1 00:00:00,600 --> 00:00:03,920 Speaker 1: Jamie Mackay, Host of the Countries with us Alo Jamie. 2 00:00:03,800 --> 00:00:07,600 Speaker 2: Hello, Heather, just on those weight loss drugs. They are 3 00:00:07,920 --> 00:00:10,200 Speaker 2: the likes of a Zempe and those sort of drugs 4 00:00:10,280 --> 00:00:12,760 Speaker 2: very good for dairy farming. There's been a bit of 5 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:15,400 Speaker 2: a boom in the demand for protein, and I understand 6 00:00:15,400 --> 00:00:19,079 Speaker 2: that is because younger people using the weight loss drugs 7 00:00:19,520 --> 00:00:21,800 Speaker 2: don't want to lose muscle mass, so they're bulking up 8 00:00:21,840 --> 00:00:24,239 Speaker 2: on the protein. So there you go. Every cloud has 9 00:00:24,280 --> 00:00:25,120 Speaker 2: its silver lining. 10 00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's absolutely right. Now, speaking of farming obviously, because 11 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:32,000 Speaker 1: it's you. How do you think the heinz Wat's thing 12 00:00:32,120 --> 00:00:34,200 Speaker 1: is going, especially in christ You're just going to affect 13 00:00:34,200 --> 00:00:34,680 Speaker 1: the farmers. 14 00:00:35,479 --> 00:00:38,440 Speaker 2: Well, it's interesting. I was reading a story somewhere and 15 00:00:38,479 --> 00:00:43,360 Speaker 2: I can't even credit the source, unfortunately, Heather, because I've forgotten. Look, 16 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:46,919 Speaker 2: roughly two hundred and twenty that's quite a number of growers. 17 00:00:46,960 --> 00:00:51,080 Speaker 2: Pea and vegetable growers will be affected by the Heinz 18 00:00:51,120 --> 00:00:54,920 Speaker 2: watty decision to hold production of frozen vegetables at their 19 00:00:54,960 --> 00:00:59,600 Speaker 2: christ Church factory. As a result, we're seeing more interest 20 00:00:59,720 --> 00:01:02,640 Speaker 2: in going from arable, which isn't paying very well at 21 00:01:02,680 --> 00:01:06,800 Speaker 2: the moment, to dairy farming. There's been an uptick in conversions. 22 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:12,320 Speaker 2: Just looking around those numbers, I think something like depending 23 00:01:12,319 --> 00:01:15,360 Speaker 2: on who you believe, anything from twenty five to fifty 24 00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:20,319 Speaker 2: conversions are taking place across Canterbury. Resource consent is no 25 00:01:20,440 --> 00:01:23,039 Speaker 2: longer needed for a dairy conversion. If you've got an 26 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:27,240 Speaker 2: existing farming practice that qualifies, but you do need a 27 00:01:27,360 --> 00:01:30,440 Speaker 2: resource consent for your affluent discharge. So this is how 28 00:01:30,440 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 2: they're figuring out how many conversions are happening in the province. 29 00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:36,319 Speaker 2: It seems to be a bit of an imprecise science 30 00:01:36,400 --> 00:01:41,039 Speaker 2: to me. So we've seen thirty two new affluent discharge consents. 31 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:45,480 Speaker 2: Three further consent applications were withdrawn, so that leaves us 32 00:01:45,480 --> 00:01:49,160 Speaker 2: at thirty two. Another fifteen were lodged and are in 33 00:01:49,200 --> 00:01:52,320 Speaker 2: the consenting process, so that's very close to fifty. My 34 00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:55,920 Speaker 2: math has got that at forty seven. Canterbury now a 35 00:01:56,040 --> 00:02:00,919 Speaker 2: huge dairying industry, a dairying province. Should I say twenty 36 00:02:00,920 --> 00:02:04,880 Speaker 2: percent of the country's cows are domiciled, and between North 37 00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:09,240 Speaker 2: and South Canterbury, twenty two percent of the country's milk 38 00:02:09,280 --> 00:02:12,040 Speaker 2: solid production coming out of that region. Most of it 39 00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:16,120 Speaker 2: is irrigated, most of it's very high productive land, that 40 00:02:16,240 --> 00:02:19,639 Speaker 2: Canterbury plains land, especially when you put water on its 41 00:02:19,760 --> 00:02:23,360 Speaker 2: great at growing things. So if you can't grow veggies 42 00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:28,320 Speaker 2: and veggies and arable crops, maybe you can grow some 43 00:02:28,400 --> 00:02:32,440 Speaker 2: milk and get some protein into those people taking the 44 00:02:32,480 --> 00:02:33,800 Speaker 2: weight losstro those people. 