1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:03,080 Speaker 1: Stephanie Bachelor, Milford Asset Management with US Tonight. Steph, Hello, 2 00:00:03,920 --> 00:00:06,200 Speaker 1: Hi Ryan. Now there's been a big sell off in 3 00:00:06,240 --> 00:00:09,120 Speaker 1: the US markets this week. Of course, we're getting close 4 00:00:09,240 --> 00:00:11,960 Speaker 1: now to correction territory, which is ten percent off the peak. 5 00:00:12,000 --> 00:00:12,920 Speaker 1: What's the latest tire? 6 00:00:14,080 --> 00:00:16,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, So the US market, the S and P five 7 00:00:16,720 --> 00:00:20,160 Speaker 2: hundred index is down nine point three percent from its peak, 8 00:00:20,200 --> 00:00:22,319 Speaker 2: so it is very close to that ten percent mark. 9 00:00:22,960 --> 00:00:25,480 Speaker 2: And it's really due to invest a concern around as 10 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:29,720 Speaker 2: slowing in US economic growth. So as the Trump administration 11 00:00:29,800 --> 00:00:32,440 Speaker 2: is settled in, they they've announced a bunch of policies 12 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:36,400 Speaker 2: or potential policies that could dampen growth. These are things 13 00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:40,800 Speaker 2: like trade tariffs and cuts to government spending. Over the weekend, 14 00:00:40,840 --> 00:00:44,360 Speaker 2: Trump didn't rule out potential recession, so he said there's 15 00:00:44,360 --> 00:00:46,600 Speaker 2: going to be a period of transition with what they're doing, 16 00:00:47,320 --> 00:00:51,120 Speaker 2: and that led to another almost three percent pullback on Monday. 17 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:55,480 Speaker 2: Then overnight he actually reversed course of it. He downplayed that, 18 00:00:55,600 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 2: saying he didn't foresee the US going into a recession 19 00:00:58,520 --> 00:01:02,040 Speaker 2: and he thinks the country is going to boom, which 20 00:01:02,040 --> 00:01:04,760 Speaker 2: did help to cushion a further fall that had started 21 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:07,600 Speaker 2: after he threatened more tariffs on Canada. So it's a 22 00:01:07,640 --> 00:01:09,360 Speaker 2: little bit all over the place at the moment. 23 00:01:09,600 --> 00:01:12,839 Speaker 1: It certainly is now the tech companies, the Magnificent Seven, 24 00:01:12,880 --> 00:01:16,480 Speaker 1: which are Kream Della Cream of the tech companies, they 25 00:01:16,760 --> 00:01:21,080 Speaker 1: have actually been hit harder than most than the broader market. 26 00:01:21,240 --> 00:01:24,440 Speaker 1: Is this a sign that you are they leading the 27 00:01:24,520 --> 00:01:28,200 Speaker 1: market here or is there tech specific things going on? 28 00:01:29,600 --> 00:01:32,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, there are some tech specific things happening, So it's 29 00:01:32,720 --> 00:01:36,280 Speaker 2: the concern is primarily around the amount that these companies 30 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:40,080 Speaker 2: are spending on things like artificial intelligence, and there are 31 00:01:40,160 --> 00:01:43,080 Speaker 2: questions around whether they're actually going to be able to 32 00:01:43,120 --> 00:01:46,280 Speaker 2: generate a sufficient return on that spend. So we had 33 00:01:46,360 --> 00:01:49,320 Speaker 2: the emergence of deep Seek, which raised concerns on this 34 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:53,600 Speaker 2: front back at the end of jan and more recently 35 00:01:53,640 --> 00:01:57,320 Speaker 2: there have been rumors around Microsoft postponing and canceling data 36 00:01:57,320 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 2: center leases, so that's added to some of those And 37 00:02:01,440 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 2: if you think about the very strong run that some 38 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:05,640 Speaker 2: of these companies have had, you know, some of the 39 00:02:05,720 --> 00:02:09,600 Speaker 2: valuations were elevated, and they're also more sensitive to growth 40 00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:12,720 Speaker 2: and momentum, so as you would expect, they have sold 41 00:02:12,760 --> 00:02:15,799 Speaker 2: off more than the broader market. The Nasdaq is down 42 00:02:15,840 --> 00:02:18,919 Speaker 2: about twelve and a half percent, and the Mags seven 43 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:20,880 Speaker 2: are down even more from the peak. 44 00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:24,000 Speaker 1: It's interesting if you look at the Magnificent seven and 45 00:02:24,040 --> 00:02:27,600 Speaker 1: you look at Meta, they're the only one so far 46 00:02:27,720 --> 00:02:29,840 Speaker 1: this year who's actually managed to managed to get a 47 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:31,280 Speaker 1: positive return. What's with that? 48 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:35,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, So that one really comes down to the fact 49 00:02:35,360 --> 00:02:38,400 Speaker 2: that Meta is viewed as having one of the most 50 00:02:38,440 --> 00:02:43,760 Speaker 2: compelling early AI monetization opportunities. So if you think about 51 00:02:43,800 --> 00:02:47,640 Speaker 2: how Meta actually makes money, it's through advertising, and it 52 00:02:47,720 --> 00:02:51,799 Speaker 2: was already a leader in targeted advertising, and its investments 53 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:55,080 Speaker 2: in AI are really just helping to extend that lead. 54 00:02:55,480 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 2: So they're helping advertisers create better ads, better target the 55 00:02:59,400 --> 00:03:02,120 Speaker 2: right users, and then that in turn helps to improve 56 00:03:02,200 --> 00:03:05,080 Speaker 2: user engagement. It keeps us all scrolling on those apps, 57 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:08,440 Speaker 2: and then it's able to better measure how well the 58 00:03:08,480 --> 00:03:12,079 Speaker 2: aids are doing, which gives advertisers the confidence to keep 59 00:03:12,120 --> 00:03:15,640 Speaker 2: coming back and using metas advertising platform. And you know, 60 00:03:15,720 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 2: given I think it's around half the world's population uses 61 00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:22,320 Speaker 2: a Meta app each month, it's got a huge base 62 00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:26,600 Speaker 2: of customers to roll those initiatives out too. So it's 63 00:03:26,600 --> 00:03:28,000 Speaker 2: starting in a pretty good spot. 64 00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:30,560 Speaker 1: And we had a lot of change in the Nvidia 65 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:34,760 Speaker 1: stock over the fares of deep seek over in China. 66 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:37,200 Speaker 1: But now there's news that's come out that's hit their stock. 67 00:03:37,240 --> 00:03:38,200 Speaker 1: News out of Singapore. 68 00:03:39,440 --> 00:03:42,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, so that was our last week. It sent the 69 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:44,800 Speaker 2: stop down eight percent on the day, and it was 70 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:48,840 Speaker 2: news that Singapore is investigating three people that are thought 71 00:03:48,880 --> 00:03:52,360 Speaker 2: to be involved in smuggling in video chips. So the 72 00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:55,960 Speaker 2: buyers appeared to be officially buying them from Singapore, but 73 00:03:56,040 --> 00:03:58,680 Speaker 2: it looks like they might have actually ended up in China, 74 00:03:58,840 --> 00:04:02,160 Speaker 2: which would have been in violin of US sanctions. And 75 00:04:02,240 --> 00:04:04,360 Speaker 2: so the reason in video stock fell so much is 76 00:04:04,400 --> 00:04:07,840 Speaker 2: that Singapore accounted for almost twenty percent of in videos 77 00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 2: revenue last year, So depending on what the investigation finds, 78 00:04:12,280 --> 00:04:14,760 Speaker 2: there's a risk that a portion of those sales are 79 00:04:14,800 --> 00:04:18,320 Speaker 2: illegal and would then fall away going forward. So for 80 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:22,440 Speaker 2: a stock that depends on constant upgrades and growing revenue, 81 00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:23,880 Speaker 2: it's not a good outcome. 82 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:28,000 Speaker 1: Interesting, Stephanie, Thank you, Stephanie Batcheler, Milforde said management. For 83 00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:31,719 Speaker 1: more from Heather Duplessy Allen Drive, listen live to news talks. 84 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:34,960 Speaker 1: It'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow the podcast 85 00:04:35,040 --> 00:04:36,040 Speaker 1: on iHeartRadio.