1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:03,040 Speaker 1: If growth is the game we're in, then the Reserve 2 00:00:03,120 --> 00:00:07,360 Speaker 1: Bank should keep cutting interest rates. The problem with growth 3 00:00:07,560 --> 00:00:10,399 Speaker 1: is it's not the game therein they're in the business 4 00:00:10,400 --> 00:00:13,960 Speaker 1: of taming inflation, and that's about it. The government ditched 5 00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:16,520 Speaker 1: the duel mandate, remember this introduced by the last lot 6 00:00:16,680 --> 00:00:19,599 Speaker 1: that saw Adrian Or and co. Also focus on keeping 7 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:25,200 Speaker 1: people in jobs. They called it maximum sustainable employment. That's 8 00:00:25,280 --> 00:00:28,720 Speaker 1: now gone. And inflation is the aim of the game, 9 00:00:28,760 --> 00:00:31,560 Speaker 1: and inflation is in the band. So the bank is 10 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:34,040 Speaker 1: going to take things slow. They're going to ease the 11 00:00:34,080 --> 00:00:37,400 Speaker 1: next few cuts over a longer period of time, basically 12 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:40,239 Speaker 1: for fear that they'll overcook the whole thing again. They 13 00:00:40,240 --> 00:00:43,120 Speaker 1: will be thinking, of course about Trump and his tariffs 14 00:00:43,120 --> 00:00:45,320 Speaker 1: and the fear of price hikes, even though these haven't 15 00:00:45,320 --> 00:00:47,760 Speaker 1: materialized even in the data out of the United States 16 00:00:47,760 --> 00:00:50,360 Speaker 1: as yet. They'll be worried about the Middle East. They'll 17 00:00:50,400 --> 00:00:52,360 Speaker 1: be worried about the price of oil as a result 18 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:54,960 Speaker 1: of the Middle East. It's an important cost, of course, 19 00:00:55,520 --> 00:01:01,080 Speaker 1: and it's in everything, not just our cars, transport of goods, production, 20 00:01:01,360 --> 00:01:05,399 Speaker 1: you name it. Directly and indirectly contributes up to thirty 21 00:01:05,440 --> 00:01:08,800 Speaker 1: percent of our inflation. When the price is high, like 22 00:01:08,840 --> 00:01:11,720 Speaker 1: when somebody's dropping bombs in the Middle East, But that 23 00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:16,120 Speaker 1: wouldn't be my main concern if I was setting monetary policy, 24 00:01:16,280 --> 00:01:19,160 Speaker 1: not that anyone would let me. Sure, we'll get a 25 00:01:19,280 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 1: solid growth number of around zero point seven percent for 26 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 1: quarter one on Thursday. But there's been a couple of 27 00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:27,880 Speaker 1: signs this week, just a few little ones, that things 28 00:01:27,880 --> 00:01:29,960 Speaker 1: are a bit shaky for quarter two, the one we're 29 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 1: in now this year. Yesterday it was May Day calls 30 00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:37,200 Speaker 1: from the services sector going backwards for the month again, 31 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:41,080 Speaker 1: this time a bigger drop than last and again way 32 00:01:41,120 --> 00:01:44,200 Speaker 1: out of whack with our trading partners. And our golden 33 00:01:44,360 --> 00:01:48,600 Speaker 1: dairy run will continue, don't worry. I'm not saying that won't. 34 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 1: But there are signs, early signs that production is going 35 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:53,280 Speaker 1: to be ramping up around the world, and of course 36 00:01:53,320 --> 00:01:56,720 Speaker 1: that affects the price, brings it down. Cutting rates sooner 37 00:01:57,440 --> 00:02:02,480 Speaker 1: and faster would help avoid any surgical complications as we 38 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:05,800 Speaker 1: revive the economy which has been, let's face it, a 39 00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:11,280 Speaker 1: very sick patient for a very long time. For more 40 00:02:11,320 --> 00:02:14,440 Speaker 1: from Early Edition with Ryan Bridge, listen live to News 41 00:02:14,480 --> 00:02:17,480 Speaker 1: Talks at b from five am weekdays, or follow the 42 00:02:17,520 --> 00:02:19,000 Speaker 1: podcast on iHeartRadio,