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Speaker 1: A major escalation in the Middle East overnight, with Israeli

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Speaker 1: air strikes on Lebanon killing around five hundred people and

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Speaker 1: thirty five of them were kids, and a whole bunch

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Speaker 1: more thousands were injured. Israel attacked hundreds of Hezbola weapons

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Speaker 1: storage facilities, leading them to the deadliest day since the

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Speaker 1: Civil War in nineteen ninety.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 1: Jeffrey Miller is a geopolitical analyst.

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Speaker 2: Hey, Jeffrey, good evening, Heather.

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Speaker 1: Is it inevitable that they are headed for a full

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Speaker 1: scale war?

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Speaker 2: Look, I think we've been heading this way since October

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Speaker 2: the seventh last year, October the eighth, when the first

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Speaker 2: air strikes from Lebanon really began, the rocket attacks from Lebanon,

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Speaker 2: and you know, unfortunately, there has been a level of

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Speaker 2: inevitability about this, and this just takes it up a

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Speaker 2: notch further though. I mean, it's a huge death toll

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Speaker 2: in a single day, almost five hundred people killed, you know,

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Speaker 2: to put that in context, in the entire thirty four

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Speaker 2: day war back in two thousand and six between Israel

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Speaker 2: than Lebanon, thirteen hundred Lebanese individuals were killed. So we're

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Speaker 2: already at a that or more than a third of

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Speaker 2: that in just a single day.

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Speaker 1: What happens next? Do you think that there's retaliation.

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Speaker 2: Look, we've been waiting for retaliation since July really, when

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Speaker 2: his commander for Choga was killed. Israel killed another one

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Speaker 2: last week in the aftermath of those pager attacks. I mean,

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Speaker 2: there's plenty of reasons for retaliation from his and from

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Speaker 2: Iran directly, and I think there are various plans that

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Speaker 2: are being made, but yet they're unable to carry them out.

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Speaker 2: Israel has very very good intelligence. Clearly they conducted thirteen

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Speaker 2: hundred strikes yesterday or they attacked thirteen hundred targets. I

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Speaker 2: should say they've got very good intelligence. They know what

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Speaker 2: they're looking for, and as we saw last week with

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Speaker 2: those pager attacks, they're not afraid now to the audacious.

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Speaker 2: So I don't think it's through a lack of a

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Speaker 2: lack of desire that his Balaaren is not responding to

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Speaker 2: what Israel is doing here. But they're just being foiled

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Speaker 2: at every turn, and I think that's preps the risk

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Speaker 2: here for Israel in the end his BLA. If they

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Speaker 2: keep trying, they will probably break through and then we

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Speaker 2: end up with the all out war between Israel and

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Speaker 2: his Balla that we've been trying to avoid. So I

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Speaker 2: think dangerous times ahead. It does seem all very ominous.

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Speaker 2: It already is bad. It is a very bad situation.

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Speaker 2: It could only get worse. And I think we also

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Speaker 2: need to remember that his Bela is not Hamas. Hisbela

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Speaker 2: is very very well armed, very very well capable. They're

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Speaker 2: much closer to Iran by the virtue of being a

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Speaker 2: sheer group. They've got fifty thousand fighters, one hundred and

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Speaker 2: fifty thousand rockets, and they're more They're better armed than

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Speaker 2: many many governments, many states are in the Middle East.

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Speaker 2: So it's a different kettle of fish here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, altogether, Hey, thank you very much. Jeffrey appreciated Jeffy

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Speaker 1: Miller geopolitical Analysts.

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