1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:03,480 Speaker 1: Afternoon. The Infrastructure Commissions just dropped its thirty year plan 2 00:00:03,560 --> 00:00:06,040 Speaker 1: and it's a sobering reality check. It says we need 3 00:00:06,120 --> 00:00:08,920 Speaker 1: just cut spending on roads, we need to double spending 4 00:00:08,960 --> 00:00:12,520 Speaker 1: on hospitals, Energy needs a big spending boost, and Auckland's 5 00:00:12,520 --> 00:00:15,200 Speaker 1: Harbor Bridge may need a nine dollar toll. Jeff Cooper 6 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:17,520 Speaker 1: is the CEO of the Infrastructure Commission with. 7 00:00:17,520 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 2: Us Hi, Jeff Kyoto, Heather, how you doing well? 8 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:24,279 Speaker 1: Thank you? Matte explain the thinking behind a nine dollar toll? 9 00:00:24,400 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 2: Oh gosh. Look, we've started really by looking at all 10 00:00:27,440 --> 00:00:30,240 Speaker 2: of the different infrastructure services New Zealand's going to need 11 00:00:30,400 --> 00:00:32,599 Speaker 2: over a thirty year period. You know, so often we 12 00:00:32,640 --> 00:00:35,199 Speaker 2: look at one sector at a time, we come up 13 00:00:35,200 --> 00:00:37,800 Speaker 2: with lists of things that we realize we can't afford 14 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:39,400 Speaker 2: and we have to go back to the drawing board. 15 00:00:39,640 --> 00:00:42,360 Speaker 2: This is an effort at looking across all of these 16 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:47,760 Speaker 2: sectors and putting forward a fundable, coordinated portfolio of investments. 17 00:00:47,960 --> 00:00:51,120 Speaker 2: And out the back of that clearly is that you know, 18 00:00:51,200 --> 00:00:53,920 Speaker 2: we need to stage and phase projects a little bit 19 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:56,600 Speaker 2: more to make sure that we need get a good 20 00:00:56,640 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 2: balance between services. So if we want to go outside 21 00:01:00,080 --> 00:01:02,800 Speaker 2: of that budget, what it ultimately means is that we're 22 00:01:02,840 --> 00:01:05,080 Speaker 2: going to need to derive more revenue from the asset base, 23 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:08,479 Speaker 2: and in roading that can look like tolls, it can 24 00:01:08,560 --> 00:01:12,880 Speaker 2: look like congestion charging and other such things. And all sectors, 25 00:01:12,959 --> 00:01:16,160 Speaker 2: not just land transport, are grappling with these things because 26 00:01:16,160 --> 00:01:18,720 Speaker 2: the financials are tight and I think New Zealanders know that. 27 00:01:19,440 --> 00:01:21,480 Speaker 1: Do you have any preference as to where we build 28 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:22,200 Speaker 1: our healthcare? 29 00:01:24,240 --> 00:01:26,400 Speaker 2: Well, the plan sort of goes through. I mean we 30 00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:30,759 Speaker 2: start by looking at how our demographics are changing, and 31 00:01:31,200 --> 00:01:35,360 Speaker 2: under any plausible scenario we look at you know, New 32 00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:37,959 Speaker 2: Zealand is going to need more investment in health services. 33 00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:41,000 Speaker 2: We've known this for a while. But if anything, we're 34 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:43,679 Speaker 2: aging faster than we thought we were going to. So 35 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:47,800 Speaker 2: what we've done in the plan is look at how 36 00:01:48,160 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 2: our aging differs by regent and then establish, you know, 37 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 2: where services need to follow those population projections. 38 00:01:57,160 --> 00:02:00,360 Speaker 1: So it's probably Auckland, yeah. 39 00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:03,160 Speaker 2: I mean certainly the areas of large population growth, yes, 40 00:02:03,240 --> 00:02:06,000 Speaker 2: But actually when you look at it is this is 41 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:08,880 Speaker 2: something that you know, of all of the services that 42 00:02:08,880 --> 00:02:11,320 Speaker 2: we look at, this is one for all of New Zealand. 43 00:02:11,680 --> 00:02:13,920 Speaker 2: Actually broad based aging. 44 00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:16,680 Speaker 1: Are there parts of the country though, where we are 45 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:19,280 Speaker 1: seeing population declines to the extent that we should actually 46 00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:21,520 Speaker 1: stop investing money and infrastructure. 47 00:02:23,040 --> 00:02:27,000 Speaker 2: Certainly, when you look at the periphery of many of 48 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:30,560 Speaker 2: the network infrastructure we have, it's clear that at the 49 00:02:31,520 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 2: ends of the of the network the financials are most difficult. Now, 50 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 2: I don't think for a second that means that we 51 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:43,480 Speaker 2: should stop providing services to those areas. But what the 52 00:02:43,520 --> 00:02:45,959 Speaker 2: plan does say is that the network as a whole 53 00:02:46,080 --> 00:02:48,959 Speaker 2: needs to be able to fund it. Right, that you 54 00:02:49,320 --> 00:02:52,799 Speaker 2: can do cross subsidies, that's fine, But certainly when we're 55 00:02:52,840 --> 00:02:57,600 Speaker 2: looking at, you know, resilience issues, the balance between what 56 00:02:57,800 --> 00:03:00,760 Speaker 2: is making money on the network and what probably needs 57 00:03:00,760 --> 00:03:03,000 Speaker 2: money tipped into it is getting harder, and you know, 58 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:05,880 Speaker 2: like local governments at the leading edge of that, they 59 00:03:05,919 --> 00:03:07,800 Speaker 2: see that day to day it's getting harder. 60 00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:10,720 Speaker 1: Why is it that we spend more money on infrastructure 61 00:03:10,760 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 1: as a proportion of GDP than anywhere in the developed world, 62 00:03:13,480 --> 00:03:17,359 Speaker 1: but we still have this massive deficit in infrastructure. 63 00:03:17,680 --> 00:03:21,120 Speaker 2: I think, I mean, it's a very good question on 64 00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:24,480 Speaker 2: the first one, and in part the answer to this 65 00:03:25,040 --> 00:03:27,840 Speaker 2: is the fact that we are on a very narrow 66 00:03:27,919 --> 00:03:30,720 Speaker 2: band of land, the bottom of the South Pacific. We're 67 00:03:30,760 --> 00:03:33,480 Speaker 2: a country of five and a half million people. We're 68 00:03:33,560 --> 00:03:36,080 Speaker 2: roughly the same size as great as Sydney, but we 69 00:03:36,120 --> 00:03:40,120 Speaker 2: are trying to build out infrastructure networks on a parcel 70 00:03:40,160 --> 00:03:43,560 Speaker 2: of land that is twenty one times larger. Right, So 71 00:03:43,640 --> 00:03:48,440 Speaker 2: the geology, the geography is very difficult, and we have 72 00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:52,240 Speaker 2: a dispersed population. That means more pipes, more roads, more 73 00:03:52,280 --> 00:03:55,600 Speaker 2: transmission lines and so on, and that costs if you're 74 00:03:55,600 --> 00:03:57,920 Speaker 2: going to do that, you know, so there are some 75 00:03:58,000 --> 00:03:59,840 Speaker 2: things that are baked in, but of course you know, 76 00:04:00,080 --> 00:04:03,080 Speaker 2: on the other side of things, clearly we need to 77 00:04:03,080 --> 00:04:05,600 Speaker 2: try and do this in a way that is more 78 00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 2: cost efficient than what has been in the past because 79 00:04:08,680 --> 00:04:11,120 Speaker 2: you know, if we need more hospitals, you know, we 80 00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:13,040 Speaker 2: can't afford to do them at two to three billion 81 00:04:13,080 --> 00:04:17,800 Speaker 2: dollars per facility. We can't afford roads that are costing 82 00:04:17,800 --> 00:04:21,039 Speaker 2: four hundred million dollars per kilometer. So you know, this 83 00:04:21,160 --> 00:04:24,599 Speaker 2: is why the plan talks to the urgency of getting 84 00:04:24,640 --> 00:04:28,479 Speaker 2: resource management right and identifying opportunities to bring down those costs. Right. 85 00:04:28,520 --> 00:04:30,320 Speaker 1: Jeff Listen, thanks for talking to us about I appreciate it. 86 00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:32,200 Speaker 1: Jeff Cooper, Infrastructure Commission. 87 00:04:31,880 --> 00:04:35,119 Speaker 2: CEO for more from Heather Duplessy Allen Drive. 88 00:04:35,279 --> 00:04:38,680 Speaker 1: Listen live to news talks. It'd be from four pm weekdays, 89 00:04:38,800 --> 00:04:41,000 Speaker 1: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio