1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:00,880 Speaker 1: Catherine, how are you. 2 00:00:01,600 --> 00:00:03,400 Speaker 2: I'm fine, Thank you, Michael, good morning. 3 00:00:03,640 --> 00:00:05,800 Speaker 1: Very keen to ask you about Starmer hanging out with 4 00:00:05,840 --> 00:00:07,400 Speaker 1: all you guys in Europe, but I'll come to that 5 00:00:07,440 --> 00:00:09,560 Speaker 1: in just a couple of moment. How freaked out is 6 00:00:09,600 --> 00:00:12,280 Speaker 1: Europe over all? That's unfolding in front of your eyes 7 00:00:12,320 --> 00:00:13,360 Speaker 1: as we speak. 8 00:00:13,960 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 2: Well, very freaked out since Donald Trump took off, As 9 00:00:18,720 --> 00:00:21,960 Speaker 2: of course, mines have been somewhat fun or focused, not 10 00:00:22,239 --> 00:00:26,639 Speaker 2: just on of course aggressive Russia and need for the 11 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:29,840 Speaker 2: US to be an ally, but also of course of 12 00:00:30,360 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 2: Trump's conversations that he's been having with Denmark over Greenland. Now, 13 00:00:36,000 --> 00:00:39,239 Speaker 2: just as I'm speaking, the twenty seven EU leaders are 14 00:00:39,320 --> 00:00:42,519 Speaker 2: meeting in Brussels. They've been meeting all day Monday. This 15 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:46,519 Speaker 2: is so called informal retreat where they can talk to 16 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:50,600 Speaker 2: another hopefully come up with some sort of policy when 17 00:00:50,600 --> 00:00:54,520 Speaker 2: it comes to defense. The problem is this, Mike, is 18 00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:58,600 Speaker 2: that Europe realizes that the US is its major ally 19 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:03,440 Speaker 2: and really when it comes to defending itself, Europe needs 20 00:01:03,560 --> 00:01:06,840 Speaker 2: the US. It really doesn't have the defense capability to 21 00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:11,280 Speaker 2: protect itself against Russia or anyone else. So they've got 22 00:01:11,319 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 2: to figure out what they do when they've got such 23 00:01:14,360 --> 00:01:18,560 Speaker 2: an uncertain ally in the White House now. President Macron 24 00:01:18,560 --> 00:01:21,640 Speaker 2: of France has been going on for ages about what 25 00:01:21,720 --> 00:01:25,919 Speaker 2: he called this European strategic autonomy, this idea that Europe 26 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:28,320 Speaker 2: needs to do everything on its own, has to be 27 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:30,480 Speaker 2: able to stand on its own two feet. But the 28 00:01:30,520 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 2: problem with that, mic is, as we saw in the 29 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:36,720 Speaker 2: early days of the Ukraine or the EU just does 30 00:01:36,800 --> 00:01:39,840 Speaker 2: not have the military industrial capacity to be able to 31 00:01:40,520 --> 00:01:45,320 Speaker 2: raank up the military capacity. You cannot make enough shells, 32 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:48,040 Speaker 2: cannot make enough tangs. None of this can be done. 33 00:01:48,320 --> 00:01:50,760 Speaker 2: So that's what they're going to try and decide how 34 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:53,440 Speaker 2: far they go with that. The next problem is the course, Mike, 35 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:55,840 Speaker 2: a lot of those EU countries do not want to 36 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:59,400 Speaker 2: upset the US. You look at countries in Eastern Europe 37 00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:04,480 Speaker 2: preserve that relationship with the US. So they say, well, okay, 38 00:02:04,600 --> 00:02:07,760 Speaker 2: let's put more money into defense spenditure, but we're going 39 00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:10,359 Speaker 2: to need to spend it in the US, buy US 40 00:02:10,440 --> 00:02:12,680 Speaker 2: weapons because of we sort of if you like, if 41 00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:16,079 Speaker 2: you hook the US into Europe's defense, then they will 42 00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:19,679 Speaker 2: remain committed to the US, to the EU. So that's 43 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:23,919 Speaker 2: the idea. You've got twenty seven nations all having different ideas, 44 00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:25,320 Speaker 2: but which way to go next? 45 00:02:25,400 --> 00:02:27,359 Speaker 1: Right, So here's your next problem. So you talk about 46 00:02:27,440 --> 00:02:31,720 Speaker 1: terrorists for example, So Germany's about to change administrations. Highly 47 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:34,720 Speaker 1: likely they're going to be isolationist and more conservative. So 48 00:02:34,880 --> 00:02:37,440 Speaker 1: that's potentially a trade war, which is different to macron 49 00:02:37,440 --> 00:02:39,480 Speaker 1: which is different. You know what I'm saying, it's do 50 00:02:39,520 --> 00:02:41,239 Speaker 1: they do it alone or do they do it together? 51 00:02:42,639 --> 00:02:47,959 Speaker 2: Well, they're trying, and it seems very difficult to see 52 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:50,680 Speaker 2: how they can have united position. You've got things like 53 00:02:50,960 --> 00:02:54,480 Speaker 2: Hungry and Slovakia that are so pro Russia that really 54 00:02:54,480 --> 00:02:56,520 Speaker 2: sometimes you hear what they're saying and you think, wow, 55 00:02:56,560 --> 00:02:59,280 Speaker 2: you know, did that come straight out of Putin's speech 56 00:02:59,280 --> 00:03:02,600 Speaker 2: writer or did they write that themselves. Then you have 57 00:03:02,960 --> 00:03:06,959 Speaker 2: other countries that really are kind of ready to do 58 00:03:07,040 --> 00:03:09,440 Speaker 2: some sort of deal with the US, particularly when it 59 00:03:09,480 --> 00:03:13,639 Speaker 2: comes to you to trade. There is a realization that 60 00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:17,399 Speaker 2: the trade deficit between the EU and the US has 61 00:03:17,480 --> 00:03:21,200 Speaker 2: been widening since about two thousand and nine. The EU 62 00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:24,280 Speaker 2: does export more to the US than it brings in. 63 00:03:25,000 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 2: But you just look at it today, Mike, and this 64 00:03:27,280 --> 00:03:30,480 Speaker 2: is what might be focusing Brains more and Brussels at 65 00:03:30,480 --> 00:03:33,880 Speaker 2: this moment. Is that all the European and ended in 66 00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:36,520 Speaker 2: the red today just on the idea that there was 67 00:03:36,560 --> 00:03:39,400 Speaker 2: going to be this trade dispute. So they're going to 68 00:03:39,440 --> 00:03:41,080 Speaker 2: have to focus on it, and they're going to have 69 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:43,680 Speaker 2: to decide who's going to be the one who's going 70 00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:45,640 Speaker 2: to talk for everyone. Is it going to be Italy 71 00:03:45,680 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 2: who's looking to be that mediator between Europe and the US? 72 00:03:50,080 --> 00:03:52,160 Speaker 2: Or are we all going to sort of line up 73 00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:56,800 Speaker 2: behind Germany that's absolutely reluctant to introduce tarists because they 74 00:03:57,040 --> 00:04:00,560 Speaker 2: export so many cars to the US. Quick. 75 00:04:00,680 --> 00:04:03,480 Speaker 1: What's that sneaky little starmer doing there? Is he looking 76 00:04:03,520 --> 00:04:06,480 Speaker 1: to do something with Brexit EU? All of that or not? 77 00:04:07,080 --> 00:04:10,160 Speaker 2: He is trying to get more trade, freer trade with 78 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:13,360 Speaker 2: the EU and also trying to pave the way for 79 00:04:13,480 --> 00:04:15,760 Speaker 2: this story which we've covered so much. Might we hear 80 00:04:15,800 --> 00:04:18,320 Speaker 2: so much about fishing rights in the Atlantic? 81 00:04:18,440 --> 00:04:20,480 Speaker 1: All right, Nice to talk to you as always, Katherine 82 00:04:20,680 --> 00:04:24,520 Speaker 1: Catherine Field out of France. Putin says Europe will stand 83 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:27,360 Speaker 1: at the feet of the master. He is loving it. 84 00:04:27,960 --> 00:04:30,880 Speaker 2: For more from the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to 85 00:04:30,960 --> 00:04:34,039 Speaker 2: news talks. It'd be from six am weekdays, or follow 86 00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:35,600 Speaker 2: the podcast on iHeartRadio,