45 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:35,680 Speaker 1: There is a term for it, Jamie. It's come through 46 00:02:35,680 --> 00:02:43,120 Speaker 1: on the text machine. They're called we're govy scarecrows. No, 47 00:02:43,520 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 1: we don't need to cast dispersions. They want to look 48 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:47,919 Speaker 1: like that and they look wonderful. Okay, how's the confidence 49 00:02:47,919 --> 00:02:48,800 Speaker 1: amongst the farmers. 50 00:02:49,880 --> 00:02:53,600 Speaker 2: Well, the latest Rabobank or the first Rabobank Rural Confidence 51 00:02:53,680 --> 00:02:55,840 Speaker 2: Survey is out for the year now. I don't think 52 00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:58,080 Speaker 2: any of this fell on, or very little of it 53 00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:00,280 Speaker 2: fell on since the start of the war. And I've 54 00:03:00,320 --> 00:03:03,520 Speaker 2: been listening to you talking about the fuel crisis across 55 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:05,680 Speaker 2: the Tasman. I was talking to my guy over there 56 00:03:05,720 --> 00:03:08,880 Speaker 2: today and ain't good. They're worse off than we are. 57 00:03:09,000 --> 00:03:13,320 Speaker 2: So it's just inching up. We've had net positive readings 58 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:17,480 Speaker 2: and farmer confidence in the last seven quarters dating back 59 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:22,880 Speaker 2: to September twenty twenty four, not surprisingly higher commodity prices 60 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:26,560 Speaker 2: at fifty two percent of respondents was cited as the 61 00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:32,320 Speaker 2: major source of optimism, and not surprisingly, rising input costs 62 00:03:32,320 --> 00:03:35,760 Speaker 2: thirty two percent was the most prominent reason given by 63 00:03:35,760 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 2: those farmers with a negative outlook. Obviously that number will 64 00:03:39,640 --> 00:03:42,160 Speaker 2: get higher since the advent of this war in the 65 00:03:42,160 --> 00:03:45,920 Speaker 2: Middle East. In the Middle East. Now, despite the small 66 00:03:46,040 --> 00:03:50,680 Speaker 2: drop in some farmer confidence, not all right across the board, 67 00:03:50,680 --> 00:03:53,960 Speaker 2: but some sheep and beef farmers continue to be the 68 00:03:54,000 --> 00:03:58,400 Speaker 2: most optimistic. Dairy farmers and horticulturists are now more upbeat 69 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:02,040 Speaker 2: about their prospects than were late last year. No surprise 70 00:04:02,080 --> 00:04:04,600 Speaker 2: to see the dairy farmers more optimistic. Here at Heather 71 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:08,480 Speaker 2: nine falls to finish off twenty twenty five and the GDT, 72 00:04:08,880 --> 00:04:13,200 Speaker 2: including Wednesday's zero point one percent lift, we've had six 73 00:04:13,320 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 2: positive auctions to kick off twenty twenty six. And maybe 74 00:04:17,640 --> 00:04:21,640 Speaker 2: between the weight loss drugs and the correlation between whole 75 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:25,800 Speaker 2: milk powder and oil prices, maybe dairy farming's the business 76 00:04:25,839 --> 00:04:28,200 Speaker 2: to be in. Yeah, sounds like it. 77 00:04:28,240 --> 00:04:30,440 Speaker 1: Thank you very much, Jammie, look after yourself, Jammie mckaye, 78 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:31,359 Speaker 1: host of the Country. 79 00:04:31,800 --> 00:04:34,960 Speaker 2: For more from Heather Duplessy Allen Drive, listen live to 80 00:04:35,080 --> 00:04:38,119 Speaker 2: news talks it'd be from four pm weekdays, Or follow 81 00:04:38,120 --> 00:04:39,920 Speaker 2: the podcast on iHeartRadio