1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:00,360 Speaker 1: With me. 2 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:03,000 Speaker 2: Now is Jamie mckaye, host of the Country, A Jamie 3 00:00:03,920 --> 00:00:04,480 Speaker 2: good Heather. 4 00:00:04,600 --> 00:00:07,120 Speaker 1: Interesting to hear you're talking to Miles Hurrell at the 5 00:00:07,120 --> 00:00:10,760 Speaker 1: top of the hour. Look, significant investment last week at Studham. 6 00:00:10,880 --> 00:00:16,040 Speaker 1: This week it's Edendale and Southland. Good news week or a 7 00:00:16,000 --> 00:00:17,919 Speaker 1: couple of weeks for the dairy industry. They've got a 8 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:23,360 Speaker 1: GDT auction tonight, my Guy Jardin Mike mcintiree picking another 9 00:00:23,400 --> 00:00:27,000 Speaker 1: two to three percent rise. The milk futures are sitting 10 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:29,800 Speaker 1: at eight eighty nine. That's getting up there. They and 11 00:00:29,920 --> 00:00:34,640 Speaker 1: Zed are leading the charge. Heather. They've raised their forecast 12 00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:39,040 Speaker 1: milk price to nine dollars a kilogram last week. Interestingly, 13 00:00:39,159 --> 00:00:42,839 Speaker 1: Rabobank went to sixty Fonterra still at eight fifty, but 14 00:00:42,880 --> 00:00:47,440 Speaker 1: you'd have to think on the present market sentiment that 15 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:50,320 Speaker 1: maybe nine dollars is on the cards and that's a 16 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 1: good number. 17 00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:52,680 Speaker 2: How good? What a turnaround from where it was not 18 00:00:52,760 --> 00:00:54,960 Speaker 2: long ago and everybody was so upset and desperate. 19 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 1: Aim, Well, you go back to August twenty twenty three, 20 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:02,360 Speaker 1: so that's twelve months ago we had that terrible GDT auction. 21 00:01:02,720 --> 00:01:05,800 Speaker 1: Six dollars fifty was the number being bandied about and 22 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:08,280 Speaker 1: that would have resulted in the loss for nearly every 23 00:01:08,400 --> 00:01:11,880 Speaker 1: dairy farmer in the country. Look, I mean, I can't 24 00:01:11,880 --> 00:01:15,280 Speaker 1: sugar coat the increase in production over the past few years. 25 00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:18,360 Speaker 1: It's been absolutely horrendous. But you know, I look at 26 00:01:18,400 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 1: dairy and I compare it the poor old sheep farmers 27 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 1: at the moment, and there's some green sheets they are 28 00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 1: coming for them as well, which is good. But I 29 00:01:25,720 --> 00:01:27,880 Speaker 1: think theirry is in quite a good space at the moment. 30 00:01:28,000 --> 00:01:30,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, sounds like now, Jamie. I was skouting before about 31 00:01:30,760 --> 00:01:33,040 Speaker 2: how warm it's been in Auckland in the last few days, 32 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:34,679 Speaker 2: and then I started getting all these texts about its 33 00:01:34,760 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 2: raining everywhere. Has been raining in Canterbury. 34 00:01:38,000 --> 00:01:40,840 Speaker 1: No, and that's what they need. They desperately need some rain. 35 00:01:40,920 --> 00:01:43,960 Speaker 1: In Canterbury they had a couple of cold shifts coming through. 36 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:48,760 Speaker 1: But look, North Canterbury is absolutely dire, the Hiiranui district 37 00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:54,400 Speaker 1: in particular. I saw a rainfall quotation from one farmer 38 00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 1: in Scagore, which is in North Canterbury. Between December of 39 00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:00,520 Speaker 1: last year in August of this year, I've only had 40 00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 1: two hundred and twenty millimeters of millimeters of rain now 41 00:02:05,320 --> 00:02:08,239 Speaker 1: to classify as a desert on an annual basis, you 42 00:02:08,360 --> 00:02:11,800 Speaker 1: need less than three hundred, so extrapolate that out. North 43 00:02:11,880 --> 00:02:15,960 Speaker 1: Canterbury is technically almost a desert. It was declared a 44 00:02:16,040 --> 00:02:19,919 Speaker 1: medium scale adverse event drought by Todd McLay, Minister of 45 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:24,120 Speaker 1: Agriculture in March. But look, typically in Canterbury, you know 46 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 1: they'll have dry summers, they farm to those, the autumn 47 00:02:26,600 --> 00:02:28,880 Speaker 1: rains come, they get a bit of growth through the 48 00:02:28,919 --> 00:02:30,960 Speaker 1: winter and they're away. But they just haven't had the 49 00:02:30,960 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 1: autumn rains. They haven't even had the winter rains. They're 50 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:36,560 Speaker 1: getting a wee bit of growth now off the warmth. 51 00:02:36,680 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 1: But as soon as those Northwesters start going as they 52 00:02:39,600 --> 00:02:42,120 Speaker 1: are at the moment, witness the fire that's happening at 53 00:02:42,120 --> 00:02:45,200 Speaker 1: the moment, and that place will burn to a frazzle. 54 00:02:45,240 --> 00:02:49,760 Speaker 1: They desperately need some good news from mother Nature in 55 00:02:49,800 --> 00:02:52,679 Speaker 1: the next two or three weeks. I'd suggest by the 56 00:02:52,800 --> 00:02:54,840 Speaker 1: end of September, or it could be game over. 57 00:02:55,000 --> 00:02:57,320 Speaker 2: He is hoping, Jamie, thank you so much, appreciate it. 58 00:02:57,400 --> 00:02:59,160 Speaker 2: Jamie mackay hosts The Country of Talking in a couple 59 00:02:59,160 --> 00:02:59,560 Speaker 2: of days. 60 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:03,240 Speaker 1: For more from Hither Duplessy Allen Drive, listen live to 61 00:03:03,320 --> 00:03:06,360 Speaker 1: News Talk set B from four pm weekdays, or follow 62 00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:08,120 Speaker 1: the podcast on iHeartRadio