's been a stellar run, and that 36 00:01:42,680 --> 00:01:45,200 Speaker 2: share price is baking in a huge amount of growth 37 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:48,080 Speaker 2: on the assumption that everyone will need to buy these 38 00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:51,680 Speaker 2: really grunty chips to make all this new AI stuff work. 39 00:01:51,960 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 2: If that's not the case and his AI that can 40 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:58,080 Speaker 2: run on slower chips and it's more efficient, then that 41 00:01:58,160 --> 00:02:01,560 Speaker 2: growth comes into question, which means the share price is 42 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:03,000 Speaker 2: potentially a little overcooked. 43 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:05,160 Speaker 1: So how much of that? So it's a two part question. 44 00:02:05,240 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 1: How much of the Nvidio's story in general is based 45 00:02:08,080 --> 00:02:10,880 Speaker 1: on just sheer hypeer noise, kind of like Tesla stock 46 00:02:11,520 --> 00:02:14,760 Speaker 1: versus when you look at Deep Seek yesterday it's all 47 00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:17,200 Speaker 1: pro Chinese. It doesn't work that well anyway. It's a 48 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:19,359 Speaker 1: bit basic. So what are we looking at? Are we 49 00:02:19,400 --> 00:02:21,600 Speaker 1: looking at the possibility or are we looking at reality? 50 00:02:23,280 --> 00:02:25,000 Speaker 2: I think that's one of the questions that we don't 51 00:02:25,040 --> 00:02:27,760 Speaker 2: know the answer to just yet. To be honest, the 52 00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 2: Deep Seak stuff it does look hugely exciting, and some 53 00:02:32,200 --> 00:02:35,840 Speaker 2: of the independent tests also support what they're telling us, 54 00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:38,240 Speaker 2: But it was a bit of a knee jerk reaction, 55 00:02:38,440 --> 00:02:40,320 Speaker 2: and I think you know in Video is not going 56 00:02:40,360 --> 00:02:43,120 Speaker 2: to become Beta Max overnight, is it. They've still got 57 00:02:43,120 --> 00:02:46,920 Speaker 2: a very strong business, Their products are exceptional, and I 58 00:02:46,960 --> 00:02:50,200 Speaker 2: think there's still as a real need for them. It's 59 00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:53,400 Speaker 2: maybe just become a little bit more vulnerable because of 60 00:02:54,360 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 2: the shaer strength of its share price performance over the 61 00:02:58,360 --> 00:03:01,880 Speaker 2: last year or two. Time will Tell. 62 00:03:01,760 --> 00:03:04,440 Speaker 1: Always a pleasure, make appreciate it. Mark Listener, Craig's Investment 63 00:03:04,480 --> 00:03:05,360 Speaker 1: Partners directed 64 00:03:05,840 --> 00:03:08,720 Speaker 2: For more from the Mic Asking Breakfast listen live to 65 00:03:08,840 --> 00:03:11,919 Speaker 2: News Talks at B from six am weekdays, or follow 66 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:13,519 Speaker 2: the podcast on iHeartRadio