1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:02,320 Speaker 1: Now to make things spicy within the government active float 2 00:00:02,320 --> 00:00:04,160 Speaker 1: to this idea or pulling out of Paris as well, 3 00:00:04,600 --> 00:00:07,560 Speaker 1: David Seymour suggesting it might be party policy going into 4 00:00:07,560 --> 00:00:10,040 Speaker 1: next year's election. The former Climate Minister Nick Smith is 5 00:00:10,039 --> 00:00:11,120 Speaker 1: with us next morning. 6 00:00:10,880 --> 00:00:12,880 Speaker 2: To you are your good morning, Mike. 7 00:00:12,920 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 1: Given Trump has the game changed on the environment or not? 8 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:19,759 Speaker 2: Well? The danger in American politics is the whole issue 9 00:00:19,760 --> 00:00:22,000 Speaker 2: of climate change there is just so polarized. So when 10 00:00:22,000 --> 00:00:25,200 Speaker 2: it came to Kyoto, the Democrats and then the Republicans 11 00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:27,440 Speaker 2: pulled them out and we've had exactly the same thing 12 00:00:27,520 --> 00:00:30,800 Speaker 2: now playing out with Paris. My hope for New Zealand 13 00:00:30,920 --> 00:00:33,199 Speaker 2: is that we can be a bit more moderate and 14 00:00:33,280 --> 00:00:36,639 Speaker 2: consistent in There are countries lakes of the UK and 15 00:00:36,760 --> 00:00:40,400 Speaker 2: in Germany where there's been a more consistent and less 16 00:00:40,440 --> 00:00:43,920 Speaker 2: polarized position. The problem with an issue like climate change 17 00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:46,279 Speaker 2: is that if your government policy is flip flopping all 18 00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:48,040 Speaker 2: the time, you're not going to make any progress. And 19 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:50,559 Speaker 2: it is one of those long term issues. I'm in 20 00:00:50,560 --> 00:00:53,400 Speaker 2: that headspace that says New Zealand does need to do 21 00:00:53,680 --> 00:00:56,920 Speaker 2: its fair share. You'll have the Green Party wanted us 22 00:00:56,960 --> 00:01:00,400 Speaker 2: to be world leaders without being realistic about the packed 23 00:01:00,440 --> 00:01:03,080 Speaker 2: on jobs and the cost of living. You'll have the 24 00:01:03,320 --> 00:01:05,800 Speaker 2: Party saying hey, let's be free loaders and do nothing. 25 00:01:06,360 --> 00:01:08,440 Speaker 2: On one of those moderates, it says that New Zealand 26 00:01:08,440 --> 00:01:10,160 Speaker 2: should do it's fair share, and it would be a 27 00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:12,560 Speaker 2: big mistake for New Zealand to pull out of Paris. 28 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:16,400 Speaker 1: Okay, that Mike fair share to achieve what though, Nick, 29 00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:18,959 Speaker 1: if America is not in and Brazil still polluting, and 30 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:22,200 Speaker 1: India is still polluting, and China's still polluting, to achieve 31 00:01:22,240 --> 00:01:24,160 Speaker 1: what well. 32 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:28,880 Speaker 2: I don't accept the world is. Remember there are only 33 00:01:29,240 --> 00:01:32,319 Speaker 2: out of one hundred and ninety seven countries, you've got 34 00:01:32,360 --> 00:01:35,840 Speaker 2: one hundred and ninety three that are in Paris. But 35 00:01:35,959 --> 00:01:38,400 Speaker 2: even if you put an economic leans over at Mike, 36 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:42,959 Speaker 2: you know, the European Union is our fourth biggest trading 37 00:01:43,000 --> 00:01:46,480 Speaker 2: partner twenty billion dollars a year. That free trade agreement 38 00:01:46,560 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 2: specifically mentioned as climate change. I think in the Trump era, 39 00:01:50,720 --> 00:01:52,960 Speaker 2: trade with the United States is going to be more 40 00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 2: bumpy and more uncertain. And you've got both China and 41 00:01:57,200 --> 00:02:02,200 Speaker 2: Australia as part of the Paris Agreement. So I actually 42 00:02:02,240 --> 00:02:04,720 Speaker 2: think even from an economic lens, it would be a 43 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:09,800 Speaker 2: big mistake or New Zealand to unilaterally pull out of Paris. 44 00:02:10,280 --> 00:02:13,600 Speaker 2: I do think in that determination about what is New 45 00:02:13,639 --> 00:02:17,760 Speaker 2: Zealand's fear share in terms of constraining our missions, then 46 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:20,400 Speaker 2: you do need to look at your key trading partners 47 00:02:20,400 --> 00:02:22,960 Speaker 2: and seeing how much progress they are making. It would 48 00:02:22,960 --> 00:02:25,800 Speaker 2: be a game changer if Australia changed its position. I 49 00:02:25,840 --> 00:02:29,720 Speaker 2: don't see any sign of that, either from the Liberal 50 00:02:29,720 --> 00:02:33,400 Speaker 2: opposition or the Labor government in Australia. Here's the other 51 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:36,919 Speaker 2: interesting piece night, and that is actually if you look 52 00:02:36,919 --> 00:02:40,360 Speaker 2: at the big investments in the technology that is going 53 00:02:40,360 --> 00:02:43,040 Speaker 2: to enable us to get emissions down, whether it be 54 00:02:43,160 --> 00:02:47,359 Speaker 2: solar panels or whether it be electric vehicles, actually China 55 00:02:47,400 --> 00:02:50,800 Speaker 2: has made huge progress. I suspect the cost of those 56 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:54,280 Speaker 2: is likely to come down with the tariffs that are 57 00:02:54,440 --> 00:02:58,480 Speaker 2: being imposed today on the US, such that there will 58 00:02:58,520 --> 00:03:02,120 Speaker 2: be opportunity. We just need to be realistic that there 59 00:03:02,160 --> 00:03:05,400 Speaker 2: is an economic cost to climate change policy, be upfront 60 00:03:05,440 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 2: with New Zealanders about that. And that's where I come 61 00:03:07,919 --> 00:03:10,560 Speaker 2: back to. I'm hoping the government will hold the line 62 00:03:10,680 --> 00:03:12,160 Speaker 2: and have New Zealand doing its fair. 63 00:03:12,080 --> 00:03:13,679 Speaker 1: Shared all right. Another thing to ask the Prime Minister 64 00:03:13,639 --> 00:03:15,880 Speaker 1: for about shortly appreciate it. Next Smith, former climate change 65 00:03:15,880 --> 00:03:18,440 Speaker 1: minister now Mayor of Nelson, of course. For more from 66 00:03:18,480 --> 00:03:21,640 Speaker 1: the mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to news talks it'd 67 00:03:21,639 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 1: be from six am weekdays, or follow the podcast on 68 00:03:24,760 --> 00:03:25,519 Speaker 1: iHeartRadio