1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:02,680 Speaker 1: AUSI correspondent Steve Prices, that's morning. 2 00:00:02,400 --> 00:00:05,200 Speaker 2: Steve, very good morning to you have it right. 3 00:00:05,240 --> 00:00:08,200 Speaker 1: The protests, the Prohamas and pro Lebanon protests, how big 4 00:00:08,240 --> 00:00:08,600 Speaker 1: were they? 5 00:00:09,600 --> 00:00:11,440 Speaker 2: They will be the biggest that we've seen for months, 6 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:14,560 Speaker 2: and there are some disturbing images there yesterday. I'm talking 7 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:17,840 Speaker 2: about Sydney and Melbourne. Both cities have a very large 8 00:00:18,560 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 2: Lebanese population, migrants from Lebanon in particular, and the rallies 9 00:00:22,720 --> 00:00:26,279 Speaker 2: we've been used to probably numbering one hundreds each Saturday Sunday, 10 00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:29,560 Speaker 2: but this was more in the thousand. But it has 11 00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:33,839 Speaker 2: forced Home Affairs Minister Tony Burke, a senior minister obviously 12 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 2: in the Albaneze government, to come out and say, look, 13 00:00:36,720 --> 00:00:40,320 Speaker 2: I'll consider canceling the visas of anyone who incites discord 14 00:00:40,479 --> 00:00:43,600 Speaker 2: in Australia. Now, Burke holds a seat that has a 15 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:47,599 Speaker 2: very large Muslim population and he's been very reluctant to 16 00:00:47,760 --> 00:00:50,920 Speaker 2: go public on his views on whether these protests should 17 00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:53,360 Speaker 2: take place or not. So why are we so disturbed 18 00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:57,360 Speaker 2: about this given that these protests happen just about every weekend. Well, 19 00:00:57,360 --> 00:01:01,280 Speaker 2: when you see the images of masked men carrying framed 20 00:01:01,320 --> 00:01:07,760 Speaker 2: photographs of the Hezbala leader Asan Israela who obviously was 21 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:11,360 Speaker 2: taken out in that bomb attack in southern Lebanon. Over 22 00:01:11,400 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 2: the last few days, you really think to yourself, am 23 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 2: I still in Australia? I mean, why masked men or 24 00:01:18,200 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 2: masked anybody are allowed to march in protests through the 25 00:01:21,360 --> 00:01:24,759 Speaker 2: streets of Australia's beyond me anyway. But they were chanting 26 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:27,360 Speaker 2: and filmed and there is video of this, you can 27 00:01:27,400 --> 00:01:30,200 Speaker 2: look it up on the Australian newspaper's website. They were 28 00:01:30,440 --> 00:01:36,440 Speaker 2: chanting labak Yazraela. That's in Arabic, which translate to at 29 00:01:36,480 --> 00:01:40,440 Speaker 2: your service Nasraela or ere i am. I think a 30 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:43,800 Speaker 2: lot of Australians in general, when you look at those 31 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:46,240 Speaker 2: images today and you watch that video and you see 32 00:01:46,280 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 2: it reported on TV news, that would say to themselves, 33 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:55,040 Speaker 2: why are these Pronzraela people in Australia and what have 34 00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:58,800 Speaker 2: we done? I mean, who's come here? It is already 35 00:01:59,160 --> 00:02:02,440 Speaker 2: a major about what visas were issued and what visas 36 00:02:02,480 --> 00:02:07,600 Speaker 2: weren't after the October seven attacks and obviously the Israeli 37 00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:11,960 Speaker 2: reaction in Palestine in Gaza. But I think a lot 38 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:13,920 Speaker 2: of Australiners will be shaking their heads today and saying, 39 00:02:13,919 --> 00:02:14,880 Speaker 2: what the hell's going on? 40 00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 1: What's it going to take to get a visa canceled? 41 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:18,360 Speaker 1: How bad does the behavior have to be? 42 00:02:19,760 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 2: Well, we do have legislation in place, federal legislation in 43 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:28,680 Speaker 2: place about incitingvitons. It's a very loose piece of legislation 44 00:02:28,960 --> 00:02:31,880 Speaker 2: and this government in particular seems reluctant to use it. 45 00:02:32,360 --> 00:02:35,160 Speaker 2: But you could use it. I mean, why is it 46 00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:38,639 Speaker 2: legal to walk down a street holding a photograph of 47 00:02:38,680 --> 00:02:42,400 Speaker 2: a dead terrorist leader wearing a mask? I mean, I 48 00:02:42,480 --> 00:02:44,560 Speaker 2: just don't get that. And you can't walk into a 49 00:02:44,600 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 2: bank wearing a motorcycle helmet. Why are you allowed to 50 00:02:47,919 --> 00:02:50,360 Speaker 2: be masked in a protest? It makes no sense. 51 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:52,760 Speaker 1: Better few people asking that question, Hey, what do you 52 00:02:52,760 --> 00:02:53,400 Speaker 1: make of that news? 53 00:02:53,440 --> 00:02:58,480 Speaker 2: Pop? Well, it tells me that the Labor government is 54 00:02:58,680 --> 00:03:01,919 Speaker 2: in trouble and that clearly, and Mike and I have 55 00:03:02,000 --> 00:03:04,320 Speaker 2: this conversation all the time. The election will not now 56 00:03:04,360 --> 00:03:06,480 Speaker 2: be this year, clearly, it's going to be as late 57 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:08,720 Speaker 2: as possible next year, which is probably going to mean May. 58 00:03:09,520 --> 00:03:13,000 Speaker 2: But it looks like older voters, those between fifty to 59 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:18,080 Speaker 2: sixty four, have turned swiftly against labor because of cost 60 00:03:18,120 --> 00:03:20,440 Speaker 2: of living. I mean the vote in New South Wales 61 00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:23,560 Speaker 2: now has the primary vote of Labor down to thirty percent. 62 00:03:23,840 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 2: That would be an election losing number. The Coalition is 63 00:03:27,520 --> 00:03:31,400 Speaker 2: now starting to take a lead in WA as well, 64 00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:33,720 Speaker 2: so we've got WA in New South Wales and Queensland 65 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:37,480 Speaker 2: that would be enough seats for the Coalition to win. Obviously, 66 00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:39,320 Speaker 2: in Victoria, Labor it is still got its nose in 67 00:03:39,400 --> 00:03:42,640 Speaker 2: front two Party preferred, it's still fifty to fifty. But 68 00:03:42,680 --> 00:03:46,600 Speaker 2: the government in particular would be most concerned about the 69 00:03:46,680 --> 00:03:49,680 Speaker 2: fact that at fifty to sixty four year olds are 70 00:03:49,720 --> 00:03:52,400 Speaker 2: turning against labor and you've got to put that down 71 00:03:52,440 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 2: principally the cost of living, and people still have some 72 00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:59,360 Speaker 2: real concerns about the pace at which green energy transition 73 00:03:59,480 --> 00:04:03,280 Speaker 2: is happening. Anthony Alberzi himself as a leader, his performance 74 00:04:03,320 --> 00:04:07,040 Speaker 2: is still very poor and his leadership at the moment 75 00:04:07,080 --> 00:04:10,880 Speaker 2: doesn't look great. So I'd say in summary that Labor 76 00:04:10,920 --> 00:04:13,840 Speaker 2: would now hope that they're going to get probably stumble 77 00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:16,919 Speaker 2: towards Christmas, get through the Christmas holiday period, make some 78 00:04:16,960 --> 00:04:19,680 Speaker 2: big announcements in the new year. Hopefully they're an inch 79 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:21,920 Speaker 2: straight cut and they might be able to struggle their 80 00:04:21,920 --> 00:04:25,880 Speaker 2: way to a narrow election victory sometime in main next year. 81 00:04:25,920 --> 00:04:28,040 Speaker 1: Steve, what do you reckon? I mean, if alban is 82 00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:30,800 Speaker 1: at last I saw albanize he's still leading Dutton in 83 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:33,360 Speaker 1: preferred prime minister. And if he's still leading Dutton, does 84 00:04:33,400 --> 00:04:36,560 Speaker 1: that not kind of assist Labor or is it possible? 85 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:39,480 Speaker 1: Is it possible that Dutton wins even though he's unpopular. 86 00:04:40,680 --> 00:04:43,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, the latter, I think is a great assessment, because 87 00:04:44,120 --> 00:04:46,520 Speaker 2: in our system, you just got to win seats. I mean, 88 00:04:46,560 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 2: it's not a presidential contest. It's a matter of you've 89 00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:52,400 Speaker 2: got to pick up enough seats to get a majority 90 00:04:52,760 --> 00:04:55,440 Speaker 2: in the House of Representatives. My great fear as always 91 00:04:55,480 --> 00:04:59,479 Speaker 2: been the possibility of a minority government. We hope that 92 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:01,800 Speaker 2: doesn't have but if you look at the seats and 93 00:05:01,839 --> 00:05:04,680 Speaker 2: in the states where the swing is on, you can 94 00:05:04,680 --> 00:05:08,039 Speaker 2: make an argument, a reasonably good argument. Right now the 95 00:05:08,080 --> 00:05:11,680 Speaker 2: coalition is sitting where they could possibly sneak over the 96 00:05:11,720 --> 00:05:14,920 Speaker 2: line or they could force Labor into minority government. Yeah. 97 00:05:14,960 --> 00:05:16,920 Speaker 1: Interesting, Steve, Thank you so much for chatting to us 98 00:05:16,920 --> 00:05:19,960 Speaker 1: through that stuff that. Steve price Ossie corresponded. 99 00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:21,760 Speaker 2: For more from the Mic Asking Breakfast. 100 00:05:21,880 --> 00:05:25,240 Speaker 1: Listen live to news talks that'd be from six am weekdays, 101 00:05:25,440 --> 00:05:27,440 Speaker 1: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio