1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:01,920 Speaker 1: To Mikey Schuman, the political editor of tv ANDS, he 2 00:00:02,080 --> 00:00:04,760 Speaker 1: was very excited on the telly last night and released 3 00:00:04,800 --> 00:00:06,560 Speaker 1: the results of a poll that give a lean to 4 00:00:06,600 --> 00:00:10,200 Speaker 1: the left block and as she says or said, spells 5 00:00:10,240 --> 00:00:12,320 Speaker 1: trouble for the coalition. But there was another one as well, 6 00:00:12,360 --> 00:00:16,319 Speaker 1: the Taxpayer's Union Courier poll reflected the same thing. It 7 00:00:16,400 --> 00:00:19,640 Speaker 1: sees Labor, Greens and Tapatimali able to reach a sixty 8 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:22,239 Speaker 1: one seat target. Both of the poles do support for 9 00:00:22,280 --> 00:00:25,360 Speaker 1: the coalition has foremen One News has New Zealand first 10 00:00:25,400 --> 00:00:29,080 Speaker 1: teetering in their parliamentary seat in the coalition there at 11 00:00:29,160 --> 00:00:32,200 Speaker 1: just five percent the threshold. Fifty percent of those polls 12 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 1: said the country's going in the wrong direction. So political 13 00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:37,920 Speaker 1: commentator Bridget Morton is my guest this morning. Good morning 14 00:00:37,960 --> 00:00:41,800 Speaker 1: to you, Bridget, Good morning. So our labor pulling people 15 00:00:41,800 --> 00:00:43,880 Speaker 1: in or are National pushing people away? 16 00:00:44,880 --> 00:00:47,519 Speaker 2: I think it's the economy that's making everyone seemed a 17 00:00:47,560 --> 00:00:50,239 Speaker 2: little bit depressed about what's going forward. So I think 18 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:53,159 Speaker 2: that's indoubtedly one of the biggest factors, particularly in the 19 00:00:53,320 --> 00:00:56,440 Speaker 2: right track wrong track. I think also for National that 20 00:00:56,480 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 2: there has been a lot of distracting issues over the 21 00:00:58,440 --> 00:01:01,960 Speaker 2: last couple of months was building the major one, and 22 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:04,319 Speaker 2: they want to be really talking about the economy and 23 00:01:04,360 --> 00:01:05,199 Speaker 2: what they're doing there. 24 00:01:05,720 --> 00:01:07,559 Speaker 1: Well, they are, because I don't know if you've noticed, 25 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:10,440 Speaker 1: so far this year it's been growth, growth, growth, growth, growth, growth, growth. 26 00:01:10,600 --> 00:01:13,479 Speaker 1: There's been a couple of announcements. Could this be seen 27 00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 1: as some sort of proof that their moves on the 28 00:01:16,480 --> 00:01:19,240 Speaker 1: economy so far in twenty twenty five have not been 29 00:01:20,080 --> 00:01:21,240 Speaker 1: motivating for voters. 30 00:01:22,520 --> 00:01:24,240 Speaker 2: I think you've got to be careful that some of these, 31 00:01:24,400 --> 00:01:26,920 Speaker 2: you know, there's just all these announcements are very very 32 00:01:26,959 --> 00:01:30,039 Speaker 2: new and perhaps are not flowing through. A lot of 33 00:01:30,040 --> 00:01:32,560 Speaker 2: them are also about signally that they're focusing on that 34 00:01:32,680 --> 00:01:36,560 Speaker 2: economic growth passage opposed to necessarily moves that are going 35 00:01:36,600 --> 00:01:39,280 Speaker 2: to affect households. So you know, people are thinking about 36 00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 2: how much their mortgage costs, how much it's cost and 37 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:44,200 Speaker 2: get food on the table, and none of those announcements 38 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:47,119 Speaker 2: are quite touching those things. Yet they're about getting those 39 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:49,160 Speaker 2: economic settings right. So I think you're going to see 40 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:52,800 Speaker 2: probably more of that household cost of living message coming 41 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:53,400 Speaker 2: through as well. 42 00:01:54,200 --> 00:02:00,320 Speaker 1: Not only that those they're not only very new numberso 43 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:02,880 Speaker 1: miles away from the next election, So how important are 44 00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:03,520 Speaker 1: these numbers? 45 00:02:04,560 --> 00:02:06,680 Speaker 2: Well, with polls, it's always about trends, and I think 46 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:09,760 Speaker 2: that's what is more concerning is the fact that the 47 00:02:09,840 --> 00:02:13,359 Speaker 2: actually more voters are heading towards that wrong track right track, 48 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 2: that's going to be a headline number. I think looking 49 00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 2: at whether or not labor conformer government is probably premature, 50 00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:21,919 Speaker 2: particularly when you've got to party molor you're making quite 51 00:02:22,639 --> 00:02:27,800 Speaker 2: radical bottom lines about commissioners with veto powers that actually 52 00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 2: makes at less block coalition that pretty impossible at the moment. 53 00:02:31,160 --> 00:02:34,120 Speaker 2: So it's definitely something about whether or not they're actually 54 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:36,520 Speaker 2: getting the narrative right. And I think, as you pointed out, 55 00:02:36,760 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 2: they are going economic growth, growth, growth, and that's what 56 00:02:39,560 --> 00:02:41,239 Speaker 2: they're going to be pushing really harder at the next 57 00:02:41,240 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 2: couple of months. 58 00:02:42,160 --> 00:02:44,680 Speaker 1: Hey Bridget, thank you very much. And you're quite right, 59 00:02:44,720 --> 00:02:46,920 Speaker 1: Mikey Sherman. Just because you've got some software that can 60 00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:49,040 Speaker 1: actually do what a parliament might look like, you don't 61 00:02:49,040 --> 00:02:50,880 Speaker 1: have to start worrying about this two years out from 62 00:02:50,880 --> 00:02:53,920 Speaker 1: the election. That's just my own feeling on that. For 63 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:57,000 Speaker 1: more from earlier edition with Ryan Bridge, listen live to 64 00:02:57,120 --> 00:02:57,680 Speaker 1: News Talks. 65 00:02:57,680 --> 00:03:01,919 Speaker 2: It'd be from five am weekdays follow the podcast on iHeartRadio,