1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:03,360 Speaker 1: Ocr aside for a second. The Reserve Bank made very 2 00:00:03,560 --> 00:00:07,400 Speaker 1: clear one thing yesterday where they think growth is going 3 00:00:07,440 --> 00:00:09,960 Speaker 1: to come from in this country. As we've spoken about 4 00:00:09,960 --> 00:00:12,920 Speaker 1: on the show lately, house prices aren't exactly running away 5 00:00:12,920 --> 00:00:17,400 Speaker 1: here like they are in Australia bar Queenstown. In previous recoveries, 6 00:00:17,600 --> 00:00:20,880 Speaker 1: that wealth effect kicks in. People go shopping with their 7 00:00:20,920 --> 00:00:23,920 Speaker 1: house prices going up, they feel a bit richer and 8 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:27,120 Speaker 1: splash the cash. But this time the Bank says prices 9 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:29,400 Speaker 1: are going to stay flat, pick up again later this year, 10 00:00:29,440 --> 00:00:32,519 Speaker 1: but only at the rate of income growth. In other words, 11 00:00:32,680 --> 00:00:34,880 Speaker 1: the opposite of what we're used to over the past 12 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:37,839 Speaker 1: few decades. Usually, as anyone who's trying to buy a 13 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:40,120 Speaker 1: house will know, the price of a three bity in 14 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:43,760 Speaker 1: Auckland grows quicker than your salary. That's all changed now 15 00:00:43,800 --> 00:00:46,320 Speaker 1: because we have more supply, at least that's according to 16 00:00:46,360 --> 00:00:49,840 Speaker 1: the Bank yesterday. So without the tickle up, where does 17 00:00:50,000 --> 00:00:55,160 Speaker 1: economic growth come from? For nz inc Arna Breman answered 18 00:00:55,200 --> 00:00:59,840 Speaker 1: that question specifically yesterday and was very clear. Agricultural exports, 19 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:04,440 Speaker 1: tourism and more recently some signs of life and manufacturing. 20 00:01:04,880 --> 00:01:08,679 Speaker 1: These are industries that bring us money from offshore, they 21 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:11,680 Speaker 1: grow the pie. They provide the basis for other sectors 22 00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:15,200 Speaker 1: to pick up. If you're a farmer or a tourism 23 00:01:15,240 --> 00:01:18,560 Speaker 1: operator in Queenstown Audo to do this morning, you should 24 00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:22,200 Speaker 1: feel very proud of that, and we, through our government 25 00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:26,440 Speaker 1: should support them. That means staying off their backs, letting 26 00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:28,959 Speaker 1: them get on do what they do best, feeding the 27 00:01:28,959 --> 00:01:32,959 Speaker 1: world and providing unforgettable experiences for visitors. On manufacturing, it 28 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:35,759 Speaker 1: is hard to ignore the energy debate. If we don't 29 00:01:35,760 --> 00:01:38,560 Speaker 1: have a steady and reliable supply of electricity, trying to 30 00:01:38,640 --> 00:01:40,959 Speaker 1: run a factory or a mill, as the Central North 31 00:01:41,000 --> 00:01:43,880 Speaker 1: Arland has learnt the hard way just recently becomes very difficult. 32 00:01:44,959 --> 00:01:49,400 Speaker 1: So while ALNNG coal for Huntley and methane target changes 33 00:01:49,520 --> 00:01:53,160 Speaker 1: might sound bad, they're basically what ensure that we support 34 00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 1: the industries that support us. What the Reserve Bank said 35 00:01:57,080 --> 00:02:01,200 Speaker 1: unequivocally yesterday is that without them there is no growth. 36 00:02:01,640 --> 00:02:05,480 Speaker 1: Without growth, no new jobs. What does that do to tax, 37 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:08,680 Speaker 1: no new hospitals? You get the picture. This is not 38 00:02:08,720 --> 00:02:11,280 Speaker 1: to say it's a perfect world. There are costs to 39 00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:15,880 Speaker 1: not doing environmental stuff, but for them to work, you 40 00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:19,919 Speaker 1: need the world on board and they're not. In the meantime, 41 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:21,920 Speaker 1: the question is whether we can afford to bite the 42 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:23,960 Speaker 1: economic hand that feeds us, and if you listen to 43 00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:27,760 Speaker 1: the bank, it would appear that we can't. For more 44 00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:30,920 Speaker 1: from Early Edition with Ryan Bridge, Listen live to News 45 00:02:30,960 --> 00:02:34,000 Speaker 1: Talks it'd be from five am weekdays, or follow the 46 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:35,480 Speaker 1: podcast on iHeartRadio.